Details about Serhan Cevik

Workplace:

International Monetary Fund (IMF), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Serhan Cevik.

Last updated 2025-04-04. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pce110

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Working Papers

2019

Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Anchor me: the benefits and challenges of fiscal responsibility, Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University (2019) View citations (1) (2019)
Back to the Future: Fiscal Rules for Regaining Sustainability
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
Death and Taxes: Does Taxation Matter for Firm Survival?
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
See also Journal Article Death and taxes: Does taxation matter for firm survival?, Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell (2022) View citations (8) (2022)
Structural Transformation and Tax Efficiency
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
See also Journal Article Structural transformation and tax efficiency, International Finance, Wiley Blackwell (2019) View citations (2) (2019)
Trinity Strikes Back: Monetary Independence and Inflation in the Caribbean
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
See also Journal Article Trinity Strikes Back: Monetary Independence And Inflation In The Caribbean, Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2020) View citations (5) (2020)
You Are Suffocating Me! Firm-Level Evidence on Crowding Out
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
See also Journal Article You are suffocating me: Firm-level analysis of state-owned enterprises and private investment, Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier (2020) View citations (4) (2020)

2018

Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm-Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (5)
See also Journal Article Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm‐Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries, Australian Economic Review, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research (2018) View citations (5) (2018)
How to Manage the Fiscal Costs of Natural Disasters
IMF Fiscal Affairs Department, International Monetary Fund View citations (4)

2017

Smooth Operator: Remittances and Fiscal Shocks
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (1)

2016

Smoke Screen: Estimating the Tax Pass-Through to Cigarette Prices in Pakistan
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
See also Journal Article Smoke screen: Estimating the tax pass‐through to cigarette prices in Pakistan, Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell (2018) View citations (1) (2018)
Unlocking Pakistan’s Revenue Potential
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (1)

2015

Fiscal Consequences of Terrorism
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
Growing (Un)equal: Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality in China and BRIC+
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (17)
See also Journal Article Growing (un)equal: fiscal policy and income inequality in China and BRIC+, Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals (2020) View citations (9) (2020)
Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Soft power and exchange rate volatility, International Finance, Wiley Blackwell (2017) View citations (2) (2017)

2014

Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (15)
See also Journal Article Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior, Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management (2014) View citations (15) (2014)
Fragmentation and Vertical Fiscal Imbalances Lessons from Moldova
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (2)

2013

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
See also Journal Article Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions, Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan (2015) View citations (3) (2015)
Hitchhiker’s Guide to Inflation in Libya
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Hitchhiker's guide to inflation in Libya, International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd (2014) (2014)
Searching for the Finance-Growth Nexus in Libya
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
See also Journal Article Searching for the finance–growth nexus in Libya, Empirical Economics, Springer (2020) View citations (5) (2020)
The Day After Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (4)
See also Journal Article The Day After Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya, Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management (2015) View citations (4) (2015)

2012

A Template for Analyzing and Projecting Labor Market Indicators
MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (3)
Libya beyond the Revolution: Challenges and Opportunities
MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany
Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (13)
See also Journal Article LOST IN TRANSMISSION? THE EFFECTIVENESS OF MONETARY POLICY TRANSMISSION CHANNELS IN THE GCC COUNTRIES, Middle East Development Journal (MEDJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. (2013) View citations (10) (2013)

2011

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How Do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (10)
See also Journal Article A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How Do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?*, Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press (2014) View citations (10) (2014)
Desynchronized: The Comovement of Non-Hydrocarbon Business Cycles in the GCC
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
Policy Coordination in Fiscal Federalism: Drawing Lessons From the Dubai Debt Crisis
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (5)
See also Journal Article Policy coordination in fiscal federalism: drawing lessons from the Dubai debt crisis, International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2019) (2019)
The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey
IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (51)
See also Journal Article The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey, International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals (2015) View citations (33) (2015)

Journal Articles

2025

It’s Never Different: Fiscal Policy Shocks and Inflation
Comparative Economic Studies, 2025, 67, (1), 186-220
See also Working Paper It’s Never Different: Fiscal Policy Shocks and Inflation, IMF Working Papers (2023) View citations (4) (2023)

