Dallas Fed Economics

From Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
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101231: Advances in AI will boost productivity, living standards over time

Lillian Derr and Mark Wynne

100073: Will AI replace your job? Perhaps not in the next decade

Lillian Derr and Mark Wynne

100011: Has the Beige Book become disconnected from economic data?

Laila Assanie, Ethan Dixon and Emily Kerr

99961: U.S. tariff outcomes dependent on trading partner responses

Enrique Martínez García and Michael Sposi

99896: Job cyclicality provides timely signals on Texas, U.S. business cycle

Prithvi Kalkunte and Mariam Yousuf

99847: Monetary policy implementation and the consolidated government balance sheet

Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

99783: Texas economic outlook downbeat as uncertainty increases

Jesus Cañas and Diego Morales-Burnett

99758: Strong U.S. employment driven by sectors less sensitive to business cycles

Alexander Chudik and Ronald Mau

99726: Even a ‘miracle’ needs a safety net: Texas leads in growth, lags elsewhere

Isabel Dhillon and Pia Orrenius

99724: Improved business outlooks, faster job growth boost Texas outlook

Jesus Cañas and Diego Morales-Burnett

99655: Decline in bank stress likely to continue as interest rates normalize

Ben Munyan, Anthony Murphy and Dylan Ryfe

99637: Evidence suggests U.S. house price/rent ratio, real home prices to decline

Jonathan Davis

99636: Proportionate margining for repo transactions

Robert Kahn and Matthew McCormick

99566: Geopolitical oil price risk not a major driver of global macroeconomic fluctuations

Lutz Kilian, Michael Plante and Alexander Richter

99565: Is inflation still slowing? Early 2025 data pivotal to outlook

Tyler Atkinson and Ronald Mau

99521: Texas economic sentiment upbeat amid price pressures, uncertainty

Isabel Brizuela, Emily Kerr and Robert Leigh

99476: Solar, battery capacity saved the Texas grid last summer; an uncertain future awaits

Garrett Golding

99408: As population trends shift, where will future workers come from?

Lillian Derr and Mark Wynne

99407: Inflation stress and concern remain elevated despite stabilizing prices

Anthony Murphy and Isha Parmar

99324: Texas economy grows modestly; business outlooks brighten

Ethan Dixon and Emily Kerr

99241: Mexico nearshoring yet to yield big investment despite global trade tensions

Enrique Martínez García, Manuel Sánchez and Luis Torres

99240: Rising unemployment doesn’t counter signs of strong GDP growth

Tyler Atkinson and Prithvi Kalkunte

99215: More household savings offset increased government borrowing since 2008

Jonathan Davis

99174: Individuals, married couples respond differently to U.S. income tax changes

Margherita Borella, Mariacristina De Nardi, Michael Pak, Nicolò Russo and Fang Yang

99108: Texas overcomes mid-summer doldrums as economic prospects improve

Isabel Dhillon and Jesse Thompson

99107: Blame higher U.S. equity prices for recent moves in U.S. external liabilities

Jonathan Davis

99021: International factors broadly explain postpandemic inflation

Christopher Otrok and Braden Strackman

98953: Rising unemployment does not mean recession is inevitable

Tyler Atkinson

98918: Texas posts job gains in August, bolstering outlook despite signs of slowing

Laila Assanie, Ethan Dixon and Diego Morales-Burnett

98838: Dirty air from wildfires casts a cloud over household finances

Xudong An, Stuart Gabriel and Nitzan Tzur-Ilan

98766: Anticipatory discount window stigma

Sam Schulhofer-Wohl

98757: Impact of inflation shocks on foreign exchange rates reflects central bank stature

Jonathan Davis and Pon Sagnanert

98730: Rents, home values depressed in air pollution hotspots

Luis López, Jackson Owen and Nitzan Tzur-Ilan

98729: Evolving leveraged loan covenants may pose novel transmission risk

Falk Bräuning, Victoria Ivashina, Jackson Owen and Ali Ozdagli

98674: How the U.S. might outgrow pandemic-era housing (un)affordability problems

Lauren Spits and Enrique Martínez García

98651: Texas expansion moderates; labor market, price expectations normalize

Laila Assanie and Robert Leigh

98650: Trade liberalization reduces entrepreneurship rate

Ali Ozdagli and Maddie Shaheen

98649: Running the economy hotter for longer could steepen Phillips curve

Tyler Atkinson and Ronald Mau

98529: Surging population growth from immigration may have little effect on inflation

Anton Cheremukhin, Sewon Hur, Ronald Mau and Alexander Richter

98519: Unprecedented U.S. immigration surge boosts job growth, output

Jesus Cañas, Pia Orrenius, Ana Pranger and Madeline Zavodny

98445: Texas firms use AI with little employment impact so far

Jesus Cañas and Emily Kerr

98444: Service sector leads Texas gains; firms say credit constraints not binding

Isabel Dhillon, Diego Morales-Burnett and Mariam Yousuf

98443: Not all price increases are equal; pandemic-era outliers drove inflation spike

Braden Strackman and Mark Wynne

98322: Persistence of house-price growth highlights geographic, credit factors

Chi-Young Choi, Alexander Chudik and Aaron Smallwood

98271: Swap lines curbed global dollar shortages, appreciation during COVID-19 crisis

Jonathan Davis and Pon Sagnanert

98240: How global oil sanctions lowered Russian oil export prices

Lutz Kilian and David Rapson

98193: Texas economic activity expands modestly; labor market remains healthy

Robert Leigh, Ana Pranger, Yichen Su and Mariam Yousuf

98028: Lower interest rates don’t necessarily improve housing affordability

Alexander Richter and Xiaoqing Zhou

98010: Disparate supply-side forces gave U.S. economy an edge

Enrique Martínez García and Braden Strackman

97922: Revisiting the odd behavior of the Beveridge curve as unemployment stays low

Anton Cheremukhin