International Journal of Forecasting

1985 - 2025

Current editor(s): R. J. Hyndman

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Volume 7, issue 4, 1992

Fundamental aspects of forecasting in organizations pp. 409-411

Randall L. Schultz

Time series characteristics and the widths of judgemental confidence intervals pp. 413-420

Marcus O'Connor and Michael Lawrence

Judgmental adjustment of forecasts: A comparison of methods pp. 421-433

Benito E. Flores, David L. Olson and Christopher Wolfe

Diagnostic verification of probability forecasts pp. 435-455

Allan H. Murphy and Robert L. Winkler

Economic, organizational, and political influences on biases in forecasting state sales tax receipts pp. 457-466

Stuart Bretschneider and Wilpen Gorr

Predicting the job performance of managers: What do the experts know? pp. 467-472

Dennis A. Ahlburg

A Kalman filter formulation for noisy regional job data pp. 473-481

Paul A. Coomes

Population, labour force and unemployment in Andalusia: Prospects for 1993 pp. 483-492

JoseM. Otero, Guillermina Martin, Francisco Trujillo and Antonio Fernández-Morales

Commodity prices and the CPI: Cointegration, information, and signal extraction pp. 493-500

Rowena Pecchenino

On the cumulated multi-step-ahead predictions of vector autoregressive moving average processes pp. 501-513

Jan G. Gooijer and Andre Klein

The effect of nonstationarity on combined forecasts pp. 515-529

Christopher M. Miller, Robert T. Clemen and Robert L. Winkler

The econometric analysis of time series: A.C. Harvey, second edition (MIT Press, Cambridge, 1990) pp. 387, $47.50 pp. 531-532

Barry R. Weller

Time Series: Sir Maurice Kendall and J. Keith Ord, third edition (Edward Arnold, Great Britain, 1990) pp. 296 pp. 532-533

William M. Holmes

Business forecasting methods: Jeffrey Jarrett, second edition (Basil Blackwell Ltd., Oxford, UK, 1991) pp. 463, $19.95 pp. 535-536

Barbara A. Price

Statistical analysis and forecasting of economic structural change: Peter Hackl (ed.), (Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1989) pp. 489, $106.00 pp. 536-538

Lars-Erik Oller

Economic structural change: Analysis and forecasting: Peter Hackl and Anders H. Westlund (eds.), (Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1991) pp. 385, DM 148 pp. 538-539

Ken Holden

Comparative performance of U.S. econometric models: Lawrence R. Klein, (ed.), (Oxford University Press, New York, 1991) pp. 325, $45.00 pp. 539-540

Herman Stekler

Oil and gas forecasting: Reflections of a petroleum geologist: Lawrence J. Drew, (Oxford University Press, New York, 1990) $45.00 pp. 540-541

Hazem Arafa

Software reviews pp. 543-553

Leonard J. Tashman and Richard Withycombe

Volume 7, issue 3, 1991

New technology adoption in an innovative marketplace: Micro- and macro-level decision making models pp. 257-270

Eileen Bridges, Anne T. Coughlan and Shlomo Kalish

The use of biased predictors in marketing research pp. 271-282

Carter Hill, Phillip Cartwright and Julia F. Arbaugh

Probability distributions of short-term electricity peak load forecasts pp. 283-297

Gail Adams, P Allen and Bernard J. Morzuch

Using belief networks to forecast oil prices pp. 299-315

Bruce Abramson and Anthony Finizza

Exponential smoothing: The effect of initial values and loss functions on post-sample forecasting accuracy pp. 317-330

Spyros Makridakis and Michele Hibon

Evaluation of the M-competition forecasts via log mean squared error ratio pp. 331-334

Patrick A. Thompson

Assessing the statistical characteristics of the mean absolute error or forecasting pp. 335-337

Lap-Ming Wun and Wen Lea Pearn

ARIMA forecasts with restrictions derived from a structural change pp. 339-347

Victor M. Guerrero

Forecast selection when all forecasts are not equally recent pp. 349-356

Lawrence D. Brown

Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques pp. 375-384

Herman Stekler

The foreign exchange market: Theory and econometric evidence: R.T. Baillie and P.C. McMahon, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1989) pp. 385-387

