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Workplace:Department of Economics, University of Warwick, (more information at EDIRC)

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Working Papers

2019

  1. Is the UK Productivity Slowdown Unprecedented?
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2019) Downloads
  2. The Fall in UK Potential Output due to the Financial Crisis: a Much Bigger Estimate
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2019) Downloads
  3. The Pre-1914 UK Productivity Slowdown: A Reappraisal
    The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2019) Downloads
  4. The Rise and Fall of US Manufacturing: Re-Examination of Long-Run Spatial Trends
    Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent Downloads
  5. The Sources of British Economic Growth since the Industrial Revolution: Not the Same Old Story
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2019) Downloads

2017

  1. A Long-Run Perspective on the Spatial Concentration of Manufacturing Industries in the United States
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent (2017) Downloads View citations (1)
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2017) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. The Postwar British Productivity Failure
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2017) Downloads
    The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2017) Downloads
  3. The Sources of Growth in a Technologically Progressive Economy
    GGDC Research Memorandum, Groningen Growth and Development Centre, University of Groningen Downloads
  4. The Sources of Growth in a Technologically Progressive Economy: the United States, 1899-1941
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History (2017) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2019)
  5. Trend TFP Growth in the United States: Forecasts versus Outcomes
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2017) Downloads View citations (2)

2016

  1. Six Centuries of British Economic Growth: a Time-Series Perspective
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2016) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in European Review of Economic History (2017)
  2. The Growth Effects of EU Membership for the UK: a Review of the Evidence
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (20)

2015

  1. A Vision of the Growth Process in a Technologically Progressive Economy: the United States, 1899-1941
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2015) Downloads View citations (6)
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2015) Downloads View citations (5)
    The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2015) Downloads View citations (6)
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History (2015) Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Agglomeration Economies and Productivity Growth: U.S. Cities, 1880-1930
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads
    Also in Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent (2015) Downloads
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2015) Downloads
  3. Is Secular Stagnation the Future for Europe?
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (1)
  4. West European Economic Integration since 1950: Implications for Trade and Income
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (2)

2014

  1. Industrial Policy for the Medium to Long-term
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers, Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge (2013) Downloads
  2. Industrialization: Why Britain Got There First
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads
  3. Productivity Growth during the British Industrial Revolution: Revisionism Revisited
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (9)
  4. Reducing High Public Debt Ratios: Lessons from UK Experience
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Fiscal Studies (2016)

2013

  1. Fiscal Policy in a Depressed Economy: Was There a 'Free Lunch' in 1930s' Britain?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    Also in CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2012) Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Geography and Intra-National Home Bias: U. S. Domestic Trade in 1949 and 2007
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    Also in Studies in Economics, School of Economics, University of Kent (2013) Downloads
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2013) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Geography (2015)
  3. Rearmament to the Rescue? New Estimates of the Impact of ‘Keynesian’ Policies in 1930s’ Britain
    The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (16)
    Also in Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics (2013) Downloads View citations (14)
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2012) Downloads View citations (3)
    Working Papers, European Historical Economics Society (EHES) (2012) Downloads View citations (3)
  4. Returning to growth: lessons from the 1930s
    Working Papers, Economic History Society Downloads View citations (1)
  5. The Location of the UK Cotton Textiles Industry in 1838: a Quantitative Analysis
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (10)
    Also in Working Papers, European Historical Economics Society (EHES) (2013) Downloads View citations (10)
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2013) Downloads View citations (9)

    See also Journal Article in The Journal of Economic History (2014)
  6. Twentieth Century Growth
    Oxford Economic and Social History Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2013) Downloads View citations (10)
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2013) Downloads View citations (8)
  7. What Does the 1930s’ Experience Tell Us about the Future of the Eurozone?
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Common Market Studies (2014)

2012

  1. Creating Competitive Advantage: Policy Lessons from History
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads
  2. UK Defence News, 1920-1938: Estimates Based on Contemporary Sources
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Western Europe's Growth Prospects: an Historical Perspective
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2012) Downloads View citations (6)

