Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

From Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University
Yale University, Box 208281, New Haven, CT 06520-8281 USA.
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2263: Multiproduct Intermediaries

Makoto Watanabe and Jidong Zhou

2262: Open Banking: Credit Market Competition When Borrowers Own the Data

Zhiguo He, Jing Huang and Jidong Zhou

2262: Open Banking: Credit Market Competition When Borrowers Own the Data

Zhiguo He, Jing Huang and Jidong Zhou

2261: Mothers' Social Networks and Socioeconomic Gradients of Isolation

Alison Andrew, Orazio P. Attanasio, Britta Augsburg, Jere Behrman, Monimalika Day, Pamela Jervis, Costas Meghir and Angus Phimister

2260: Analysis of Nine U.S. Recessions and Three Expansions

Ray C. Fair

2260: Analysis of Nine U.S. Recessions and Three Expansions

Ray C. Fair

2259: Forecasting Economic Activity Using the Yield Curve: Quasi-Real-Time Applications for New Zealand, Australia and the US

Todd Henry and Peter Phillips

2258: Selling Consumer Data for Profit: Optimal Market-Segmentation Design and its Consequences

Kai Hao Yang

2257: Identification and Inference in First-Price Auctions with Risk Averse Bidders and Selective Entry

Xiaohong Chen, Matthew Gentry, Tong Li and Jingfeng Lu

2256: Consistent Misspecification Testing in Spatial Autoregressive Models

Jungyoon Lee, Peter Phillips and Francesca Rossi

2255: Optimally Stubborn

Anna Sanktjohanser

2254: When Do Consumers Talk?

Ishita Chakraborty, Joyee Deb and Aniko Oery

2254: When Do Consumers Talk?

Ishita Chakraborty, Joyee Deb and Aniko Oery

2254: When Do Consumers Talk?

Ishita Chakraborty, Joyee Deb and Aniko Oery

2254: When Do Consumers Talk?

Ishita Chakraborty, Joyee Deb and Aniko Oery

2253: Heterogeneous Paths of Industrialization

Federico Huneeus

2252: High-Dimensional VARs with Common Factors

Ke Miao, Peter Phillips and Liangjun Su

2251: Common Bubble Detection in Large Dimensional Financial Systems

Ye Chen, Peter Phillips and Shuping Shi

2250: When Bias Contributes to Variance: True Limit Theory in Functional Coefficient Cointegrating Regression

Peter Phillips and Ying Wang

2249: Bootstrap Inference for Quantile Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments with Matched Pairs

Liang Jiang, Xiaobin Liu, Peter Phillips and Yichong Zhang

2248: Diagnosing Housing Fever with an Econometric Thermometer

Shuping Shi and Peter Phillips

2247: Information Frictions and Access to the Paycheck Protection Program

John Humphries, Christopher Neilson and Gabriel Ulyssea

2246: You Can Lead a Horse to Water: Spatial Learning and Path Dependence in Consumer Search

Charles Hodgson and Gregory Lewis

2245: A Public Option for the Core

Yotam Harchol, Dirk Bergemann, Nick Feamster, Eric Friedman, Arvind Krishnamurthy, Aurojit Panda, Sylvia Ratnasamy, Michael Schapira and Scott Shenker

2244: Objective rationality foundations for (dynamic) alpha-MEU

Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima and Yves Le Yaouanq

2244: Objective rationality foundations for (dynamic) alpha-MEU

Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima and Yves Le Yaouanq

2243: The US Employment Situation Using the Yale Labor Survey

Christopher Foote, William Nordhaus and Douglas Rivers

2242: Copula-Based Time Series With Filtered Nonstationarity

Xiaohong Chen, Zhijie Xiao and Bo Wang

2242: Copula-Based Time Series With Filtered Nonstationarity

Xiaohong Chen, Zhijie Xiao and Bo Wang

2241: Measuring Movement and Social Contact with Smartphone Data: A Real-time Application to COVID-19

Victor Couture, Jonathan Dingel, Allison Green, Jessie Handbury and Kevin R. Williams

2240: Work in the Time of COVID: Results from the Yale Labor Survey

Christopher Foote, William Nordhaus and Douglas Rivers

2239: Rationing the Commons

Nicholas Ryan and Anant Sudarshan

2238: Adaptive, Rate-Optimal Hypothesis Testing in Nonparametric IV Models

Christoph Breunig and Xiaohong Chen

2238: Adaptive, Rate-Optimal Testing in Instrumental Variables Models

Christoph Breunig and Xiaohong Chen

2237: Business Cycle during Structural Change: Arthur Lewis' Theory from a Neoclassical Perspective

