Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle

Mark Rosenzweig and Christopher Udry

Working Papers from eSocialSciences

Abstract: The effects of rainfall forecasts and realized rainfall on equilibrium agricultural wages are analysed over the course of the agricultural production cycle. It is shown theoretically that a forecast of good weather can lower wages in the planting stage, by lowering ex ante out-migration, and can exacerbate the negative impact of adverse weather on harvest-stage wages. Indian household panel data describing early-season migration and district-level planting- and harvest-stage wages over the period 2005-2010 is used to analyse this model. [BREAD Woring paper no. 409].

Keywords: rainfall; forecasts; weather; wages; forecasts; agricultural production; migration; indian household; panel data; district-level planning (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014-01
Note: Institutional Papers
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (28)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Rainfall Forecasts, Weather, and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle (2014)
Working Paper: Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle (2014)
Working Paper: Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle (2014)
Working Paper: Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle (2014)
Working Paper: Rainfall Forecasts, Weather and Wages over the Agricultural Production Cycle (2014)
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