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Journal of Business Cycle Research

2016 - 2019

Current editor(s): Michael Graff

Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET)
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sonal Shukla ().

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Volume 15, issue 1, 2019

Inspecting the Relationship Between Business Confidence and Industrial Production: Evidence on Italian Survey Data pp. 1-24 Downloads
Giancarlo Bruno, L. Crosilla and Patrizia Margani
Measuring Brazilian Economic Uncertainty pp. 25-40 Downloads
Pedro Costa Ferreira, Raíra Marotta B. Vieira, Felipi Bruno Silva and Ingrid C. L. Oliveira
Consumers’ Perception of Inflation in Inflationary and Deflationary Environment pp. 41-71 Downloads
Ewa Stanisławska
CAMPLET: Seasonal Adjustment Without Revisions pp. 73-95 Downloads
Barend Abeln, Jan Jacobs and Pim Ouwehand

Volume 14, issue 2, 2018

Which Indicators Matter? Analyzing the Swiss Business Cycle Using a Large-Scale Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model pp. 179-218 Downloads
Alain Galli
Do Global Crude Oil Markets Behave as One Great Pool? A Cyclical Analysis pp. 219-241 Downloads
Niyati Bhanja, Arif Dar and Aviral Tiwari
Structural Change and Business Cycles in Japan: Revisiting the Stylized Facts pp. 243-281 Downloads
Satoshi Urasawa
Price-Setting Behavior in Brazil: Survey Evidence pp. 283-310 Downloads
Arnildo Correa, Myrian Petrassi and Rafael Santos

Volume 14, issue 1, 2018

Nowcasting Real Economic Activity in the Euro Area: Assessing the Impact of Qualitative Surveys pp. 1-46 Downloads
Raïsa Basselier, David Antonio Liedo and Geert Langenus
A Comparison Between Direct and Indirect Seasonal Adjustment of the Chilean GDP 1986–2009 with X-12-ARIMA pp. 47-87 Downloads
Carlos A. Medel
The Effects of Uncertainty Shocks on Daily Prices pp. 89-104 Downloads
Dario Bonciani and Andrea Tafuro
Would DSGE Models Have Predicted the Great Recession in Austria? pp. 105-126 Downloads
Fritz Breuss
Implementing an Approximate Dynamic Factor Model to Nowcast GDP Using Sensitivity Analysis pp. 127-141 Downloads
Pablo Duarte and Bernd Süssmuth
Large Shocks and the Business Cycle: The Effect of Outlier Adjustments pp. 143-178 Downloads
Yoshihiro Ohtsuka

Volume 13, issue 2, 2017

How Informative are Aggregated Inflation Expectations? Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters pp. 139-163 Downloads
Sami Oinonen and Maritta Paloviita
Stylized Facts of the Business Cycle: Universal Phenomenon, or Institutionally Determined? pp. 165-187 Downloads
Vadim Kufenko and Niels Geiger
Q-Targeting in New Keynesian Models pp. 189-224 Downloads
Burkhard Heer, Alfred Maussner and Halvor Ruf
Sentiment and Uncertainty Fluctuations and Their Effects on the Euro Area Business Cycle pp. 225-251 Downloads
Bas Aarle and Cindy Moons

Volume 13, issue 1, 2017

Interregional Trade, Specialization, and the Business Cycle: Policy Implications for the EMU pp. 1-27 Downloads
Carlo Gianelle, Letizia Montinari and Simone Salotti
Are Microstates Necessarily Led by Their Bigger Neighbors’ Business Cycle? The Case of Liechtenstein and Switzerland pp. 29-52 Downloads
Andreas Brunhart
Dating Cyclical Turning Points for Russia: Formal Methods and Informal Choices pp. 53-73 Downloads
Sergey V. Smirnov, Nikolay V. Kondrashov and Anna V. Petronevich
The Predictive Content of Business Survey Indicators: Evidence from SIGE pp. 75-104 Downloads
Tatiana Cesaroni and Stefano Iezzi
Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey pp. 105-138 Downloads
Maria Billstam, Kristina Frändén, Johan Samuelsson and Pär Österholm

Volume 12, issue 2, 2016

Observations on the Australian Business Cycle pp. 141-164 Downloads
Nopphawan Photphisutthiphong and Mark Weder
Forecasting Czech GDP Using Mixed-Frequency Data Models pp. 165-185 Downloads
Michal Franta, David Havrlant and Marek Rusnák
Determinants of Consumer Sentiment Over Business Cycles: Evidence from the US Surveys of Consumers pp. 187-215 Downloads
Kajal Lahiri and Yongchen Zhao
Exchange Rate Shocks, Monetary Policy and Boom-Bust Cycles in the Housing Market: An Econometric Analysis for Switzerland pp. 217-251 Downloads
Peter Stalder

Volume 12, issue 1, 2016

Editorial to the Relaunch Issue of the Journal of Business Cycle Research pp. 1-2 Downloads
Jan-Egbert Sturm
An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks pp. 3-23 Downloads
Jennifer Castle, Michael Clements and David Hendry
Economic Cycles and Their Synchronization: A Comparison of Cyclic Modes in Three European Countries pp. 25-48 Downloads
Lisa Sella, Gianna Vivaldo, Andreas Groth and Michael Ghil
New Zealand Labor Market Dynamics: Pre- and Post-global Financial Crisis pp. 49-79 Downloads
Weshah Razzak
Forecasting Employment in Europe: Are Survey Results Helpful? pp. 81-117 Downloads
Robert Lehmann and Antje Weyh
Does a Survey Based Capacity Utilization Measure Help Predicting Brazilian Output Gap in Real-Time? pp. 119-139 Downloads
Sarah Lima and Marco Malgarini
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