Michael D. König, Kjetil Storesletten, Zheng Song and Fabrizio Zilibotti

2236: Robust Identification of Investor Beliefs

Xiaohong Chen, Lars Hansen and Peter G. Hansen

2235: Belief Convergence under Misspecified Learning: A Martingale Approach

Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima and Yuhta Ishii

2235: Belief Convergence under Misspecified Learning: A Martingale Approach

Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima and Yuhta Ishii

2235: Belief Convergence under Misspecified Learning: A Martingale Approach

Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima and Yuhta Ishii

2235: Stability and Robustness in Misspecified Learning Models

Mira Frick, Ryota Iijima and Yuhta Ishii

2234: Competition and Public Information: A Note

Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks and Stephen Morris

2233: Financing Firms in Hibernation during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Tatiana Didier, Federico Huneeus, Mauricio Larrain and Sergio Schmukler

2233: Financing Firms in Hibernation during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Tatiana Didier, Federico Huneeus, Mauricio Larrain and Sergio Schmukler

2232: Household Portfolios and Financial Preparedness for Retirement

Rowena Crawford and Cormac O'Dea

2231: Recursive Preferences, the Value of Life, and Household Finance

Antoine Bommier, Daniel Harenberg, François Le Grand and Cormac O'Dea

2231: Recursive Preferences, the Value of Life, and Household Finance

Antoine Bommier, Daniel Harenberg, François Le Grand and Cormac O'Dea

2230: The evolving impacts of COVID-19 on small businesses since the CARES Act

John Humphries, Christopher Neilson and Gabriel Ulyssea

2229: Optimal Control of an Epidemic through Social Distancing

Thomas Kruse and Philipp Strack

2229: Optimal Control of an Epidemic through Social Distancing

Thomas Kruse and Philipp Strack

2228: It Takes a Village: The Economics of Parenting with Neighborhood and Peer Effects

Francesco Agostinelli, Matthias Doepke, Giuseppe Sorrenti and Fabrizio Zilibotti

2227: Adaptive Rationality in Strategic Interaction: Do Emotions Regulate Thinking about Others?

Timo Ehrig, Jaison Manjaly, Aditya Singh and Shyam Sunder

2227: Adaptive Rationality in Strategic Interaction: Do Emotions Regulate Thinking about Others?

Timo Ehrig, Jaison Manjaly, Aditya Singh and Shyam Sunder

2226: Changes in Assortative Matching: Theory and Evidence for the US

Pierre-Andre Chiappori, Monica Costa Dias and Costas Meghir

2225: Changes in Assortative Matching and Inequality in Income: Evidence for the UK

Pierre-Andre Chiappori, Monica Costa Dias, Sam Crossman and Costas Meghir

2224: Search, Information, and Prices

Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks and Stephen Morris

2224: Search, Information, and Prices

Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks and Stephen Morris

2224: Search, Information, and Prices

Dirk Bergemann, Benjamin Brooks and Stephen Morris

2223: Popular Economic Narratives Advancing the Longest U.S. Economic Expansion 2009-2019

Robert J. Shiller

2222: Demand for Electricity on the Global Electrification Frontier

Robin Burgess, Michael Greenstone, Nicholas Ryan and Anant Sudarshan

2221: Partial Identification and Inference for Dynamic Models and Counterfactuals

Myrto Kalouptsidi, Yuichi Kitamura, Lucas Lima and Eduardo Souza-Rodrigues

2220: What is Socialism Today? Conceptions of a Cooperative Economy

John Roemer

2219: Spatial Distribution of Supply and the Role of Market Thickness: Theory and Evidence from Ride Sharing

Soheil Ghili and Vineet Kumar

2219: Spatial Distribution of Supply and the Role of Market Thickness: Theory and Evidence from Ride Sharing

Soheil Ghili and Vineet Kumar

2218: Optimal Long-Term Health Insurance Contracts: Characterization, Computation, and Welfare Effects

Soheil Ghili, Ben Handel, Igal Hendel and Michael D. Whinston

2218: Optimal Long-Term Health Insurance Contracts: Characterization, Computation, and Welfare Effects

