International Journal of Forecasting

1985 - 2025

Current editor(s): R. J. Hyndman

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Volume 5, issue 4, 1989

Editorial: Reflections on forecasting in the 1980's pp. 467-468

J. Armstrong

Beyond accuracy pp. 469-484

William Ascher

Comments in response to Beyond accuracy, by William Ascher pp. 485-489

John B. Robinson

A comparison of quarterly earnings per share forecasts using James-Stein and unconditional least squares parameter estimators pp. 491-500

Wayne R. Landsman and Aswath Damodaran

Model selection and estimation for technological growth curves pp. 501-513

Peg Young and John Ord

Legal control of drunken driving: A time series study of California data pp. 515-522

Subhash Ray

On exponential smoothing and the assumption of deterministic trend plus white noise data-generating models pp. 523-527

Paul Newbold and Ted Bos

The utilization of the Wilcoxon test to compare forecasting methods: A note pp. 529-535

Benito E. Flores

Rates of convergence to steady state for the linear growth version of a dynamic linear model (DLM) pp. 537-545

W. D. Ray

Forecasting with combined seasonal indices pp. 547-552

Richard Withycombe

Confidence intervals for non-stationary forecast errors: Some empirical results for the series in the M-competition pp. 553-557

Pierre Lefrancois

Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography pp. 559-583

Robert T. Clemen

Combining forecasts: The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end? pp. 585-588

J. Armstrong

Forecast combination and encompassing: Reconciling two divergent literatures pp. 589-592

Francis Diebold

On combining diagnostic forecasts: Thoughts and some evidence pp. 593-597

Robin Hogarth

Combining forecasts: Some managerial issues pp. 599-600

Essam Mahmoud

Why combining works? pp. 601-603

Spyros Makridakis

Combining forecasts: A philosophical basis and some current issues pp. 605-609

Robert L. Winkler

The evolution of technology: George Basalla, (Cambridge University Press, New York, 1988) pp. 248, US $10.95 pp. 611-612

Steven P. Schnaars

Advances in econometrics: Truman F. Bewley, ed.,Vol. I (Cambridge University Press, 1988), [UK pound]27.50 ($34.50) pp. 612-614

S. G. B. Henry

The computation and modelling of economic equilibria: A. Talman and G. van der Laan, eds., (North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1987) pp. 229, Dfl 120.00 pp. 612-612

Ken Holden

Information horizons: Miles, Rush, Turner and Bessant, Edward Elgar, 1988 pp. 614-615

P. Holroyd

Judgmental forecasting: George Wright and Peter Ayton, eds., (Wiley, Chichester, UK, 1987), pp. 293, [UK pound]29.95 pp. 616-617

Paul B. Andreassen

Macroeconomic uncertainty: International risks and opportunities for the corporation: L. Oxelheim and C. Wihlborg, (Wiley, Chichester, UK, 1987) pp. 272, [UK pound]29.50/$58.45 (hardcover) and [UK pound]12.95/$29.95 (paperback) pp. 617-619

Harold Cataquet

Volume 5, issue 3, 1989

Special issue on public sector forecasting pp. 303-304

Stuart Bretschneider and Wilpen L. Gorr

Political and organizational influences on the accuracy of forecasting state government revenues pp. 307-319

Stuart Bretschneider, Wilpen L. Gorr, Gloria Grizzle and Earle Klay

An empirical examination of bias in revenue forecasts by state governments pp. 321-331

Glenn Cassidy, Mark S. Kamlet and Daniel S. Nagin

Public sector forecasting m the third world pp. 333-345

Larry Schroeder and Michael Wasylenko

Measuring the cyclical sensitivity of federal receipts and expenditures: Simplified estimation procedures pp. 347-360

Thomas M. Holloway

The politics of state revenue forecasting in Ohio, 1984-1987: A case study and research implications pp. 361-371

William J. Shkurti and Darrell Winefordner

A composite approach to forecasting state government revenues: Case study of the Idaho sales tax pp. 373-380

Thomas Fullerton

Forecasting unemployment insurance trust funds: The case of Tennessee pp. 381-391

David Mandy

The contribution of consumer confidence indexes in forecasting the effects of oil prices on private consumption pp. 393-397

Peter Praet and Jef Vuchelen

The sensitivity of VAR forecasts to alternative lag structures pp. 399-408

Rik Hafer and Richard Sheehan

Forecasts and actuals: The trade-off between timeliness and accuracy pp. 409-416

Stephen K. McNees

Econometric GNP forecasts: Incremental information relative to naive extrapolation pp. 417-426

Robert T. Clemen and John Guerard

Managing new product innovations: William E. Souder, (Lexington Books, Lexington, Massachusetts, 1987), $29.95, pp. 251 pp. 427-428

