Economic Modelling

1984 - 2025

Current editor(s): S. Hall and P. Pauly

From Elsevier
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Volume 153, issue C, 2025

Artificial intelligence as self-learning capital

Hans Gersbach, Evgenij Komarov and Richard von Maydell

Forecasting energy commodity returns: Can weak factors and nonlinearity help?

Yong Ma, Shuaibing Li and Xiaojun Liu

Improving macroeconomic model credibility: Reducing reliance on frictions through observed inflation expectations

Jakub Moučka and Daniel Němec

Job switching and bequest motives in an optimal consumption–investment model under inflation and mortality risks

Qi Li, Yong Hyun Shin and Ji-Hun Yoon

Does digital finance spatial correlation drive income convergence?

Xia Fang, Yun Zhang, Shuqing Lv and Longxin Tan

Financial development and inflation targeting: How market structure shapes monetary policy effectiveness

Aswathi R Nair, Pushpa L Trivedi and Puja Padhi

Climate change, state capacity and uneven growth: A disaggregated analysis of India

Naveen Kumar and Dibyendu Maiti

Geopolitical risk, macroeconomic factors and different assets during the war periods: Implications for herding and portfolio diversification

Nasir Khan, Sami Mejri, Arturo Leccadito and Sang Hoon Kang

How does bank digitalization benefit firm borrowing? Evidence from China

Xinhong Wu and Xinmei Wu

Boosting innovation or entry: What increases output more?

Rohan Shah

Two kinds of centralization: Divergences between China and Europe

Li Wang, Qing Wang, Yufei Zhang and Nobuaki Hori

Inequality and transmission channels of monetary policy in a macro agent-based model

Samantha Coccia and Alberto Russo

Productive demand and sectoral capacity utilization

Mario Rafael Silva and Marshall Urias

Deposit insurance pricing and monetary policy transmission

Steve Billon and Natalia Andries

Optimal policies for decarbonization via carbon capture: Tax, subsidize, or both?

Mahelet G. Fikru, Bruktawit Ahmed and Wassim Daher

Effect of operating leverage on stock price crash risk: Evidence from China

Lin Zhu and Wenjiao Zang

Opening in the enclosing era: Trade decoupling and corporate digital open-source strategy in China

Chao Xing, Donghui Li, Yiyang Liu and Kai Wu

A new method to estimate the income elasticity of marginal utility of income in the absence of price data

Saroja Selvanathan, Maneka Jayasinghe and Eliyathamby A. Selvanathan

Leakages from macroprudential regulations: The case of household-specific tools and corporate credit

Apoorv Bhargava, Lucyna Górnicka and Peichu Xie

The fertility dividend of environmental regulations: Evidence from China's Low-Carbon City policy

Yajie Sun, Chenyu Wu, Qing Zhang and Yuan Zhang

Inclusive agricultural insurance and rural consumption in China: The role of income stabilization and threshold effects

Lili Zheng and Ze Zhang

Reforming China’s public pension system: Fiscal sustainability and the challenge of formality-based inequality

Han Gao and Bei Lu

Productivity spillovers through trade integration in Central America

Arnoldo López-Marmolejo and Jeffrey Serrano

Neo-Fisherism and fiscal solvency: Reinterpreting the determination of inflation, yields, and the debt ratio

Lasse Trienens and Helmut Herwartz

The contagion of uncertainty perceptions in value chains: Firm evidence from China

Tong Niu and Qiuliang Yu

Understanding agricultural subsidies and factor allocation: A general equilibrium analysis

Wenbin Huang and Ashok K. Mishra

Productivity spillover effects of participation in global value chains and FDI inflows

Sung Hyun Son and Young-Han Kim

Non-linear dynamics of inflation aversion in the Euro Area: Evidence from a Panel Smooth Transition model

Komlan Eli Agba

Fertility policy and household labor supply: Evidence from China's Universal Two-Child Policy

Yanfei Dong and Qingyuan Li

Multi-period Euler-equation learning and term structure

Pablo Aguilar and Jesús Vázquez

Liquidity returns, global risk, and exchange rates: An explanation based on scapegoat theory

Cheolbeom Park

Persuasion through information cost design

Shuo Xu

Supply chain risk and capital structure decisions

Quang Minh Nhi Nguyen and Trung K. Do

Institutions Matter: Economic freedom and income mobility

Justin T. Callais, Vincent J. Geloso, Alicia M. Plemmons and Gary A. Wagner

Does public long-term care insurance affect spousal labor supply? Evidence from China