2011

  1. British Relative Economic Decline Revisited
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) (2011) Downloads
  2. Economic History Matters
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economic History of Developing Regions (2012)
  3. The Golden Age and the Second Globalization in Italy
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Quaderni di storia economica (Economic History Working Papers), Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area (2011) Downloads View citations (4)
  4. The Marshall Plan: A Reality Check
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (2)

2010

  1. Explaining the First Industrial Revolution: Two Views
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in European Review of Economic History (2011)
  2. Lessons from the 1930s' Great Depression
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (13)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2010) Downloads View citations (13)

    See also Journal Article in Oxford Review of Economic Policy (2010)
  3. Making Sense of the Manufacturing Belt: Determinants of U.S. Industrial Location, 1880-1920
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Geography (2012)
  4. OPENNESS, PROTECTIONISM AND BRITAIN’S PRODUCTIVITY PERFORMANCE OVER THE LONG-RUN
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (2)
  5. The Contribution of New Technology to Economic Growth: Lessons from Economic History
    CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE) Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Revista de Historia Económica / Journal of Iberian and Latin American Economic History (2010)
  6. Were British railway companies well-managed in the early twentieth century?
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History (2007) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economic History Review (2008)

2009

  1. HOW GOOD WAS THE PROFITABILITY OF BRITISH RAILWAYS, 1870-1912?
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2008) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economic History Review (2011)

2008

  1. European Economic Growth, 1950-2005: An Overview
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (14)
  2. THE CELTIC TIGER IN HISTORICAL AND INTERNATIONAL PERSPECTIVE
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (2008) Downloads

2005

  1. Efficiency among private railway companies in a weakly regulated system: the case of Britain's railways in 1893-1912
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Total factor productivity growth on Britain's railways, 1852-1912: a reappraisal of the evidence
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Explorations in Economic History (2007)

2004

  1. High quality public services for Scotland
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads View citations (1)
  2. How did the location of industry respond to falling transport costs in Britain before World War 1?
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads
    See also Journal Article in The Journal of Economic History (2006)
  3. Market potential in British regions, 1871-1931
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Regional Studies (2005)
  4. Regional GDP in Britain, 1871-1911: some estimates
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Scottish Journal of Political Economy (2005)
  5. Social savings as a measure of the contribution of a new technology to economic growth
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads View citations (6)
  6. The world economy in the 1990s: a long run perspective
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads
  7. What Explains the Location of Industry in Britain, 1871-1931
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Geography (2005)

2003

  1. Quantifying the contribution of technological change to economic growth in different eras: a review of the evidence
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Steam as a general purpose technology: a growth accounting perspective
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2004)
  3. Welfare Implications of HIV/AIDS
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (9)

2002

  1. Globalization in History: A Geographical Perspective
    CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2001) Downloads View citations (14)
    LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library (2002) Downloads

    See also Chapter (2003)
  2. Precocious British Industrialization: A General Equilibrium Perspective
    UWO Department of Economics Working Papers, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (10)
    Also in Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History (2002) Downloads View citations (7)
  3. The Solow Productivity Paradox in Historical Perspective
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (26)
  4. The human development index, 1870-1999: some revised estimates
    LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library Downloads View citations (15)

2001

  1. TFP Growth in British and German Manufacturing, 1950-96
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads

2000

  1. Competition and innovation in 1950’s Britain
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Business History (2001)
  2. Development history
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Globalization and Growth in the Twentieth Century
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (38)

1999

  1. Quantitative economic history
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads View citations (2)

1998

  1. East Asian Growth Before and After the Crisis
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in IMF Staff Papers (1999)
  2. Housing Taxation and Capital Accumulation
    UWO Department of Economics Working Papers, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Productivity Growth during the First Industrial Revolution: Inferences from the Pattern of British External Trade
    UWO Department of Economics Working Papers, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History (1998) Downloads View citations (3)

1997

  1. Some Dimensions of the Quality of Life during the British Industrial Revolution
    CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History (1997) Downloads View citations (12)

    See also Journal Article in Economic History Review (1997)

