Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies

1997 - 2025

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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2020

Inputs, technology and efficiency: The Portuguese economy in the last three decades

João Amador and António R. dos Santos

House price forecasting and uncertainty: Examining Portugal and Spain

Paulo M.M. Rodrigues, Rita Fradique Lourenço and Robert Hill

Rise and fall of the largest firms in Portugal

Ana Catarina Pimenta, João Amador, Mário Lourenço and Cloé Magalhães

Business owners in Portugal and the euro area: characteristics and exposure to the pandemic

Luís Martins, Renata Mesquita, Sónia Costa and Luísa Farinha

Deposit interest rate ceilings

Paulo Esteves and Maximiano Pinheiro

The capital surcharge on banks offering ‘superdeposits’: An early example of macroprudential policy measure in Portugal

Paulo Esteves and Maximiano Pinheiro

The relation between PD and LGD: an application to a corporate loan portfolio

António R. dos Santos

The effect of corporate bond purchases by the ECB on firms’ borrowing costs

Diana Bonfim and André Capela

The sources of wage variability in Portugal: a binge reading survey

Pedro Portugal

The measurement of labour market slack: An empirical analysis for Portugal

Fernando Martins and Domingos Seward

The granularity of Portuguese firm-level exports

Sonia Cabral, Carlos Melo Gouveia and Cristina Manteu

Exchange Rate Cooperation Agreement between Portugal and Cabo Verde: characterisation, developments and challenges after 20 years

Ana Filipa Correia, José Maria, Vanda G. Cunha, Fernando Heitor and Luís Saramago

Non-performing loans and bank lending: Evidence for Portugal

Carla Marques, Ricardo Martinho and Rui Silva

Portuguese Household Finance and Consumption Survey: results for 2017 and comparison with the previous waves

Luís Martins, Renata Mesquita, Sónia Costa and Luísa Farinha

A characterization of income and consumption inequality in Portugal

Nuno Alves, Fátima Cardoso and Nuno Monteiro

2019

Business models and firm performance

Luca David Opromolla

The import content of final demand in Portugal: Nominal and real evolution

Fátima Cardoso and António Rua

Euro area credit market: who contributed to the recent recovery?

Carla Soares

Regulatory costs and performance of Portuguese firms

João Amador, Sonia Cabral and Birgitte Ringstad

Credit and the economy: lessons from a decade of research at Banco de Portugal

Diana Bonfim, Sónia Félix and Luísa Farinha

Inflation expectations in the Survey of Professional Forecasters: An exploratory analysis

Joana Garcia and Nikolay Iskrev

The new ESCB methodology for the calculation of cyclically adjusted budget balances: an application to the Portuguese case

Cláudia Braz, Maria Campos and Sharmin Sazedj

Potential output: How does Portugal compare with the euro area over the last 40 years?

Cláudia Duarte, José Maria and Sharmin Sazedj

Why is price stability a key goal of central banks?

Bernardino Adão

Aggregate educational mismatches in the Portuguese labour market

Ana Catarina Pimenta and Manuel Coutinho Pereira

Cyclically-adjusted current account balances in Portugal

João Amador and João Falcão Silva

Sectoral concentration risk in Portuguese banks’ loan exposures to non-financial firms

Nuno Silva and António Santos

2018

Financial situation indicators of Portuguese firms: Do size, age and sector matter?

Paulo Esteves, Fábio Albuquerque and Cloé Magalhães

Monitoring the equity risk premium in the S&P500

Nuno Silva

Interest rate spreads hikes: What lies behind them?

Paulo Júlio and José Maria

From unconventional monetary to unconventional fiscal policies

Isabel Horta Correia

Borrowing constraints and firm dynamics

Sónia Félix

A portrait of Portuguese international traders of non-tourism services

João Amador, Sonia Cabral and Birgitte Ringstad

The Maturity Rat Race and Short-Termism

Joana F. Pimentel and Sujiao Zhao

Forecasting exports with targeted predictors

Nuno Lourenço, Francisco Dias and António Rua

Is the Phillips curve dead? - results for Portugal

Sara Serra

How long does it take to enforce a debt in the Portuguese judicial system?

Manuel Coutinho Pereira and Lara Wemans

Term premia dynamics in the US and Euro Area: who is leading whom?

Nikolay Iskrev

GDP-linked bonds: design, effects, and way forward

Diana Bonfim and David Pereira

The distribution of wages and wage inequality

Pedro Portugal, Hugo Reis and Pedro Raposo

2017

House prices in Portugal - what happened since the crisis?

Rita Fradique Lourenço and Paulo M.M. Rodrigues

Understanding the Basel III Leverage Ratio Requirement

Dina Baptista and Sudipto Karmakar

Trade Margins and Cohorts of Traders in Portugal

João Amador and Luca David Opromolla

A model with financial frictions and a banking system for the Portuguese economy

Sandra Gomes

Operational cycle and tax liabilities as determinants of corporate credit risk

Luciana Barbosa and Paulo Soares de Pinho

Spillovers of prudential policy across borders: evidence for Portugal

Diana Bonfim and Sónia Costa

Output in the Portuguese post-2008 period: A general equilibrium narrative

Paulo Júlio and José Maria

Impact of uncertainty measures on the Portuguese economy

Cristina Manteu and Sara Serra

Revisiting the returns to schooling in the Portuguese economy

Hugo Reis and Maria Campos

Why wealth should not be taxed

Pedro Teles and Joana Garcia

Dating the Portuguese business cycle

António Rua

Firm creation and survival in Portugal

Sónia Félix

Productivity in civil justice in Portugal: A crucial issue in a congested system

Manuel Coutinho Pereira and Lara Wemans