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Details about Thomas Sargent

E-mail:
Homepage:https://files.nyu.edu/ts43/public/
Phone:650 723 0965
Postal address:Thomas Sargent Hoover Institution Stanford, California 94305
Workplace:National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), (more information at EDIRC)
Hoover Institution on War Revolution & Peace, (more information at EDIRC)
Department of Economics, New York University (NYU), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Thomas Sargent.

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Working Papers

2025

  1. Time Averaging Meets Labor Supplies of Heckman, Lochner, and Taber
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2023) Downloads

2024

  1. Dynamic Programming: Finite States
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads
  2. Implementing a Ramsey Plan
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads

2023

  1. Online Appendix to "Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence"
    Online Appendices, Review of Economic Dynamics Downloads
    See also Journal Article Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2023) Downloads (2023)
  2. Returns to labor mobility. Layoff costs and quit turbulence
    Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra Downloads
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2021) Downloads

2022

  1. A p Theory of Taxes and Debt Management
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Economic Networks: Theory and Computation
    Papers, arXiv.org Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Managing Public Portfolios
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)

2021

  1. Costs of Financing US Federal Debt: 1791-1933
    Working Papers, Princeton University. Economics Department. Downloads
  2. Returns to Labor Mobility
    Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics Downloads
  3. Stochastic Earnings Growth and Equilibrium Wealth Distributions
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
  4. The Fundamental Surplus Strikes Again
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
    See also Journal Article The fundamental surplus strikes again, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2021) Downloads View citations (4) (2021)

2020

  1. A Framework for Studying the Monetary and Fiscal History of Latin America, 1960–2017
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Debt and Taxes in Eight U.S. Wars and Two Insurrections
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (27)
    Also in Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (2020) Downloads View citations (18)

    See also Journal Article Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews (2020) Downloads View citations (27) (2020)
  4. Turbulence and unemployment in matching models
    Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in 2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2017) Downloads View citations (5)
    Working Papers, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics (2018) Downloads View citations (9)
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2018) Downloads View citations (9)

2019

  1. Funding the Great War and the beginning of the end for British hegemony
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Macroeconomic Uncertainty Prices when Beliefs are Tenuous
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Macroeconomic uncertainty prices when beliefs are tenuous, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (2021) Downloads View citations (4) (2021)
  3. The Optimal Maturity of Government Debt
    2019 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads View citations (3)

2018

  1. Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary-Fiscal Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (24)
    Also in Working Papers, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics (2018) Downloads View citations (24)

    See also Journal Article Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary‐Fiscal Policy, Econometrica, Econometric Society (2021) Downloads View citations (14) (2021)
  2. Quit Turbulence and Unemployment
    Working Papers, Barcelona School of Economics Downloads View citations (9)
  3. US Federal Debt 1776 -1960: Quantities and Prices
    Working Papers, Princeton University. Economics Department. Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics (2018) Downloads View citations (7)

2017

  1. Optimal Fiscal-Monetary Policy with Redistribution
    2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads View citations (11)
  2. Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address, Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association (2018) Downloads View citations (15) (2018)

2016

  1. A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (8)
    Also in 2009 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2009) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2017) Downloads View citations (8) (2017)
  2. Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets
    2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College (2017) Downloads View citations (34) (2017)
  3. Sets of Models and Prices of Uncertainty
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (4)

2015

  1. A Case for Incomplete Markets
    Economics Series, Institute for Advanced Studies Downloads View citations (13)
    Also in 2014 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2014) View citations (10)

    See also Journal Article A case for incomplete markets, Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier (2018) Downloads View citations (10) (2018)
  2. A History of U.S. Debt Limits
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
  3. The Fundamental Surplus in Matching Models
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (13)

2014

  1. Measuring Price-Level Uncertainty and Instability in the U.S., 1850-2012
    Working Papers, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea Downloads
  2. Optimal Taxation with Incomplete Markets
    2014 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Welfare Cost of Business Cycles in Economies with Individual Consumption Risk
    Working Papers, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2012) Downloads

2013

  1. Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, School of Business Administration, American University of Sharjah Downloads
    Working Papers, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School (2013) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Fiscal discriminations in three wars, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2014) Downloads View citations (22) (2014)
  2. Instability, Misallocation and Productivity
    2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
  3. Taxes, Debts, and Redistributions with Aggregate Shocks
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (19)
  4. Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs
    Working Papers, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea Downloads View citations (9)
    Also in 2012 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2012) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs, Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society (2014) Downloads View citations (14) (2014)

2012

  1. Bayesian Model Averaging, Learning and Model Selection
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (5)

2011

  1. Interview with the 2011 Laureates in Economic Sciences Thomas J. Sargent and Christopher A. Sims
    Nobel Prize in Economics documents, Nobel Prize Committee Downloads
  2. United States Then, Europe Now
    Nobel Prize in Economics documents, Nobel Prize Committee Downloads View citations (7)

2010

  1. Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, and Social Security
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Convergence of Least Squares Learning in Environments With Private Information
    Levine's Working Paper Archive, David K. Levine Downloads
  3. Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII U.S. Government Debt/GDP Dynamics
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (20)
    Also in Working Papers, Brandeis University, Department of Economics and International Business School (2010) Downloads View citations (19)
    2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2010) View citations (12)

    See also Journal Article Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII US Government Debt/GDP Dynamics, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association (2011) Downloads View citations (113) (2011)

2009

  1. A defence of the FOMC
    Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (9)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009) Downloads View citations (10)

    See also Journal Article A DEFENSE OF THE FOMC, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (2012) Downloads View citations (37) (2012)
  2. Managing expectations and fiscal policy
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads View citations (19)

2008

  1. Inflation-Gap Persistence in the U.S
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (31)
    See also Journal Article Inflation-Gap Persistence in the US, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association (2010) Downloads View citations (329) (2010)
  2. Israel 1983: A Bout of Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Israel 1983: A bout of unpleasant monetarist arithmetic?, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2011) Downloads View citations (4) (2011)
  3. Monetary policies and low-frequency manifestations of the quantity theory
    Discussion Papers, Monetary Policy Committee Unit, Bank of England Downloads View citations (15)
  4. Robustness and US Monetary
    2008 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (26)

2007

  1. Do Taxes Explain European Employment? Indivisible Labour, Human Capital, Lotteries and Savings
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (35)
    See also Chapter Do Taxes Explain European Employment? Indivisible Labor, Human Capital, Lotteries, and Savings, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2007) Downloads View citations (27) (2007)
  2. Evolution and Intelligent Design
    Levine's Bibliography, UCLA Department of Economics Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article Evolution and Intelligent Design, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2008) Downloads View citations (69) (2008)
  3. Taxes, Benefits, and Careers: Complete Versus Incomplete Markets
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Taxes, benefits, and careers: Complete versus incomplete markets, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2008) Downloads View citations (10) (2008)

2006

  1. A,B,C's (and D's)'s for Understanding VARS
    Levine's Bibliography, UCLA Department of Economics Downloads View citations (14)
    Also in Levine's Bibliography, UCLA Department of Economics (2005) Downloads View citations (25)
    PIER Working Paper Archive, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania (2005) Downloads View citations (21)
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2005) Downloads View citations (25)
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2005) Downloads View citations (31)

    See also Journal Article ABCs (and Ds) of Understanding VARs, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2007) Downloads View citations (312) (2007)
  2. Economic and VAR Shocks: What Can Go Wrong?
    Levine's Bibliography, UCLA Department of Economics Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Indivisible Labor and Its Supply Elasticity: Do Taxes Explain European Employment?
    2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads View citations (2)
  4. The Conquest of South American Inflation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (15)
    Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2006) Downloads View citations (64)