1996

  1. British Economic Policy and Industrial Performance in the Early Post-War Period
    CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (9)
    Also in Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History (1996) Downloads View citations (11)
  2. Endogenous Growth: Lessons for and from Economic History
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (7)
  3. The human development index: some historical comparisons
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads

1995

  1. British Economic Growth Since 1945: Relative Economic Decline.... and Renaissance?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Europe's Golden Age: An Econometric Investigation of Changing Trend Rates of Growth
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Post-war Growth: An Overview
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (12)
  4. The 'quality of life': lessons for and from the British Industrial Revolution
    Economic History Working Papers, London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Economic History Downloads
  5. The Golden Age of Economic Growth: Why Did Northern Ireland Miss Out?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (3)

1994

  1. COTTON TEXTILES AND INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT GROWTH DURING THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1994) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Economic History Review (1995)
  2. THE GOLDEN AGE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN WESTERN EUROPE, 1950-73
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1994) Downloads View citations (1)
  3. TREND GROWTH IN BRITISH INDUSTRIAL OUTPUT, 1700-1913: A REAPPRAISAL
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1994) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Explorations in Economic History (1996)

1993

  1. ADJUSTING FROM WAR TO PEACE IN 1940s BRITAIN
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1993) Downloads
  2. BRITISH ECONOMIC GROWTH 1760-1913: A CHALLENGE FOR NEW GROWTH THEORY
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1993) Downloads
    Working Papers, Department of Economics, University of Lancaster

1992

  1. Was the Thatcher Experiment Worth it? British Economic Growth in a European Context
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (1)

1991

  1. TRENDS IN REAL WAGES IN BRITAIN 1750-1913
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1990) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article in Explorations in Economic History (1994)

1990

  1. BRITAIN'S PRODUCTIVITY GAP IN THE 1930S: SOME NEGLECTED FACTORS
    The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics (1990) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in The Journal of Economic History (1992)
  2. BRITISH ECONOMIC FLUCTUATIONS, 1851-1913: A PERSPECTIVE BASED ON GROWTH THEORY
    The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics (1990) Downloads
  3. The Implications of British Macroeconomic Policy in the 1930s for Long Run Growth Performance
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (3)

1988

  1. British Economic Growth Before and After 1979: A Review of the Evidence
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
  2. Duration of Marriage, Fertility and Female Employment Opportunities in England and Wales in 1911
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (1)
  3. ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NINETEETH CENTURY BRITAIN: COMPARISONS WITH EUROPE IN THE CONTEXT OF GERSCHENKRON'S HYPOTHESES
    The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics (1988) Downloads

1986

  1. Long-Term Unemployment, Excess Demand and the Wage Equation in Britain, 1925-39
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (1)

1985

  1. Comparative Advantage in UK Manufacturing Trade, 1910-1935
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (1986)
  2. Long-Term Unemployment in Britain in the 1930s
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economic History Review (1987)

1977

  1. Income Elasticities of Demand and the Release of Labour by Agriculture during the British Industrial Revolution
    The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics (1977) Downloads
  2. VICTORIAN BRITAIN DID FAIL
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1977) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economic History Review (1979)

1976

  1. AN UNDERGRADUATE'S GUIDE TO THE MACROECONOMICS OF EIGHTEENTH CENTURY BRITISH ECONOMIC GROWTH
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1976) Downloads
  2. AVERAGE AGE AT FIRST MARRIAGE FOR WOMEN IN MID NINETEENTH CENTURY ENGLAND AND WALES: A CROSS-SECTION STUDY
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1976) Downloads
  3. ENCLOSURE AND LABOUR SUPPLY REVISITED
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Explorations in Economic History (1978)
  4. Enclosure and Labour Revisited
    The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics Downloads

1975

  1. A SIMULATION OF THE IMPACT OF CHANGES IN AGE AT MARRIAGE BEFORE AND DURING THE ADVENT OF IDUSTRIALISATION IN ENGLAND
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1975) Downloads
  2. ENGLISH ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE EIGHTEENTH CENTURY A RE-EXAMINATION OF DEANE AND COLE'S ESTIMATES
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1975) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economic History Review (1976)
  3. INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION IN ENGLAND AND FRANCE: SOME THOUGHTS ON THE QUESTION, 'WHY WAS ENGLAND FIRST?'
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1975) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economic History Review (1977)

