Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies

1997 - 2025

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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2012

A Scoring Model For Portuguese Non-Financial Enterprises

António R. Antunes and Ricardo Martinho

Households’ Default Probability: An Analysis Based on the Results of the HFCS

Sónia Costa

Systemic Liquidity Risk

Diana Bonfim and Moshe Kim

Systemic risk analysis and option-based theory and information

Martín Saldias

Access to credit by non-financial firms

António R. Antunes and Ricardo Martinho

Households’ indebtedness: a microeconomic analysis based on the results of the households’ financial

Luísa Farinha and Sónia Costa

The wage gap of immigrants in the Portuguese labour market

Cláudia Duarte and Sonia Cabral

What accounts for Portuguese regional differences in students’ performance? Evidence from OECD PISA

Hugo Reis and Manuel Coutinho Pereira

A view on income redistribution in Portugal and in the European Union

Nuno Alves

The evolution of public expenditure: Portugal in the euro area context

Cláudia Braz

Short-term forecasting for the portuguese economy: a methodological overview

António Rua and Paulo Esteves

Product switching or re-classification? An application to portuguese international trade

Luca David Opromolla and Rúben Branco

An evaluation of government expenditures’ externalities

João Valle e Azevedo

Measuring competition in the Portuguese economy using profit elasticities

Ana Cristina Soares and João Amador

Wavelets in economics

António Rua

Mobility and income inequality in the European Union and in Portugal

Carlos Martins and Nuno Alves

Labour cost-cutting strategies microeconomic evidence from survey data

Fernando Martins and Daniel Dias

On the targeting of short and long term interest rates

Bernardino Adão and Pedro Teles

Revisiting the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policy in the US, measured on the basis of structural VARs

Manuel Coutinho Pereira

Welfare costs of inflation with distortionary taxation

Bernardino Adão and Andre Silva

Fiscal institutions and public spending volatility in Europe

Bruno Albuquerque

Competition in the Portuguese Economy: a view on tradables and non-tradables

Ana Cristina Soares and João Amador

Segmentation

Mário Centeno and Álvaro A. Novo

2011

Modelling the Evolution of Households’ Defaults

Nuno Alves

The Behaviour of Domestic and non Domestic Banks in the Housing Credit Market: an Analysis Based on Microeconomic Data

Luísa Farinha and Sónia Costa

Towards a CCA-based Systemic Risk Indicator

António R. Antunes, Nuno Silva and Nuno Ribeiro

Estimating the impact of bank mergers: an application to the Portuguese banking system

Diana Bonfim and Pedro Pita Barros

Bank loans and banks’ corporate control: evidence for Portugal

Paula Antão and Miguel A. Ferreira

Debt and extinction of firms

António R. Antunes, Pedro Portugal and José Mata

Sectoral credit risk in the euro area

Martín Saldias

Public-private wage gaps in the period prior to the adoption of the euro: an application based on longitudinal data

Maria Campos

A comparison of the cyclical evolution of various geographic areas of reference with Portugal

Paulo M.M. Rodrigues and Raul Filipe C. Guerreiro

Fiscal devaluation

Isabel Horta Correia

The Quarterly National Accounts in real-time: an analysis of the revisions over the last decade

António Rua and Fátima Cardoso

An analysis of Portuguese students’ performance in the OECD Programme for International Student

Manuel Coutinho Pereira

The impact of the minimum wage on low-wage earners

Cláudia Duarte

Stabilization Policy and Boom-Bust Cycles - Monetary and Macro-Prudential Rules

Maria Tereza Punzi

Rational vs. professional forecasts

João Valle e Azevedo

Learning from the past: fiscal adjustments on the run-up to the euro area

Maria Campos

Fiscal consolidation in a small euro area economy

Gabriela Castro and José Maria

International organisations’ vs. private analysts’ growth forecasts: an evaluation

Ildeberta Abreu

Immigrants in the Portuguese labour market

Cláudia Duarte and Sonia Cabral

Productivity, size and capital intensity in selected Portuguese manufacturing sectors: a non-parametric analysis

João Amador

Fiscal policy in a small euro area economy

Gabriela Castro and José Maria

Good (and not so good) policy at the zero bound

Pedro Teles and Sandra Gomes

Monetary policy and financial stability: an open debate

Carla Soares, Isabel Gameiro and João Sousa

2010

Access to Bank Credit after Corporate Default

Diana Bonfim and Daniel Dias

Household Credit Delinquency: Does the Borrowers’ Indebtedness Profile Play A Role?

Luísa Farinha

Inter-Sector Relations in the Portuguese Economy: an Application of Contingent

Nuno Silva

Bank Relationships and Borrowing Costs

Diana Bonfim and Qinglei Dai

An Application of Contingent Claim Analysis to the Portuguese Banking System

António R. Antunes and Nuno Silva

An Assessment of Portuguese Banks’ Costs and Efficiency

Thomas Weyman-Jones

On the cyclical sensitivity of real wages

Paulo Guimarães, Pedro Portugal and Anabela Carneiro

Understanding Price-reviewing Strategies Using Firm-level Data

Fernando Martins and Daniel Dias

Household Saving in Portugal: Micro and Macroeconomic Evidence

Fátima Cardoso and Nuno Alves

Educational Attainment and Equality of Opportunity in Portugal and in Europe: The Role of School Versus Parental Influence

Manuel Coutinho Pereira

Parameter identification in Dynamic Economic models

Nikolay Iskrev

Forecasting Inflation with Monetary Aggregates

João Valle e Azevedo

Determinants of sovereign bond yield spreads in the euro area in the context of the economic and financial crisis

Luciana Barbosa and Sónia Costa

Determinants of the EONIA spread and the financial turmoil of 2007-2009

Carla Soares and Paulo M.M. Rodrigues

Gains from Import Variety: The Case of Portugal

Cristina Manteu and Sonia Cabral

Energy Production and Consumption in Portugal:Stylized Facts

João Amador

How to Measure Unemployment? Implications for the NAIRU

José Maria

Monetary Policy Effects on the Flow of Funds of Non-Financial Corporations and Households in Portugal

Isabel Gameiro

The Margins of Exports: Firms, Products and Destinations

João Amador and Luca David Opromolla

Volatility and Seasonality of Tourism Demand in Portugal

Paulo M.M. Rodrigues and Ana C. M. Daniel

Bank Interest Rates and Loan Determinants

Gabriela Castro and Carlos Santos

Capital Taxation and Globalization

Isabel H. Correia

Investment in Education in Portugal: Returns and Heterogeneity

Nuno Alves