Journal of Business Cycle Research

2016 - 2019

Current editor(s): Michael Graff

From:
Springer
Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET)
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Volume 15, issue 1, 2019

Inspecting the Relationship Between Business Confidence and Industrial Production: Evidence on Italian Survey Data pp. 1-24

Giancarlo Bruno, L. Crosilla and Patrizia Margani

Measuring Brazilian Economic Uncertainty pp. 25-40

Pedro Costa Ferreira, Raíra Marotta B. Vieira, Felipi Bruno Silva and Ingrid C. L. Oliveira

Consumers’ Perception of Inflation in Inflationary and Deflationary Environment pp. 41-71

Ewa Stanisławska

CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions pp. 73-95

Barend Abeln, Jan Jacobs and Pim Ouwehand

Volume 14, issue 2, 2018

Which Indicators Matter? Analyzing the Swiss Business Cycle Using a Large-Scale Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model pp. 179-218

Alain Galli

Do Global Crude Oil Markets Behave as One Great Pool? A Cyclical Analysis pp. 219-241

Niyati Bhanja, Arif Dar and Aviral Tiwari

Structural Change and Business Cycles in Japan: Revisiting the Stylized Facts pp. 243-281

Satoshi Urasawa

Price-Setting Behavior in Brazil: Survey Evidence pp. 283-310

Arnildo Correa, Myrian Petrassi and Rafael Santos

Volume 14, issue 1, 2018

Nowcasting Real Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Assessing the Impact of Qualitative Surveys pp. 1-46

Raïsa Basselier, David Antonio Liedo and Geert Langenus

A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA pp. 47-87

Carlos A. Medel

The Effects of Uncertainty Shocks on Daily Prices pp. 89-104

Dario Bonciani and Andrea Tafuro

Would DSGE Models Have Predicted the Great Recession in Austria? pp. 105-126

Fritz Breuss

Implementing an Approximate Dynamic Factor Model to Nowcast GDP Using Sensitivity Analysis pp. 127-141

Pablo Duarte and Bernd Süssmuth

Large Shocks and the Business Cycle: The Effect of Outlier Adjustments pp. 143-178

Yoshihiro Ohtsuka

Volume 13, issue 2, 2017

How Informative are Aggregated Inflation Expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters pp. 139-163

Sami Oinonen and Maritta Paloviita

Stylized Facts of the Business Cycle: Universal Phenomenon, or Institutionally Determined? pp. 165-187

Vadim Kufenko and Niels Geiger

Q-Targeting in New Keynesian Models pp. 189-224

Burkhard Heer, Alfred Maussner and Halvor Ruf

Sentiment and Uncertainty Fluctuations and Their Effects on the Euro Area Business Cycle pp. 225-251

Bas Aarle and Cindy Moons

Volume 13, issue 1, 2017

Interregional Trade, Specialization, and the Business Cycle: Policy Implications for the EMU pp. 1-27

Carlo Gianelle, Letizia Montinari and Simone Salotti

Are Microstates Necessarily Led by Their Bigger Neighbors’ Business Cycle? The Case of Liechtenstein and Switzerland pp. 29-52

Andreas Brunhart

Dating Cyclical Turning Points for Russia: Formal Methods and Informal Choices pp. 53-73

Sergey V. Smirnov, Nikolay V. Kondrashov and Anna V. Petronevich

The Predictive Content of Business Survey Indicators: Evidence from SIGE pp. 75-104

Tatiana Cesaroni and Stefano Iezzi

Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey pp. 105-138

Maria Billstam, Kristina Frändén, Johan Samuelsson and Pär Österholm

Volume 12, issue 2, 2016

Observations on the Australian Business Cycle pp. 141-164

Nopphawan Photphisutthiphong and Mark Weder

Forecasting Czech GDP Using Mixed-Frequency Data Models pp. 165-185

Michal Franta, David Havrlant and Marek Rusnák

Determinants of Consumer Sentiment Over Business Cycles: Evidence from the US Surveys of Consumers pp. 187-215

Kajal Lahiri and Yongchen Zhao

Exchange Rate Shocks, Monetary Policy and Boom-Bust Cycles in the Housing Market: An Econometric Analysis for Switzerland pp. 217-251

Peter Stalder

Volume 12, issue 1, 2016

Editorial to the Relaunch Issue of the Journal of Business Cycle Research pp. 1-2

Jan-Egbert Sturm

An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks pp. 3-23

Jennifer Castle, Michael Clements and David Hendry

Economic Cycles and Their Synchronization: A Comparison of Cyclic Modes in Three European Countries pp. 25-48

Lisa Sella, Gianna Vivaldo, Andreas Groth and Michael Ghil

New Zealand Labor Market Dynamics: Pre- and Post-global Financial Crisis pp. 49-79

Weshah Razzak

Forecasting Employment in Europe: Are Survey Results Helpful? pp. 81-117

Robert Lehmann and Antje Weyh

Does a Survey Based Capacity Utilization Measure Help Predicting Brazilian Output Gap in Real-Time? pp. 119-139

Sarah Lima and Marco Malgarini