1974

  1. DETERMINANTS OF THE RATE OF PARLIAMENTARY ENCLOSURE
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1974) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Explorations in Economic History (1977)
  2. FAMILY LIMITATION AND THE ENGLISH DEMOGRAPHIC REVOLUTION: A SIMULATION APPROACH
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
    Also in The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics (1974) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in The Journal of Economic History (1976)
  3. THE ROLE OF SIMULATION TECHNIQUES IN THE THEORY AND OBSERVATION OF FAMILY FOUNDATION
    Economic Research Papers, University of Warwick - Department of Economics Downloads
  4. The Role of Simulation Techniques in the Theory and Observation of Family Formation
    The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS), University of Warwick, Department of Economics Downloads

Journal Articles

2020

  1. Agglomeration externalities and productivity growth: US cities, 1880–1930
    Economic History Review, 2020, 73, (1), 209-232 Downloads

2019

  1. The Fall in Potential Output due to the Financial Crisis: A Much Bigger Estimate for the UK
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2019, 61, (4), 625-635 Downloads
  2. The Sources of Growth in a Technologically Progressive Economy: The United States, 1899–1941
    Economic Journal, 2019, 129, (622), 2267-2294 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2017)

2018

  1. Industrial Policy in the Context of Brexit
    Fiscal Studies, 2018, 39, (4), 685-706 Downloads
  2. The productivity slowdown: is it the ‘new normal’?
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2018, 34, (3), 443-460 Downloads View citations (5)

2017

  1. Is Slow Economic Growth the ‘New Normal’ for Europe?
    Atlantic Economic Journal, 2017, 45, (3), 283-297 Downloads
  2. Predicting Medium-Term TFP Growth in the United States: Econometrics vs ‘Techno-Optimism’
    National Institute Economic Review, 2017, 242, (1), R60-R67 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Six centuries of British economic growth: a time-series perspective
    European Review of Economic History, 2017, 21, (2), 141-158 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2016)

2016

  1. Reducing High Public Debt Ratios: Lessons from UK Experience
    Fiscal Studies, 2016, 37, 201-223 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (2014)
  2. The Rise and Fall of American Growth: Exploring the Numbers
    American Economic Review, 2016, 106, (5), 57-60 Downloads View citations (7)

2015

  1. Economic growth: onwards and upwards?
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2015, 31, (2), 217-241 Downloads
  2. Editor's choice Self-defeating austerity? Evidence from 1930s' Britain
    European Review of Economic History, 2015, 19, (2), 109-127 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Geography and intra-national home bias: U.S. domestic trade in 1949 and 2007
    Journal of Economic Geography, 2015, 15, (3), 477-497 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  4. UK Economic Growth since 2010: Is it as Bad as it Seems?
    National Institute Economic Review, 2015, 231, (1), R17-R29 Downloads View citations (1)

2014

  1. Ireland’s Medium-Term Growth Prospects: a Phoenix Rising?
    The Economic and Social Review, 2014, 45, (1), 87-112 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Richard S. Grossman, Wrong: nine economic policy disasters and what we can learn from them ( Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2013. Pp. xvi + 265. ISBN 9780199322190 Hbk. £18.99)
    Economic History Review, 2014, 67, (3), 888-889 Downloads
  3. The Location of the UK Cotton Textiles Industry in 1838: A Quantitative Analysis
    The Journal of Economic History, 2014, 74, (4), 1103-1139 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  4. What Does the 1930s' Experience Tell Us about the Future of the Eurozone?
    Journal of Common Market Studies, 2014, 52, (4), 713-727 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2013)