    See also Journal Article The Conquest of South American Inflation, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (2009) Downloads View citations (105) (2009)

2005

  1. Anticipated Utility and Rational Expectations as Approximations of Bayesian Decision Making
    Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article ANTICIPATED UTILITY AND RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS AS APPROXIMATIONS OF BAYESIAN DECISION MAKING, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (2008) View citations (99) (2008)
  2. Benefits from U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation in the Days of Samuelson
    2005 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads View citations (12)
  3. Jobs and Unemployment in Macroeconomic Theory: A Turbulence Laboratory
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (9)
  4. Politics and Efficiency of Separating Capital and Ordinary Government Budgets
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in 2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2004) View citations (5)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (2005) Downloads View citations (10)
  5. Recursive robust estimation and control without commitment
    Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies, Deutsche Bundesbank Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Recursive robust estimation and control without commitment, Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier (2007) Downloads View citations (98) (2007)
  6. The European Unemployment Experience: Theoretical Robustness
    2005 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
  7. The Market Price of Risk and the Equity Premium
    Working Papers, University of California, Davis, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (3)
  8. The conquest of U.S. inflation: learning and robustness to model uncertainty
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (177)
    See also Journal Article The conquest of US inflation: Learning and robustness to model uncertainty, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2005) Downloads View citations (186) (2005)

2004

  1. European Unemployment and Turbulence Revisited in a Matching Model
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (60)
    See also Journal Article European Unemployment and Turbulence Revisited in a Matching Model, Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press (2004) Downloads View citations (58) (2004)
  2. Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (20)
    Also in FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2004) Downloads View citations (29)

    See also Journal Article Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2006) Downloads View citations (161) (2006)
  3. Sustaining a Time-Consistent Ramsey Plan with Options
    2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics

2003

  1. Bayesian fan charts for UK inflation: Forecasting and sources of uncertainty in an evolving monetary system
    CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article Bayesian fan charts for U.K. inflation: Forecasting and sources of uncertainty in an evolving monetary system, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2005) Downloads View citations (153) (2005)
  2. Drifts and volatilities: monetary policies and outcomes in the post WWII U.S
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads View citations (120)
    Also in Working Papers, Department of Economics, W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University Downloads

    See also Journal Article Drift and Volatilities: Monetary Policies and Outcomes in the Post WWII U.S, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2005) Downloads View citations (988) (2005)
  3. Impacts of priors on convergence and escapes from Nash inflation
    FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article Impacts of Priors on Convergence and Escapes from Nash Inflation, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2005) Downloads View citations (52) (2005)

2002

  1. The European Employment Experience
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (29)

2001

  1. Optimal taxation without state-contingent debt
    Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra Downloads View citations (56)
    See also Journal Article Optimal Taxation without State-Contingent Debt, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (2002) Downloads View citations (374) (2002)

2000

  1. Escaping Nash inflation
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads
    See also Journal Article Escaping Nash Inflation, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (2002) Downloads View citations (130) (2002)

1998

  1. Projected U.S. demographics and social security
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Journal Article Projected U.S. Demographics and Social Security, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (1999) Downloads View citations (108) (1999)

1997

  1. Robust Permanent Income and Pricing
    Levine's Working Paper Archive, David K. Levine Downloads View citations (20)
    Also in GSIA Working Papers, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business Downloads View citations (21)

    See also Chapter Robust Permanent Income and Pricing, World Scientific Book Chapters, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. (2014) Downloads (2014)
    Journal Article Robust Permanent Income and Pricing, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (1999) Downloads View citations (296) (1999)
  2. The European Unemployment Dilemma
    SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics View citations (19)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (1995) View citations (6)
    Working Paper Series, Research Institute of Industrial Economics (1997) Downloads View citations (6)
    EUI-RSCAS Working Papers, European University Institute (EUI), Robert Schuman Centre of Advanced Studies (RSCAS) (1996) Downloads View citations (10)

    See also Journal Article The European Unemployment Dilemma, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1998) Downloads View citations (666) (1998)
  3. The big problem of small change
    Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Downloads View citations (28)
    See also Journal Article The Big Problem of Small Change, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (1999) View citations (28) (1999)
  4. The evolution of small change
    Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Downloads View citations (1)

1995

  1. On the mechanics of forming and estimating dynamic linear economies
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (12)
    Also in Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (1994) Downloads View citations (51)

    See also Chapter Mechanics of forming and estimating dynamic linear economies, Handbook of Computational Economics, Elsevier (1996) Downloads View citations (143) (1996)

1993

  1. A Dynamic Index Model for Large Cross Sections
    CEP Discussion Papers, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE View citations (114)
    Also in Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (1992) Downloads View citations (25)

    See also Chapter A Dynamic Index Model for Large Cross Sections, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1993) Downloads View citations (47) (1993)
  2. Flat rate taxes with adjustment costs and several capital stocks and household types
    Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
    See also Journal Article Flat rate taxes with adjustment costs and several capital stocks and household types, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1993) (1993)

1992

  1. Speed of convergence of recursive least squares learning with ARMA perceptions
    Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra Downloads View citations (4)

1991

  1. On the Preservation of Deterministic Cycles when some Agents Perceive them to be Random Fluctuations (Now published in Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol.17 (1993), pp.705-721.)
    STICERD - Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

1990

  1. Recursive Linear Models of Dynamic Economies
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Journal Article Recursive linear models of dynamic economies, Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (1993) View citations (48) (1993)

1987

  1. Straight Time and Overtime in Equilibrium
    UCLA Economics Working Papers, UCLA Department of Economics Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article Straight time and overtime in equilibrium, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1988) Downloads View citations (56) (1988)

1986

  1. Government debt and taxes
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads

1985

  1. Identification and estimation of a model of hyperinflation with a continuum of \"sunspot\" equilibrium
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (1)

1983

  1. A model of commodity money
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (47)
    See also Journal Article A model of commodity money, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1983) Downloads View citations (48) (1983)
  2. Identification of continuous time rational expectations models from discrete time data
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (3)

1982

  1. Beyond demand and supply curves in macroeconomics
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (35)
    See also Journal Article Beyond Demand and Supply Curves in Macroeconomics, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1982) Downloads View citations (53) (1982)
  2. Formulating and estimating continuous time rational expectations models
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (3)

1981

  1. A note on Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formulas for rational expectations models
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Journal Article A note on Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formulas for rational expectations models, Economics Letters, Elsevier (1981) Downloads View citations (32) (1981)
  2. Aggregation over time and the inverse optimal predictor problem for adaptive expectations in continuous time
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Aggregation over Time and the Inverse Optimal Predictor Problem for Adaptive Expectations in Conginuous Time, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (1983) Downloads View citations (7) (1983)
  3. Exact linear rational expectations models: specification and estimation
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (30)
  4. Instrumental variables procedures for estimating linear rational expectations models
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Instrumental variables procedures for estimating linear rational expectations models, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1982) Downloads View citations (51) (1982)
  5. Stopping moderate inflations: the methods of Poincaré and Thatcher
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (20)
  6. The dimensionality of the aliasing problem in models with rational spectral densities
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article The Dimensionality of the Aliasing Problem in Models with Rational Spectral Densities, Econometrica, Econometric Society (1983) Downloads View citations (42) (1983)
  7. The ends of four big inflations
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (52)
    See also Chapter The Ends of Four Big Inflations, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1982) Downloads View citations (262) (1982)
  8. The real bills doctrine vs. the quantity theory: a reconsideration
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (10)
  9. \"Dollarization,\" seignorage, and the demand for money
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads

