International Journal of Forecasting

1985 - 2025

Current editor(s): R. J. Hyndman

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Volume 4, issue 4, 1988

Apples, oranges and mean square error pp. 515-518

Chris Chatfield

Forecasting competitive behavior: An assessment of AT&T's incentive to extend its U.S. network pp. 521-533

Peter J. Grandstaff, Mark E. Ferris and Shuh S. Chou

A system wide approach to forecast the demand for business toll services pp. 535-544

Malcolm Mung

Forecasting and loss functions pp. 545-550

Robert Fildes and Spyros Makridakis

Forecasting manpower demand and supply: A model for the accounting profession in Canada pp. 551-562

Edward B. Harvey and K. S. R. Murthy

Dominant tracking signals pp. 563-572

John O. McClain

Pitfalls in simulation-based evaluation of forecast monitoring schemes pp. 573-579

Arnold L. Sweet and James R. Wilson

Forecasting the daily federal funds rate pp. 581-591

Scott Hein and Raymond E. Spudeck

Forecasting discount window borrowing pp. 593-603

Donald Dutkowsky and William G. Foote

Models of exchange rates: A comparison of forecasting results pp. 605-607

Christian Wolff

Bayesian statistics two: Proceedings of the second Valencia international meeting on Bayesian statistics: J.M. Bernardo, M.H. DeGroot, D.V. Lindley and A.F.M. Smith (eds.), 6-10 September, 1983 (North-Holland, Amsterdam, 1985) pp. 770, $75 pp. 609-611

Mike West

The Michigan model of world production and trade: Theory and application: Alan V. Deardoff and Robert M. Stern, (MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts and London, 1986) pp. 272, $32.50, [UK pound]29.25 pp. 611-613

W. Milo and P. Tomozyk

Basic issues in econometrics: Arnold Zellner, (The University of Chicago Press, Chicago and London, 1984) xxi + 334pp., [UK pound]42.75, $48.00 pp. 614-616

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg

The electronic Oracle computer models and social decisions: Donella H. Meadows and J.M. Robinson, (Wiley, 1985) pp. 462, $48.95, [UK pound]29.95 pp. 616-617

Sam Cole

A regional econometric forecasting system: Major economic areas of Michigan: Harold T. Shapiro and George A. Fulton, (University of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor, 1983) $35 pp. 618-620

W. Milo and P. Tomozyk

Simulated solutions plus: (Version 1.3 - $295: demo $25) Enfin Software Corp., 6920 Miramar Rd., Suite 106-A, San Diego, CA 92121, (619) 549-6606. Requirements: Lutos 123 version 2 or 2.01, or symphony versions 1 through 1.2. Not copy-protected pp. 621-623

John F. Kottas and Jack Dittrick

Easy caster: TMS Systems, Inc., 2803 Mt. Vernon Lane, Blacksburg, VA 24060, 703-552-5685. List price $295.00. requirements: IBM-PC, XT, AT and IBM - PC compatible machines pp. 623-625

Peg Young

The performance of UK exchange rate forecasters: David Blake, Michael Beenstock and Valerie Brasse, Economic Journal 96 (1986) 986-999 pp. 627-629

Michael Beenstock

Time-varying parameters and the out-of-sample forecasting performance of structural exchange rate models: Christian C.P. Wolff, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 5 (1987) 87-97 pp. 629-630

Christian Wolff

Methods for national population forecasting: A review: Land, Kenneth, Journal of the American Statistical Association 81 (1986) 888-901 pp. 631-632

Kenneth Land

Who forecasts better?: Herman O. Stekler, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 5 (1987) 155-158 pp. 631-631

Herman Stekler

Forecasting property takes: A comparison and evaluation of methods: Terri A. Sexton, National Tax Journal 15 (1987) 47-59 pp. 632-633

Terri A. Sexton

Volume 4, issue 3, 1988

Communication of research on forecasting: The journal pp. 321-324

J. Armstrong

The future of forecasting pp. 325-330

Everette Gardner and Spyros Makridakis

Judgmental aspects of forecasting: Needs and possible trends pp. 331-339

Baruch Fischhoff

New product forecasting models: Directions for research and implementation pp. 341-358

Vijay Mahajan and Yoram Wind

On the future of macroeconomic forecasting pp. 359-362

Stephen K. Mcnees

On the relative worth of recent macroeconomic forecasts pp. 363-376

Richard Ashley

A move toward scenario analysis pp. 377-388

William R. Huss

Future developments in forecasting: The time series connexion pp. 389-401

John Ord

Proposals for research in time series forecasting pp. 403-410

Kenneth O. Cogger

The future of the time-series forecasting pp. 411-419

Chris Chatfield

Forecasting market prices pp. 421-426

Stephen J. Taylor

Modelling and forecasting reliability pp. 427-447

David Belsley

Research needs in forecasting pp. 449-465

J. Scott Armstrong

Metaforecasting: Ways of improving forecasting accuracy and usefulness pp. 467-491