Steven P. Schnaars

The sources of innovation: Eric Von Hippel, (Oxford University Press, New York, 1988), $27.00, pp.218 pp. 427-427

Steven P. Schnaars

Non-linear and non-stationary time series analysis: M.B. Priestley, (Academic Press, London, 1988), [UK pound]25.00, pp. 237 pp. 428-429

Chris Chatfield

Employment forecasting: The employment problem in industrialized countries: M.J.D. Hopkins, ed., (Pinter Publishers, New York and London, 1988) pp. 429-430

Ken Holden

Macroeconomic medium term models in the Nordic countries: O. Bjerkholt and J. Rosted ed., (North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1987) [UK pound]45.05, pp. 324 pp. 430-431

Nigel Meade

Forecasting in the social and natural sciences: K.C. Land and S.H. Schneider, eds.,(1987), $78.00, pp. 381 pp. 431-432

Anatoly I. Luchino

Canadian economic forecasting in a world where all's unsure: Mervin Daub, (Kingston, Ont., Canada: McGill-Queen's University Press, 1987), $32.50, pp. 236 pp. 432-434

Pierre Siklos

Trade friction and economic policy: Problems and prospects for Japan and the United States: R. Sato and P. Wachtel, eds., (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England, 1987) pp. 434-435

Anupam B. Rastogi

Microcomputer software of interest to forecasters in comparative review pp. 437-462

Robert S. Rycroft

Volume 5, issue 2, 1989

The future of the forecasting profession pp. 155-157

Estelle Dagum

Models of human behaviour and confidence in judgement: A review pp. 159-169

Marcus O'Connor

An examination of group process in judgmental forecasting pp. 171-178

Janet A. Sniezek

Graphical adjustment of statistical forecasts pp. 179-185

Thomas R. Willemain

Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings pp. 187-194

Stephen Dakin and J. Armstrong

Modeling and forecasting hospital patient movements: Univariate and multiple time series approaches pp. 195-208

Winston T. Lin

Forecasting using automatic identification procedures: A comparative analysis pp. 209-215

Pamela A. Texter and John Ord

Partially adaptive estimation of ARMA time series models pp. 217-230

James McDonald

The effect of additive outliers on the forecasts from ARIMA models pp. 231-240

Johannes Ledolter

National indicator series as quantitative predictors of small region monthly employment levels pp. 241-247

Barry R. Weller

Labor supply over the life cycle: The long-term forecasting problem pp. 249-257

John D. Owen

Forecasting in business schools: A follow-up survey pp. 259-262

John Hanke

Software for econometric research with a personal computer pp. 263-278

Floor Van Nes and Arie Ten Cate

100 predictions for the baby boom: The next 50 years: Cheryl Russell, (Plenum Press, New York, 1987) pp. 250, $17.95 pp. 279-280

Steven P. Schnaars

Forward thinking: The pragmatist's guide to today's business trends: Robert D. Gilbreath, (McGraw-Hill, New York, 1987) pp. 184 including index, $19.95 pp. 280-281

Leonard Tashman

Market structure and technological change: William L. Baldwin and John T. Scott, (Harwood Academic Publishers, Chur, New York and Switzerland, 1987) pp. 170, $? pp. 281-282

John Ord

Time series forecasting, unified concepts and computer implementation: Bruce L. Bowerman and Richard T. O'Connell, 2nd ed. (Duxbury Press, Boston, 1987) pp. 540 pp. 282-283

Essam Mahmoud

Business cycles and forecasting: Lloyd M. Valentine, 7th ed. (South-Western Publishing Company, Cincinnati, Ohio, 1987) pp. 572, $36.75 pp. 283-285

Dwayne Wrightsman

Business forecasting methods: Jeffrey Jarrett: (Basil Blackwell Ltd., Oxford, U.K., 1987) pp. 346, $15.00 pp. 285-286

Chris Chatfield

New directions in research on decision making: Berndt Brehmer, Helmut Jungermann, Peter Laurens and Guje Sevon, eds. (Elsevier Science Publishers, Amsterdam, 1986) pp. 443, $105 pp. 286-288

Bernard J. Goitein

Judgment and decision making: An interdisciplinary reader: Hal R. Arkes and Kenneth R. Hammond, eds., (Cambridge University Press, New York, 1986) pp. 818, $22.95 paper $62.50 hardbound pp. 288-289

Thomas R. Willemain

Econometrics and structural change: Lyle D. Broemeling and Hiroki Tsurumi, (Marcel Dekker, New York, 1987) pp. 266, $59.75 pp. 289-290

Herman Stekler

Market-based demand forecasting for hospital inpatient services: James A. Rice and George H. Creel II, (American Hospital Publishing, Inc., Chicago, 1985) pp. 124 pp. 290-291