1980

  1. Interpreting economic time series
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Interpreting Economic Time Series, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1981) Downloads View citations (61) (1981)
  2. Linear rational expectations models for dynamically interrelated variables
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (23)
  3. Methods for estimating continuous time Rational Expectations models from discrete time data
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (15)
  4. Rational expectations models and the aliasing phenomenon
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (3)

1979

  1. Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Journal Article Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (1980) Downloads View citations (455) (1980)
  2. \\"Tobin's Q\\" and the rate of investment in general equilibrium
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (1)

1978

  1. A note on maximum likelihood estimation of the rational expectations model of the term structure
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article A note on maximum likelihood estimation of the rational expectations model of the term structure, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1979) Downloads View citations (83) (1979)
  2. Estimation of dynamic labor demand schedules under rational expectations
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (272)
    See also Journal Article Estimation of Dynamic Labor Demand Schedules under Rational Expectations, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1978) Downloads View citations (285) (1978)

1977

  1. Business cycle modeling without pretending to have too much a priori economic theory
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (298)
  2. Is Keynesian economics a dead end?
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Rational expectations, econometric exogeneity and consumption
    Staff Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads
    See also Journal Article Rational Expectations, Econometric Exogeneity, and Consumption, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1978) Downloads View citations (61) (1978)

1976

  1. Econometric exogeneity and alternative estimators of portfolio balance schedules for hyperinflations: a note
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Econometric exogeneity and alternative estimators of portfolio balance schedules for hyperinflations: A note, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1976) Downloads View citations (3) (1976)
  2. Observations on improper methods of simulating and teaching Friedman's time series consumption model
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads
    See also Journal Article Observations on Improper Methods of Simulating and Teaching Friedman's Time Series Consumption Model, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (1977) Downloads View citations (1) (1977)
  3. Seasonality and portfolio balance under rational expectations
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Seasonality and portfolio balance under rational expectations, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1978) Downloads View citations (5) (1978)
  4. Testing for neutrality and rationality
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (2)
  5. The demand for money during hyperinflations under rational expectations: II
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads
    See also Journal Article The Demand for Money during Hyperinflation under Rational Expectations: II, International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association (1979) Downloads View citations (27) (1979)

1975

  1. A little bit of evidence on the natural rate hypothesis from the U.S
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article A little bit of evidence on the natural rate hypothesis from the U.S, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1978) Downloads View citations (13) (1978)
  2. Naive business cycle theory
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads
  3. The observational equivalence of natural and unnatural rate theories of macroeconomics
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads
    See also Journal Article The Observational Equivalence of Natural and Unnatural Rate Theories of Macroeconomics, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (1976) Downloads View citations (79) (1976)

1974

  1. Dynamic analysis of a Keynesian model
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads
  2. Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (1976) Downloads View citations (182) (1976)
  3. Unemployment and stabilization policy in a two-sector, two-country aggregative model
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads

1972

  1. Monetary and fiscal policy in a two-sector aggregative model
    Special Studies Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Two-Sector Aggregative Model, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (1973) Downloads View citations (4) (1973)

1971

  1. Interest rates and prices in the long run: a study of the Gibson paradox
    Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Downloads
    See also Journal Article Interest Rates and Prices in the Long Run: A Study of the Gibson Paradox, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (1973) Downloads View citations (41) (1973)

Undated

  1. Evolving Post-World War II U.S. Inflation Dynamics
    Working Papers, Department of Economics, W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University Downloads
    See also Chapter Evolving Post-World War II US Inflation Dynamics, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2002) Downloads View citations (73) (2002)

Journal Articles

2024

  1. Critique and consequence
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2024, 141, (C), 2-13 Downloads
  2. Managing government debt
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2024, 121, (11), e2318365121 Downloads

2023

  1. Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2023, 50, 43-60 Downloads
    See also Software Item Code and data files for "Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence", Computer Codes (2023) Downloads (2023)
    Working Paper Online Appendix to "Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence", Online Appendices (2023) Downloads (2023)

2022

  1. Learning from Lucas
    Journal of Economic Methodology, 2022, 29, (1), 17-29 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Structured ambiguity and model misspecification
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2022, 199, (C) Downloads View citations (7)
  3. Three world wars: Fiscal–monetary consequences
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2022, 119, (18), e2200349119 Downloads View citations (3)

2021

  1. Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary‐Fiscal Policy
    Econometrica, 2021, 89, (6), 2559-2599 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper Inequality, Business Cycles, and Monetary-Fiscal Policy, NBER Working Papers (2018) Downloads View citations (24) (2018)
  2. Macroeconomic uncertainty prices when beliefs are tenuous
    Journal of Econometrics, 2021, 223, (1), 222-250 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Macroeconomic Uncertainty Prices when Beliefs are Tenuous, NBER Working Papers (2019) Downloads View citations (2) (2019)
  3. The fundamental surplus strikes again
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2021, 41, 38-51 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper The Fundamental Surplus Strikes Again, CEPR Discussion Papers (2021) Downloads (2021)
    Software Item Code and data files for "The fundamental surplus strikes again", Computer Codes (2021) Downloads (2021)

2020

  1. Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy
    Annual Review of Economics, 2020, 12, (1), 659-690 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper Shotgun Wedding: Fiscal and Monetary Policy, NBER Working Papers (2020) Downloads View citations (27) (2020)
  2. Twisted probabilities, uncertainty, and prices
    Journal of Econometrics, 2020, 216, (1), 151-174 Downloads View citations (2)

2019

  1. Commodity and Token Monies
    The Economic Journal, 2019, 129, (619), 1457-1476 Downloads View citations (3)

2018

  1. A case for incomplete markets
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2018, 178, (C), 191-221 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper A Case for Incomplete Markets, Economics Series (2015) Downloads View citations (13) (2015)
  2. Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2018, 32, (1), 121-34 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address, NBER Working Papers (2017) Downloads View citations (3) (2017)

2017

  1. A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2017, 25, 320-349 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences, CEPR Discussion Papers (2016) Downloads View citations (8) (2016)
    Software Item Code and data files for "A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences", Computer Codes (2016) Downloads (2016)
  2. Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2017, 132, (2), 617-663 Downloads View citations (34)
    See also Working Paper Fiscal Policy and Debt Management with Incomplete Markets, 2016 Meeting Papers (2016) Downloads View citations (14) (2016)
  3. Public debt in economies with heterogeneous agents
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2017, 91, (C), 39-51 Downloads View citations (24)
  4. The Fundamental Surplus
    American Economic Review, 2017, 107, (9), 2630-65 Downloads View citations (82)