Xiao Han, Zining Liu and Wei Zheng

Patent policy at a tipping point: Why stronger patent protection may not foster economic growth

Pedro R.D. Bom and Martin Stojanovikj

Does trade openness affect educational attainment? Insights from 25 years of research

Wenshou Yan, Qiaoyin Song, Lin Hu and Wenmei Xue

Volume 152, issue C, 2025

Bank capital and monetary policy transmission: Analyzing the central bank’s dilemma

Rajeswari Sengupta, Harsh Vardhan and Akhilesh Verma

Do educated leaders perform better? Evidence on parliamentary effort and constituency outcomes in India

Shubhangi Jaiswal

Foreign market uncertainty and corporate investment: Evidence from China

Ye He, Jilong Chen, Shuxin Fan and Xiao Zhang

Optimal investment and financing with government subsidies under time to build

Xin Xia, Shaoyong Hu and Liu Gan

Systematic index option-writing strategies with Black-Scholes-Merton and Variance-Gamma Models

Maciej Wysocki and Robert Ślepaczuk

Optimal contract design and securities implementation with dynamic investment and learning

Yuqian Zhang

Scoring markets: Theory and application in sports economics

Antonio Avila-Cano, Francisco Triguero-Ruiz and José Manuel Ordóñez-de-Haro

Quality distortions in monopolistic competition

Sergei Kichko, Alina Ozhegova and Alexander Tarasov

Does the supply network shape the firm size distribution? The Japanese case

Corrado Di Guilmi and Yoshi Fujiwara

FDI spillovers, innovation and the role of industrial clusters: Evidence from innovative Indian manufacturing firms

Pompi Chetia, Smruti Ranjan Behera, Tapas Mishra and Mamta Parhi

Time-varying transmission of external shocks in Peru: Reassessing the role of monetary policy

Gabriel Rodríguez, Paul Castillo B., Brenda Guevara Ruiz and Leonela Yamuca Salvatierra

Does economic policy uncertainty impact global value chain participation of Indian firms? The role of financial constraints

Ketan Reddy, Subash Sasidharan and Shandre Mugan Thangavelu

Quantifying the welfare costs of market power: Insights from China's agricultural market

Dan Yang, Tianyuan Mu, Yameng Fan, Jianyu Yu and Zimin Liu

Market reaction to private Country-by-Country Reporting

Bathusi Gabanatlhong

Network centrality, diversification, and portfolio returns: Economic insights from blockchain industry

Hairong Lan, Liukai Wang, Mengting Li, Yu Xiong and Yuqing Li

The art and science of monetary and fiscal policies in an emerging economy

Juan Medina, Emiliano Toni and Rodrigo Valdés

A copula-based semiparametric by-production stochastic frontier model

Ioannis Skevas and Thomas Kneib

How a 50 percent decline in the cost of innovative capital reshapes labor share and prices

Roni Frish

Does textual risk information from individual banks exacerbate systemic risk? Evidence from the Chinese banking system

Zhinan Li, Yaqi Ren, Peilong Shen and Can Zhang

ESG practices and financing constraints of Chinese high-carbon enterprises under carbon reduction pressure: The role of credit financing and corporate reputation

Lin Shen, Wen Zhang and Dan Ma

Urbanization and land finance dependence: Insights from China

Shi Chen, Chao Tian, Siyuan Dong, Tianheng Shu, Yixiong Huang and Meiying Huang

The impact of caregiver mental health on child development in rural China: The role of parenting practices and educational investments

Ai Yue, Xinyue Zhang, Yuan Gao, Qiannan Song, Hao Gong, Yuqing Peng and Yaojiang Shi

How do labor supply dynamics influence patent protection policies?

Rudra Narayan Kushwaha and Taniya Ghosh

Factors influencing the manufacturing industry's pollution emissions: Evidence from China

Zhe Li and Lin Zhu

Analyzing price efficiency using machine learning generated price indices: The case of the Chilean used car market

Fernando Lefort and Fernando Díaz

Tourism in Africa and economic vulnerabilities to exogenous shocks

Arndt Feuerbacher and Dorothee Flaig

The power of title: Unintended consequences of a place-based innovation policy in China

Maobin Xu, Yi Liu and Kai Wu

Searching for robots

Nikolaos Charalampidis and Justine Guillochon

Export expansion and children’s school-work decision: Evidence from Vietnam

Anh Phuoc Thien Nguyen

Fertility and career choices in an overlapping generations model with sandwich caregivers