Spyros Makridakis

The great depression of 1990: Ravi Batra, (Simon and Schuster, New York, 1985) pp. 235, $14.95 pp. 493-495

J. Armstrong

Mastering change: Leon Martel, (Simon and Schuster, New York, 1985) pp. 336, $17.95 pp. 495-496

Steven P. Schnaars

Modelling financial time series: Stephen Taylor, (Wiley, 1986) pp. 268, $34.95, [UK pound]19.95 pp. 496-497

Gordon Gemmill

The manager's guide to business forecasting: Michael Barron and David Targett. (Blackwell, Oxford and New York, 1985) pp. 230, $39.95, [UK pound]15.00 pp. 498-498

John Ord

The modern forecaster: The forecasting process through data analysis: Hans Levenbach and James P. Cleary, (Van Nostrand Reinhold, 1984) pp. 450, $36.95 pp. 498-499

John Kling

Economic forecasting for business: John J. McAuley. (Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, 1986) pp. 400, $40 pp. 499-500

Stephen Silver

A guide to forecasting for planners and managers: Raymond E. Willis (Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, 1987) pp. 404, $36.63 pp. 501-502

William Copulsky

Software reviews pp. 503-508

C. Chatfield and M. Yar

Journal of business and economic statistics 5: Garcia-Ferrer, A. et al., Macroeconomic forecasting using pooled international data, (1987), 53-67 pp. 509-510

Robert Fildes

Management science: Lawrence, M.J., R.H. Edmunson and M.J. O'Connor, The accuracy of combining judgmental and statistical forecasts, 32 (1986), 1521-1532 pp. 510-511

Robert Fildes

Journal of business: Lupoletti, William M. and Roy H. Webb, 1986, Defining and improving the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts; contributions from a VAR model, 59, 263-284 pp. 511-512

Robert Fildes

Journal of business and economic statistics: Lutkepohl, Helmut, Forecasting vector ARMA processes with systematically missing observations, 4 1986, 375-390 pp. 513-513

Robert Fildes

Organizational behavior and human decision processes: Wagenaar, Willem A. and G.B. Keren, The seat belt paradox: Effect off accepted roles on information seeking,, 38 (1986), 1-6 pp. 513-513

J. Armstrong

Journal of personality and social psychology: Osberg, Timothy M. and J. Sidney Shrauger, Self-prediction: Exploring the parameters of accuracy, 51 (1986), 1044-1057 pp. 514-514

J. Armstrong

Volume 4, issue 2, 1988

Comparing judgmental to extrapolative forecasts: It's time to ask why and when pp. 171-173

Lawrence D. Brown

A flexible logistic growth model with applications in telecommunications pp. 177-192

Ronald Bewley and Denzil Fiebig

Nested Rotterdam model: Applications to marketing research with special reference to telecommunications demand pp. 193-206

Jack C. Lee

Multiple outputs, adjustment costs and the structure of production for Bell Canada pp. 207-219

Jeffrey Bernstein

Forecasting political risks for international operations pp. 221-241

Jose de la Torre and David H. Neckar

Modeling the formation of expectations: The history of energy demand forecasts pp. 243-259

John D. Sterman

Forecasting accuracy and the choice of first difference or percentage change regression models pp. 261-268

Charles J. Lacivita and Terry G. Seaks

Forecasting the female labour force in Britain pp. 269-285

Heather Joshi and Elizabeth Overton

The business forecasting revolution: F. Gerald Adams, (Oxford University Press, New York, 1986) pp. 265, $18.95, [UK pound]9.68 pp. 287-289

John P. Cullity

Centre for economic forecasting, economic and financial review: London Business School, volume 2, 1986 (Gower Aldershot, UK.) pp. 116. [UK pound]9.60. $17.50 pp. 290-291

Kenneth Holden

Business cycle surveys in the assessment of economic activity: Karl Heinrich Oppenlander and Gunter Poser, eds. (Gower Aldershot, UK, 1986) pp. 674, [UK pound]35. $50.00 pp. 291-292

S. G. B. Henry

Prediction and criminology: David P. Farrington and Roger Tarling, eds. (State University of New York Press, 1985) pp. 218, $49.50 pp. 292-294