2015

  1. Asset Princes and Wealth Dynamics with Heterogeneous Beliefs - Varlýk Fiyatlarý ve Heterojen Düþünceler ile Servet Dinamikleri
    Journal of Economics Bibliography, 2015, 2, (1), 29-34 Downloads
  2. Four types of ignorance
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2015, 69, (C), 97-113 Downloads View citations (9)
  3. Harrod 1939
    Economic Journal, 2015, (583), 350-377 Downloads
  4. Measuring Price-Level Uncertainty and Instability in the United States, 1850–2012
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2015, 97, (4), 827-838 Downloads View citations (23)
  5. Price-level uncertainty and instability in the United Kingdom
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2015, 52, (C), 1-16 Downloads View citations (11)
  6. Robert E. Lucas Jr.'s Collected Papers on Monetary Theory
    Journal of Economic Literature, 2015, 53, (1), 43-64 Downloads View citations (1)
  7. Welfare Cost of Business Cycles with Idiosyncratic Consumption Risk and a Preference for Robustness
    American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2015, 7, (2), 40-57 Downloads View citations (7)
  8. [Robust Control and Model Uncertainty], Belirsizlik Modeli ve Saðlamlýlýk Kontrolü
    Journal of Economics Bibliography, 2015, 2, (2), 57-65 Downloads

2014

  1. Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, Taxes, and Social Security
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2014, 17, (1), 1-20 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Software Item Code and data files for "Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, Taxes, and Social Security", Computer Codes (2013) Downloads (2013)
  2. Fiscal discriminations in three wars
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2014, 61, (C), 148-166 Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Working Paper Fiscal Discriminations in Three Wars, NBER Working Papers (2013) Downloads View citations (1) (2013)
  3. Rational Expectations and Ambiguity (corrected)
    Financial Analysts Journal, 2014, 70, (2), 14-19 Downloads
  4. The evolution of monetary policy rules
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2014, 49, (C), 147-150 Downloads View citations (4)
  5. Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs
    Economic Journal, 2014, 124, (575), 1-30 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper Wealth Dynamics in a Bond Economy with Heterogeneous Beliefs, Working Papers (2013) Downloads View citations (9) (2013)

2012

  1. A DEFENSE OF THE FOMC
    International Economic Review, 2012, 53, (4), 1047-1065 Downloads View citations (37)
    See also Working Paper A defence of the FOMC, Economics Series Working Papers (2009) Downloads View citations (9) (2009)
  2. Les États-Unis naguère, l'Europe aujourd'hui. Conférence Nobel prononcée à Stockholm le 8 décembre 2011
    Revue de l'OFCE, 2012, N° 126, (7), 5-56 Downloads
  3. Market Prices of Risk with Diverse Beliefs, Learning, and Catastrophes
    American Economic Review, 2012, 102, (3), 141-46 Downloads View citations (4)
  4. Nobel Lecture: United States Then, Europe Now
    Journal of Political Economy, 2012, 120, (1), 1 - 40 Downloads View citations (62)
  5. Small noise methods for risk-sensitive/robust economies
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2012, 36, (4), 468-500 Downloads View citations (22)
  6. Three types of ambiguity
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2012, 59, (5), 422-445 Downloads View citations (37)
    See also Chapter Three Types of Ambiguity, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2014, 379-430 (2014) Downloads (2014)

2011

  1. A Labor Supply Elasticity Accord?
    American Economic Review, 2011, 101, (3), 487-91 Downloads View citations (33)
  2. Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII US Government Debt/GDP Dynamics
    American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2011, 3, (3), 192-214 Downloads View citations (113)
    See also Working Paper Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII U.S. Government Debt/GDP Dynamics, NBER Working Papers (2010) Downloads View citations (20) (2010)
  3. Israel 1983: A bout of unpleasant monetarist arithmetic?
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2011, 14, (3), 419-431 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Software Item Code and data files for "Israel 1983: A Bout of Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic", Computer Codes (2011) Downloads (2011)
    Working Paper Israel 1983: A Bout of Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic, CEPR Discussion Papers (2008) Downloads View citations (1) (2008)
  4. Robustness and ambiguity in continuous time
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2011, 146, (3), 1195-1223 Downloads View citations (25)
  5. Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money: Breakdowns and Revivals
    American Economic Review, 2011, 101, (1), 109-28 Downloads View citations (109)
  6. Where to Draw Lines: Stability Versus Efficiency
    Economica, 2011, 78, (310), 197-214 View citations (18)

2010

  1. ALTERNATIVE MONETARY POLICIES IN A TURNPIKE ECONOMY
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2010, 14, (5), 727-762 Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Fragile beliefs and the price of uncertainty
    Quantitative Economics, 2010, 1, (1), 129-162 Downloads View citations (88)
    See also Chapter Fragile Beliefs and the Price of Uncertainty, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2014, 293-330 (2014) Downloads (2014)
  3. Inflation-Gap Persistence in the US
    American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2010, 2, (1), 43-69 Downloads View citations (329)
    See also Working Paper Inflation-Gap Persistence in the U.S, NBER Working Papers (2008) Downloads View citations (31) (2008)
  4. Robust hidden Markov LQG problems
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2010, 34, (10), 1951-1966 Downloads View citations (5)
  5. THE TIMING OF TAX COLLECTIONS AND THE STRUCTURE OF “IRRELEVANCE” THEOREMS IN A CASH-IN-ADVANCE MODEL
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2010, 14, (4), 585-603 Downloads

2009

  1. Diverse Beliefs, Survival and the Market Price of Risk
    Economic Journal, 2009, 119, (536), 354-376 View citations (16)
    Also in Economic Journal, 2009, 119, (536), 354-376 (2009) Downloads View citations (15)
  2. Doubts or variability?
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2009, 144, (6), 2388-2418 Downloads View citations (118)
    See also Chapter Doubts or Variability?, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2014, 217-256 (2014) Downloads (2014)
  3. The Conquest of South American Inflation
    Journal of Political Economy, 2009, 117, (2), 211-256 Downloads View citations (105)
    See also Working Paper The Conquest of South American Inflation, NBER Working Papers (2006) Downloads View citations (15) (2006)

2008

  1. ANTICIPATED UTILITY AND RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS AS APPROXIMATIONS OF BAYESIAN DECISION MAKING
    International Economic Review, 2008, 49, (1), 185-221 View citations (99)
    See also Working Paper Anticipated Utility and Rational Expectations as Approximations of Bayesian Decision Making, Working Papers (2005) Downloads View citations (5) (2005)
  2. Evolution and Intelligent Design
    American Economic Review, 2008, 98, (1), 5-37 Downloads View citations (69)
    See also Working Paper Evolution and Intelligent Design, Levine's Bibliography (2007) Downloads View citations (15) (2007)
  3. Robustness and U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2008, 40, (8), 1599-1623 View citations (66)
    Also in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2008, 40, (8), 1599-1623 (2008) Downloads View citations (11)
  4. Taxes, benefits, and careers: Complete versus incomplete markets
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2008, 55, (1), 98-125 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper Taxes, Benefits, and Careers: Complete Versus Incomplete Markets, CEPR Discussion Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (2) (2007)
  5. The market price of risk and the equity premium: A legacy of the Great Depression?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2008, 55, (3), 454-476 Downloads View citations (136)
  6. Two Questions about European Unemployment
    Econometrica, 2008, 76, (1), 1-29 Downloads View citations (147)

2007

  1. ABCs (and Ds) of Understanding VARs
    American Economic Review, 2007, 97, (3), 1021-1026 Downloads View citations (312)
    See also Working Paper A,B,C's (and D's)'s for Understanding VARS, Levine's Bibliography (2006) Downloads View citations (14) (2006)
  2. Benefits from U.S. Monetary Policy Experimentation in the Days of Samuelson and Solow and Lucas
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2007, 39, (s1), 67-99 View citations (26)
    Also in Proceedings, 2005 (2005) Downloads View citations (15)
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2007, 39, (s1), 67-99 (2007) Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Commentary on \\"Long-run risks and financial markets\\"
    Review, 2007, 89, (Jul), 301-304 Downloads View citations (3)
  4. Foreword
    American Economic Review, 2007, 97, (2), ix-ix Downloads
  5. Recursive robust estimation and control without commitment
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2007, 136, (1), 1-27 Downloads View citations (98)
    See also Working Paper Recursive robust estimation and control without commitment, Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies (2005) Downloads View citations (7) (2005)
  6. Understanding European unemployment with a representative family model
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (8), 2180-2204 Downloads View citations (25)
  7. Understanding European unemployment with matching and search-island models
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (8), 2139-2179 Downloads View citations (63)

