Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

From Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University
Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA.
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1538: A New Approach to Robust Inference in Cointegration

Sainan Jin, Peter Phillips and Yixiao Sun

1537: Prizes versus Wages with Envy and Pride

Pradeep Dubey, John Geanakoplos and Ori Haimanko

1536: Estimated Age Effects in Baseball

Ray Fair

1535: Continuous versus Discrete Market Games

Alexandre Marino and Bernard De Meyer

1534: Perfect Competition in a Bilateral Monopoly (In honor of Martin Shubik)

Pradeep Dubey and Dieter Sondermann

1533: Testing for Non-nested Conditional Moment Retrictions via Conditional Empirical Likelihood

Taisuke Otsu and Yoon-Jae Whang

1532: Information in Mechanism Design

Dirk Bergemann and Juuso Välimäki

1532: Information in Mechanism Design

Dirk Bergemann and Juuso Välimäki

1531: Making Statements and Approval Voting

Enriqueta Aragones, Itzhak Gilboa and Andrew Weiss

1530: Inference with Weak Instruments

Donald Andrews and James Stock

1529: Branch Rickey’s Equation Fifty Years Later

Ray Fair and Danielle Catambay

1528: Competition, Consumer Welfare, and the Social Cost of Monopoly

Yoon-Ho Alex Lee and Donald Brown

1527: Robust Monopoly Pricing

Dirk Bergemann and Karl Schlag

1527: Robust Monopoly Pricing

Dirk Bergemann and Karl Schlag

1526: Randomized Sign Test for Dependent Observations on Discrete Choice under Risk

Anat Bracha, Jeremy Gray, Rustam Ibragimov, Boaz Nadler, Dmitry Shapiro, Glena Ames and Donald Brown

1525: Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics

Ray Fair

1524: The Evolution of Our Preferences: Evidence from Capuchin-Monkey Trading Behavior

Keith Chen, Venkat Lakshminarayanan and Laurie Santos

1523: A Two-Stage Realized Volatility Approach to the Estimation for Diffusion Processes from Discrete Observations

Peter Phillips and Jun Yu

1522: A Simple Approach to the Parametric Estimation of Potentially Nonstationary Diffusions

Federico M. Bandi and Peter Phillips

1521: A Note on a "Square-Root Rule" for Reinsurance

Michael Powers and Martin Shubik

1520: Economics: the next physical science?

J. Farmer, Martin Shubik and Eric Smith

1519: Robust Implementation: The Role of Large Type Spaces

Dirk Bergemann and Stephen Morris

1518: Sign Tests for Dependent Observations and Bounds for Path-Dependent Options

Donald Brown and Rustam Ibragimov

1517: Limit Theory for Moderate Deviations from a Unit Root under Weak Dependence

Peter Phillips and Tassos Magadalinos

1516: Nonstationary Discrete Choice: A Corrigendum and Addendum

Peter Phillips, Sainan Jin and Ling Hu

1515: GMM with Many Moment Conditions

Chirok Han and Peter Phillips

1514: Economic Transition and Growth

Peter Phillips and Donggyu Sul

1513: Improved HAR Inference

Peter Phillips, Yixiao Sun and Sainan Jin

1512: Intergenerational Justice and Sustainability under the Leximin Ethic

John Roemer

1511: Overcoming Participation Constraints

Hanming Fang and Peter Norman

1511: Overcoming Participation Constraints

Hanming Fang and Peter Norman

1510: Commodity Money and the Valuation of Trade

Eric Smith and Martin Shubik

1509: Fiat Money and the Natural Scale of Government

Martin Shubik and Eric Smith

1508: Two Algorithms for Solving the Walrasian Equilibrium Inequalities

Donald Brown and Ravi Kannan

1508: Decision Methods for Solving Systems of Walrasian Inequalities

Donald Brown and Ravi Kannan

1507: The Nonparametric Approach to Applied Welfare Analysis

Donald Brown and Caterina Calsamiglia

1506: Courage to Capital? A Model of the Effects of Rating Agencies on Sovereign Debt Role-over

Mark Carlson and Galina Hale

1505: Flexibility as an Instrument in Digital Rights Management

Dirk Bergemann, Thomas Eisenbach, Joan Feigenbaum and Scott Shenker

1504: The Life-Cycle Personal Accounts Proposal for Social Security: An Evaluation

Robert Shiller

1503: Aggregation of Expert Opinions

Dino Gerardi, Richard McLean and Andrew Postlewaite

1502: Ex Post Implementation

Dirk Bergemann and Stephen Morris

1501: Exactly Distribution-free Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with Possibly Weak Instruments

Donald Andrews and Vadim Marmer

1500: Sparse Estimators and the Oracle Property, or the Return of Hodges' Estimator

Hannes Leeb and Benedikt M. Poetscher

1499: Behavioral Economics and Institutional Innovation

Robert Shiller

1498: The Demand for Information: More Heat than Light

Jussi Keppo, Giuseppe Moscarini and Lones Smith

1497: Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy

Ray Fair

1496: Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data

Ray Fair

1495: Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess

Ray Fair

1494: Retrospective on the Postwar Productivity Slowdown

William Nordhaus

1493: Rule-Based and Case-Based Reasoning in Housing Prices

Gabrielle Gayer, Itzhak Gilboa and Offer Lieberman

1492: Probabilities as Similarity-Weighted Frequencies

Antoine Billot, Itzhak Gilboa, David Schmeidler and Dov Samet

1491: Fact-Free Learning

Enriqueta Aragones, Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite and David Schmeidler