2013

  1. Book Review Feature: Trade and Poverty: When the Third World Fell Behind By Williamson ( Jeffrey G. ) ( Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. 2011, pp. 320, $35. ISBN: 978‐0‐262‐01515‐8)
    Economic Journal, 2013, F193-F197 Downloads
  2. Long-Term Growth in Europe: What Difference does the Crisis Make?
    National Institute Economic Review, 2013, 224, (1), R14-R28 Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Rearmament to the Rescue? New Estimates of the Impact of “Keynesian†Policies in 1930s' Britain
    The Journal of Economic History, 2013, 73, (4), 1077-1104 Downloads View citations (16)
  4. Returning to Growth: Policy Lessons from History
    Fiscal Studies, 2013, 34, (2), 255-282 Downloads View citations (5)

2012

  1. British relative economic decline revisited: The role of competition
    Explorations in Economic History, 2012, 49, (1), 17-29 Downloads View citations (15)
  2. Economic History Matters
    Economic History of Developing Regions, 2012, 27, (S1), S3-S15 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  3. Making sense of the manufacturing belt: determinants of U.S. industrial location, 1880--1920
    Journal of Economic Geography, 2012, 12, (4), 775-807 Downloads View citations (29)
    See also Working Paper (2010)

2011

  1. Corrigendum: Were British railway companies well managed in the early twentieth century?
    Economic History Review, 2011, 64, (1), 351-356 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Explaining the first Industrial Revolution: two views
    European Review of Economic History, 2011, 15, (1), 153-168 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  3. How good was the profitability of British railways, 1870–1912?
    Economic History Review, 2011, 64, (3), 798-831 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2010

  1. Cliometrics and technological change: a survey
    The European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 2010, 17, (5), 1127-1147 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Lessons from the 1930s Great Depression
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2010, 26, (3), 285-317 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  3. The contribution of new technology to economic growth: lessons from economic history*
    Revista de Historia Económica / Journal of Iberian and Latin American Economic History, 2010, 28, (3), 409-440 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2010)

2009

  1. From Malthus to Solow: How did the Malthusian economy really evolve?
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2009, 31, (1), 68-93 Downloads View citations (71)
  2. Quantitative economic history: the good of counting – Edited by Joshua L. Rosenbloom
    Economic History Review, 2009, 62, (1), 243-244 Downloads
  3. Solow and Growth Accounting: A Perspective from Quantitative Economic History
    History of Political Economy, 2009, 41, (5), 200-220 Downloads View citations (6)
  4. Transport infrastructure investment: implications for growth and productivity
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2009, 25, (3), 327-343 Downloads View citations (14)

2008

  1. Were British railway companies well managed in the early twentieth century?1
    Economic History Review, 2008, 61, (4), 842-866 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2010)

2007

  1. Total factor productivity growth on Britain's railways, 1852-1912: A reappraisal of the evidence
    Explorations in Economic History, 2007, 44, (4), 608-634 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2006

  1. How Did the Location of Industry Respond to Falling Transport Costs in Britain Before World War I?
    The Journal of Economic History, 2006, 66, (3), 575-607 Downloads View citations (33)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  2. Peter H. Lindert, Growing Public: Social Spending and Economic Growth since the Eighteenth Century. 2 Volumes. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2004
    The Journal of Economic Inequality, 2006, 4, (2), 251-252 Downloads
  3. Regulation and Productivity Performance
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2006, 22, (2), 186-202 View citations (41)

2005

  1. Market potential in British regions, 1871-1931
    Regional Studies, 2005, 39, (9), 1159-1166 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  2. REGIONAL GDP IN BRITAIN, 1871–1911: SOME ESTIMATES
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2005, 52, (1), 54-64 Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  3. TFP Growth in British and German Manufacturing, 1950-1996
    Economic Journal, 2005, 115, (505), 649-670 Downloads View citations (11)
  4. The First Industrial Revolution: Resolving the Slow Growth/Rapid Industrialization Paradox
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2005, 3, (2-3), 525-534 Downloads View citations (7)
  5. The ‘Death of Distance’
    World Economics, 2005, 6, (3), 1-14 Downloads
  6. What explains the location of industry in Britain, 1871–1931?
    Journal of Economic Geography, 2005, 5, (4), 499-518 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (2004)

