Economic Modelling

1984 - 2026

Current editor(s): S. Hall and P. Pauly

From Elsevier
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Volume 163, issue C, 2026

Low inflation and price puzzles of quantitative easing in the four-equation new Keynesian model with a cost channel

Roland von Campe

Effects of a marginal tax rate shock: Role of nominal wage rigidity

Yeon Jik Lee

The effects of health and local unemployment on job promotions

Juergen Jung and Vinish Shrestha

Okun’s law and spatial regimes in Indonesia: A machine learning approach

Tifani Husna Siregar, Harry Aginta and Carlos Mendez

Effect of platform ecosystem embedding on corporate digital technology innovation: Evidence from China

Jinlin Zou and Yilan Chen

The impact of female head teachers on family–school cooperation: Evidence from random class assignment

Caiting Dong and Jiada Lin

Are fossil fuel royalties the climate transition’s best friend?

Creina Day and Garth Day

From hi-tech investment to medium-skill employment: How FDI, global value chains, and intellectual property rights shape labor markets

Akseli DeBlieck and Bidisha Lahiri

Capital market internationalization ignites investor sentiment: Evidence from China

Xianchong Ling, Runchi Zhang and Keke Zhang

How digital intelligence transformation creates firm value: A real options perspective

Chengxing Xie, Liang Wu, Zhijie Tong and Yu Chen

Repeated selection of experience goods and behavior-based discriminatory pricing

Sanxi Li, Kai Lin and Jun Yu

Overlapping ownership and quality spillovers in free-to-air broadcasting

Francisco Martínez-Sánchez

Segmentation, tightness, and credit reallocation: Evidence from Korea

Hyunjoon Lim

The impact of flat taxes on income and wealth inequality

Mahmut Zeki Akarsu and Michal Brzezinski

Climate shocks and extreme risk transmission in the carbon-energy nexus

Dingshi Tian, Siyuan Tao and Xuan Zhang

Decomposing the rate of inflation

Alexis Stenfors, Mimoza Shabani, David Gabauer and Jan Toporowski

Information comparability and blockholder structure: The role of trading-based governance

Weijun Xu, Qi Zhao, Yucheng Ji, Mengyuan Zhu and Shiliang Pan

Time-varying global crude oil price networks: Benchmarks and underlying drivers

Adam Clements, Stan Hurn, Jesús Otero and Shuping Shi

Global financial cycle and the Chinese economy: Asset price transmission and stage-dependent monetary and macroprudential policies

Ying Zhang and Min Chen

Impact of market-oriented local government financing vehicles on credit financing: Evidence from China

Xiao-Lin Li, Wentian Qu and Wen Li

Firm performance under military occupation: The case of Ukrainian firms

Hanna Onyshchenko, Andriy Tsapin and Vitaliia Yaremko

Pitfalls of the Sustainable Development Goals? Transformation of regional development goals and strategic behaviors of local government

Xinyu Zhang and Ruiming Liu

Impact of microcredit on multidimensional poverty and vulnerability in India

Rasmita Maharana and Tara Shankar Shaw

How would a monopsony employer hurt labor? A simple dynamic model

Chiu Yu Ko and Charles Ka Yui Leung

Agriculture technical training, green technologies and fertilizer reduction: Evidence from a World Bank project

Junyu Li, Dalei Wu, Xin-er Shi, Kaifeng Wang and Xiaoxuan Gu

The economics of p(doom): Scenarios of existential risk and economic growth in the age of transformative AI

Jakub Growiec and Klaus Prettner

Employee stock ownership and corporate digital technology innovation

Lingling Duan and Xixiong Xu

Green or growth? Unveiling the eco-environmental consequence of cross-border e-commerce pilots in China

Guanfei Meng, Shiqiang Sun, Han Zhang and Jianglong Li

Transport infrastructure and firms’ cross-regional expansion: Evidence from branch networks

Jing Hu, Zhoushun Yu, Yushu Zhang and Lili Tao

Making paper pay: Commercial paper trading facilitation and corporate tax avoidance

Ling Zhao, Manli Li and Hao Huang

Central transfers and spatial allocation effects in China: A quantitative analysis

Wenbin Huang, Yifang Wan and Xiaotong Gan

Effects of market competition and labour flexibility on technical efficiency: Evidence from Indian manufacturing plants

Komal Dutta, Bimal Kishore Sahoo and Sunandan Ghosh

Agricultural carbon taxation, food prices, and financial vulnerability: An empirical framework with endogenous balance sheets

Simon Fløj Thomsen

Sectoral bubble formation and contagion dynamics in China’s stock market

Xinyu Wang, Shaoping Wang and Hao Feng

The effect of relaxing internal migration restrictions on crime rates: Evidence from China

Gefei Wang and Yinhe Liang

Local power, global scores: Effects of decentralization reform on Ukraine’s school graduate outcomes