2024

Bubble detective: City‐level analysis of house price cycles
International Finance, 2024, 27, (1), 2-16 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Bubble Detective: City-Level Analysis of House Price Cycles, IMF Working Papers (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
Climate change and energy security: the dilemma or opportunity of the century?
Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, 2024, 26, (3), 653-672 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper Climate Change and Energy Security: The Dilemma or Opportunity of the Century?, IMF Working Papers (2022) View citations (5) (2022)
Dining and Wining During the Pandemic? A Quasi-Experiment on Tax Cuts and Consumer Spending in Lithuania
Annals of Economics and Finance, 2024, 25, (2), 575-590
See also Working Paper Dining and Wining During the Pandemic? A Quasi-Experiment on Tax Cuts and Consumer Spending in Lithuania, IMF Working Papers (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth
Review of Economics, 2024, 75, (2), 109-138
See also Working Paper Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth, IMF Working Papers (2023) View citations (8) (2023)
Good Will Hunting: Do Disasters Make Us More Charitable?
Annals of Economics and Finance, 2024, 25, (1), 275-287
See also Working Paper Good Will Hunting: Do Disasters Make Us More Charitable?, IMF Working Papers (2023) (2023)
Here Comes the Change: The Role of Global and Domestic Factors in Post-Pandemic Inflation in Europe
International Journal of Central Banking, 2024, 20, (2), 237-290 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper Here Comes the Change: The Role of Global and Domestic Factors in Post-Pandemic Inflation in Europe, IMF Working Papers (2022) View citations (5) (2022)
How Mumbo-Jumbo conquered the world: empirical analysis of conspiracy theories
Economic Change and Restructuring, 2024, 57, (4), 1-13
Is inflation good for business? the firm-level impact of inflation shocks in the Baltics, 1997–2020
Economic Change and Restructuring, 2024, 57, (5), 1-19
Peering Through the Fog of Uncertainty: Out-of-Sample Forecasts of Post-Pandemic Tourism
Review of Economics, 2024, 75, (1), 21-41
See also Working Paper Peering Through the Fog of Uncertainty: Out-of-Sample Forecasts of Post-Pandemic Tourism, IMF Working Papers (2023) (2023)
Restructuring reforms for green growth
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2024, 71, (4), 515-541
See also Working Paper Restructuring Reforms for Green Growth, IMF Working Papers (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
The dark side of the moon? Fintech and financial stability
International Review of Economics, 2024, 71, (2), 421-433
See also Working Paper The Dark Side of the Moon? Fintech and Financial Stability, IMF Working Papers (2023) View citations (2) (2023)
This is going to hurt: Weather anomalies, supply chain pressures and inflation
International Economics, 2024, 180, (C)
See also Working Paper This Is Going to Hurt: Weather Anomalies, Supply Chain Pressures and Inflation, IMF Working Papers (2024) (2024)

2023

Breaking Bad: A Disaggregated Analysis of Inflation Inertia
Review of Economics, 2023, 74, (3), 235-250
See also Working Paper Breaking Bad: A Disaggregated Analysis of Inflation Inertia, IMF Working Papers (2022) (2022)
Chasing the sun and catching the wind: Energy transition and electricity prices in Europe
Journal of Economics and Finance, 2023, 47, (4), 912-935 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Chasing the Sun and Catching the Wind: Energy Transition and Electricity Prices in Europe, IMF Working Papers (2022) View citations (1) (2022)
Dirty dance: tourism and environment
International Review of Applied Economics, 2023, 37, (1), 168-185 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Dirty Dance: Tourism and Environment, IMF Working Papers (2022) (2022)
Don’t Look Up: House Prices in Emerging Europe
German Economic Review, 2023, 24, (4), 411-436
See also Working Paper Don't Look Up: House Prices in Emerging Europe, IMF Working Papers (2022) (2022)
Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings
Review of Development Finance Journal, 2023, 13, (2), 21-34 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (22) (2020)
For whom the bell tolls: Climate change and income inequality
Energy Policy, 2023, 174, (C) View citations (23)
Mind the gap: city-level inflation synchronization
International Review of Economics, 2023, 70, (1), 121-139
See also Working Paper Mind the Gap: City-Level Inflation Synchronization, IMF Working Papers (2022) (2022)
Rogue Waves: Climate Change and Firm Performance
Comparative Economic Studies, 2023, 65, (1), 29-59 View citations (3)
See also Working Paper Rogue Waves: Climate Change and Firm Performance, IMF Working Papers (2022) View citations (5) (2022)
Show Me the Money: Tracking Consumer Spending with Daily Card Transaction Data During the Pandemic
German Economic Review, 2023, 24, (3), 305-321 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper Show Me the Money: Tracking Consumer Spending with Daily Card Transaction Data During the Pandemic, IMF Working Papers (2022) (2022)

