Details about Aurelien Baillon

Access statistics for papers by Aurelien Baillon.

Last updated 2025-11-11. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pba869

Working Papers

2025

1. Falling and failing (to learn): Evidence from a nation-wide cybersecurity field experiment with SMEs
   Post-Print, HAL
   See also Journal Article Falling and failing (to learn): Evidence from a nation-wide cybersecurity field experiment with SMEs, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier (2025) (2025)
2. How much do we learn? Measuring symmetric and asymmetric deviations from Bayesian updating through choices
   Post-Print, HAL
   See also Journal Article How much do we learn? Measuring symmetric and asymmetric deviations from Bayesian updating through choices, Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society (2025) (2025)
3. Pre-Registration and Pre-Analysis Plans in Experimental Economics
   I4R Discussion Paper Series, The Institute for Replication (I4R) View citations (1)
   Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2025) View citations (1)
   ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka (2025) View citations (1)
   Rationality and Competition Discussion Paper Series, CRC TRR 190 Rationality and Competition (2025) View citations (1)
   Working Papers, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon (2025) View citations (1)
4. Source Theory: A Tractable and Positive Ambiguity Theory
   Post-Print, HAL
   See also Journal Article Source Theory: A Tractable and Positive Ambiguity Theory, Management Science, INFORMS (2025) (2025)

2022

5. A behavioral decomposition of willingness to pay for health insurance
   Post-Print, HAL View citations (2)
   Also in Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute (2019)
   See also Journal Article A behavioral decomposition of willingness to pay for health insurance, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer (2022) View citations (4) (2022)
6. Do time preferences explain low health insurance take‐up?
   Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article Do time preferences explain low health insurance take‐up?, Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association (2022) (2022)
7. Experimental elicitation of ambiguity attitude using the random incentive system
   Post-Print, HAL View citations (7)
   Also in Working Papers, University of Toronto, Department of Economics (2021)
   Microeconomics.ca working papers, Vancouver School of Economics (2015) View citations (23)
   See also Journal Article Experimental elicitation of ambiguity attitude using the random incentive system, Experimental Economics, Springer (2022) View citations (14) (2022)
8. Incentives in surveys
   Post-Print, HAL View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article Incentives in surveys, Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier (2022) View citations (2) (2022)
9. Persistent effects of temporary incentives: Evidence from a nationwide health insurance experiment
   Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
   Also in Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute (2019) View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article Persistent effects of temporary incentives: Evidence from a nationwide health insurance experiment, Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier (2022) View citations (1) (2022)
10. Randomize at Your Own Risk: On the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (11)
    Also in Working Papers, University of Toronto, Department of Economics (2021) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Randomize at Your Own Risk: On the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion, Econometrica, Econometric Society (2022) View citations (13) (2022)
11. When Risk Perception Gets in the Way: Probability Weighting and Underprevention
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article When Risk Perception Gets in the Way: Probability Weighting and Underprevention, Operations Research, INFORMS (2022) View citations (2) (2022)

2021

12. Simple bets to elicit private signals
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Simple bets to elicit private signals, Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society (2021) View citations (3) (2021)

2020

13. Searching for the reference point
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Searching for the Reference Point, Management Science, INFORMS (2020) View citations (49) (2020)

2019

14. Informing, simulating experience, or both: A field experiment on phishing risks
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Informing, simulating experience, or both: A field experiment on phishing risks, PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science (2019) View citations (4) (2019)

2018

15. The Effect of Learning on Ambiguity Attitudes
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article The Effect of Learning on Ambiguity Attitudes, Management Science, INFORMS (2018) View citations (18) (2018)

2016

16. La décision en ambiguïté: modèles et évaluations expérimentales
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article La décision en ambiguïté: modèles et évaluations expérimentales, L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique (2016) View citations (2) (2016)

2015

17. Subjective Truths
    ERIM Inaugural Address Series Research in Management, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.