Olha Zadorozhna and Oleg Badunenko

Impact of pension insurance and health insurance on pension savings: Evidence from China

Shaofu Zhou, Yao Tong and Shaojie Hou

Banking on ownership: Financing premium, credit misallocation, and SOE–POE heterogeneity in China

Jiarui Yao, Haoquan Zhao, Sheng Wang and Peng Lu

Fiscal consolidations in commodity-exporting countries: A small open economy DSGE perspective

Manuel González-Astudillo, Juan Guerra-Salas and Avi Lipton

Hedging currency risk with SHFE gold futures: A tale of two regimes

Xiaojuan Li, Juan Lin and Ming Zhang

Women in politics, green policies, and carbon emissions

Pei-Chien Lin and Fang-Yi Chu

Employment trade-offs in climate policy: Evidence from China carbon market

Xin Zhang and Fanglin Chen

Input pricing and common ownership between asymmetric firms

Aika Monden and Tomomichi Mizuno

Heterogeneous effects of carbon emissions trading on environmental-economic performance: Evidence from high-carbon listed firms in China

Wenya Zhang, Xingtan Wu, Bo Wu and Feng Jiang

Environmental regulation, farmer adaptation, and grain output: Evidence from China's straw burning ban

Jiayin Tan, Changwei Wang and Haiying Gu

Investment expensing without tax credits or interest deductibility: A macroeconomic evaluation

Filippo Occhino

The economic value of variable selection methods: Evidence from volatility forecasting

Zhiyuan Pan, Yue Zhou and Chuwen Huang

Disentangling the impact of disaster risk reduction on human capital formation and its non-uniform policy effects: Implications for the Global South

Muneta Yokomatsu

The macroeconomic impact of European digital investments

Pablo Casas, Tryfonas Christou, Abián García-Rodríguez, Nicholas-Joseph Lazarou, Montserrat López Cobo, Simone Salotti, Serena Signorelli, Juan Torrecillas and Carlos Torrecilla Salinas

When firing is hard: Labor adjustment costs and corporate investment style

Jing Zhao, Ruiyao Xu, Yige Jin, Gaoliang Tian and Bozhi Xu

Asymmetric volatility transmission in cryptocurrency markets: The role of market capitalization and exogenous shocks

Mariana Santos, Carmela Iorio and Bruno Damásio

Transport poverty, inequality and absolute poverty: Testing a transport Kuznets curve in a dynamic panel framework

Angela Stefania Bergantino, Mario Intini and Younes Nademi

Upstream killer acquisitions and market structure

Yiran Cao, Ping Lin and Tianle Zhang

Environment, pollution emissions and the real exchange rate

Yihe Zuo, Shuang Zheng and Xiaohui Liu

Forecast-augmented Hodrick–Prescott filtering: Analytical results and implications

Kristian Jönsson

Workforce aging and regional growth

Kwanho Shin

Political competition and COVID-19 data transparency: Evidence from a natural experiment in Indian states

Keerti Pendyal, Anjali Rajan and Karthikeyan Balakumar

Expected equity costs and corporate cash policy: The role of information transparency

Xin Gao, Wenlian Gao and He Ni

Does financial regulation inhibit corporate shadow banking? Evidence from China's new asset management regulations

Fu-You Zhou, Tingting Xie, Jiali Zhuang and Yingchun Zhang

Does monetary policy transmission weaken at low interest rates? Nonlinear effects of the federal funds rate on GDP and prices

Balázs Vonnák

Environmental public investment and fiscal countercyclicality: Resilience channels and cross-country evidence

João Tovar Jalles

Place-based policies and the growth-pollution trade-off: Evidence from China's development zones

Wenqing Li, Yumeng Wang and Xudong Zhang

Optimal carbon abatement under climate change and uncertainty

Xin Li and Zhuo Jin

Mandatory audit committee transparency and market manipulation

Kunhui Chen, Zhigang Huang and Yangfa Chen

Does greater representation of women in parliament promote trade openness? The role of gender quotas

Nguyen Doan

Impact of emission reduction policies under the tradable performance standards

Xiaobin Cheng, Pengfei Liu and Lei Zhu

Fiscal integration in the euro area as a path out of global monetary policy tightening bias

Juan Cristóbal Campoy and Juan Carlos Negrete

Trade policy uncertainty and health inequality: Evidence from China

Shuai Zeng, Changyuan Luo and Zheng Li

Preventing norm erosion through leading-by-example: Theory and experiment

Yefeng Chen, Lu Lu, Xue Wang, Jun Luo and Yanqing Lin

Crossing the line: When gradual state building reaches a tipping point

Constantin Colonescu

Enhancing green innovation quality through the integration of digital technology into green technology: Evidence from China

Hongjuan Yu, Anna Shi, Yuchen Hao and Shuang Zhao

Indirect tax incentives, input–output linkages, and total factor productivity: Firm-level evidence from China

Juyang Wang