2006

  1. Ambiguity in American monetary and fiscal policy
    Japan and the World Economy, 2006, 18, (3), 324-330 Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Introduction to model uncertainty and robustness
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2006, 128, (1), 1-3 Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Robust control and model misspecification
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2006, 128, (1), 45-90 Downloads View citations (157)
    See also Chapter Robust Control and Model Misspecification, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2014, 155-216 (2014) Downloads (2014)
  4. Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation
    American Economic Review, 2006, 96, (4), 1193-1224 Downloads View citations (161)
    See also Working Paper Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation, NBER Working Papers (2004) Downloads View citations (20) (2004)

2005

  1. Bayesian fan charts for U.K. inflation: Forecasting and sources of uncertainty in an evolving monetary system
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2005, 29, (11), 1893-1925 Downloads View citations (153)
    See also Working Paper Bayesian fan charts for UK inflation: Forecasting and sources of uncertainty in an evolving monetary system, CFS Working Paper Series (2003) Downloads View citations (19) (2003)
  2. Certainty equivalence and model uncertainty
    Proceedings, 2005, 17-38 Downloads View citations (6)
  3. Drift and Volatilities: Monetary Policies and Outcomes in the Post WWII U.S
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (2), 262-302 Downloads View citations (988)
    See also Working Paper Drifts and volatilities: monetary policies and outcomes in the post WWII U.S, FRB Atlanta Working Paper (2003) Downloads View citations (120) (2003)
  4. Impacts of Priors on Convergence and Escapes from Nash Inflation
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (2), 360-391 Downloads View citations (52)
    See also Working Paper Impacts of priors on convergence and escapes from Nash inflation, FRB Atlanta Working Paper (2003) Downloads View citations (19) (2003)
  5. Knowing the Forecasts of Others
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (2), 480-497 Downloads View citations (36)
  6. Price and investment dynamics: theory and plant level data
    Proceedings, 2005 Downloads View citations (5)
  7. Robust estimation and control under commitment
    Journal of Economic Theory, 2005, 124, (2), 258-301 Downloads View citations (78)
  8. The conquest of US inflation: Learning and robustness to model uncertainty
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2005, 8, (2), 528-563 Downloads View citations (186)
    See also Working Paper The conquest of U.S. inflation: learning and robustness to model uncertainty, Working Paper Series (2005) Downloads View citations (177) (2005)

2004

  1. European Unemployment and Turbulence Revisited in a Matching Model
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2004, 2, (2-3), 456-468 Downloads View citations (58)
    See also Working Paper European Unemployment and Turbulence Revisited in a Matching Model, CEPR Discussion Papers (2004) Downloads View citations (60) (2004)

2003

  1. A Quartet of Semigroups for Model Specification, Robustness, Prices of Risk, and Model Detection
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2003, 1, (1), 68-123 Downloads View citations (305)
    See also Chapter A Quartet of Semigroups for Model Specification, Robustness, Prices of Risk, and Model Detection, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2014, 83-143 (2014) Downloads (2014)
  2. Robust control of forward-looking models
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003, 50, (3), 581-604 Downloads View citations (130)

2002

  1. Commentary: the evolution of economic understanding and postwar stabilization policy
    Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, 2002, 79-94 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Escaping Nash Inflation
    The Review of Economic Studies, 2002, 69, (1), 1-40 Downloads View citations (130)
    See also Working Paper Escaping Nash inflation, Working Paper Series (2000) Downloads (2000)
  3. Optimal Taxation without State-Contingent Debt
    Journal of Political Economy, 2002, 110, (6), 1220-1254 Downloads View citations (374)
    See also Working Paper Optimal taxation without state-contingent debt, Economics Working Papers (2001) Downloads View citations (56) (2001)
  4. ROBUST PERMANENT INCOME AND PRICING WITH FILTERING
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2002, 6, (1), 40-84 Downloads View citations (85)
  5. Robustness and Pricing with Uncertain Growth
    The Review of Financial Studies, 2002, 15, (2), 363-404 View citations (101)

2001

  1. Acknowledgement Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory
    Monetary and Economic Studies, 2001, 19, (S1), 213-227 Downloads View citations (47)
  2. Acknowledging Misspecification in Macroeconomic Theory
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 2001, 4, (3), 519-535 Downloads View citations (121)
  3. Comment on Fiscal Consequences for Mexico of Adopting the Dollar
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2001, 33, (2), 617-25 View citations (8)
  4. Robust Control and Model Uncertainty
    American Economic Review, 2001, 91, (2), 60-66 Downloads View citations (622)
    See also Chapter Robust Control and Model Uncertainty, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2014, 145-154 (2014) Downloads (2014)
  5. Saving and pension reform in general equilibrium models
    Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2001, 17, (1), 20-39 View citations (16)

1999

  1. A primer on monetary and fiscal policy
    Journal of Banking & Finance, 1999, 23, (10), 1463-1482 Downloads View citations (18)
  2. Projected U.S. Demographics and Social Security
    Review of Economic Dynamics, 1999, 2, (3), 575-615 Downloads View citations (108)
    See also Working Paper Projected U.S. demographics and social security, Working Paper Series (1998) Downloads View citations (27) (1998)
  3. Robust Permanent Income and Pricing
    The Review of Economic Studies, 1999, 66, (4), 873-907 Downloads View citations (296)
    See also Working Paper Robust Permanent Income and Pricing, Levine's Working Paper Archive (1997) Downloads View citations (20) (1997)
    Chapter Robust Permanent Income and Pricing, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2014, 33-81 (2014) Downloads (2014)
  4. The Big Problem of Small Change
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1999, 31, (2), 137-61 View citations (28)
    See also Working Paper The big problem of small change, Working Paper Series, Macroeconomic Issues (1997) Downloads View citations (28) (1997)

1998

  1. The European Unemployment Dilemma
    Journal of Political Economy, 1998, 106, (3), 514-550 Downloads View citations (666)
    See also Working Paper The European Unemployment Dilemma, SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance (1997) View citations (19) (1997)

1997

  1. Accounting for the federal government's cost of funds
    Economic Perspectives, 1997, 21, (Jul), 18-28 Downloads View citations (14)
  2. Coinage, debasements, and Gresham's laws
    Economic Theory, 1997, 10, (2), 197-226 Downloads View citations (14)
  3. Comment on "Stopping Inflation, Big and Small."
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1997, 29, (4), 776-77
  4. TWO COMPUTATIONS TO FUND SOCIAL SECURITY
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 1997, 1, (1), 7-44 Downloads View citations (104)

1996

  1. A supply-side explanation of European unemployment
    Economic Perspectives, 1996, 20, (Sep), 2-15 Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Expectations and the nonneutrality of Lucas
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1996, 37, (3), 535-548 Downloads View citations (17)