2022

An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults
Open Economies Review, 2022, 33, (1), 89-108 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (3) (2020)
Death and taxes: Does taxation matter for firm survival?
Economics and Politics, 2022, 34, (1), 92-112 View citations (8)
See also Working Paper Death and Taxes: Does Taxation Matter for Firm Survival?, IMF Working Papers (2019) (2019)
Going Viral: A Gravity Model of Infectious Diseases and Tourism Flows
Open Economies Review, 2022, 33, (1), 141-156 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper Going Viral: A Gravity Model of Infectious Diseases and Tourism Flows, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (5) (2020)
Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment
Review of Economics, 2022, 73, (1), 79-101 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper Leverage Shocks: Firm-Level Evidence on Debt Overhang and Investment, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (4) (2020)
This changes everything: Climate shocks and sovereign bonds⁎
Energy Economics, 2022, 107, (C) View citations (13)
Waiting for Godot? The case for climate change adaptation and mitigation in small island states
Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy, 2022, 11, (4), 420-437 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Waiting for Godot? The Case for Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in Small Island States, IMF Working Papers (2022) (2022)
Where should we go? Internet searches and tourist arrivals
International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2022, 27, (4), 4048-4057
See also Working Paper Where Should We Go? Internet Searches and Tourist Arrivals, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (2) (2020)

2021

Contagion of fear: Is the impact of COVID‐19 on sovereign risk really indiscriminate?
International Finance, 2021, 24, (2), 134-154 View citations (7)
See also Working Paper Contagion of Fear: Is the Impact of COVID-19 on Sovereign Risk Really Indiscriminate?, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (3) (2020)
Pandemics and firms: Drawing lessons from history
International Finance, 2021, 24, (3), 276-297 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Pandemics and Firms: Drawing Lessons from History, IMF Working Papers (2020) (2020)
Perfect Storm: Climate Change and Tourism
Journal of Globalization and Development, 2021, 12, (1), 47-61
See also Working Paper Perfect Storm: Climate Change and Tourism, MPRA Paper (2020) View citations (1) (2020)

2020

Dirty money: Does the risk of infectious disease lower demand for cash?
International Finance, 2020, 23, (3), 460-471 View citations (14)
See also Working Paper Dirty Money: Does the Risk of Infectious Disease Lower Demand for Cash?, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (14) (2020)
Growing (un)equal: fiscal policy and income inequality in China and BRIC+
Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 2020, 25, (4), 634-653 View citations (9)
See also Working Paper Growing (Un)equal: Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality in China and BRIC+, IMF Working Papers (2015) View citations (17) (2015)
Riding the storm: fiscal sustainability in the Caribbean
International Review of Applied Economics, 2020, 34, (3), 384-399 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper Riding the Storm: Fiscal Sustainability in the Caribbean, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (3) (2020)
Searching for the finance–growth nexus in Libya
Empirical Economics, 2020, 58, (2), 567-581 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Searching for the Finance-Growth Nexus in Libya, IMF Working Papers (2013) View citations (3) (2013)
Shock and awe? Fiscal consequences of terrorism
Empirical Economics, 2020, 58, (2), 723-748 View citations (6)
Taking down the wall: Transition and inequality
Review of Development Economics, 2020, 24, (1), 238-253 View citations (7)
See also Working Paper Taking Down the Wall: Transition and Inequality, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (7) (2020)
Trinity Strikes Back: Monetary Independence And Inflation In The Caribbean
Journal of International Development, 2020, 32, (3), 375-388 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Trinity Strikes Back: Monetary Independence and Inflation in the Caribbean, IMF Working Papers (2019) (2019)
You are suffocating me: Firm-level analysis of state-owned enterprises and private investment
Journal of Comparative Economics, 2020, 48, (2), 292-301 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper You Are Suffocating Me! Firm-Level Evidence on Crowding Out, IMF Working Papers (2019) (2019)

