Economic Modelling

1984 - 2026

Current editor(s): S. Hall and P. Pauly

From Elsevier
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Volume 161, issue C, 2026

Voluntary capital buffers and risk-taking in dual banking systems

Moh'd Al-Azzam, Muhammed Shahid Ebrahim, Houcem Smaoui and Akram Temimi

Impacts of energy transition on economic dynamics and environmental benefits under distributive justice: A stock–flow consistent approach

Jingyuan Wang, Shuli Yan and Liangpeng Wu

Age- and parity-specific birth trends in Australia: Is low fertility inevitable?

Sarah Sinclair, Alicia Bubb, Jonathan Boymal and Ashton de Silva

Fintech startups and bank cost efficiency in Taiwan: Disruption or complementarity?

Tsui-Yueh Cho and Yi-Shuan Chen

Chain-master firms’ digitalization and supply chain resilience: Evidence from China

Yiru Wang, Yang Liu, Yanxiang Xie and Zulimire Yasheng

Penalizing Brown industries or stimulating green innovation? A model incorporating endogenous green innovation

Youbo Xu, Honglei Zhang and Ruochi Hu

Scale Economies in European Trade

Laura Bonacorsi

Combating crises and deflation: China's monetary policy from financial liberalization through the pandemic

Richard C.K. Burdekin and Pierre L. Siklos

Why are loan rates sticky: A perspective from bank–firm relationship

Liubing Cheng, Yanyan Chen and Yan Zhang

Foreign advice, policy labels, and diagnostic effort

María Haydée Fonseca-Mairena and Octavio Martínez-Baltodano

Green bond performance under ESG uncertainty: Nonlinear Time–Frequency quantile analysis

Syed Adnan Shah, Ali Nawaz, Yuan Du and Chi Wei Su

Urban spatial restructuring and entrepreneurship: Evidence from polycentricity

Jiayi Xue, Jinshan Liu and Wenbin Zuo

From silos to markets: How data factor marketization drives digital-physical technology integration

Pengfei Zhang, Ruilin Zhang and Zitong Liu

Exclusive dealing, dual foreclosure, and R&D investments

Dang-Long Bui, Yan-Shu Lin, Wen-Jung Liang and Kuang-Cheng Andy Wang

Does your job fit with your talent? Insights for labor market fluidity and aggregate productivity

Kosho Tanaka

Promotion incentives and participatory governance in China: Evidence from TV policy inquiry

Meng Wang and Xiaoqing Zhao

Aggregate risk and social security in the United States

Shantanu Bagchi

Tail-sensitive insurance pricing: An economic extension of the Esscher principle

Limin Wen and Dongyan Li

Risk-shaped cognition: How climate-risk bias influences corporate M&A decisions

Ye Tian and Heng Chen

Beyond conventional sentiment indicators: Cryptocurrency's hidden potential in VIX forecasting

Ming Gu, Juan Lin and Siyi Liu

Volume 160, issue C, 2026

Rising temperatures and international trade dynamics: Evidence from China

Kai Li, Wenjun Yu, Shaozhou Qi, Yaxue Yan and Zhipeng Gui

Renewable energy and bank credit risk: The mediating role of economic growth

John Hlias Plikas and Dimitrios Kenourgios

Measuring corruption from household income and consumption micro-data: An international perspective

Nicolas Sarullo, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Tatyana Deryugina, James Hodson, Ilona Sologoub and Anastassia Fedyk

Does short selling of customers affect analysts' forecasts for suppliers?

Maosong Chang, Bin Jiang, Chen Ma and Qianyu Wang

Using global and local measures to decompose the Malmquist productivity index assuming a variable returns-to-scale technology

Juan Aparicio and Daniel Santín

From borders to boardrooms: Immigrants' impact on productivity

Parisa Ghasemi, Paulino Teixeira and Carlos Carreira

Does corporate digital transformation promote disruptive innovation?Evidence from China

Jiaming Wang, Yumeng Hu, Xiaoyan Wang and Xiangyun Wang

Industrial policy and human capital accumulation of urban children: Evidence from the Third Front Construction in China

Weihua Yu and Zengyang Yu

Effect of open access reform on electricity prices and labor market: Plant-level evidence from India

Apra Sinha, Tarun Mehta, Surender Kumar and Gopal K. Sarangi

Can zoning reform increase housing construction? Evidence from Auckland

Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy

Artificial intelligence policy and supply chain disruption risk: Evidence from innovation-driven and cost-saving effects

Tianyue Pei, Xuesheng Chen and Liya Zheng

Climate risk and intra-firm wage inequality

Yuan Xu and Danyang Cui

Demographic change and entrepreneurship: General equilibrium implications for economic dynamism

Taejun Lim

When green certification pays off: Financial returns from environmental regulation compliance

Yifei Mu and Weining Wang

Financial stability at a cost: Countercyclical capital buffers in South Korea

Jongheuk Kim

Does early-life famine experience affect household carbon emissions? Evidence from China

Kaihao Liu, Xue Lv, Danni Yu and Cheng Zhang

When saving meets investment: How shocks shape the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle

Jan Acedański and Marek A. Dąbrowski

Environmental regulation and corporate innovation: The roles of managerial sentiment, regulatory exposure, and risk

Kairan Zhu and Yukun Shi

Bitcoin volatility modeling with realized measures and jump dynamics

Prakash Raj and N. Selvaraju

Systemic default probability and return predictability: Evidence from China

Tao Zeng, Kaixin Wang, Yanjing Fan and Xiaobin Liu

Improving inference and forecasting in VAR models using cross-sectional information

Jan Prüser and Boris Blagov

Optimal monetary policy with search frictions and consumption inequality

Seungcheol Lee

Digital infrastructure and entrepreneurship: Evidence from China's broadband expansion

Xingyu Gong, Chun Liu, Pan Wang and Ding Liu

State-owned capital participation and credit ratings: Evidence from private listed firms

Yuanyuan Yang, Xiaoxia Liu and Qian Sun

Bridging or widening: How digital infrastructure shapes wage inequality through the lens of urban–rural interdependence

Hongyun Huang, Ying Liu and Dianshuang Wang

Narrowing the pay gap: The role of government procurement

Jia Guo and Dongdong Li

Volume 159, issue C, 2026

Dynamic linear expenditure system with stochastic trends in preferences: Bayesian estimation using time-series data

Jakub Boratyński and Jacek Osiewalski

Steering through scandals: ESG disagreement and corporate strategies

Xipeng Shu and Xuepeng Guo

The spillover effect of litigation risk on peer firms’ ESG performance: Evidence from circuit courts in China

Jun Huang, Xin Huang and Xiangbing Xu

Unveiling diversity: Does diversity of uncertainty influence corporate cash holdings?

Sirimon Treepongkaruna, Pornsit Jiraporn, Khine Kyaw and Chaiyuth Padungsaksawasdi

Financial openness and wealth inequality: The moderating role of financial development

Dong-Hyeon Kim, Shu-Chin Lin and Peiyao Liu

Does national geopolitical risk shape corporate dividend policy? Empirical insights from emerging economies

Manh Huu Nguyen, Giang Thi Huong Vuong, Quyen Gia Phan and Trung Duc Nguyen

Supply chain finance participation and outward FDI: The roles of productivity, financial frictions, and information asymmetry

Haitao Chen, Xinfei Huang, Yuheng Xu and Chenglin Zhao

How does ESG rating uncertainty affect stock price crash risk? Evidence from China

Hui-Jun Li, Deng-Kui Si and Shi-Lei Wu

The road to digital innovation: Vertical spillovers of corporate income tax incentives

Kun Li and Siyu Wan

Corrigendum to “Formalizing informal institutions: How does China's credit regulation affects entrepreneurial spirit?” [Econ. Modell. 158 (2026) 107546]

Jingjing Zuo, Xiaoli Qiao, Lu Han and Chaofan Zhang

Does public data openness facilitate corporate ESG performance? Evidence from China

Hongyan Wang, Guodong Huang and Hui Wang

Does the digital economy influence rural migrant workers’ urban settlement intentions? Evidence from social networks

Yun-Zhi Hu, Hai-Feng Wang and Fei Zhang

Does digital-physical technology integration improve corporate ESG ratings? Evidence from China

Yaxian Liu, Mingyu Li and Yong Yu

How does Marijuana legislation affect crime? Medical and recreational laws across 50 states

Lorán Chollete, Sharon Harrison, Ching-Chih Lu and Khawaja Mamun

The role of monetary policy uncertainty in linking macroeconomic variables and stock volatility: Evidence from Japan

Wei Liu, Xiaoyu Li, Sun, Yiyuan (Ian), Yuan Cao and Yao Wang

Digital ecosystems and firm performance in emerging markets: The role of knowledge accessibility

Hazrat Hassan and Dan Cao

Digital transformation and supply chain risk: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms

Xin Li, Zheng Yang and Dianfan Yu

U.S. monetary policy uncertainty and active risk-taking by China's commercial banks

Jun Sun, Hengqiang Hu and Yutian Shen

Green transmission or greenwashing? The spillover effects of customers’ ESG comment letters in supply chain

Ruiqian Li, Xiaoxuan Tang, Jihui Dong and Ma Zhong

Directors’ and officers’ liability insurance and firm greenwashing: Supervision or opportunism?

Xian Lin, Shuying Tan, Hongyu Meng and Linjia Song

Green-digital synergistic transformation on manufacturing firms' innovation: Evidence from China

Yang Xu, Chenchen Zhai and Fuxiang Wu

Institutional investor distraction and corporate greenhushing

Chao Liu, Zichao Zhang and Lan Wang

Corrigendum to “Digital transformation and supply chain risk: Evidence from Chinese manufacturing firms” [Econ. Modell. Article Number: ECMODE-D-25-01568]

Xin Li, Zheng Yang and Dianfan Yu

When volatility turns, recessions follow

Delfina Ricordi, Martin Sola, Fabio Spagnolo and Nicola Spagnolo