Arnold Barnett

Breakthroughs! How the vision and drive of innovators in sixteen companies created commercial breakthroughs that swept the world: R. Ranganath Nayak and John M. Ketteringham (Rawson Associates, New York. 1986) pp. 371, $16.45 pp. 294-295

Steven P. Schnaars

Analyzing population trends: Differential fertility in a pluralistic society: Lincoln H. Day (St. Martin's Press, New York, 1984) pp. 253, $27.50, [UK pound]19.95 pp. 295-296

Paul R. Voss

Model reliability: David A. Belsley and Edwin Kuh, eds. (Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press, Cambridge, MA 1986) pp. 244, $30.00, [UK pound]29.95 pp. 297-298

Robert Fildes

Handbook of econometrics: Z. Griliches and M.D. Intrilligator, eds. vol. 2 (North Holland, Amsterdam, 1984) pp. 686 + xxvi. [UK pound]67.19, XXX65.00 pp. 298-300

Phoebus J. Dhrymes

Cash flow forecasting: G.R. Kaye and K.N. Bhaskar, Report No. 211, Planning with personal computers 1 (The Economist Publications, 1985) pp. 98, [UK pound]55 pp. 300-300

Chris Beaumont

Predicting corporate collapse: A. Bathory (Financial Times Business Information, 1984) pp. 159, [UK pound]65, $110 pp. 300-301

R. Flavell

Exchange rate theory and practice: John F. Bilson and Richard C. Marston, eds. (The University of Chicago Press, Chicago and London, 1984) pp. 528, [UK pound]53.25, $66.75 pp. 302-302

R. D. Hewins

R&D, patents and productivity: Zvi Griliches, ed. (National Bureau of Economic Research, University of Chicago Press, 1984) pp. 528, [UK pound]47.25, $53.00 pp. 303-303

Kirsty Hughes

Software reviews pp. 305-308

Nicholas Noble

Volume 4, issue 1, 1988

Editorial: Forecasting disasters pp. 3-4

Willem A. Wagenaar

Limits of predictability in forecasting in the behavioral sciences pp. 5-14

Robert H. Doktor and Susan M. Chandler

Exploiting linear partial information for optimal use of forecasts: With an application to U.S. economic policy pp. 15-32

Eduard Kofler and Peter Zweifel

Evaluation of commercial economic forecasts for use in local government budgeting pp. 33-43

Stuart Bretschneider and Larry Schroeder

A comparison of results from state space forecasting with forecasts from the Makridakis Competition pp. 45-55

Anne B. Koehler and Emily S. Murphree

Forecasting the Dutch heavy truck market: A multivariate approach pp. 57-79

R. M. J. Heuts and J. H. J. M. Bronckers

A comparison of the forecasting performance of WEFA and ARIMA time series methods pp. 81-101

Phoebus J. Dhrymes and Stavros Peristiani

Forecasting annual geophysical time series pp. 103-115

Donald J. Noakes, Keith W. Hipel, A. Ian McLeod, Carlos Jimenez and Sidney Yakowitz

A note on using the integrated form of ARIMA forecasts pp. 117-124

Ed McKenzie

Forecasting housing starts pp. 125-134

Anil K. Puri and Johannes Van Lierop

Confidence intervals for population projections based on Monte Carlo methods pp. 135-142

Peter Pflaumer

Software reviews pp. 143-159

Steven C. Hillmer

International journal of public administration: Lance Eliot Brouthers, parties, ideology and elections: The politics of federal revenues and expenditures forecasting, 8 (1986) 289-314 pp. 161-162

J. Armstrong and Lance Eliot Brouthers

Public opinion quarterly: William Buchanan, election predictions: An empirical assessment, 50 (1986) 222-227 pp. 162-164

J. Armstrong and William Buchanan

Harvard Business Review: David M. Georgoff and Robert G. Murdick, manager's guide to forecasting, 64 (Jan-Feb.) (1986) 110-120 pp. 164-165

J. Armstrong and David M. Georgoff

Public opinion quarterly: James B. Lemert, picking the winners: Politician vs. voter predictions of two controversial ballot measures, 50 (1986) 208-221 pp. 165-166

J. Armstrong and James B. Lemert

Public opinion quarterly: Steven J. Rosenstone, John Mark Hansen, and Donald R. Kinder, measuring change in personal economic well-being, 50 (1986) 176-192 pp. 166-167

J. Armstrong and Steven J. Rosenstone

Public opinion quarterly: Jacob Shamir, preelection polls in Israel: Structural constraints on accuracy, 50 (1986) 62-75 pp. 167-167

J. Armstrong and Jacob Shamir