1995

  1. Macroeconomic Features of the French Revolution
    Journal of Political Economy, 1995, 103, (3), 474-518 Downloads View citations (70)
  2. The Swedish unemployment experience
    European Economic Review, 1995, 39, (5), 1043-1070 Downloads View citations (60)
  3. Welfare States and Unemployment
    Economic Theory, 1995, 6, (1), 143-60 View citations (21)

1993

  1. Flat rate taxes with adjustment costs and several capital stocks and household types
    Proceedings, 1993, (Mar)
    See also Working Paper Flat rate taxes with adjustment costs and several capital stocks and household types, Working Papers in Applied Economic Theory (1993) (1993)
  2. On the preservation of deterministic cycles when some agents perceive them to be random fluctuations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1993, 17, (5-6), 705-721 Downloads View citations (15)
  3. Recursive linear models of dynamic economies
    Proceedings, 1993, (Mar) View citations (48)
    See also Working Paper Recursive Linear Models of Dynamic Economies, NBER Working Papers (1990) Downloads View citations (22) (1990)
  4. Seasonality and approximation errors in rational expectations models
    Journal of Econometrics, 1993, 55, (1-2), 21-55 Downloads View citations (68)

1991

  1. Equilibrium with signal extraction from endogenous variables
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1991, 15, (2), 245-273 Downloads View citations (89)

1990

  1. Money as a medium of exchange in an economy with artificially intelligent agents
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1990, 14, (2), 329-373 Downloads View citations (145)
  2. The analytics of German monetary unification
    Economic Review, 1990, (Fall), 33-50 Downloads View citations (2)

1989

  1. Convergence of Least-Squares Learning in Environments with Hidden State Variables and Private Information
    Journal of Political Economy, 1989, 97, (6), 1306-22 Downloads View citations (154)
  2. Convergence of least squares learning mechanisms in self-referential linear stochastic models
    Journal of Economic Theory, 1989, 48, (2), 337-368 Downloads View citations (493)
  3. Interpreting new evidence about China and U.S. silver purchases
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1989, 23, (1), 31-51 Downloads View citations (19)
  4. Two Models of Measurements and the Investment Accelerator
    Journal of Political Economy, 1989, 97, (2), 251-87 Downloads View citations (284)

1988

  1. Models of business cycles: A review essay
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1988, 22, (3), 523-542 Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Straight time and overtime in equilibrium
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1988, 21, (2-3), 281-308 Downloads View citations (56)
    See also Working Paper Straight Time and Overtime in Equilibrium, UCLA Economics Working Papers (1987) Downloads View citations (13) (1987)
  3. The Fate of Systems with "Adaptive" Expectations
    American Economic Review, 1988, 78, (2), 168-72 Downloads View citations (40)

1987

  1. Irrelevance of Open Market Operations in Some Economies with Government Currency Being Dominated in Rate of Return
    American Economic Review, 1987, 77, (1), 78-92 Downloads View citations (46)

1986

  1. Interpreting the Reagan deficits
    Economic Review, 1986, (Fall), 5-12 Downloads View citations (5)

1985

  1. Interest on reserves
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1985, 15, (3), 279-290 Downloads View citations (36)

1984

  1. A reply to Darby
    Quarterly Review, 1984, 8, (Spr) Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Autoregressions, Expectations, and Advice
    American Economic Review, 1984, 74, (2), 408-15 Downloads View citations (42)

1983

  1. A model of commodity money
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1983, 12, (1), 163-187 Downloads View citations (48)
    See also Working Paper A model of commodity money, Staff Report (1983) Downloads View citations (47) (1983)
  2. Aggregation over Time and the Inverse Optimal Predictor Problem for Adaptive Expectations in Conginuous Time
    International Economic Review, 1983, 24, (1), 1-20 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Aggregation over time and the inverse optimal predictor problem for adaptive expectations in continuous time, Staff Report (1981) Downloads View citations (5) (1981)
  3. Speculations about the speculation against the Hong Kong dollar
    Quarterly Review, 1983, 7, (Fall) Downloads View citations (6)
  4. The Dimensionality of the Aliasing Problem in Models with Rational Spectral Densities
    Econometrica, 1983, 51, (2), 377-87 Downloads View citations (42)
    See also Working Paper The dimensionality of the aliasing problem in models with rational spectral densities, Staff Report (1981) Downloads View citations (2) (1981)

1982

  1. Beyond Demand and Supply Curves in Macroeconomics
    American Economic Review, 1982, 72, (2), 382-89 Downloads View citations (53)
    See also Working Paper Beyond demand and supply curves in macroeconomics, Staff Report (1982) Downloads View citations (35) (1982)
  2. Instrumental variables procedures for estimating linear rational expectations models
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1982, 9, (3), 263-296 Downloads View citations (51)
    See also Working Paper Instrumental variables procedures for estimating linear rational expectations models, Staff Report (1981) Downloads View citations (7) (1981)
  3. The Real-Bills Doctrine versus the Quantity Theory: A Reconsideration
    Journal of Political Economy, 1982, 90, (6), 1212-36 Downloads View citations (119)

1981

  1. A note on Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formulas for rational expectations models
    Economics Letters, 1981, 8, (3), 255-260 Downloads View citations (32)
    See also Working Paper A note on Wiener-Kolmogorov prediction formulas for rational expectations models, Staff Report (1981) Downloads View citations (26) (1981)
  2. Interpreting Economic Time Series
    Journal of Political Economy, 1981, 89, (2), 213-48 Downloads View citations (61)
    See also Working Paper Interpreting economic time series, Staff Report (1980) Downloads View citations (5) (1980)
  3. Some unpleasant monetarist arithmetic
    Quarterly Review, 1981, 5, (Fall) Downloads View citations (1183)
    See also Chapter Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic, Palgrave Macmillan Books, 1984, 15-41 (1984) View citations (21) (1984)

1980

  1. "Tobin's q" and the rate of investment in general equilibrium
    Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 1980, 12, (1), 107-154 Downloads View citations (23)
  2. Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 1980, 2, (1), 7-46 Downloads View citations (455)
    See also Working Paper Formulating and estimating dynamic linear rational expectations models, Working Papers (1979) Downloads View citations (22) (1979)
  3. Rational expectations and the reconstruction of macroeconomics
    Quarterly Review, 1980, 4, (Sum) Downloads View citations (9)

1979

  1. A note on maximum likelihood estimation of the rational expectations model of the term structure
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1979, 5, (1), 133-143 Downloads View citations (83)
    See also Working Paper A note on maximum likelihood estimation of the rational expectations model of the term structure, Staff Report (1978) Downloads View citations (16) (1978)
  2. After Keynesian macroeconomics
    Quarterly Review, 1979, 3, (Spr) Downloads View citations (79)
  3. Causality, Exogeneity, and Natural Rate Models: Reply to C. R. Nelson and B. T. McCallum
    Journal of Political Economy, 1979, 87, (2), 403-09 Downloads View citations (8)
  4. Estimating vector autoregressions using methods not based on explicit economic theories
    Quarterly Review, 1979, 3, (Sum) Downloads View citations (29)
  5. The Demand for Money during Hyperinflation under Rational Expectations: II
    International Economic Review, 1979, 20, (3), 741-58 Downloads View citations (27)
    Also in International Economic Review, 1977, 18, (1), 59-82 (1977) Downloads View citations (57)

    See also Working Paper The demand for money during hyperinflations under rational expectations: II, Working Papers (1976) Downloads (1976)

