Economic Modelling

1984 - 2026

Current editor(s): S. Hall and P. Pauly

From Elsevier
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Volume 158, issue C, 2026

Big reforms, big returns? Evidence from structural reform shocks

Alessio Terzi and Marco Pasquale Marrazzo

Forecasting economic crises: The Great Recession, the sovereign debt crisis, and COVID-19 in the euro area

Cars Hommes and Sebastian Poledna

How poverty alleviation improved girls’ school completion in rural China? The role of health

Tiantian Dai, Shenyi Jiang, Chao Ma and Yang Ming

How population aging and digital transformation reshape labor income share? Mechanisms of firm-level substitution and urban job expansion

Qing Guo, Xiangquan Zeng and Lulu Yuan

Does the digital economy amplify household income uncertainty? Evidence from China

Chenzhe Zhai, Debao Hu, Junting Dong and Ming Jin

Climate policy uncertainty and macroeconomic dynamics: Financial amplification and state-dependent effects

Roberto Luna Mallea

Can industrial technology convergence facilitate firms' international expansion? Firm-level empirical evidence from China

Mudan Lan and Yuhong Huang

Stable coalition formation through bargaining for the preservation of public goods

Elvio Accinelli, Atefeh Afsar, Filipe Martins, José Martins, Bruno M.P.M. Oliveira, Alberto A. Pinto and Luis Quintas

From conflict to creativity: US-China trade war and Chinese corporate innovation

Jian Du, Xingye Jin, Jing Li and Xinyi Shen

Innovation-economic trade-offs:A perspective of low-carbon policy intensity

Hao Wang and Li-Jing Liu

Digital transformation and enterprise mergers and acquisitions: Mechanism tests and empirical evidence

Mengyu Shi, Qiong Xu, Yu Shi and Jiamin Yan

Accumulating cross-border M&A experience and its impact on enterprise innovation: Evidence from China

Jing Li, Yibing Ding and Yingjie Fu

Effect of environmental protection tax law on firm markup

Yuanfen Tu, Daocun Ye and Siwen Xia

The global financial cycle and maturity mismatches between investment and financing

Xinyu Ge, Chen Zhao and Rongrong Li

Volatility regimes and jumps in crude oil futures: Uncovering how market shocks trigger extreme comovements

Haoyu Shi, Xu Zheng and Yuansheng Wang

The two sides of inflation: How price increases and price cuts shape inflation

Ricardo Quineche and Juan Zapata

A co-jump network approach to systemic risk measurement: Evidence from the U.S. financial market

Shijia Song and Handong Li

Reforming labor income tax progressivity during demographic transition: Welfare effects in Korea

Jinhee Woo

Does public data openness help reduce bank risk? — A quasi-natural experiment from China

Meixu Ren, Jinxuan Zhao and Kaiwen She

Rule-of-law digital government and corporate social responsibility governance in digital firms: Evidence from China

Renfa Yang, Xudong Shi and Zongyuan Weng

Formalizing informal institutions: How does China's credit regulation affects entrepreneurial spirit?1

Jingjing Zuo, Xiaoli Qiao, Lu Han and Chaofan Zhang

Supply chain digitalization and corporate innovation: evidence from China

Huaxin Huang, Jun Wang, Yinchao Liao, Juntai Yu and Jiatai Tian

Geopolitical risks and the dual dynamics of global inflation: Regime dependence and uncertainty

Zo Andriantomanga

Central bank signals, behavioral biases, and information flow

Omid M. Ardakani

Time-varying tails and the tail risk premium

Xiaorui Gu, Shuo Li, Liuhua Peng and Xiaojun Song

A geographically weighted autoregressive model with an adaptive spatial weights matrix: Construction, estimation, and inference

Qiu-Xia Xu, Feng Chen, Zhi Zhang and Chang-Lin Mei

The unequal effects of weekday television on Children's academic and behavioral skills

Ahmad Reshad Osmani

Policy uncertainty and optimal provision of public information

Yifan Zhang, Xinyue Wang, Xinwen Zhang and Dandan Zhu

Volume 157, issue C, 2026

The impact of early pension withdrawals on household finances and inflation

Jaanika Meriküll

Green finance and bird diversity: Evidence from China

Xiaohong Huang, Yizhen Wang and Qianru Huang

Tax evasion and the productivity distribution

Francesco Menoncin, Andrea Modena and Luca Regis

Labour market concentration and posted wages: Evidence on wage-setting power from a large online recruitment platform in China

Xuan Liu and Xiangquan Zeng

How do free trade agreements affect firms’ export values? Insights into the mechanisms of trade costs and export stability

Yunyan Wei and Wen Yue

Digital supply chains and firm market performance: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China

Feng Yun, Jinyu Chen, Shuzhen Liang and Mingxun Liu

Bridging divides with data: Open government data and ESG rating divergence

Ximeng Liu, Fengzheng Wang and Youtao Xiang

Cross-border M&As, international knowledge flows and global value chain upgrading: Evidence from belt & road countries

Qian Lv, Yicheng Tang, Lulan Ge and Daohan Ni

Cross-border data regulation and export quality: Evidence from China

Yu Liu and Huan Yu

Quantifying systemic risk via high-dimensional CoVaR measures

Yufei Cao

Tackling labor market inequalities through minimum and maximum wages

Guilherme Spinato Morlin, Marco Stamegna, David Cano Ortiz, D’Alessandro, Simone and Pietro Guarnieri

Foreign affiliate performance: independence, location and parental control

Nigel Driffield, James H. Love, Stefano Menghinello and Meng Song

How cultural trade policy shapes export Performance? A theoretical and empirical study of China's cultural product exports

Zhangwei Ding, Yangzi Li, Yuanhong Wang and Xuan Huang

Market professional performance under insider information leakage

Yu Ma, Hong Liu and Jing Wang

Quantifying potential gains from efficient resource reallocation: A counterfactual analysis of economic growth in 284 Chinese cities

Sheng Dai, Timo Kuosmanen and Zhiqiang Liao

A Bayesian synthetic control method via horseshoe priors

Xiaohua Ma, Qibing Gao, Jun Wang, Mingquan Wang and Chunhua Zhu

Can the cross-border e-commerce comprehensive pilot area policy improve China's FDI quality?

Yunshi Cao, Yanzhen Wang, Chang Hong and Shengbao Ji

Modeling electricity markets when renewable power increases

Clas Eriksson, Johan Lindén and Christos Papahristodoulou

Systematic risk profiling: Assessing compounding economic risks in developing countries

Askar Mukashov, Sherman Robinson, Channing Arndt, James Thurlow and Tim Thomas

The collateral damage of U.S. sanctions: Evidence from Chinese peer firms during the trade war

Xihao Wu, Di Zhang and Yani Sun

How tax structure shapes FDI attractiveness and economic growth in developing economies?

Quang Khai Nguyen and Dinh Long Tran

How perceived uncertainty shapes corporate resilience: Evidence from China

Chengming Huang, Sultan Sikandar Mirza and Chengwei Zhang

Inflation volatility under rational inattention: A semi-parametric model and the directional volatility ratio

Alfredo Garcia-Hiernaux, Maria T. Gonzalez-Perez and David E. Guerrero

Public data openness and private enterprise growth: The roles of local resource allocation and cross-regional collaborative innovation

Liang Liu, Yuanyue Dang and Zhen Ju

Traditional clans and modern corporate ESG: Evidence from China

Qiucen Ma, Zhiyuan Chen and Congming Ding