Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies

1997 - 2025

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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2006

Interest Rate Risk in the Banking Book

Sara Noorali and Carlos Santos

Estimating Probabilities of Default under Macroeconomic Scenarios

António R. Antunes and Paula Antão

The Survival of New Firms: Impact of Idiosyncratic and Environmental Factors

Luisa Farinha

The Calculation of Cyclically Adjusted Balances at Banco de Portugal: An update

Cláudia Braz

The Use of Qualitative Information for Forecasting Exports

Cláudia Duarte and Fátima Cardoso

Relative Export Structures and Vertical Specialization: A Simple Cross-Country Index

João Amador, José Maria and Sonia Cabral

The Forward Premium of Euro Interest Rates

Sónia Costa and Ana Beatriz Galvão

Estimating Forward Premia of Short-Term Interest Rates Based on Survey Results

Isabel Gameiro

On the Costs of a Monetary Union

Bernardino Adão and Pedro Teles

Wage Setting in the Portuguese Labor Market: A Microeconomic Approach

Pedro Portugal

Computing Potential Output and the Output Gap for the Portuguese Economy

Vanda Almeida and Ricardo Félix

The Impact on Unemployment Duration of a Mandatory Job Search Program

Mário Centeno and Álvaro A. Novo

Consumption, Disposable Income and Liquidity Constraints

Gabriela Lopes de Castro

Portuguese Export Market Shares: An Analysis by Selected Geographical and Product Markets

Paulo Esteves and Sonia Cabral

Some Issues Concerning the Use of M3 for Monetary Policy Analysis in the Euro Area

Nuno Alves

Third Conference on "Portuguese Economic Development in the European Context": a Synthesis

José Ferreira Machado

The Effects of a Government Consumption Shock

Bernardino Adão and José Brandão de Brito

Legalisation Costs, Contract Enforcement and the Informal Sector

António R. Antunes and Tiago Cavalcanti

Assessment of the Changes in the Portuguese Unemployment Insurance System

Ana Pereira

2005

Estimates of expected losses in credit portfolios – an application of survival analysis to firms with defaulted credit

António R. Antunes

Indebtedness and wealth of portuguese households

Luísa Farinha

Determinants of bank’s financing costs in the bond market

Diana Bonfim

Monthly Historical time series for the Portuguese Economy

Cláudia Duarte

The Chinese Economy and its Integration in the World Economy

Carlos Martins

A survey of literature on the equilibrium real exchange rate. An application to the euro exchange rate

Sónia Costa

Measuring Export Competitiveness: A View on the Portuguese Effective Exchange Rate Weights

Paulo Soares Esteves

Asset prices and macroeconomic fundamentals in the euro area

José Ferreira Machado

Household Wealth in Portugal, 1980-2004

Fátima Cardoso and Vanda Geraldes da Cunha

Wage determination in general government in Portugal

Manuel Coutinho Pereira

A new coincident indicator for the Portuguese private consumption

António Rua

Inflation persistence: facts or artefacts?

Carlos Robalo Marques

Pricing behaviour in Portugal: evidence from survey data

Fernando Martins

Price (in)flexibility in Portugal: evidence from micro data-part II

Pedro Duarte Neves

Price (in)flexibility in Portugal: evidence from micro data-part I

Pedro Duarte Neves

Inflation and Monetary Policy in Portugal before the Euro

Marta Abreu

New European Union Member States Realities and Challenges

Patrícia Silva

Simple Guidelines for Interest Rate Policy

Pedro Teles and José Brandão de Brito

The Monetary Transmission Mechanism: is it Relevant for Policy?

Bernardino Adão, Pedro Teles and Isabel Horta Correia

2004

Real-Time Quarterly National Accounts

Catarina José

Recent Evolution of Portuguese Export Market Shares in the European Union

Sonia Cabral

New Effective Exchange Rate Index for the Portuguese Economy

Carlos Coimbra

Oil Prices and the Economy

Pedro Duarte Neves

The EU Fiscal Rules: Some Guidelines for Reform

João Amador

Exchange Rate Regimes: A Global Picture Since the Emerging Market Crises in the Mid 1990s

Rita Fradique Lourenço

Liquidity and Order Flow in the Portuguese Stock Market

António R. Antunes, Paula Antão and Nuno C. Martins

Households’ debt Burden: An Analysis Based on Microeconomic Data

Luisa Farinha

Quarterly Series for the Portuguese Economy: 1977-2003

Paulo Soares Esteves

Revisiting the NAIRU Estimates for the Portuguese Economy

Paulo Esteves and Francisco Craveiro Dias

Instruments of Monetary Policy

Bernardino Adão and Pedro Teles

A New Coincident Indicator for the Portuguese Economy

António Rua

Myths and Facts Regarding the Portuguese Labour Market - the Tragic Fate of College Graduates

Pedro Portugal

Labour Market Heterogeneity: Distinguishing between Unemployment and Inactivity

Pedro Afonso Fernandes

Banco de Portugal Conference on "Portuguese Economic Development in the European Union": A Personal Summary

José A. F. Machado