Delia A. Sumrall

Journal of forecasting 7: Robert F. Engle, Scott J. Brown and Gary Stern, A comparison of adaptive structural forecasting methods for electricity sales, (1988) 149-172 pp. 293-294

Robert Fildes

Journal of the American Statistical Association: William S. Cleveland, Marylyn E. McGill and Robert McGill, The shape parameter for a two variable graph 83 (1988) 289-300 pp. 294-294

Robert Fildes

Journal of the American Statistical Association: Stanley K. Smith, Tests of forecast accuracy and bias for country population projections (with discussion), 82 (1987) 991-1012 pp. 294-295

Fildes Robert

Why the 1936 literary digest poll failed: Peverill Squire, Public Opinion Quarterly 52 (1988) 125-133 pp. 295-295

ScottArmstrong J.

Volume 5, issue 1, 1989

The important forecasting problems that we are not researching pp. 1-1

Robert Fildes

The impact of the forecasting capacity of one science on that of other sciences pp. 3-5

Jan Tinbergen

Forecasting tourism demand: A comparison of the accuracy of several quantitative methods pp. 7-19

Christine A. Martin and Stephen F. Witt

Intervention analysis using control series and exogenous variables in a transfer function model: A case study pp. 21-27

Lakshman Krishnamurthi, Jack Narayan and S. P. Raj

Diffusion indexes and a statistical test for predicting turning points in business cycles pp. 29-36

Wilkie W. Chaffin and Wayne K. Talley

Incorporating regional wage relations in local forecasting models with a Bayesian prior pp. 37-47

James LeSage

The implications of myopic policy-making for macroeconomic performance pp. 49-58

Saade N. Chami and David W. Butterfield

A mathematical programming model for market share prediction pp. 59-68

Muhittin Oral and Ossama Kettani

An analogical approach to the long term forecasting of major new product sales pp. 69-82

Christopher J. Easingwood

Multivariate exponential smoothing: Method and practice pp. 83-98

D. Pfeffermann and J. Allon

Allowing for asymmetry in forecast errors: Results from a Monte-Carlo study pp. 99-110

Pierre Leffrancois

A note on a comparison of exponential smoothing methods for forecasting seasonal series pp. 111-116

Sonia M. Bartolomei and Arnold L. Sweet

Judgemental probability forecasts for personal and impersonal events pp. 117-125

George Wright and Peter Ayton

Improving a group forecast by removing the conservative bias in its components pp. 127-131

Peter Spiro

The politics of energy forecasting: A comparative study of energy forecasting in western Europe and north America: (Oxford University Press, New York, 1987) $67.00, [UK pound]32.50, pp.314 pp. 133-135

Randall Jones

Judgment and choice: The psychology of decision: Robin M. Hogarth, Second edition (Wiley, New York, 1987) $24.95, [UK pound]17.50, pp. 311 pp. 135-137

Bernard J. Goitein

Forecasting economic time series: C.W.J. Granger and Paul Newbold, Second edition (Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, New York, 1986) hard cover $49.50/paperback $24.95, [UK pound]37.50 pp. 337 pp. 137-138

Anne B. Koehler

The handbook of forecasting: A manager's guide: S. Makridakis and S.C. Wheelwright, eds., Second edition, 1987, J. Wiley and Sons, New York., $58.50, [UK pound]52.50, p. 638 pp. 138-141

Benito Flores

A managerial guide to judgmental forecasting: C.L. Jain, ed, (Graceway Publishing, New York, 1987) $17.50, pp. 101 pp. 138-138

George Wright

Models of the UK economy: A fourth review by the ESRC Macroeconomic Modelling Bureau: K.F. Wallis, ed, P.G. Fisher, J.A. Longbottom, D.S. Turner and J.D. Whitley, (Oxford University Press, Oxford, U.K., 1987) [UK pound]22.50/$36.00, pp. 152 pp. 141-142

Sgb Henry

Theory of population and economic growth: Julian L. Simon, (Basil Blackwell, New York, 1986) $45.00 pp. 215 pp. 142-143

Maryann P. Feldman

Handbook of econometrics: Z. Griliches and M.D. Intriligator, eds., Vol. 2 (North Holland, Amsterdam, 1984) [UK pound]67.19, [UK pound]64.56, pp. 686 pp. 143-144

Phoebus J. Dhrymes

Fashion forecasting: Rita Perna, (Fairchild Publications, N.Y, 1987) $18.50, pp. 327 pp. 144-145

Jerome Greenberg

Software reviews: The international journal of forecasting policy pp. 147-150

Thana Chrissanthaki and Jenifer Piesse

Research on forecasting pp. 151-153

Robert Fildes