2014

18. Sadder but wiser: The Effects of Affective States and Weather on Ambiguity Attitudes
    Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute View citations (1)

2013

19. A Tailor-Made Test of Intransitive Choice
    Working Papers, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article A Tailor-Made Test of Intransitive Choice, Operations Research, INFORMS (2015) View citations (7) (2015)
20. Learning under ambiguity: An experiment using initial public offerings on a stock market
    Economics Working Paper Archive (University of Rennes & University of Caen), Center for Research in Economics and Management (CREM), University of Rennes, University of Caen and CNRS View citations (10)

2011

21. Ambiguity models and the Machina paradoxes
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (42)
    Also in PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint), HAL (2011) View citations (42)
    Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL (2011) View citations (39)
    See also Journal Article Ambiguity Models and the Machina Paradoxes, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2011) View citations (51) (2011)
22. The Rich Domain of Uncertainty: Source Functions and Their Experimental Implementation
    Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers), HAL View citations (323)
    Also in Post-Print, HAL (2011) View citations (340)
    See also Journal Article The Rich Domain of Uncertainty: Source Functions and Their Experimental Implementation, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2011) View citations (380) (2011)

2009

23. Combining imprecise or conflicting probability judgments: A choice-based study
    ICBBR Working Papers, International Centre for Behavioural Business Research View citations (3)

Journal Articles

2025

1. Falling and failing (to learn): Evidence from a nation-wide cybersecurity field experiment with SMEs
   Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2025, 230, (C)
   See also Working Paper Falling and failing (to learn): Evidence from a nation-wide cybersecurity field experiment with SMEs, Post-Print (2025) (2025)
2. How much do we learn? Measuring symmetric and asymmetric deviations from Bayesian updating through choices
   Quantitative Economics, 2025, 16, (1), 329-365
   See also Working Paper How much do we learn? Measuring symmetric and asymmetric deviations from Bayesian updating through choices, Post-Print (2025) (2025)
3. Source Theory: A Tractable and Positive Ambiguity Theory
   Management Science, 2025, 71, (10), 8767-8782
   See also Working Paper Source Theory: A Tractable and Positive Ambiguity Theory, Post-Print (2025) (2025)

2022

4. A behavioral decomposition of willingness to pay for health insurance
   Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2022, 64, (1), 43-87 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper A behavioral decomposition of willingness to pay for health insurance, Post-Print (2022) View citations (2) (2022)
5. Do time preferences explain low health insurance take‐up?
   Journal of Risk & Insurance, 2022, 89, (4), 951-983
   See also Working Paper Do time preferences explain low health insurance take‐up?, Post-Print (2022) View citations (1) (2022)
6. Experimental elicitation of ambiguity attitude using the random incentive system
   Experimental Economics, 2022, 25, (3), 1002-1023 View citations (14)
   See also Working Paper Experimental elicitation of ambiguity attitude using the random incentive system, Post-Print (2022) View citations (7) (2022)
7. Incentives in surveys
   Journal of Economic Psychology, 2022, 93, (C) View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper Incentives in surveys, Post-Print (2022) View citations (2) (2022)
8. Persistent effects of temporary incentives: Evidence from a nationwide health insurance experiment
   Journal of Health Economics, 2022, 81, (C) View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Persistent effects of temporary incentives: Evidence from a nationwide health insurance experiment, Post-Print (2022) View citations (1) (2022)
9. Randomize at Your Own Risk: On the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion
   Econometrica, 2022, 90, (3), 1085-1107 View citations (13)
   See also Working Paper Randomize at Your Own Risk: On the Observability of Ambiguity Aversion, Post-Print (2022) View citations (11) (2022)
10. When Risk Perception Gets in the Way: Probability Weighting and Underprevention
    Operations Research, 2022, 70, (3), 1371-1392 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper When Risk Perception Gets in the Way: Probability Weighting and Underprevention, Post-Print (2022) View citations (8) (2022)

