Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies

1997 - 2026

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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2022

A circular business cycle clock for Portugal

Nuno Lourenço and António Rua

Firm lifecycles

António Santos, Nicholas Kozeniauskas, Pedro Dias Moreira and Laszlo Tetenyi

A multidimensional poverty indicator for Portugal

Nuno Alves

The role of family social transfers in reducing child poverty in Portugal

Lara Wemans, Sara Riscado and Edlira Narazani

On the solvency and credibility of a central bank

José Miguel Cardoso da Costa

Pandemic shocks

Paulo Júlio and José Maria

On the aggregate and distributional effects of carbon taxation in Portugal

Nuno Lourenço, Zeina Hasna and Cezar Santos

Corporate insolvency and restructuring during COVID-19

Gil Nogueira

An assessment of companies’ competitiveness in Portugal and in some European countries

Fernando Martins, Hugo Reis, Manuel Coutinho Pereira, Mário Lourenço and Cloé Magalhães

The competitiveness of the Portuguese economy: A view from a composite indicator

João Amador, Ana Fernandes and Guida Nogueira

Financial literacy of 15 years-old in Portugal: Evidence from PISA 2018

Hugo Reis and Lara Wemans

Workforce skills and firm productivity

Ana Catarina Pimenta, Marta Silva, Joana Cima and Miguel Portela

A micro-level analysis of corporate income taxation in Portugal

Cláudia Braz, Sonia Cabral and Maria Campos

Characteristics of parties and duration of insolvency cases in Portugal

Manuel Coutinho Pereira and Lara Wemans

Energy mix and intensity in Portugal: Portraits from aggregate and firm-level data

João Amador

2021

Revisiting Portuguese banks’ efficiency and productivity

Nuno Ribeiro and Inês Tavares

Household wealth in Portugal and the euro area

Luís Martins, Renata Mesquita, Sónia Costa and Luísa Farinha

Consumption expenditure during the COVID-19 pandemic: an analysis based on Portuguese card transaction data

Sonia Cabral, Cristina Manteu, Sara Serra and Cátia Silva

Euro area inflation expectations during the COVID-19 pandemic

Sandra Gomes, Nikolay Iskrev and Pedro Pires Ribeiro

Simple guidelines for the taxation of housing

Pedro Teles

Heterogeneity in loan pricing: the role of bank capital

Diana Bonfim, Leonor Queiró and Luísa Farinha

Unveiling the real contribution of final demand to GDP growth

Fátima Cardoso and António Rua

Challenges in measuring fiscal effects

Cláudia Braz and Maria Campos

Curb your enthusiasm: the aggregate short-run effects of a borrower-based measure

Daniel Abreu and Joana Passinhas

Cyclical outputs and structural budget balances

Cláudia Duarte, José Maria and Sharmin Sazedj

Lessons from a finitely-lived agents structural model

Paulo Júlio and José Maria

Portuguese firms’ financial vulnerability and excess debt in the context of the COVID-19 shock

Francisco Augusto and Márcio Mateus

On the measurement of Portuguese firms’ fixed operating costs

Sónia Félix, Pedro Dias Moreira and Nuno Silva

Indicators of monetary policy stance and financial conditions: an overview

Nikolay Iskrev, Rita Fradique Lourenço and Carla Soares

2020

Inputs, technology and efficiency: The Portuguese economy in the last three decades

João Amador and António Santos

House price forecasting and uncertainty: Examining Portugal and Spain

Paulo Rodrigues, Rita Fradique Lourenço and Robert Hill

Rise and fall of the largest firms in Portugal

Ana Catarina Pimenta, João Amador, Mário Lourenço and Cloé Magalhães

Business owners in Portugal and the euro area: characteristics and exposure to the pandemic

Luís Martins, Renata Mesquita, Sónia Costa and Luísa Farinha

Deposit interest rate ceilings

Paulo Esteves and Maximiano Pinheiro

The capital surcharge on banks offering ‘superdeposits’: An early example of macroprudential policy measure in Portugal

Paulo Esteves and Maximiano Pinheiro

The relation between PD and LGD: an application to a corporate loan portfolio

António Santos

The effect of corporate bond purchases by the ECB on firms’ borrowing costs

Diana Bonfim and André Capela

The sources of wage variability in Portugal: a binge reading survey

Pedro Portugal

The measurement of labour market slack: An empirical analysis for Portugal

Fernando Martins and Domingos Seward

The granularity of Portuguese firm-level exports

Sonia Cabral, Carlos Melo Gouveia and Cristina Manteu

Exchange Rate Cooperation Agreement between Portugal and Cabo Verde: characterisation, developments and challenges after 20 years

Ana Filipa Correia, José Maria, Vanda G. Cunha, Fernando Heitor and Luís Saramago

Non-performing loans and bank lending: Evidence for Portugal

Carla Marques, Ricardo Martinho and Rui Silva

Portuguese Household Finance and Consumption Survey: results for 2017 and comparison with the previous waves

Luís Martins, Renata Mesquita, Sónia Costa and Luísa Farinha

A characterization of income and consumption inequality in Portugal

Nuno Alves, Fátima Cardoso and Nuno Monteiro

2019

Business models and firm performance

Luca David Opromolla

The import content of final demand in Portugal: Nominal and real evolution

Fátima Cardoso and António Rua

Euro area credit market: who contributed to the recent recovery?

Carla Soares

Regulatory costs and performance of Portuguese firms

João Amador, Sonia Cabral and Birgitte Ringstad

Credit and the economy: lessons from a decade of research at Banco de Portugal

Diana Bonfim, Sónia Félix and Luísa Farinha

Inflation expectations in the Survey of Professional Forecasters: An exploratory analysis

Joana Garcia and Nikolay Iskrev

The new ESCB methodology for the calculation of cyclically adjusted budget balances: an application to the Portuguese case

Cláudia Braz, Maria Campos and Sharmin Sazedj

Potential output: How does Portugal compare with the euro area over the last 40 years?

Cláudia Duarte, José Maria and Sharmin Sazedj

Why is price stability a key goal of central banks?

Bernardino Adao

Aggregate educational mismatches in the Portuguese labour market

Ana Catarina Pimenta and Manuel Coutinho Pereira

Cyclically-adjusted current account balances in Portugal

João Amador and João Falcão Silva

Sectoral concentration risk in Portuguese banks’ loan exposures to non-financial firms

Nuno Silva and António Santos