Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies

1997 - 2025

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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Real-Time Quarterly National Accounts: Catarina José
Recent Evolution of Portuguese Export Market Shares in the European Union: Sonia Cabral
New Effective Exchange Rate Index for the Portuguese Economy: Carlos Coimbra
Oil Prices and the Economy: Pedro Neves
The EU Fiscal Rules: Some Guidelines for Reform: João Amador
Exchange Rate Regimes: A Global Picture Since the Emerging Market Crises in the Mid 1990s: Rita Fradique Lourenço
Liquidity and Order Flow in the Portuguese Stock Market: António R. Antunes, Paula Antão and Nuno C. Martins
Households’ debt Burden: An Analysis Based on Microeconomic Data: Luisa Farinha
Quarterly Series for the Portuguese Economy: 1977-2003: Paulo Esteves
Revisiting the NAIRU Estimates for the Portuguese Economy: Paulo Esteves and Francisco Craveiro Dias
Instruments of Monetary Policy: Bernardino Adão and Pedro Teles
A New Coincident Indicator for the Portuguese Economy: António Rua
Myths and Facts Regarding the Portuguese Labour Market - the Tragic Fate of College Graduates: Pedro Portugal
Labour Market Heterogeneity: Distinguishing between Unemployment and Inactivity: Pedro Afonso Fernandes
Banco de Portugal Conference on "Portuguese Economic Development in the European Union": A Personal Summary: José A. F. Machado

The Portuguese Escudo in the ERM: Marta Abreu
Disinflation and Fiscal Policy in Portugal: 1990-2002: Cláudia Braz
Uncertainty and Risk Analysis: na Application to the Projections for the Portuguese Economy in 2004: Paulo Esteves
The Use of Qualitative Data for Short Term Analysis: Raquel Henriques dos Santos
The Coincident Indicator of the Portuguese Economy: an Historical Assessment after Ten Years: Francisco Craveiro Dias
Does Money Granger Cause Inflation in the Euro Area?: Joaquim Pina
The Portuguese Escudo in the ERM and the Efectiveness of the Exchange Rate Management: Bernardino Adão and Joaquim Pina
The Effect of Demographic and Socioeconomic Factors on Households' Indebetdness: Luisa Farinha
Monetary Conditions Index for Portugal: Paulo Esteves
The Conduct of Monetary Policy: a Critical Review: Bernardino Adão and Pedro Teles
Unemployment and Vacancy Duration in the Portuguese Labour Market: João Miguel Coelho
Movements in Official Interest Rates: Persistence and Gradualism: Fernando Martins

The Analysis of Calendar Effects on the Daily Returns of the Portuguese Stock Market: the Weekend and Public Holiday Effects: Miguel Balbina
A Note on an "Explosive" Law: António Pinto Barbosa
Hedonic Price Indexes for New Passenger Cars in Portugal (1997-2001): Hugo Reis and João Santos Silva
The Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy in Portugal: Luísa Farinha
Analysis on the Impact of the Conversion of Escudos into Euros: Carlos Coimbra
Composite Indicators for the Euro Area Economic Activity: António Rua
Financing Pensions for Public Sector Workers in Portugal: Estimates of the Long Run Impact on Public Finances: Luís Morais Sarmento
Cyclical Behaviour of the Portuguese Economy: 1953-1995: Diana Bonfim and Pedro Neves
Conference Held by the Banco de Portugal on "Portuguese Economic Development: Determinants and Policies": A Personal Summary: José Ferreira Machado
Bayesian Forecasting Models for the Euro Area: Luis Nunes
Cyclical Developments of Portuguese Economy in the 1910-1958 Period: Brief Analysis: Pedro Neves
Local Finance and Fiscal Consolidation in Portugal: Patrícia Silva

Some Facts about the Cyclical Convergence in the Euro Zone: Frederico Belo
From EC Accession to EMU Participation: the Portuguese Disinflation Experience in the Period of 1984-1998: Marta Abreu
Conversion of Prices from Escudos into Euro: Quantitative Estimate of its Effect on the CPI: Carlos Coimbra
The Use of Cyclically Adjusted Balances at Banco de Portugal: Pedro Neves
Wages of Civil Servants: Pedro Portugal and Economic Bulletin
Tax parameters in the Portuguese economy - Part II: direct taxes: Alfredo Pereira
Uncertainty in the Taylor Rule and monetary policy assessment: Fernando Martins and Paulo Esteves
Tax parameters in the Portuguese economy - Part I: Indirect taxes: Alfredo Pereira
Using the first principal component as a core inflation indicator: Pedro Neves

Is self-employment a response to labour market rigidity?: Mário Centeno
Information on inflation expectations contained in the prices of financial assets: Maria de Fátima Silva
Monetary conditions index: Sónia Costa
Using the asymmetric trimmed mean as a core inflation indicator: João Machado Mota
Inflation differential between Portugal and Germany: Sónia Costa
Inflation differencial and real convergence in Portugal: Paulo Brito
Quantity versus quality: the growth accounting in Ireland: Miguel Lebre de Freitas
Taylor Rules: Fernando Martins