International Journal of Forecasting

1985 - 2025

Current editor(s): R. J. Hyndman

From Elsevier
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Volume 8, issue 4, 1992

Editorial policies for the publication of controversial findings pp. 543-544

J. Armstrong

Business planning under uncertainty: Will we attain our goal? pp. 545-557

Lilian Shiao-Yen Wu, J. R. M. Hosking and Jeanne M. Doll

The effects of feedback and training on the performance of probability forecasters pp. 559-573

P. George Benson and Dilek Onkal

Expert opinions about extrapolation and the mystery of the overlooked discontinuities pp. 575-582

Fred Collopy and J. Armstrong

An estimation model for country risk rating pp. 583-593

Muhittin Oral, Ossama Kettani, Jean-Claude Cosset and Mohamed Daouas

Combining vector forecasts to predict thoroughbred horse race outcomes pp. 595-611

Edna M. White, Ronald Dattero and Benito Flores

Predictive accuracy of simple versus complex econometric market share models: Theoretical and empirical results pp. 613-626

Peter Danaher and Roderick J. Brodie

An extended review of the X11ARIMA seasonal adjustment package pp. 627-633

Stuart Scott

Forecasting structural time series models and the kalman filter: Andrew Harvey, 1989, (Cambridge University Press), 554 pp., ISBN 0-521-32196-4 pp. 635-635

Robert Fildes

Bayesian forecasting and dynamic models: Mike West and Jeff Harrison, 1989,(Springer), 704 pp., ISBN 0-387-97025-8 pp. 635-637

Robert Fildes

Into the 21st century: A handbook for a sustainable future: Brian Burroughs, Alan Mayne and Paul Newbury, 1992, (Adamantine Press, London), pp. 442, softback [UK pound]15.95, hardback[UK pound]32.50 pp. 637-637

Ian Miles

The next three futures: Paradigms of things to come: W. Warren Wagar, 1992,(Adamantine Press, London), pp.xxi + 165, [UK pound]13.95 pp. 637-639

Ian Miles

Encyclopedia of world problems and human potential: Union of international associations, 1991, (K.G. Saur, Munich), Vol. 1, 950 pp; Vol. 2, 1188 pp., hardcover, ISBN 3-598-10842-7, US$400.00 pp. 639-641

William E. Halal

Taming the future: Kenneth E.F. Watt, 1991, (Contextured Web Press, Davis, CA), pp. 163, ISBN 1-880014-01-7, US$40.00 pp. 641-643

Alan L. Porter

Modeling and forecasting demand in tourism: Stephen F. Witt and Christine A. Witt, 1992, (Academic Press, London), pp. 195, ISBN 0-127-60740-4, [UK pound]35.00 pp. 643-644

Essam Mahmoud

Forecasting systems for operations management: Stephen A. Delurgio and Carl D. Bhame, 1991, (Business One Irwin, Homewood, IL), pp. 648, hardback, US$49.95 pp. 644-646

Paul J. Fields

The art of modeling dynamic systems: Forecasting for chaos, randomness, and determinism: F. Morrison, 1991, (Wiley-Interscience, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York), pp. 387, ISBN 0-471-52004-7, $54.95 pp. 646-646

H. Richard Priesmeyer

Forecasting with dynamic regression models: Alan Pankratz, 1991, (John Wiley and Sons, New York), ISBN 0-471-61528-5, [UK pound]47.50 pp. 647-648

Peter Kennedy

Journal of business research: "Analysis and comparison of financial analysts', time series, and combined forecast of annual earnings", 24 (1992) 269-280 pp. 649-649

Gerald J. Lobo

Leading economic indicators: "A leading indicator of inflation based on interest rates" pp. 649-650

Kajal Lahiri

Journal of the American statistics association: "Likelihood and bayesian prediction of chaotic systems", 86 (1991) 938-952 pp. 650-651

L. Mark Berliner

Journal of behavioral decision making: "The need for contextual and technical knowledge in judgmental forecasting", 5 (1992) 39-52 pp. 651-652

Nada R. Sanders and Larry P. Ritzman

Volume 8, issue 3, 1992

Population forecasting: Guest editors' introduction pp. 289-299

Dennis A. Ahlburg and Kenneth C. Land

The magnitude of error due to different vital processes in population forecasts pp. 301-314

Juha M. Alho

Stochastic demographic forecasting pp. 315-327

Ronald Lee

Forecasting US population totals with the Box-Jenkins approach pp. 329-338

Peter Pflaumer

Projecting the number of new AIDS cases in the United States pp. 339-365

David Bloom and Sherry Glied

The demographic impact of AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa: Short- and long-term projections pp. 367-384

Eduard Bos and Rodolfo A. Bulatao

Stochastic population forecasts and their uses pp. 385-391

Shripad Tuljapurkar

Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality pp. 393-411

Lawrence R. Carter and Ronald Lee

Forecasting cause-specific mortality using time series methods pp. 413-432

Robert McNown and Andrei Rogers

Projecting the future size and health status of the US elderly population pp. 433-458

