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Working Paper Series

From European Central Bank
60640 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
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1282: The minimum liquidity deficit and the maturity structure of central banks' open market operations: lessons from the financial crisis Downloads
Jens Eisenschmidt and Cornelia Holthausen
1281: A quantitative mirror on the Euribor market using implied probability density functions Downloads
Rupert de Vincent-Humphreys and Josep Maria Puigvert Gutiérrez
1280: Can we prevent boom-bust cycles during euro area accession? Downloads
Michal Brzoza-Brzezina, Pascal Jacquinot and Marcin Kolasa
1279: Openness and optimal monetary policy Downloads
Giovanni Lombardo and Federico Ravenna
1278: Shocking stuff: technology, hours, and factor substitution Downloads
Cristiano Cantore, Miguel Leon-Ledesma, Peter McAdam and Alpo Willman
1277: Combining the forecasts in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: can anything beat the simple average? Downloads
Veronique Genre, Geoff Kenny, Aidan Meyler and Allan Timmermann
1276: Level, slope, curvature of the sovereign yield curve, and fiscal behaviour Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Manuel Martins
1275: Nowcasting Downloads
Marta Banbura, Domenico Giannone and Lucrezia Reichlin
1274: Firms' reactions to the crisis and their consequences for the labour market. Results of a company survey conducted in Austria Downloads
Claudia Kwapil
1273: Interest rate effects of demographic changes in a New-Keynesian life-cycle framework Downloads
Engin Kara and Leopold von Thadden
1272: The impact of public guarantees on bank risk taking: evidence from a natural experiment Downloads
Reint Gropp, Christian Gruendl and Andre Guettler
1271: An analysis of euro area sovereign CDS and their relation with government bonds Downloads
Alessandro Fontana and Martin Scheicher
1270: Inflation risk premia in the US and the euro area Downloads
Peter Hördahl and Oreste Tristani
1269: Downward wage rigidity and automatic wage indexation: evidence from monthly micro wage data Downloads
Patrick Lünnemann and Ladislav Wintr
1268: Changes in the Austrian structure of wages, 1996-2002: evidence from linked employer-employee data Downloads
Wolfgang Pointner and Alfred Stiglbauer
1267: Keynesian government spending multipliers and spillovers in the euro area Downloads
Tobias Cwik and Volker Wieland
1266: Towards expenditure rules and fiscal sanity in the euro area Downloads
Sebastian Hauptmeier, Antonio Jesús Sánchez Fuentes and Ludger Schuknecht
1265: How much does the public know about the ECB's monetary policy? Evidence from a survey of Dutch households Downloads
Carin Cruijsen, David-Jan Jansen and Jakob de Haan
1264: On approximating DSGE models by series expansions Downloads
Giovanni Lombardo
1263: Autoregressions in small samples, priors about observables and initial conditions Downloads
Marek Jarociński and Albert Marcet
1262: The impact of supply constraints on bank lending in the euro area - crisis induced crunching? Downloads
Hannah Sabine Hempell and Christoffer Kok
1261: Surprising comparative properties of monetary models: Results from a new model database Downloads
John Taylor and Volker Wieland
1260: A decade (and a global financial crisis) after Blinder: The interaction between researchers and policy-makers in central banks Downloads
Matthieu Bussiere and Livio Stracca
1259: Finance and diversification Downloads
Simone Manganelli and Alexander Popov
1258: Unconventional monetary policy and the great recession - Estimating the impact of a compression in the yield spread at the zero lower bound Downloads
Christiane Baumeister and Luca Benati
1257: Explaining the money demand of non-financial corporations in the Euro area: A macro and a micro view Downloads
Carmen Martinez-Carrascal and Julian von Landesberger
1256: Credit risk transfers and the macroeconomy Downloads
Ester Faia
1255: Predicting recession probabilities with financial variables over multiple horizons Downloads
Fabio Fornari and Wolfgang Lemke
1254: Global policy at the zero lower bound in a large-scale DSGE model Downloads
Sandra Gomes, Pascal Jacquinot, Ricardo Mestre and João Sousa
1253: Monetary policy in exceptional times Downloads
Michele Lenza, Huw Pill and Lucrezia Reichlin
1252: Interbank market integration, loan rates, and firm leverage Downloads
Steven Ongena and Alexander Popov
1251: Macroeconomic propagation under different regulatory regimes: Evidence from an estimated DSGE model for the euro area Downloads
Matthieu Darracq Paries, Christoffer Kok and Diego Rodriguez-Palenzuela
1250: Optimal monetary policy with state-dependent pricing Downloads
Anton Nakov and Carlos Thomas
1249: Forecasting and assessing Euro area house prices through the lens of key fundamentals Downloads
Luca Gattini and Paul Hiebert
1248: Bank risk-taking, securitization, supervision and low interest rates: Evidence from the euro area and the U.S. lending standards Downloads
Angela Maddaloni and Jose-Luis Peydro
1247: The Euro overnight interbank market and ECB's liquidity management policy during tranquil and turbulent times Downloads
Nuno Cassola and Michael Huetl
1246: Predicting recessions and recoveries in real time: The euro area-wide leading indicator (ALI) Downloads
Gabe de Bondt and Elke Hahn
1245: Firms and the global crisis: French exports in the turmoil Downloads
Jean-Charles Bricongne, Lionel Fontagné, Guillaume Gaulier, Daria Taglioni and Vincent Vicard
1244: Trade with central and eastern Europe: Is it really a threat to wages in the west? Downloads
Éva Katalin Polgár and Julia Wörz
1243: Current account determinants and external sustainability in periods of structural change Downloads
Sophocles Brissimis, George Hondroyiannis, Christos Papazoglou, Nicholas T. Tsaveas and Melina Vasardani
1242: Changes in the Czech wage structure: Does immigration matter? Downloads
Kamil Dybczak and Kamil Galuscak
1241: Major public debt reductions: Lessons from the past, lessons for the future Downloads
Christiane Nickel, Philipp Rother and Lilli Zimmermann
1240: Monetary policy, asset prices and consumption in China Downloads
Tuuli Koivu
1239: Supply, demand and monetary policy shocks in a multi-country New Keynesian Model Downloads
Stephane Dees, M Pesaran, Vanessa Smith and Ron P. Smith
1238: Household money holdings in the euro area: An explorative investigation Downloads
Franz Seitz and Julian von Landesberger
1237: The impact of high and growing government debt on economic growth: an empirical investigation for the euro area Downloads
Cristina Checherita-Westphal and Philipp Rother
1236: Is the New Keynesian IS curve structural? Downloads
Livio Stracca
1235: A note on identification patterns in DSGE models Downloads
Michal Andrle
1234: Imposing parsimony in cross-country growth regressions Downloads
Marek Jarociński
1233: Bank heterogeneity and monetary policy transmission Downloads
Sophocles Brissimis and Manthos Delis
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