Journal of Business Cycle Research
2016 - 2022
Current editor(s): Michael Graff From: Springer Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET) Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla () and Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (). Access Statistics for this journal.
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Volume 18, issue 1, 2022
- New Findings Regarding the Out-of-Sample Predictive Impact of the Price of Crude Oil on the United States Industrial Production pp. 1-35

- Nima Nonejad
- Constructing and Characterising the Aggregate South African Financial Cycle: A Markov Regime-Switching Approach pp. 37-67

- Milan Christian Wet and Ilse Botha
- A Customized Machine Learning Algorithm for Discovering the Shapes of Recovery: Was the Global Financial Crisis Different? pp. 69-99

- Gonzalo Castañeda and Luis Castro Peñarrieta
- Co-movement of Cyclical Components Approach to Construct a Coincident Index of Business Cycles pp. 101-127

- Koki Kyo, Hideo Noda and Genshiro Kitagawa
Volume 17, issue 3, 2021
- The Evolution of US and UK Real GDP Components in the Time-Frequency Domain: A Continuous Wavelet Analysis pp. 233-261

- Patrick Crowley and Andrew Hughes Hallett
- Predicting Recessions in Germany Using the German and the US Yield Curve pp. 263-291

- Martin Pažický
- A Wavelet Evaluation of Some Leading Business Cycle Indicators for the German Economy pp. 293-319

- Jens J. Krüger
- The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Investment in Finland and South Korea pp. 321-337

- Gene Ambrocio and Tae-Seok Jang
Volume 17, issue 2, 2021
- Trend-Cycle Interactions and the Subprime Crisis: Analysis of US and Canadian Output pp. 109-128

- Max Soloschenko and Enzo Weber
- The Time–Frequency Relationship between Oil Price, Stock Returns and Exchange Rate pp. 129-149

- Sudipta Das
- Does Hamilton’s OLS Regression Provide a “better alternative” to the Hodrick-Prescott Filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective pp. 151-183

- Viv Hall and Peter Thomson
- The Industry Life Cycle in an Economic Downturn: Lessons from Firm’s Behavior in Spain, 2007–2012 pp. 185-214

- Caridad Maylín-Aguilar and Ángeles Montoro-Sánchez
- Predicting the German Economy: Headline Survey Indices Under Test pp. 215-232

- Robert Lehmann and Magnus Reif
Volume 17, issue 1, 2021
- On the Aggregation of Survey-Based Economic Uncertainty Indicators Between Different Agents and Across Variables pp. 1-26

- Oscar Claveria
- Intertemporal Cointegration Model: A New Approach to the Lead–Lag Relationship Between Cointegrated Time Series pp. 27-53

- Takashi Oga
- Growth in US Durables Spending: Assessing the Impact of Consumer Ability and Willingness to Buy pp. 55-69

- Hamid Baghestani and Sehar Fatima
- Measuring the Business Cycle Chronology with a Novel Business Cycle Indicator for Germany pp. 71-89

- Agnieszka Gehringer and Thomas Mayer
- Are the European Commission’s Business and Consumer Survey Results Coincident Indicators for Maltese Economic Activity? pp. 91-108

- Aaron G. Grech and Reuben Ellul
Volume 16, issue 2, 2020
- Editorial pp. 75-75

- Michael Graff
- Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set pp. 77-97

- Yongchen Zhao
- Disagreements in Consumer Inflation Expectations: Empirical Evidence for a Latin American Economy pp. 99-122

- Juan Camilo Anzoátegui-Zapata and Juan Camilo Galvis-Ciro
- Machine Learning and Nowcasts of Swedish GDP pp. 123-134

- Kristian Jönsson
- Spanish Economic-Financial Crisis: Social and Academic Interest pp. 135-149

- Noelia Araújo-Vila, Jose Antonio Fraiz-Brea and Arthur Filipe Araújo
- Cyclical Dynamics and Trend/Cycle Definitions: Comparing the HP and Hamilton Filters pp. 151-162

- Kristian Jönsson
Volume 16, issue 1, 2020
- Has the Financial Crisis affected the Real Interest Rate Dynamics in Europe? pp. 1-18

- Nektarios Aslanidis and Selva Demiralp
- Consumers Confidence and Households Consumption in Brazil: Evidence from the FGV Survey pp. 19-34