Massimo Tivegna

Business cycles and forecasting: L.M. Valentine and D.F. Ellis, eighth edition (South-Western Publishing Company, Cincinnati, Dallas and Livermore, 1991) pp. 586, [UK pound]16.95 pp. 387-388

J. L. Thompson

Economic forecasting: an introduction: K. Holden, D.A. Peel and J.L. Thompson,(Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1991) ISBN 0521 356121, 0521 35692x. h/b [UK pound]30.00, $44.5; p/b [UK pound]10.95, $16.95 pp. 388-389

Paul Fisher

Time series analysis univariate and multivariate methods: William W.S. Wei, (Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA, 1990) pp. 389-390

T. H. Lai

Uncertainty in national population forecasting: Issues, backgrounds, analyses, recommendations: N.C. Keilman, (Swets & Zeitlinger, 1990) pp. 211 pp. 392-393

J. Alho

The new palgrave: Time series and statistics: John Eatwell, Murray Milgate and Perter Newman, (W.W. Norton, New York, 1990) pp. 392-392

Michael P. Niemira

Software reviews pp. 395-398

John C. Picket

Innocents in the forest: Forecasting and research methods: P. Narayan Pant and William H. Starbuck, Journal of Management 16 (1990) 433-460 pp. 400-401

Fred Collopy

The lead and accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts: R.A. Kolb, and H.O. Stekler, Journal of Macroeconomics 12 (1990) 111-123 pp. 400-400

Robert Fildes

The role of judgement in macroeconomic forecasting: D.S. Turner, Journal of Forecasting 9 (1990) 315-345 pp. 401-401

Stephen McNees

Comparing classification techniques pp. 403-406

Peter Kennedy

Volume 7, issue 2, 1991

Forecasting in the 21st century pp. 123-126

Spyros Makridakis

Automatic forecasting using explanatory variables: A comparative study pp. 127-140

Pamela Texter Geriner and John Ord

The effect of group interaction processes on performance in time series extrapolation pp. 141-149

Soon Ang and Marcus O'Connor

The effect of graphical adjustment on forecast accuracy pp. 151-154

Thomas R. Willemain

Professional forecast error as a function of a variable forecast horizon: A decomposition analysis pp. 155-163

Kenneth L. Smith, Joe Brocato and Russell E. Dabbs

Do consensus forecasts exist? pp. 165-170

M. H. Schnader and Herman Stekler

In-sample and out-of-sample forecasts of wage adjustment in indexed and non-indexed labour contracts pp. 171-181

Louis Christofides

Empirical Bayes methods for telecommunications forecasting pp. 183-197

Noel P. Greis and C. Zachary Gilstein

Seasonality, non-stationarity and the forecasting of monthly time series pp. 199-208

Philip Hans Franses

Automatic forecasting software: A survey and evaluation pp. 209-230

Leonard J. Tashman and Michael L. Leach

Using interindustry input-output relations as a Bayesian prior in employment forecasting models pp. 231-238

James LeSage and Michael Magura

On confusing lead time demand with h-period-ahead forecasts pp. 239-240

Christopher Chatfield and Anne B. Koehler

A managerial guide to business forecasting: Dennis Ellis and Jay Nathan, (Graceway Publishing Co., Flushing, NY, 1990), paperback, pp. 162 pp. 241-241

William Copulsky

A short history of the future: W. Warren Wager, (The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1989), pp. 323 pp. 242-242

William Copulsky

Economic modelling in the OECD countries: Homa Motamen, ed., (Chapman and Hall, London, U.K., 1988), pp. 746, [UK pound]89.00 pp. 242-243

Ken Holden

Introductory business forecasting: Paul Newbold and Theodore Bos, (South-western, Cincinnati, OH,1990), pp. 497 pp. 243-245

George Heitmann

What futurists believe: Joseph F. Coates and Jennifer Jarrett, (Lomond Publication, Inc., Mt. Airy, MD and The World Future Society, Bethesda, MD, 1989) pp. 245-246