2004

  1. Fifty Years of Economic Growth in Western Europe
    World Economics, 2004, 5, (2), 131-145 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Globalisation and Economic Growth: A Historical Perspective
    The World Economy, 2004, 27, (1), 45-58 Downloads View citations (12)
  3. Long-term growth prospects in transition economies: a reappraisal
    Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 2004, 15, (1), 101-118 Downloads View citations (15)
  4. Productivity Growth in the Industrial Revolution: A New Growth Accounting Perspective
    The Journal of Economic History, 2004, 64, (2), 521-535 Downloads View citations (29)
    Also in Proceedings, 2002, (nov) (2002) Downloads View citations (4)
  5. Sectoral output trends and cycles in Victorian Britain
    Economic Modelling, 2004, 21, (2), 217-232 Downloads
  6. Steam as a general purpose technology: A growth accounting perspective
    Economic Journal, 2004, 114, (495), 338-351 Downloads View citations (103)
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  7. Was 19th century British growth steam-powered?: the climacteric revisited
    Explorations in Economic History, 2004, 41, (2), 156-171 Downloads View citations (10)

2003

  1. Is Economic Growth Good For Us?
    World Economics, 2003, 4, (3), 35-49 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. UK productivity performance from 1950 to 1979: a restatement of the Broadberry-Crafts view
    Economic History Review, 2003, 56, (4), 718-735 Downloads View citations (4)

2002

  1. The Human Development Index, 1870–1999: Some revised estimates
    European Review of Economic History, 2002, 6, (3), 395-405 Downloads View citations (12)
  2. UK Real National Income, 1950-1998: Some Grounds for Optimism
    National Institute Economic Review, 2002, 181, (1), 87-95 Downloads View citations (4)

2001

  1. A perspective on UK productivity performance
    Fiscal Studies, 2001, 22, (3), 271-306 Downloads View citations (13)
  2. Competition and Innovation in 1950s Britain
    Business History, 2001, 43, (1), 97-118 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2000

  1. After the Golden Age: A Long-Run Perspective on Growth Rates That Speeded Up, Slowed Down and Still Differ
    Manchester School, 2000, 68, (1), 68-91 Downloads View citations (14)
  2. Simulating the Two Views of the British Industrial Revolution
    The Journal of Economic History, 2000, 60, (3), 819-841 Downloads View citations (35)

1999

  1. East Asian Growth Before and After the Crisis
    IMF Staff Papers, 1999, 46, (2), 2 Downloads View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper (1998)
  2. Economic Growth in the Twentieth Century
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1999, 15, (4), 18-34 View citations (8)
  3. Implications of Financial Crisis for East Asian Trend Growth
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1999, 15, (3), 110-31 View citations (8)

1998

  1. Book Reviews
    Education Economics, 1998, 6, (2), 190-191 Downloads
  2. Forging Ahead and Falling Behind: The Rise and Relative Decline of the First Industrial Nation
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1998, 12, (2), 193-210 Downloads View citations (16)
  3. In Pursuit of the Quality of Life. Edited by Avner Offer. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1996. Pp viii, 302. £35.00
    The Journal of Economic History, 1998, 58, (3), 924-925 Downloads
  4. The Post-War Settlement: Not Such a Good Bargain After All
    Business History, 1998, 40, (2), 73-79 Downloads

1997

  1. Economic Growth in East Asia and Western Europe Since 195 0: Implications for Living Standards
    National Institute Economic Review, 1997, 162, (1), 75-84 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Endogenous Innovation, Trend Growth, and the British Industrial Revolution: Reply to Greasley and Oxley
    The Journal of Economic History, 1997, 57, (4), 950-956 Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Some Dimensions of the ‘Quality of Life’ During the British Industrial Revolution
    Economic History Review, 1997, 50, (4), 617-639 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
  4. The Human Development Index and changes in standards of living: Some historical comparisons
    European Review of Economic History, 1997, 1, (3), 299-322 Downloads View citations (52)