2019

Anchor me: the benefits and challenges of fiscal responsibility
Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, 2019, 33, (1), 33-47 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Anchor Me: The Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Responsibility, IMF Working Papers (2019) View citations (1) (2019)
Policy coordination in fiscal federalism: drawing lessons from the Dubai debt crisis
International Journal of Emerging Markets, 2019, 14, (5), 899-915
See also Working Paper Policy Coordination in Fiscal Federalism: Drawing Lessons From the Dubai Debt Crisis, IMF Working Papers (2011) View citations (5) (2011)
Structural transformation and tax efficiency
International Finance, 2019, 22, (3), 341-379 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper Structural Transformation and Tax Efficiency, IMF Working Papers (2019) View citations (3) (2019)

2018

Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm‐Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries
Australian Economic Review, 2018, 51, (3), 351-367 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Does Taxation Stifle Corporate Investment? Firm-Level Evidence from ASEAN Countries, IMF Working Papers (2018) View citations (5) (2018)
No buck for the bang: revisiting the military-growth nexus
Empirica, 2018, 45, (4), 639-653 View citations (7)
Smoke screen: Estimating the tax pass‐through to cigarette prices in Pakistan
Review of Development Economics, 2018, 22, (3), e1-e15 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Smoke Screen: Estimating the Tax Pass-Through to Cigarette Prices in Pakistan, IMF Working Papers (2016) (2016)
Smooth operator: remittances and household consumption during fiscal shocks
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2018, 18, (2), 21 View citations (2)
Unlocking Pakistanâ€™s Revenue Potential
South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, 2018, 7, (1), 17-36 View citations (2)

2017

Size matters: fragmentation and vertical fiscal imbalances in Moldova
Empirica, 2017, 44, (2), 367-381 View citations (1)
Soft power and exchange rate volatility
International Finance, 2017, 20, (3), 271-288 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility, IMF Working Papers (2015) View citations (2) (2015)

2015

Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions
Comparative Economic Studies, 2015, 57, (4), 569-597 View citations (3)
Also in Comparative Economic Studies, 2015, 57, (4), 569-597 (2015)
See also Working Paper Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus: An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions, IMF Working Papers (2013) View citations (3) (2013)
The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2015, 5, (1), 111-124 View citations (33)
See also Working Paper The Behavior of Conventional and Islamic Bank Deposit Returns in Malaysia and Turkey, IMF Working Papers (2011) View citations (51) (2011)
The Day After Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya
Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, 2015, 2, (4), 32-50 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper The Day After Tomorrow: Designing an Optimal Fiscal Strategy for Libya, IMF Working Papers (2013) View citations (4) (2013)

2014

A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How Do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?*
Journal of Wine Economics, 2014, 9, (1), 34-50 View citations (10)
See also Working Paper A Barrel of Oil or a Bottle of Wine: How Do Global Growth Dynamics Affect Commodity Prices?, IMF Working Papers (2011) View citations (10) (2011)
Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior
Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, 2014, 2, (2), 5-33 View citations (15)
See also Working Paper Deep Roots of Fiscal Behavior, IMF Working Papers (2014) View citations (15) (2014)
Hitchhiker's guide to inflation in Libya
International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 2014, 7, (1), 1-21
See also Working Paper Hitchhiker’s Guide to Inflation in Libya, IMF Working Papers (2013) View citations (2) (2013)
Without Oil, How Do Gulf Countries Move? Non-hydrocarbon Business Cycles
Journal of Economic Integration, 2014, 29, 244-266 View citations (1)

2013

LOST IN TRANSMISSION? THE EFFECTIVENESS OF MONETARY POLICY TRANSMISSION CHANNELS IN THE GCC COUNTRIES
Middle East Development Journal (MEDJ), 2013, 05, (03), 1-21 View citations (10)
Also in Middle East Development Journal, 2013, 5, (3), 1350018-1-1350018-21 (2013) View citations (11)
See also Working Paper Lost in Transmission? The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Channels in the GCC Countries, IMF Working Papers (2012) View citations (13) (2012)