Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies

1997 - 2026

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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2014

Gestão da liquidez das empresas não financeiras portuguesas: uma análise das restrições de financiamento

Luísa Farinha

Credit rationing for Portuguese SMEs

Luísa Farinha and Sónia Félix

The impact of bank recapitalization on firms' access to credit: Evidence from Portugal

Sónia Félix and Francisco Augusto

Composite Indicator of Financial Stress for Portugal

José Pedro Braga

Strategy and instruments of macro-prudential policy

Financial Stability Department

Cash holdings determinants in the Portuguese economy

Luísa Farinha

Wage adjustments during a severe economic downturn

Fernando Martins and Pedro Portugal

Sovereign Debt Crises

Pedro Teles

The Dynamics and Contrast of House Prices in Portugal and Spain

Paulo Rodrigues and Rita Fradique Lourenço

Structural reforms in the euro area

Sandra Gomes

A review of the pharmaceutical market in Portugal

Manuel Coutinho Pereira

The cyclicality of the Portuguese labour market: a macroeconomic perspective in the OECD context

Pedro Amaral

Resource allocation, productivity and growth in Portugal

Daniel Dias

Forecasting Portuguese GDP with factor models

António Rua and Francisco Craveiro Dias

Grade retention during basic education in Portugal: determinants and impact on student achievement

Hugo Reis and Manuel Coutinho Pereira

Financial frictions and shock transmission: the Portuguese case

Gabriela Castro, José Maria and Paulo Júlio

The 3D Model: a Framework to Assess Capital Regulation

Laurent Clerc

Early Warning Indicators of Banking Crises: Exploring new Data and Tools

António Antunes, Diana Bonfim, Nuno Monteiro and Paulo Rodrigues

Capitalization and Credit Provision: Evidence from the United States

Sudipto Karmakar

Portuguese Exports in the Global Value Chains

João Amador and Robert Stehrer

Household Income Mobility in the European Union and in Portugal: an Analysis of Labor Market and Demographic Events

Carlos Martins and Nuno Alves

2013

The implementation of the countercyclical capital buffer: rules versus discretion

Diana Bonfim and Nuno Monteiro

A Macro-prudential Policy for Financial Stability

Rita Basto

Option trade volume and volatility of banks’ stock returns

Rafael Barbosa and Martin Saldias

Bank interest rates on new loans to non-financial corporations– one first look at a new set of micro data

Carlos Santos

Investment Decisions and Financial Standing of Portuguese Firms – recent evidence

Luísa Farinha

Is there a risk-taking channel of monetary policy in Portugal?

Carla Soares and Diana Bonfim

The price elasticity of external demand of Portuguese exports: a comparison with other euro area countries

Cristina Manteu and Sonia Cabral

Labor unions, union density and the union wage premium

Pedro Portugal

Segmenting wages

Mário Centeno and Álvaro A. Novo

Confidence and economic activity: the case of Portugal

Maria Tereza Punzi

The import content of global demand in Portugal

António Rua, Fátima Cardoso and Paulo Esteves

The determinants of downward wage rigidity: Some methodological considerations and new empirical evidence

Fernando Martins and Daniel Dias

The macroeconomic effects of legislated tax changes in Portugal

Lara Wemans and Manuel Coutinho Pereira

Short-term macroeconomic forecasts for the U.S. economy using nowcasts of the survey of professional forecasters

Inês Maria Gonçalves

Predicting aggregate returns using valuation ratios out-of-sample

Ana Sequeira

The world tourism exports cycle

Paulo Rodrigues and P.M.D.C.B. Gouveia

Short-term forecasting of indirect tax revenues: an application for Portugal

Cláudia Braz and Paulo Esteves

Oil price shocks and their effects on economic activity and prices: an application for Portugal

Francisco Craveiro Dias

Business cycle accounting for Portugal

Nikolay Iskrev

Foreign investment and institutional reform: Portugal in European perspective

Paulo Júlio and Ricardo Pinheiro-Alves

Competition in the Portuguese Economy: Estimated Price-Cost Margins Under Imperfect Labour Markets

Ana Cristina Soares and João Amador

Trade and wage inequality

Luca David Opromolla

Assessment of Banco de Portugal’s projection errors for economic activity in the period 2009-12

Banco de Portugal

Output effects of fiscal policy in Portugal: a structural VAR approach

Lara Wemans and Manuel Coutinho Pereira

2012

A Scoring Model For Portuguese Non-Financial Enterprises

António Antunes and Ricardo Martinho

Households’ Default Probability: An Analysis Based on the Results of the HFCS

Sónia Costa

Systemic Liquidity Risk

Diana Bonfim and Moshe Kim

Systemic risk analysis and option-based theory and information

Martin Saldias

Access to credit by non-financial firms

António Antunes and Ricardo Martinho

Households’ indebtedness: a microeconomic analysis based on the results of the households’ financial

Luísa Farinha and Sónia Costa

The wage gap of immigrants in the Portuguese labour market

Cláudia Duarte and Sonia Cabral

What accounts for Portuguese regional differences in students’ performance? Evidence from OECD PISA

Hugo Reis and Manuel Coutinho Pereira

A view on income redistribution in Portugal and in the European Union

Nuno Alves

The evolution of public expenditure: Portugal in the euro area context

Cláudia Braz

Short-term forecasting for the portuguese economy: a methodological overview

António Rua and Paulo Esteves

Product switching or re-classification? An application to portuguese international trade

Luca David Opromolla and Rúben Branco

An evaluation of government expenditures’ externalities

João Valle e Azevedo

Measuring competition in the Portuguese economy using profit elasticities

Ana Cristina Soares and João Amador

Wavelets in economics

António Rua

Mobility and income inequality in the European Union and in Portugal

Carlos Martins and Nuno Alves

Labour cost-cutting strategies microeconomic evidence from survey data

Fernando Martins and Daniel Dias

On the targeting of short and long term interest rates

Bernardino Adao and Pedro Teles

Revisiting the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policy in the US, measured on the basis of structural VARs

Manuel Coutinho Pereira

Welfare costs of inflation with distortionary taxation

Bernardino Adao and Andre Silva

Fiscal institutions and public spending volatility in Europe

Bruno Albuquerque

Competition in the Portuguese Economy: a view on tradables and non-tradables

Ana Cristina Soares and João Amador

Segmentation

Mário Centeno and Álvaro A. Novo