Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies

1997 - 2026

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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Financial situation indicators of Portuguese firms: Do size, age and sector matter?: Paulo Esteves, Fábio Albuquerque and Cloé Magalhães
Monitoring the equity risk premium in the S&P500: Nuno Silva
Interest rate spreads hikes: What lies behind them?: Paulo Júlio and José Maria
From unconventional monetary to unconventional fiscal policies: Isabel Horta Correia
Borrowing constraints and firm dynamics: Sónia Félix
A portrait of Portuguese international traders of non-tourism services: João Amador, Sonia Cabral and Birgitte Ringstad
The Maturity Rat Race and Short-Termism: Joana F. Pimentel and Sujiao Zhao
Forecasting exports with targeted predictors: Nuno Lourenço, Francisco Dias and António Rua
Is the Phillips curve dead? - results for Portugal: Sara Serra
How long does it take to enforce a debt in the Portuguese judicial system?: Manuel Coutinho Pereira and Lara Wemans
Term premia dynamics in the US and Euro Area: who is leading whom?: Nikolay Iskrev
GDP-linked bonds: design, effects, and way forward: Diana Bonfim and David Pereira
The distribution of wages and wage inequality: Pedro Portugal, Hugo Reis and Pedro Raposo

House prices in Portugal - what happened since the crisis?: Rita Fradique Lourenço and Paulo Rodrigues
Understanding the Basel III Leverage Ratio Requirement: Dina Baptista and Sudipto Karmakar
Trade Margins and Cohorts of Traders in Portugal: João Amador and Luca David Opromolla
A model with financial frictions and a banking system for the Portuguese economy: Sandra Gomes
Operational cycle and tax liabilities as determinants of corporate credit risk: Luciana Barbosa and Paulo Soares de Pinho
Spillovers of prudential policy across borders: evidence for Portugal: Diana Bonfim and Sónia Costa
Output in the Portuguese post-2008 period: A general equilibrium narrative: Paulo Júlio and José Maria
Impact of uncertainty measures on the Portuguese economy: Cristina Manteu and Sara Serra
Revisiting the returns to schooling in the Portuguese economy: Hugo Reis and Maria Campos
Why wealth should not be taxed: Pedro Teles and Joana Garcia
Dating the Portuguese business cycle: António Rua
Firm creation and survival in Portugal: Sónia Félix
Productivity in civil justice in Portugal: A crucial issue in a congested system: Manuel Coutinho Pereira and Lara Wemans

Nowcasting Portuguese tourism exports: Sonia Cabral and Cláudia Duarte
Bank Switching in Portugal: Gil Nogueira
Financial situation of the households in Portugal: an analysis based on the HFCS 2013: Sónia Costa
The precautionary saving: theories, measurements and policies: Valerio Ercolani
Bank Runs: Theories and Policy Applications: Ettore Panetti
Portugal: Trends, cycles, and instability in output and unemployment over 2008-2012: José Maria
A bottom-up approach for forecasting GDP in a data rich environment: Francisco Craveiro Dias, Maximiano Pinheiro and António Rua
The sources of the gender wage gap: Paulo Guimaraes, Pedro Portugal, Ana Rute Cardoso and Pedro Raposo
Firm default probabilities revisited: António Antunes, Homero Gonçalves and Pedro Prego
How can the Phillips curve be used for today's policy?: Pedro Teles and Joana Garcia
How the Portuguese firms adjusted to the economic and financial crisis: main shocks and channels of adjustment: Fernando Martins
Comparing misallocation between sectors in Portugal: Daniel Dias, Carlos Marques and Christine Richmond
Structure of corporate funding: Luciana Barbosa and Paulo Soares de Pinho

A Reappraisal of Eurozone Countries Output Differentials: Paulo Rodrigues and Jorge Andraz
The Portuguese money market throughout the crisis: What was the impact of ECB liquidity provision?: Ana Sofia Saldanha and Carla Soares
The euro area financial network and the need for better integration: Nuno Silva
The Portuguese labor market legislation: a technological shock: Álvaro A. Novo
On fallacies surrounding the discussion about the reduction of social security contributions: Pedro Portugal
On the wage bargaining system in Portugal: Fernando Martins
Trade Unions: The winners curse?: Hugo de Almeida Vilares
The Portuguese Banking System during the Sovereign Debt Crisis: Matteo Crosignani, Miguel Faria-e-Castro and Luís Fonseca
Temporary contracts’ transitions: the role of training and institutions: Sara Serra
Increased strength of monetary policy: Bernardino Adao and Andre Silva
Revisiting the monthly coincident indicators of Banco de Portugal: António Rua
Determinants of civil litigation in Portugal: Manuel Coutinho Pereira and Lara Wemans
Co-movement of revisions in short- and long-term inflation expectations: António Antunes