Kenneth G. Manton, Eric Stallard and Burt Singer

Immigration and immigrant generations in population projections pp. 459-476

Barry Edmonston and Jeffrey S. Passel

Predicting childlessness for recent cohorts of American women pp. 477-493

S. Philip Morgan and Renbao Chen

Evaluating the forecast accuracy and bias of alternative population projections for states pp. 495-508

Stanley K. Smith and Terry Sincich

A comparison of four methods for projecting households pp. 509-527

Andrew Mason and Rachel Racelis

Into the twenty-first century with British households pp. 529-539

Keith Spicer, Ian Diamond and Marie Ni Bhrolchain

Volume 8, issue 2, 1992

Some recent developments in non-linear time series modelling, testing, and forecasting pp. 135-156

Jan G. Gooijer and Kuldeep Kumar

On continuous-time threshold autoregression pp. 157-173

P. J. Brockwell and Rob Hyndman

An object oriented approach to forecasting pp. 175-185

Vassilis Assimakopoulos and Alexandra Konida

Non-cointegration and causality: Implications for VAR modeling pp. 187-199

Gary Shoesmith

Forecasting economic activity rates pp. 201-217

G. Briscoe and R. Wilson

Using stochastic simulation to test the effect of seasonal adjustment on forecast standard errors of motor gasoline demand pp. 219-231

Fred Joutz and Robert Trost

Top-down or bottom-up: Aggregate versus disaggregate extrapolations pp. 233-241

Byron J. Dangerfield and John S. Morris

Identification of key attributes, gap analysis and simulation techniques in forecasting market potential of ethical pharmaceutical products pp. 243-249

Panos Kontzalis

Bridging the gap between theory and practice in forecasting pp. 251-267

Essam Mahmoud, Richard DeRoeck, Robert Brown and Gillian Rice

The practice of econometrics: Classical and contemporary: Ernst R. Berndt, (Addison-Wesley Publishing company, Reading, Mass., 1991), pp. 702, $18.95 pp. 269-270

Robert Fildes

Japanese financial market research: W.T. Ziemba, W. Bailey and Y. Hamao, eds., (Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1991), pp. 616, $69.50, Dfl 175.00 pp. 270-271

Richard Flavell

Seasonal adjustment as a practical problem: F.A.G. den Butter and M.M.G. Fase, Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1991), pp. iv + 226, US$94.50, Dfl 165.00 pp. 271-274

Brian Henry

The evolution of the future: Frank W. Elwell, (Praeger publishers, New York, NY, 1991), pp. 144. $37.95 pp. 274-275

Ian Wilson

Management science: D. Bunn and G. Wright, "Interaction of Judgmental and Statistical Forecasting Methods: Issues and Analysis", 37 (1991) 501-518 pp. 277-279

Fred Collopy and J. Armstrong

Public opinion quarterly: Tom W. Smith and Frederick D. Weil, "Finding public opinion data: A guide to sources" 54 (1990) 609-626 pp. 279-279

J. Armstrong

American economic review: Gordon Leitch and J. Ernest Tanner, "Economic forecast evaluation: Profit versus the conventional error measures", 81 (1991) 580-590 pp. 279-282

Robert Filders

Volume 8, issue 1, 1992

Influencing forecasting practice pp. 1-2

Robert Filde

Forecasting stock market prices: Lessons for forecasters pp. 3-13

Clive Granger

Exploring judgemental forecasting pp. 15-26

Michael Lawrence and Marcus O'Connor

An empirical analysis of the accuracy of SA, OLS, ERLS and NRLS combination forecasts pp. 27-43

Celal Aksu and Sevket I. Gunter

Nonnegativity restricted least squares combinations pp. 45-59

Sevket I. Gunter

Trading days, seasonal unit root, and variance change pp. 61-67

Carlos Henrique Motta Coelho and Moyses Tenenblat

Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons pp. 69-80

J. Armstrong and Fred Collopy

The evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods pp. 81-98

Robert Fildes

Error measures and the choice of a forecast method pp. 99-100

Dennis A. Ahlburg

A commentary on error measures pp. 100-102

Chris Chatfield

Comparing forecasts in finance pp. 102-103

Stephen J. Taylor

A statistician in search of a population pp. 103-104

Patrick A. Thompson

On seeking a best performance measure or a best forecasting method pp. 104-107

Robert L. Winkler and Allan H. Murphy

Generalization and communication issues in the use of error measures: A reply pp. 107-109

Fred Collopy and J. Armstrong

On error measures: A response to the commentators -- the best error measure? pp. 109-111

Robert Fildes

Successful business forecasting: J.C. Compton and S.B. Compton, 1990, (Liberty Hall Press), pp. 202, ISBN 0-8306-0207-0, $21.95 pp. 113-114

Thomas Yokum

Exchange rate forecasting: Christian Dunis and Michael Feeny, eds., (Probus Publishing Company, Chicago, IL.), pp. 356 pp. 116-117

David Stallings

Prediction, projection and forecasting: Thomas L. Saaty and Luis G. Vargas, (Kluwer, Norwell, MA, 1991), pp. 251, $57.50 pp. 118-119

Paul Goodwin