- Aloisio Campelo, Viviane Seda Bittencourt and Marco Malgarini
- The Challenge of Pairing Big Datasets: Probabilistic Record Linkage Methods and Diagnosis of Their Empirical Viability pp. 35-57

- Yaohao Peng and Lucas Ferreira Mation
- Information Content of Russian Services Surveys pp. 59-74

- Liudmila Kitrar, Tamara Lipkind and Georgy Ostapkovich
Volume 15, issue 2, 2019
- The Determinants of Optimal Exchange Rate Regimes in High and Low Oil-Producing Countries pp. 97-120

- Eman Elish
- What has Changed After the Great Recession on the European Cyclical Patterns? pp. 121-146

- Ana Rodríguez-Santiago
- A PMI-Based Real GDP Tracker for the Euro Area pp. 147-170

- Gabe de Bondt
Volume 15, issue 1, 2019
- Inspecting the Relationship Between Business Confidence and Industrial Production: Evidence on Italian Survey Data pp. 1-24

- Giancarlo Bruno, L. Crosilla and Patrizia Margani
- Measuring Brazilian Economic Uncertainty pp. 25-40

- Pedro Costa Ferreira, Raíra Marotta B. Vieira, Felipi Bruno Silva and Ingrid C. L. Oliveira
- Consumers’ Perception of Inflation in Inflationary and Deflationary Environment pp. 41-71

- Ewa Stanisławska
- CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions pp. 73-95

- Barend Abeln, Jan Jacobs and Pim Ouwehand
Volume 14, issue 2, 2018
- Which Indicators Matter? Analyzing the Swiss Business Cycle Using a Large-Scale Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model pp. 179-218

- Alain Galli
- Do Global Crude Oil Markets Behave as One Great Pool? A Cyclical Analysis pp. 219-241

- Niyati Bhanja, Arif Dar and Aviral Tiwari
- Structural Change and Business Cycles in Japan: Revisiting the Stylized Facts pp. 243-281

- Satoshi Urasawa
- Price-Setting Behavior in Brazil: Survey Evidence pp. 283-310

- Arnildo Correa, Myrian Petrassi and Rafael Santos
Volume 14, issue 1, 2018
- Nowcasting Real Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Assessing the Impact of Qualitative Surveys pp. 1-46

- Raïsa Basselier, David Antonio Liedo and Geert Langenus
- A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA pp. 47-87

- Carlos A. Medel
- The Effects of Uncertainty Shocks on Daily Prices pp. 89-104

- Dario Bonciani and Andrea Tafuro
- Would DSGE Models Have Predicted the Great Recession in Austria? pp. 105-126

- Fritz Breuss
- Implementing an Approximate Dynamic Factor Model to Nowcast GDP Using Sensitivity Analysis pp. 127-141

- Pablo Duarte and Bernd Süssmuth
- Large Shocks and the Business Cycle: The Effect of Outlier Adjustments pp. 143-178

- Yoshihiro Ohtsuka
Volume 13, issue 2, 2017
- How Informative are Aggregated Inflation Expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters pp. 139-163

- Sami Oinonen and Maritta Paloviita
- Stylized Facts of the Business Cycle: Universal Phenomenon, or Institutionally Determined? pp. 165-187

- Vadim Kufenko and Niels Geiger
- Q-Targeting in New Keynesian Models pp. 189-224

- Burkhard Heer, Alfred Maussner and Halvor Ruf
- Sentiment and Uncertainty Fluctuations and Their Effects on the Euro Area Business Cycle pp. 225-251

- Bas Aarle and Cindy Moons
Volume 13, issue 1, 2017
- Interregional Trade, Specialization, and the Business Cycle: Policy Implications for the EMU pp. 1-27

- Carlo Gianelle, Letizia Montinari and Simone Salotti
- Are Microstates Necessarily Led by Their Bigger Neighbors’ Business Cycle? The Case of Liechtenstein and Switzerland pp. 29-52

- Andreas Brunhart
- Dating Cyclical Turning Points for Russia: Formal Methods and Informal Choices pp. 53-73

- Sergey V. Smirnov, Nikolay Kondrashov and Anna Petronevich
- The Predictive Content of Business Survey Indicators: Evidence from SIGE pp. 75-104

- Tatiana Cesaroni and Stefano Iezzi
- Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey pp. 105-138

- Maria Billstam, Kristina Frändén, Johan Samuelsson and Pär Österholm
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