Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies

1997 - 2025

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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2007

The Distribution of Losses in Credit to Non-Financial Firms

António R. Antunes and Paula Antão

Credit Risk Drivers: Evaluating the Contribution of Firm Level Information and of Macroeconomic Dynamics

Diana Bonfim

Modelling of an Indicator for Credit Scoring of Non-Financial Corporations – a Preliminary Research Based on Discriminant Analysis

Maria Clara Soares

MIMO - a Monthly Inflation Model

José Maria and Sara Serra

Job Creation and Destruction in Portugal

Carla Machado

Investment Decisions and Financial Standing of Portuguese Firms

Luciana Barbosa

The Wealth Effect on Consumption in the Portuguese Economy

Gabriela Lopes de Castro

Export Specialization Over the Last Four Decades: How Does Portugal Compare With Other Cohesion Countries?

João Amador, José Maria and Sonia Cabral

The Regressivity of Unemployment Insurance: Identification of the Income Effect Through the July 1999 Legislation

Mário Centeno and Álvaro A. Novo

Financing Costs of Portuguese Companies

Isabel Gameiro

An Open Economy Model of the Euro Area and the US

Sandra Gomes and João Sousa

The Economic Impact of Rising the Retirement Age: Lessons From the September 1993 Law

Pedro Portugal and Pedro Martins

Determinants of Spreads in Syndicated Loans to Euro Area Corporates

Luciana Barbosa

Ensuring Price Stability with an Interest Rate Rule

Bernardino Adão and Pedro Teles

The Effects of Monetary and Technology Shocks in Three Different Models of the Euro Area

Carlos Martins and Sandra Gomes

Efficiency of Secondary Schools in Portugal: a Stochastic Frontier Analysis

Manuel Coutinho Pereira and Sara Moreira

The Effects on Equity of an Increase in the Value-Added Tax

Isabel Correia

Foreign Competitors’ Price Aggregation in Computing Price-Competitiveness Indicators: An Application to the EU15 Countries

Paulo Esteves

Portuguese Banks in the Euro Area Market for Daily Funds

Luisa Farinha

2006

Interest Rate Risk in the Banking Book

Sara Noorali and Carlos Santos

Estimating Probabilities of Default under Macroeconomic Scenarios

António R. Antunes and Paula Antão

The Survival of New Firms: Impact of Idiosyncratic and Environmental Factors

Luisa Farinha

The Calculation of Cyclically Adjusted Balances at Banco de Portugal: An update

Cláudia Braz

The Use of Qualitative Information for Forecasting Exports

Cláudia Duarte and Fátima Cardoso

Relative Export Structures and Vertical Specialization: A Simple Cross-Country Index

João Amador, José Maria and Sonia Cabral

The Forward Premium of Euro Interest Rates

Sónia Costa and Ana Beatriz Galvão

Estimating Forward Premia of Short-Term Interest Rates Based on Survey Results

Isabel Gameiro

On the Costs of a Monetary Union

Bernardino Adão and Pedro Teles

Wage Setting in the Portuguese Labor Market: A Microeconomic Approach

Pedro Portugal

Computing Potential Output and the Output Gap for the Portuguese Economy

Vanda Almeida and Ricardo Félix

The Impact on Unemployment Duration of a Mandatory Job Search Program

Mário Centeno and Álvaro A. Novo

Consumption, Disposable Income and Liquidity Constraints

Gabriela Lopes de Castro

Portuguese Export Market Shares: An Analysis by Selected Geographical and Product Markets

Paulo Esteves and Sonia Cabral

Some Issues Concerning the Use of M3 for Monetary Policy Analysis in the Euro Area

Nuno Alves

Third Conference on "Portuguese Economic Development in the European Context": a Synthesis

José Ferreira Machado

The Effects of a Government Consumption Shock

Bernardino Adão and José Brandão de Brito

Legalisation Costs, Contract Enforcement and the Informal Sector

António R. Antunes and Tiago Cavalcanti

Assessment of the Changes in the Portuguese Unemployment Insurance System

Ana Pereira

2005

Estimates of expected losses in credit portfolios – an application of survival analysis to firms with defaulted credit

António R. Antunes

Indebtedness and wealth of portuguese households

Luísa Farinha

Determinants of bank’s financing costs in the bond market

Diana Bonfim

Monthly Historical time series for the Portuguese Economy

Cláudia Duarte

The Chinese Economy and its Integration in the World Economy

Carlos Martins

A survey of literature on the equilibrium real exchange rate. An application to the euro exchange rate

Sónia Costa

Measuring Export Competitiveness: A View on the Portuguese Effective Exchange Rate Weights

Paulo Esteves

Asset prices and macroeconomic fundamentals in the euro area

José Ferreira Machado

Household Wealth in Portugal, 1980-2004

Fátima Cardoso and Vanda Geraldes da Cunha

Wage determination in general government in Portugal

Manuel Coutinho Pereira

A new coincident indicator for the Portuguese private consumption

António Rua

Inflation persistence: facts or artefacts?

Carlos Marques

Pricing behaviour in Portugal: evidence from survey data

Fernando Martins

Price (in)flexibility in Portugal: evidence from micro data-part II

Pedro Neves

Price (in)flexibility in Portugal: evidence from micro data-part I

Pedro Neves

Inflation and Monetary Policy in Portugal before the Euro

Marta Abreu

New European Union Member States Realities and Challenges

Patrícia Silva

Simple Guidelines for Interest Rate Policy

Pedro Teles and José Brandão de Brito

The Monetary Transmission Mechanism: is it Relevant for Policy?

Bernardino Adão, Pedro Teles and Isabel Horta Correia