1996

  1. 'Post-neoclassical Endogenous Growth Theory': What Are Its Policy Implications?
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1996, 12, (2), 30-47 View citations (7)
  2. Deindustrialisation and Economic Growth
    Economic Journal, 1996, 106, (434), 172-83 Downloads View citations (6)
  3. The First Industrial Revolution: A Guided Tour for Growth Economists
    American Economic Review, 1996, 86, (2), 197-201 Downloads View citations (20)
  4. Trend Growth in British Industrial Output, 1700-1913: A Reappraisal
    Explorations in Economic History, 1996, 33, (3), 277-295 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (1994)

1995

  1. Cotton textiles and industrial output growth during the industrial revolution
    Economic History Review, 1995, 48, (1), 134-144 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (1994)
  2. Exogenous or Endogenous Growth? The Industrial Revolution Reconsidered
    The Journal of Economic History, 1995, 55, (4), 745-772 Downloads View citations (62)
  3. Machines and Economic Growth: The Implications for Growth Theory of the History of the Industrial Revolution. By Natalie McPherson. Westport: Greenwood Press, 1994. Pp. xi, 264. $59.95
    The Journal of Economic History, 1995, 55, (2), 456-456 Downloads
  4. Macroinventions, economic growth, and‘industrial revolution’in Britain and France
    Economic History Review, 1995, 48, (3), 591-598 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. The golden age of economic growth in Western Europe, 1950-1973
    Economic History Review, 1995, 48, (3), 429-447 Downloads View citations (4)

1994

  1. The industrial revolution as a macroeconomic epoch: an alternative view
    Economic History Review, 1994, 47, (4), 769-775 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Trends in Real Wages in Britain, 1750-1913
    Explorations in Economic History, 1994, 31, (2), 176-194 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (1991)

1992

  1. Britain's Productivity Gap in the 1930s: Some Neglected Factors
    The Journal of Economic History, 1992, 52, (3), 531-558 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (1990)
  2. Economic decline in Britain: The shipbuilding industry,: Edward H. Lorenz, 1890-1970 (Clarendon Press, Oxford, 1991) pp. 166
    International Journal of Industrial Organization, 1992, 10, (3), 511-512 Downloads
  3. Letter to the Editors
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 1992, 155, (3), 457-459 Downloads
  4. Output growth and the British industrial revolution: a restatement of the Crafts-Harley view
    Economic History Review, 1992, 45, (4), 703-730 Downloads View citations (166)

1991

  1. Coping with City Growth during the British Industrial Revolution. By Jeffrey G. Williamson. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1990. Pp. xxi, 344. $54.50
    The Journal of Economic History, 1991, 51, (3), 722-723 Downloads
  2. Reversing Relative Economic Decline? The 1980s in Historical Perspective
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1991, 7, (3), 81-98 View citations (3)

1990

  1. European Productivity in the Twentieth Century: Introduction
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1990, 52, (4), 331-41 View citations (3)
  2. Explaining Anglo-American Productivity Differences in the Mid-Twentieth Century
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1990, 52, (4), 375-402 View citations (6)
  3. Measurement of trend growth in European industrial output before 1914: Methodological issues and new estimates
    Explorations in Economic History, 1990, 27, (4), 442-467 Downloads View citations (3)
  4. The impact of the depression of the 1930s on productive potential in the United Kingdom
    European Economic Review, 1990, 34, (2-3), 599-607 Downloads View citations (3)

1989

  1. The Climacteric in Late Victorian Britain and France: A Reappraisal of the Evidence
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1989, 4, (2), 103-17 Downloads View citations (18)
  2. Trends and Cycles in British Industrial Production, 1700–1913
    Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 1989, 152, (1), 43-60 Downloads View citations (3)

1988

  1. The Assessment: British Economic Growth over the Long Run
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 1988, 4, (1), i-xxi View citations (2)

1987

  1. British economic growth, 1700-1850; some difficulties of interpretation
    Explorations in Economic History, 1987, 24, (3), 245-268 Downloads View citations (13)
  2. Cliometrics, 1971-1986: A Survey
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1987, 2, (3), 171-92 Downloads View citations (8)
  3. Long-term unemployment in Britain in the 1930s
    Economic History Review, 1987, 40, (3), 418-432 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (1985)

