Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies

1997 - 2025

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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The Portuguese Escudo in the ERM: Marta Abreu
Disinflation and Fiscal Policy in Portugal: 1990-2002: Cláudia Braz
Uncertainty and Risk Analysis: na Application to the Projections for the Portuguese Economy in 2004: Paulo Esteves
The Use of Qualitative Data for Short Term Analysis: Raquel Henriques dos Santos
The Coincident Indicator of the Portuguese Economy: an Historical Assessment after Ten Years: Francisco Craveiro Dias
Does Money Granger Cause Inflation in the Euro Area?: Joaquim Pina
The Portuguese Escudo in the ERM and the Efectiveness of the Exchange Rate Management: Bernardino Adão and Joaquim Pina
The Effect of Demographic and Socioeconomic Factors on Households' Indebetdness: Luisa Farinha
Monetary Conditions Index for Portugal: Paulo Soares Esteves
The Conduct of Monetary Policy: a Critical Review: Bernardino Adão and Pedro Teles
Unemployment and Vacancy Duration in the Portuguese Labour Market: João Miguel Coelho
Movements in Official Interest Rates: Persistence and Gradualism: Fernando Martins

The Analysis of Calendar Effects on the Daily Returns of the Portuguese Stock Market: the Weekend and Public Holiday Effects: Miguel Balbina
A Note on an "Explosive" Law: António Pinto Barbosa
Hedonic Price Indexes for New Passenger Cars in Portugal (1997-2001): Hugo Reis and João Santos Silva
The Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy in Portugal: Luísa Farinha
Analysis on the Impact of the Conversion of Escudos into Euros: Carlos Coimbra
Composite Indicators for the Euro Area Economic Activity: António Rua
Financing Pensions for Public Sector Workers in Portugal: Estimates of the Long Run Impact on Public Finances: Luís Morais Sarmento
Cyclical Behaviour of the Portuguese Economy: 1953-1995: Diana Bonfim and Pedro Duarte Neves
Conference Held by the Banco de Portugal on "Portuguese Economic Development: Determinants and Policies": A Personal Summary: José Ferreira Machado
Bayesian Forecasting Models for the Euro Area: Luis Nunes
Cyclical Developments of Portuguese Economy in the 1910-1958 Period: Brief Analysis: Pedro Duarte Neves
Local Finance and Fiscal Consolidation in Portugal: Patrícia Silva

Some Facts about the Cyclical Convergence in the Euro Zone: Frederico Belo
From EC Accession to EMU Participation: the Portuguese Disinflation Experience in the Period of 1984-1998: Marta Abreu
Conversion of Prices from Escudos into Euro: Quantitative Estimate of its Effect on the CPI: Carlos Coimbra
The Use of Cyclically Adjusted Balances at Banco de Portugal: Pedro Duarte Neves
Wages of Civil Servants: Pedro Portugal and Economic Bulletin
Tax parameters in the Portuguese economy - Part II: direct taxes: Alfredo Pereira
Uncertainty in the Taylor Rule and monetary policy assessment: Fernando Martins and Paulo Esteves
Tax parameters in the Portuguese economy - Part I: Indirect taxes: Alfredo Pereira
Using the first principal component as a core inflation indicator: Pedro Duarte Neves

Is self-employment a response to labour market rigidity?: Mário Centeno
Information on inflation expectations contained in the prices of financial assets: Maria de Fátima Silva
Monetary conditions index: Sónia Costa
Using the asymmetric trimmed mean as a core inflation indicator: João Machado Mota
Inflation differential between Portugal and Germany: Sónia Costa
Inflation differencial and real convergence in Portugal: Paulo Brito
Quantity versus quality: the growth accounting in Ireland: Miguel Lebre de Freitas
Taylor Rules: Fernando Martins

Employment volatility, employment protection and unemployment: Pedro Portugal
Evaluating core inflation indicators: Pedro Duarte Neves
The relationships between firms and banks: choosing between single and multiple bank relationship: Luisa Farinha
Outlet substitution bias: Francisco Covas
The impact of the euro on long-term growth in Portugal: Alfredo Pereira
The demand for money by firms: Bernardino Adão and José Mata
Some reflections on the liquidity trap and conduct of monetary policy under low inflation: Isabel Gameiro and Maximiano Pinheiro
Optimal inflaction: Pedro Teles

Eleventh general review of IMF quotas - background and application: Fernando Martins
Estimation of the output gap: univariate approach: Maximiano Pinheiro
Estimation of potencial output for the Portuguese economy: Pedro Duarte Neves
Quantifying data from qualitative surveys: Rui Esteves
Information on expectations about the escudo convergence from the volatility implied in currency options: Bernardino Adão and Jorge Barros Luís
Determination of the equilibrium real exchange rate for the Portuguese economy using the FEER: Sónia Costa
Social security and economic performance in Portugal: Alfredo Pereira
Fiscal policy after 1999: António Pinto Barbosa
Debt relief in developing countries - the HICP iniciative: Fernando Martins and Luís Saramago
The wage distribution in Portugal: 1982-1994: José Mata