1978

  1. A little bit of evidence on the natural rate hypothesis from the U.S
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1978, 4, (2), 315-319 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper A little bit of evidence on the natural rate hypothesis from the U.S, Working Papers (1975) Downloads View citations (1) (1975)
  2. Estimation of Dynamic Labor Demand Schedules under Rational Expectations
    Journal of Political Economy, 1978, 86, (6), 1009-44 Downloads View citations (285)
    See also Working Paper Estimation of dynamic labor demand schedules under rational expectations, Staff Report (1978) Downloads View citations (272) (1978)
  3. Rational Expectations, Econometric Exogeneity, and Consumption
    Journal of Political Economy, 1978, 86, (4), 673-700 Downloads View citations (61)
    See also Working Paper Rational expectations, econometric exogeneity and consumption, Staff Report (1977) Downloads (1977)
  4. Seasonality and portfolio balance under rational expectations
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1978, 4, (3), 435-458 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Seasonality and portfolio balance under rational expectations, Working Papers (1976) Downloads View citations (1) (1976)

1977

  1. Observations on Improper Methods of Simulating and Teaching Friedman's Time Series Consumption Model
    International Economic Review, 1977, 18, (2), 445-62 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Observations on improper methods of simulating and teaching Friedman's time series consumption model, Working Papers (1976) Downloads (1976)

1976

  1. A Classical Macroeconometric Model for the United States
    Journal of Political Economy, 1976, 84, (2), 207-37 Downloads View citations (150)
  2. Econometric exogeneity and alternative estimators of portfolio balance schedules for hyperinflations: A note
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1976, 2, (4), 511-521 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Econometric exogeneity and alternative estimators of portfolio balance schedules for hyperinflations: a note, Working Papers (1976) Downloads View citations (3) (1976)
  3. Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1976, 2, (2), 169-183 Downloads View citations (182)
    See also Working Paper Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy, Working Papers (1974) Downloads View citations (5) (1974)
  4. Response to Rodney Jacobs
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1976, 2, (4), 529-529 Downloads
  5. The Observational Equivalence of Natural and Unnatural Rate Theories of Macroeconomics
    Journal of Political Economy, 1976, 84, (3), 631-40 Downloads View citations (79)
    See also Working Paper The observational equivalence of natural and unnatural rate theories of macroeconomics, Working Papers (1975) Downloads (1975)

1975

  1. "Rational" Expectations, the Optimal Monetary Instrument, and the Optimal Money Supply Rule
    Journal of Political Economy, 1975, 83, (2), 241-54 Downloads View citations (788)
  2. The response of interest rates to expected inflation in the MPS model
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1975, 1, (1), 111-115 Downloads

1974

  1. The Elasticity of Substitution and Cyclical Behavior of Productivity, Wages, and Labor's Share
    American Economic Review, 1974, 64, (2), 257-63 Downloads View citations (7)

1973

  1. "Rational Expectations": A Correction
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1973, 4, (3), 799-800 Downloads View citations (6)
  2. Interest Rates and Prices in the Long Run: A Study of the Gibson Paradox
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1973, 5, (1), 385-449 Downloads View citations (41)
    See also Working Paper Interest rates and prices in the long run: a study of the Gibson paradox, Working Papers (1971) Downloads (1971)
  3. Monetary and Fiscal Policy in a Two-Sector Aggregative Model
    American Economic Review, 1973, 63, (3), 345-65 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Monetary and fiscal policy in a two-sector aggregative model, Special Studies Papers (1972) View citations (1) (1972)
  4. Rational Expectations and the Dynamics of Hyperinflation
    International Economic Review, 1973, 14, (2), 328-50 Downloads View citations (128)
  5. Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1973, 4, (2), 429-480 Downloads View citations (157)
  6. The Stability of Models of Money and Growth with Perfect Foresight
    Econometrica, 1973, 41, (6), 1043-48 Downloads View citations (101)

1972

  1. Anticipated Inflation and the Nominal Rate of Interest
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1972, 86, (2), 212-225 Downloads View citations (17)
  2. Rational Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1972, 4, (1), 74-97 Downloads View citations (43)

1971

  1. A Note on the 'Accelerationist' Controversy
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1971, 3, (3), 721-25 Downloads View citations (116)
  2. Market Transaction Costs, Asset Demand Functions, and the Relative Potency of Monetary and Fiscal Policy
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1971, 3, (2), 469-505 Downloads
  3. Regression with Non-Gaussian Stable Disturbances: Some Sampling Results
    Econometrica, 1971, 39, (3), 501-10 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Chapter REGRESSION WITH NON-GAUSSIAN STABLE DISTURBANCES: SOME SAMPLING RESULTS, World Scientific Book Chapters, 2010, 7-16 (2010) Downloads (2010)
  4. The Optimum Monetary Instrument Variable in a Linear Economic Model
    Canadian Journal of Economics, 1971, 4, (1), 50-60 Downloads View citations (4)

1970

  1. Money Within the General Framework of the Economic System: Discussion
    American Economic Review, 1970, 60, (2), 57-58
  2. Money-Market Rates, the Discount Rate, and Borrowing from the Federal Reserve
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1970, 2, (1), 56-82 Downloads View citations (1)

1969

  1. Commodity Price Expectations and the Interest Rate
    The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1969, 83, (1), 127-140 Downloads View citations (38)
  2. The Term Structure of Interest Rates in Canada
    Canadian Journal of Economics, 1969, 2, (1), 65-77 Downloads View citations (2)

Books

2024

  1. Economic Networks
    Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press
    Also in Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press (2024)

2014

  1. Uncertainty within Economic Models
    World Scientific Books, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. Downloads View citations (11)

2013

  1. Rational Expectations and Inflation (Third Edition)
    Economics Books, Princeton University Press View citations (12)
  2. Recursive Models of Dynamic Linear Economies
    Economics Books, Princeton University Press View citations (35)

2012

  1. Recursive Macroeconomic Theory, Third Edition, vol 1
    MIT Press Books, The MIT Press View citations (176)

2004

  1. Recursive Macroeconomic Theory, 2nd Edition, vol 1
    MIT Press Books, The MIT Press View citations (522)

1993

  1. Bounded Rationality in Macroeconomics: The Arne Ryde Memorial Lectures
    OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press View citations (319)

Edited books

2015

  1. Macroeconomics at the Service of Public Policy
    OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press

2013

  1. Macroeconomics at the Service of Public Policy
    OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press View citations (12)

Chapters

2014

  1. A Quartet of Semigroups for Model Specification, Robustness, Prices of Risk, and Model Detection
    Chapter 4 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 83-143 Downloads
    See also Journal Article A Quartet of Semigroups for Model Specification, Robustness, Prices of Risk, and Model Detection, MIT Press (2003) Downloads View citations (305) (2003)
  2. Beliefs, Doubts and Learning: Valuing Macroeconomic Risk
    Chapter 10 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 331-377 Downloads
  3. Discounted Linear Exponential Quadratic Gaussian Control
    Chapter 2 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 23-32 Downloads
  4. Doubts or Variability?
    Chapter 7 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 217-256 Downloads
    See also Journal Article Doubts or variability?, Elsevier (2009) Downloads View citations (118) (2009)
  5. Fragile Beliefs and the Price of Uncertainty
    Chapter 9 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 293-330 Downloads
    See also Journal Article Fragile beliefs and the price of uncertainty, Econometric Society (2010) Downloads View citations (88) (2010)
  6. Introduction
    Chapter 1 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 1-21 Downloads
  7. Robust Control and Model Misspecification
    Chapter 6 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 155-216 Downloads
    See also Journal Article Robust control and model misspecification, Elsevier (2006) Downloads View citations (157) (2006)
  8. Robust Control and Model Uncertainty
    Chapter 5 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 145-154 Downloads
    See also Journal Article Robust Control and Model Uncertainty, American Economic Association (2001) Downloads View citations (622) (2001)
  9. Robust Estimation and Control without Commitment
    Chapter 8 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 257-291 Downloads
  10. Robust Permanent Income and Pricing
    Chapter 3 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 33-81 Downloads
    See also Journal Article Robust Permanent Income and Pricing, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (1999) Downloads View citations (296) (1999)
    Working Paper Robust Permanent Income and Pricing, David K. Levine (1997) Downloads View citations (20) (1997)
  11. Three Types of Ambiguity
    Chapter 11 in UNCERTAINTY WITHIN ECONOMIC MODELS, 2014, pp 379-430 Downloads
    See also Journal Article Three types of ambiguity, Elsevier (2012) Downloads View citations (37) (2012)