1986

  1. Comparative Advantage in UK Manufacturing Trade, 1910-1935
    Economic Journal, 1986, 96, (383), 629-45 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (1985)
  2. Paradoxical Harvest: Energy and Explanation in British History, 1870–1914. By Richard N. Adams. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1982. Pp. xii, 141. $27.50 cloth; $8.95 paper
    The Journal of Economic History, 1986, 46, (3), 844-844 Downloads

1984

  1. Economic Growth in France and Britain, 1830–1910: A Review of the Evidence
    The Journal of Economic History, 1984, 44, (1), 49-67 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Patterns of Development in Nineteenth Century Europe
    Oxford Economic Papers, 1984, 36, (3), 438-58 Downloads View citations (14)

1983

  1. British Economic Growth, 1700-1831: A Review of the Evidence
    Economic History Review, 1983, 36, (2), 177-199 Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Gross national product in Europe 1870-1910: Some new estimates
    Explorations in Economic History, 1983, 20, (4), 387-401 Downloads View citations (8)

1982

  1. Regional price variations in England in 1843: An aspect of the standard-of-living debate
    Explorations in Economic History, 1982, 19, (1), 51-70 Downloads View citations (5)

1980

  1. National income estimates and the British standard of living debate: A reappraisal of 1801-1831
    Explorations in Economic History, 1980, 17, (2), 176-188 Downloads View citations (1)

1979

  1. Victorian Britain Did Fail
    Economic History Review, 1979, 32, (4), 533-537 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (1977)

1978

  1. Enclosure and labor supply revisited
    Explorations in Economic History, 1978, 15, (2), 172-183 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (1976)
  2. Entrepreneurship and a Probabilistic View of the British Industrial Revolution
    Economic History Review, 1978, 31, (4), 613-614 Downloads

1977

  1. Determinants of the rate of parliamentary enclosure
    Explorations in Economic History, 1977, 14, (3), 227-249 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (1974)
  2. Industrial Revolution in England and France: Some Thoughts on the Question, “Why was England First?”
    Economic History Review, 1977, 30, (3), 429-441 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (1975)

1976

  1. English Economic Growth in the Eighteenth Century: A Re-Examination of Deane and Cole's Estimates
    Economic History Review, 1976, 29, (2), 226-235 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper (1975)
  2. Family Limitation and the English Demographic Revolution: A Simulation Approach
    The Journal of Economic History, 1976, 36, (3), 598-623 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (1974)

1973

  1. Trade as a Handmaiden of Growth: An Alternative View
    Economic Journal, 1973, 83, (331), 875-84 Downloads View citations (5)

Books

2018

  1. Forging Ahead, Falling Behind and Fighting Back
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press
    Also in Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press (2018)

Edited books

2016

  1. The Great Depression of the 1930s: Lessons for Today
    OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press

2013

  1. The Great Depression of the 1930s: Lessons for Today
    OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press View citations (10)

2009

  1. Britain in the International Economy, 1870–1939
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press

2007

  1. Quantitative Aspects of Post-War European Economic Growth
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (1)
  2. Work and Pay in 20th Century Britain
    OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press

1997

  1. Quantitative Aspects of Post-War European Economic Growth
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (1)

1996

  1. Economic Growth in Europe since 1945
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press View citations (29)

1992

  1. Britain in the International Economy, 1870–1939
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press

Chapters

2014

  1. Twentieth Century Growth*This research has received funding from the European Research Council under the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) / ERC grant agreement no. 249546.*
    Chapter 06 in Handbook of Economic Growth, 2014, vol. 2, pp 263-346 Downloads

2008

  1. Winning Systems?: Some Further Evidence on Insiders and Outsiders in British Horse Race Betting
    Chapter 53 in Efficiency Of Racetrack Betting Markets, 2008, pp 545-549 Downloads

2003

  1. Globalization in History.A Geographical Perspective
    A chapter in Globalization in Historical Perspective, 2003, pp 323-370 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
 
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