Joseph L. Fisher

Econometric modelling of agricultural commodity markets: David Hallam, (Routledge, London, UK, 1990), [UK pound]35.00, ISBN 0-415-00405-5 pp. 248-249

David Byers

Non-linear time series: Howell Tong, (Clarendon Press, Oxford, UK, 1990), pp. 564, [UK pound]50.00 pp. 249-249

Chris Chatfield

Database models and managerial intuition: 50% model +50% manager: Robert C. Blattberg and Stephen J. Hoch, Management Science 36 (1990) 887-899 pp. 251-252

Robert Fildes

Market and survey forecasts of the three-month treasury bill rate: R.W. Hafer, Scott E. Hein and S. Scott MacDonald, Journal of Business (1991) forthcoming pp. 252-253

Herman Stekler

A cautionary tale about multiple regression: Milton Friedman (the appendix to "Alternative approaches to analyzing economic data' Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz), American Economic Review 81 (1991) 48-49 pp. 252-252

J. Armstrong

Combining forecasts: Operational adjustments to theoretical optimal rules: David C. Schmittlein, Jinho Kim and Donald G. Morrison, Management Science 36 (1990) 1044-1056 pp. 253-254

Robert Fildes

Prelaunch forecasting of new automobiles: Glen L. Urban, John R. Hauser and John H. Roberts, Management Science 36 (1990) 401-421 pp. 254-254

Robert Fildes

Volume 7, issue 1, 1991

Is there a gap between forecasting theory and practice? A personal view pp. 1-2

Richard DeRoeck

Forecasting residential consumption of natural gas using monthly and quarterly time series pp. 3-16

Lon-Mu Liu and Maw-Wen Lin

Forecasting with vector ARMA and state space methods pp. 17-30

Celal Aksu and Jack Y. Narayan

Prediction intervals for multiplicative Holt-Winters pp. 31-37

Chris Chatfield and Mohammed Yar

Forecast sufficiency characteristic: Construction and application pp. 39-45

Roman Krzysztofowicz and Dou Long

Beta likelihood models of probabilistic forecasts pp. 47-55

Roman Krzysztofowicz and Dou Long

Alternative methods of combining security analysts' and statistical forecasts of annual corporate earnings pp. 57-63

Gerald J. Lobo

Forecasting the educational participation rate of 16-year olds in England and Wales: A socio-economic approach pp. 65-76

Keith Whitfield and R. A. Wilson

Microsimulation -- A survey of principles, developments and applications pp. 77-104

Joachim Merz

Forecasting, planning and strategy for the 21st century: Spyros Makridakis, 1990, (Free Press, New York), pp. 293, $29.95 pp. 105-106

Steven P. Schnaars

Practical sales forecasting: E.J. Davis, (McGraw-Hill Book Company, London, 1988), pp. x + 291, $13.95 pp. 106-108

Mark Speece

Business forecasting in a Lotus 1-2-3 environment: Colin Lewis, (Wiley, Chichester, UK, 1989), pp. 98 (software included), [UK pound]19.95 pp. 108-108

Colin Jex

Envisioning information: Edward R. Tufte, (Graphics Press, Cheshire, CT, 1990), pp. 126, $48.00 pp. 108-109

Barry N. Rosen

The forecasting accuracy of market share models using predicted values of competitive marketing behavior: Karel J. Alsem, Peter S.H. Leeflang and Jan C. Reuyl, International Journal of Research in Marketing 6 (1989) 183-198 pp. 117-118

Roderick J. Brodie and J. Armstrong

Evaluating forecast performance in an inventory control system: Everette S. Gardner Jr., Management Science 36 (1990) 490-499 pp. 118-118

Robert Fildes

Time series models for count or qualitative observations: A.C. Harvey and C. Fernandes, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 7 (1989) 407-422 pp. 118-119

Rober L. Winkler

Sliding simulation: A new approach to time series forecasting: Spyros Makridakis, Management Science 36 (1990) 505-512 pp. 119-119

Robert Fildes