2013

  1. Drawing lines in US monetary and fiscal history
    Chapter 8 in The Economic Crisis in Retrospect, 2013, pp 161-180 Downloads

2010

  1. How Sweden's Unemployment Became More Like Europe's
    A chapter in Reforming the Welfare State: Recovery and Beyond in Sweden, 2010, pp 189-223 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. REGRESSION WITH NON-GAUSSIAN STABLE DISTURBANCES: SOME SAMPLING RESULTS
    Chapter 1 in Perspectives On Promotion And Database Marketing The Collected Works of Robert C Blattberg, 2010, pp 7-16 Downloads
    See also Journal Article Regression with Non-Gaussian Stable Disturbances: Some Sampling Results, Econometric Society (1971) Downloads View citations (27) (1971)
  3. Wanting Robustness in Macroeconomics
    Chapter 20 in Handbook of Monetary Economics, 2010, vol. 3, pp 1097-1157 Downloads View citations (42)

2008

  1. Time Inconsistency of Robust Control?
    Chapter 7 in Macroeconomics in the Small and the Large, 2008 Downloads View citations (41)

2007

  1. Do Taxes Explain European Employment? Indivisible Labor, Human Capital, Lotteries, and Savings
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2006, Volume 21, 2007, pp 181-246 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper Do Taxes Explain European Employment? Indivisible Labour, Human Capital, Lotteries and Savings, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2007) Downloads View citations (35) (2007)
  2. Introduction to Robustness
    A chapter in Robustness, 2007 Downloads View citations (87)

2002

  1. Evolving Post-World War II US Inflation Dynamics
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16, 2002, pp 331-388 Downloads View citations (73)
    See also Working Paper Evolving Post-World War II U.S. Inflation Dynamics, Department of Economics, W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University Downloads

1997

  1. Taxes and Subsidies in Swedish Unemployment
    A chapter in The Welfare State in Transition: Reforming the Swedish Model, 1997, pp 299-314 Downloads

1996

  1. Mechanics of forming and estimating dynamic linear economies
    Chapter 04 in Handbook of Computational Economics, 1996, vol. 1, pp 171-252 Downloads View citations (143)
    See also Working Paper On the mechanics of forming and estimating dynamic linear economies, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (1995) Downloads View citations (12) (1995)
  2. Neural networks for encoding and adapting in dynamic economies
    Chapter 09 in Handbook of Computational Economics, 1996, vol. 1, pp 441-470 Downloads View citations (11)

1993

  1. A Dynamic Index Model for Large Cross Sections
    A chapter in Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting, 1993, pp 285-310 Downloads View citations (47)
    See also Working Paper A Dynamic Index Model for Large Cross Sections, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE (1993) View citations (114) (1993)

1987

  1. Inflation and the Government Budget Constraint
    Palgrave Macmillan View citations (29)

1984

  1. Some Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic
    Palgrave Macmillan View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article Some unpleasant monetarist arithmetic, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (1981) Downloads View citations (1183) (1981)

1982

  1. The Ends of Four Big Inflations
    A chapter in Inflation: Causes and Effects, 1982, pp 41-98 Downloads View citations (262)
    See also Working Paper The ends of four big inflations, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (1981) Downloads View citations (52) (1981)

1976

  1. Interest Rates and Expected Inflation: A Selective Summary of Recent Research
    A chapter in Explorations in Economic Research, Volume 3, number 3, 1976, pp 303-325 Downloads View citations (6)

1973

  1. What Do Regressions of Interest on Inflation Show?
    A chapter in Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 2, number 3, 1973, pp 289-301 Downloads View citations (4)

1971

  1. Expectations at the Short End of the Yield Curve: An Application of Macaulay's Test
    A chapter in Essays on Interest Rates, Volume 2, 1971, pp 391-412 Downloads View citations (2)

Software Items

2023

  1. Code and data files for "Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence"
    Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics Downloads
    See also Journal Article Cross-Phenomenon Restrictions: Unemployment Effects of Layoff Costs and Quit Turbulence, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2023) Downloads (2023)

2021

  1. Code and data files for "The fundamental surplus strikes again"
    Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics Downloads
    See also Journal Article The fundamental surplus strikes again, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2021) Downloads View citations (4) (2021)

2016

  1. Code and data files for "A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences"
    Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics Downloads
    See also Journal Article A Life-Cycle Model of Trans-Atlantic Employment Experiences, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2017) Downloads View citations (8) (2017)

2013

  1. Code and data files for "Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, Taxes, and Social Security"
    Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics Downloads
    See also Journal Article Career Length: Effects of Curvature of Earnings Profiles, Earnings Shocks, Taxes, and Social Security, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2014) Downloads View citations (6) (2014)

2011

  1. Code and data files for "Israel 1983: A Bout of Unpleasant Monetarist Arithmetic"
    Computer Codes, Review of Economic Dynamics Downloads
    See also Journal Article Israel 1983: A bout of unpleasant monetarist arithmetic?, Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics (2011) Downloads View citations (4) (2011)

2001

  1. Matlab code for the robustness in forward looking models, oligopoly example
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads

2000

  1. Matlab code for policy iteration algorithm
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads

1999

  1. Matlab code for Hopenhayn-Nicolini's optimal unemployment insurance model
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  2. Matlab code for Neal's model of career choice
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  3. Matlab code for the Bewley model with production
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads

1998

  1. Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Linear Stochastic Economy
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads View citations (1)

1995

  1. Matlab code for robust Muth decision filter
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  2. Matlab code for robustifying Muth Filter
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads

Undated

  1. Hansen-Janagathan bounds computation
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  2. Matlab code for Jovanovic's matching model
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  3. Matlab code for Nash feedback equilibrium of a linear quadratic dynamic game
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  4. Matlab code for a Laffer curve equilibrium
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  5. Matlab code for limit of a Nash linear quadratic two-player dynamic game
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  6. Matlab code for robust Ramsey tax policies
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  7. Matlab code for the Kalman filter
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  8. Matlab code for the Riccati solution to linear quadratic model
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  9. Matlab code for the frequency response of a digital filter
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  10. Matlab code for the solution to Riccati matrix difference equations associated with the Kalman filter
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  11. Matlab code for the spectrum of a stochastic process
    QM&RBC Codes, Quantitative Macroeconomics & Real Business Cycles Downloads
  12. Matlab programs by Hansen and T. Sargent
    Matlab codes Downloads
 
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