1490: The Folk Theorem in Dynastic Repeated Games

Luca Anderlini, Dino Gerardi and Roger Lagunoff

1489: Competitive Experimentation with Private Information

Giuseppe Moscarini and Francesco Squintani

1488: Modeling Party Competition in General Elections

John Roemer

1487: Distribution and Politics: A Brief History and Prospect

John Roemer

1486: Empirical Similarity

Itzhak Gilboa, Offer Lieberman and David Schmeidler

1485: Axiomatization of an Exponential Similarity Function

Antoine Billot, Itzhak Gilboa and David Schmeidler

1484: Rationality of Belief. Or: Why Bayesianism is Neither Necessary nor Sufficient for Rationality

Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite and David Schmeidler

1483: Toward An Economic Theory of Dysfunctional Identity

Hanming Fang and Glenn Loury

1482: On the Nonparametric Identification of Nonlinear Simultaneous Equations Models: comment on B. Brown (1983) and Roehrig (1988)

C. Lanier Benkard and Steven Berry

1481: Network Markets and Consumers Coordination

Attila Ambrus and Rossella Argenziano

1480: Effective Labor Regulation and Microeconomic Flexibility

Ricardo Caballero, Kevin Cowan, Eduardo Engel and Alejandro Micco

1479: Coordination Failure in Repeated Games with Almost-Public Monitoring

George Mailath and Stephen Morris

1479: Coordination Failure in Repeated Games with Almost-Public Monitoring

George Mailath and Stephen Morris

1478: Xenophobia and Distribution in France: A Politico-economic Analysis

John Roemer and Karine Van der Straeten

1477: Impartiality and Priority. Part 2: A Characterization with Solidarity

Juan Moreno-Ternero and John Roemer

1477: Impartiality and Priority. Part 1: The Veil of Ignorance

Juan Moreno-Ternero and John Roemer

1476: Optimal Invariant Similar Tests for Instrumental Variables Regression

Donald Andrews, Marcelo Moreira and James Stock

1475: Uniform Limit Theory for Stationary Autoregression

Liudas Giraitis and Peter Phillips

1474: Expansions for Approximate Maximum Likelihood Estimators of the Fractional Difference Parameter

Offer Lieberman and Peter Phillips

1473: Regression Asymptotics Using Martingale Convergence Methods

Rustam Ibragimov and Peter Phillips

1472: Challenges of Trending Time Series Econometrics

Peter Phillips

1471: Limit Theory for Moderate Deviations from a Unit Root

Peter Phillips and Tassos Magdalinos

1470: HAC Estimation by Automated Regression

Peter Phillips

1469: Automated Discovery in Econometrics

Peter Phillips

1468: Collateral Restrictions and Liquidity Under-Supply: A Simple Model

Ana Fostel and John Geanakoplos

1468: Non-Monotone Liquidity Under-Supply

Ana Fostel and John Geanakoplos

1467: Grading Exams: 100, 99,..., 1 or A, B, C? Incentives in Games of Status

Pradeep Dubey and John Geanakoplos

1466: Competition, Consumer Welfare and Monopoly Power

Donald Brown and G.A. Wood

1466: The Social Cost of Monopoly Power

Donald Brown and G.A. Wood

1465: Time-inconsistency and Welfare Program Participation: Evidence from the NLSY

Hanming Fang and Dan Silverman

1464: An Alternative Test of Racial Prejudice in Motor Vehicle Searches: Theory and Evidence

Shamena Anwar and Hanming Fang

1463: Monopoly Pricing of Experience Goods

Dirk Bergemann and Juuso Välimäki

1462: Racism and Redistribution in the United States: A Solution to the Problem of American Exceptionalism

Woojin Lee and John Roemer

1461: Radical Financial Innovation

Robert Shiller

1460: Gold, Fiat and Credit. An Elementary Discussion of Commodity Money, Fiat Money and Credit, Part II

Thomas Quint and Martin Shubik

1459: Household Reaction to Changes in Housing Wealth

Robert Shiller

1458: Neighborhood Complexes and Generating Functions for Affine Semigroups

Herbert Scarf and Kevin M. Woods

1457: Schumpeterian Profits in the American Economy: Theory and Measurement

William Nordhaus

1456: Three Strikes and You're Out: Reply to Cooper and Willis

Ricardo Caballero and Eduardo Engel

1455: A Consumable Money. An Elementary Discussion of Commodity Money, Fiat Money and Credit: Part I

Thomas Quint and Martin Shubik

1454: A Quantilogram Approach to Evaluating Directional Predictability

Oliver Linton and Yoon-Jae Whang

1453: Smoothed Empirical Likelihood Methods for Quantile Regression Models

Yoon-Jae Whang

1452: Using Subspace Methods for Estimating ARMA Models for Multivariate Time Series with Conditionally Heteroskedastic Innovations

Dietmar Bauer

1451: Purification in the Infinitely-Repeated Prisoners' Dilemma

V Bhaskar, George Mailath and Stephen Morris

1450: Does Prison Harden Inmates? A Discontinuity-based Approach

Keith Chen and Jesse Shapiro

1449: Dollar Denominated Debt and Optimal Security Design

John Geanakoplos and Felix Kubler

1448: Absenteeism, Substitutes, and Complements and the Banzhaf Index

Thomas Quint

1447: Absenteeism, Substitutes, and Complements in Simple Games

Thomas Quint and Martin Shubik