Soheil Ghili, Ben Handel, Igal Hendel and Michael D. Whinston

2218: The Welfare Effects of Long-Term Health Insurance Contracts

Soheil Ghili, Ben Handel, Igal Hendel and Michael D. Whinston

2217: Quick or Cheap? Breaking Points in Dynamic Markets

Panayotis Mertikopoulos, Heinrich H. Nax and Bary Pradelski

2216: Intuitive Beliefs

Jawwad Noor

2215: Efficient Estimation of Multivariate Semi-nonparametric GARCH Filtered Copula Models

Xiaohong Chen, Zhuo Huang and Yanping Yi

2214: Trade Models and Macroeconomics

Ray C. Fair

2213: Uniform Pricing Versus Third-Degree Price Discrimination

Dirk Bergemann, Francisco Castro and Gabriel Weintraub

2213: Third-degree Price Discrimination Versus Uniform Pricing

Dirk Bergemann, Francisco Castro and Gabriel Weintraub

2212: Boosting: Why you Can Use the HP Filter

Peter Phillips and Zhentao Shi

2211: Nonlinear Cointegrating Power Function Regression with Endogeneity

Zhishui Hu, Peter Phillips and Qiying Wang

2210: Fully Modified Least Squares for Multicointegrated Systems

Igor Kheifets and Peter Phillips

2209: Inference and Specification Testing in Threshold Regression with Endogeneity

Ping Yu, Qin Liao and Peter Phillips

2208: Continuously Updated Indirect Inference in Heteroskedastic Spatial Models

Maria Kyriacou, Peter Phillips and Francesca Rossi

2207: The Cowles Commission and Foundation for Research in Economics

Robert Dimand

2206: Irving Fisher, Ragnar Frisch and the Elusive Quest for Measurable Utility

Robert Dimand

2205: Léon Walras, Irving Fisher and the Cowles Approach to General Equilibrium Analysis

Robert Dimand

2204: Bitcoin: An Impossibility Theorem for Proof-of-Work based Protocols

Jacob Leshno and Philipp Strack

2204: Bitcoin: An Impossibility Theorem for Proof-of-Work based Protocols

Jacob Leshno and Philipp Strack

2203: The Economics of Social Data

Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti and Tan Gan

2203: The Economics of Social Data

Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti and Tan Gan

2203: The Economics of Social Data

Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti and Tan Gan

2203: The Economics of Social Data

Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti and Tan Gan

2203: The Economics of Social Data

Dirk Bergemann, Alessandro Bonatti and Tan Gan

2202: Social Exclusion, Ambiguity and (IR)rationality

Annette Krauss and Donald J. Brown

2202: Affective Portfolio Analysis: Risk, Ambiguity and (IR)rationality

Donald J. Brown

2201: On Her Own Account: How Strengthening Women's Financial Control Impacts Labor Supply and Gender Norms

Erica Field, Rohini Pande, Natalia Rigol, Simone Schaner and Charity Troyer Moore

2200: Information, Market Power and Price Volatility

Dirk Bergemann, Tibor Heumann and Stephen Morris

2199: A Structural Model of a Multitasking Salesforce: Multidimensional Incentives and Plan Design

Minkyung Kim, K. Sudhir and Kosuke Uetake

2199: A Structural Model of a Multitasking Salesforce: Multidimensional Incentives and Plan Design

Minkyung Kim, K. Sudhir and Kosuke Uetake

2198: "Follow the Data" What Data Says About Real-world Behavior in Commons Problems

Caleb M. Koch and Heinrich H. Nax

2197: Durables and Lemons: Private Information and the Market for Cars

Richard Blundell, Ran Gu, Søren Leth-Petersen, Hamish Low and Costas Meghir

2197: Durables and Lemons: Private Information and the Market for Cars

Richard Blundell, Ran Gu, Søren Leth-Petersen, Hamish Low and Costas Meghir

2196: Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930s to the 1950s

Robert W. Dimand and Harald Hagemann

2195: Macroeconomic Dynamics at the Cowles Commission from the 1930s to the 1950s

Robert Dimand

2194: Robust Tests for White Noise and Cross-Correlation

Violetta Dalla, Liudas Giraitis and Peter Phillips

2194: Robust Tests for White Noise and Cross-Correlation

Violetta Dalla, Liudas Giraitis and Peter Phillips