Quang-Thanh Tran

Decision-making in credit access and household welfare: A gender perspective

Hongyun Zheng and Wanglin Ma

Beyond awareness: How investor-initiated communications reduce corporate carbon emissions

Zijun Luo, Mingyang Li, Xueqin Hu and Hao Xu

Investor sentiment spillover from air pollution: Cross-industry influences on stock markets

Xubiao He, Zhengwen Dong, Min Teng and Tingting Yang

Export booms and child health: Pathways of income, nutrition, and maternal care in sub-Saharan Africa

Pallavi Panda

The role of government credit in enhancing agricultural productivity: Evidence from Chile

Ricardo Andrés Troncoso Sepúlveda and José María Gil Roig

Regime-dependent volatility spillover asymmetry in Shanghai and Hong Kong stock markets with forecasting and portfolio inferences

Wensheng Lin and Xuewu Wang

Liquidity premium and the shape of transaction costs

Sergey Isaenko

Does climate risk impact household consumption? Evidence from China

Jialong Li and Jiao Li

Government procurement and corporate investment: Evidence from China's A-share listed companies

Jia Xia and Wei Wei

Climate policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, oil volatility, and global food price volatility: A time-varying analysis

Mohamed Abdelaziz Eissa, Hisham Al Refai and Georgios Chortareas

Does monetary policy influence euro area fiscal sustainability?

Antonio Afonso and Francisco Gomes-Pereira

Monopsony in labor markets: Not important in the aggregate

Sami Alpanda

Leverage–led growth in the circuit of capital model with a banking sector

Hyun Woong Park

Do country sustainability practices matter to happiness?

Pei-Fen Chen and Mei-Ping Chen

Betting against the odds? The effect of mental health on problem gambling behavior

Dusanee Kesavayuth, Prompong Shangkhum and Vasileios Zikos

Calorie consumption and wages: Evidence from India’s labor market

Kaushalendra Kumar, Ashish Singh, Santosh Kumar Gautam and Abhishek Singh

Financial distress warning and risk path analysis for Chinese listed companies: An interpretable machine learning approach

Shangkun Deng, Yongqi Li, Yingke Zhu, Bingsen Wang, Hong Ning, Siyu Yi and Tatsuro Shimada

How does government data openness affect cross-regional capital flow? Evidence from Chinese-listed firms’ off-site investment

Yongguang Long, Xiaoru Zhang and Long Wang

Financial connectedness in the digital age: The impact of regional FinTech development

Weijia Wang and He Ni

Does digital inclusive finance promote innovation? Evidence from China

Xinran Liu and Deng-Kui Si

From pilot to peers: How intelligent manufacturing policy drives corporate intelligent transformation through demonstration effects

Ying Liu, Wenming Chao, William Mbanyele, Bingcheng Zhu and Hongyun Huang

Do foreign direct investment and trade affect the relationship between temperature and civil conflict?

Chengchun Li, Sailesh Tanna, Glauco De Vita, Keyi Yang, Yun Luo and Yan Chen

The effect of uncertainty on output: Instruments, identification, and the role of investment

Michael Ryan and Mark Holmes

Transfers or subsidies? Comparing mitigation strategies for energy price shocks in a production network model

Natascha Hinterlang, Marius Jäger, Nikolai Stähler and Johannes Strobel

Divergent effects of aggregate and local uncertainty shocks: Evidence from US metropolitan areas

Aaron Popp and Fang Zhang

Does digital platform governance improve process innovation? Evidence from Apple's tracking policies

Wei Wu and Wei Han

Does “Made in China (2025)” improve innovation quality in robotics? Evidence from PageRank-based patent network

Yihan Han, Silu Pang, Fuxin Jiang and Tao Wang

Digital government and air pollution inequality: Evidence from Chinese cities

Mengling Zhou and Xinyi Du

Gender gap in working span, employment, and labor productivity

Qing Peng, Haisheng Yang and Jie Li

Functional diversification and GVC exposure: Evidence and implications

Andrea Coveri, Raffaele Giammetti and Antonello Zanfei

Population aging and intensified economic downside risk: Evidence from China

Xianling Ren, Jinbao Qiao and Jianyue Ji

Detecting skimping in bank production process with non-performing loans: A distance minimization approach

Hirofumi Fukuyama, Roman Matousek and Nickolaos G. Tzeremes

Digital regulation and firm productivity: Evidence from a quasi-natural experiment in China

Kai Wang and Yixuan Wei

How does aging population affect China's monetary policy effectiveness: Empirical evidence and theoretical analysis

Xiaoliang Chen, Junjie Guo and Junming Zhang