2021

11. Belief hedges: Measuring ambiguity for all events and all models
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2021, 198, (C) View citations (17)
12. Discrete Arrow–Pratt indexes for risk and uncertainty
    Economic Theory, 2021, 72, (4), 1375-1393
13. Prince: An improved method for measuring incentivized preferences
    Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2021, 62, (1), 1-28 View citations (35)
14. Simple bets to elicit private signals
    Theoretical Economics, 2021, 16, (3) View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Simple bets to elicit private signals, Post-Print (2021) View citations (1) (2021)

2020

15. Searching for the Reference Point
    Management Science, 2020, 66, (1), 93-112 View citations (49)
    See also Working Paper Searching for the reference point, Post-Print (2020) View citations (12) (2020)

2019

16. Informing, simulating experience, or both: A field experiment on phishing risks
    PLOS ONE, 2019, 14, (12), 1-15 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Informing, simulating experience, or both: A field experiment on phishing risks, Post-Print (2019) View citations (3) (2019)
17. Testing constant absolute and relative ambiguity aversion
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2019, 181, (C), 309-332 View citations (25)

2018

18. Measuring Ambiguity Attitudes for All (Natural) Events
    Econometrica, 2018, 86, (5), 1839-1858 View citations (78)
19. Measuring higher order ambiguity preferences
    Experimental Economics, 2018, 21, (2), 233-256 View citations (26)
20. The Effect of Learning on Ambiguity Attitudes
    Management Science, 2018, 64, (5), 2181-2198 View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper The Effect of Learning on Ambiguity Attitudes, Post-Print (2018) View citations (21) (2018)
21. ZOOMING IN ON AMBIGUITY ATTITUDES
    International Economic Review, 2018, 59, (4), 2107-2131 View citations (5)

2017

22. Comparing uncertainty aversion towards different sources
    Theory and Decision, 2017, 83, (1), 1-18 View citations (5)
23. Measuring ambiguity attitude: (Extended) multiplier preferences for the American and the Dutch population
    Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2017, 54, (3), 269-281 View citations (8)
24. Prudence With Respect To Ambiguity
    Economic Journal, 2017, 127, (604), 1731-1755 View citations (26)

2016

25. Group decision rules and group rationality under risk
    Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2016, 52, (2), 99-116 View citations (13)
26. La décision en ambiguïté: modèles et évaluations expérimentales
    L'Actualité Economique, 2016, 92, (1-2), 81-111 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper La décision en ambiguïté: modèles et évaluations expérimentales, Post-Print (2016) View citations (2) (2016)
27. Sadder but wiser: The effects of emotional states on ambiguity attitudes
    Journal of Economic Psychology, 2016, 53, (C), 67-82 View citations (10)

2015

28. A Tailor-Made Test of Intransitive Choice
    Operations Research, 2015, 63, (1), 198-211 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper A Tailor-Made Test of Intransitive Choice, Working Papers (2013) View citations (8) (2013)
29. Testing Ambiguity Models through the Measurement of Probabilities for Gains and Losses
    American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2015, 7, (2), 77-100 View citations (105)

2012

30. Aggregating imprecise or conflicting beliefs: An experimental investigation using modern ambiguity theories
    Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2012, 44, (2), 115-147 View citations (34)
31. Relative concave utility for risk and ambiguity
    Games and Economic Behavior, 2012, 75, (2), 481-489 View citations (19)

2011

32. Ambiguity Models and the Machina Paradoxes
    American Economic Review, 2011, 101, (4), 1547-60 View citations (51)
    See also Working Paper Ambiguity models and the Machina paradoxes, Post-Print (2011) View citations (42) (2011)
33. The Rich Domain of Uncertainty: Source Functions and Their Experimental Implementation
    American Economic Review, 2011, 101, (2), 695-723 View citations (380)
    See also Working Paper The Rich Domain of Uncertainty: Source Functions and Their Experimental Implementation, Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) (2011) View citations (323) (2011)

2008

34. Eliciting Subjective Probabilities Through Exchangeable Events: An Advantage and a Limitation
    Decision Analysis, 2008, 5, (2), 76-87 View citations (39)