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From Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
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22-01: Reconciled Estimates of Monthly GDP in the US Downloads
Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell and Aubrey Poon
21-29: Effects of Wildfire Destruction on Migration, Consumer Credit, and Financial Distress Downloads
Jennifer Balch, Katherine Curtis, Jack DeWaard, Elizabeth Fussell, Kathryn McConnell, Kobie Price, Lise St. Denis and Stephan Whitaker
21-28: Communicating Data Uncertainty: Multi-Wave Experimental Evidence for UK GDP Downloads
Ana B. Galvão and James Mitchell
21-27: Wealth Effects, Price Markups, and the Neo-Fisherian Hypothesis Downloads
Marco Airaudo and Ina Hajdini
21-26: Liquidity, Capital Pledgeability and Inflation Redistribution Downloads
Paola Boel, Julian Diaz and Daria Finocchiaro
21-25: Unemployment in the Time of COVID-19: A Flow-Based Approach to Real-time Unemployment Projections Downloads
Aysegul Sahin, Murat Tasci and Jin Yan
21-24: Firm Dynamics and SOE Transformation During China's Economic Reform Downloads
Shijun Gu and Chengcheng Jia
21-23: A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars Downloads
Saeed Zaman
21-22: Migration as a Vector of Economic Losses from Disaster-Affected Areas in the United States Downloads
Catalina Anampa Castro, Katherine Curtis, Jack DeWaard, Elizabeth Fussell, Kathryn McConnell, Kobie Price, Michael Soto and Stephan Whitaker
21-21: The Macroeconomic Effects of Universal Basic Income Programs Downloads
André Victor Doherty Luduvice
21-20: Recourse as Shadow Equity: Evidence from Commercial Real Estate Loans Downloads
David Glancy, Robert Kurtzman, Lara Loewenstein and Joseph B. Nichols
21-19: Average Inflation Targeting: Time Inconsistency And Intentional Ambiguity Downloads
Chengcheng Jia and Jing Cynthia Wu
21-18: IT and Urban Polarization Downloads
Jan Eeckhout, Christoph Hedtrich and Roberto Pinheiro
21-17: The Real Effects of Monetary Shocks: Evidence from Micro Pricing Moments Downloads
Gee Hee Hong, Matthew Klepacz, Ernesto Pasten and Raphael Schoenle
21-16: Welfare Implications of Asset Pricing Facts: Should Central Banks Fill Gaps or Remove Volatility? Downloads
Pierlauro Lopez
21-15: Optimal Epidemic Control in Equilibrium with Imperfect Testing and Enforcement Downloads
Tom Phelan and Alexis Akira Toda
21-14: The Welfare Costs of Business Cycles Unveiled: Measuring the Extent of Stabilization Policies Downloads
Fernando Barros, Fábio Gomes and André Victor Doherty Luduvice
21-13: Uncovering Retail Trading in Bitcoin: The Impact of COVID-19 Stimulus Checks Downloads
Anantha Divakaruni and Peter Zimmerman
21-12: Censored Density Forecasts: Production and Evaluation Downloads
James Mitchell and Martin Weale
21-11r: Export-Led Decay: The Trade Channel in the Gold Standard Era Downloads
Bernardo Candia and Mathieu Pedemonte
21-10: Is It Time to Reassess the Focal Role of Core PCE Inflation? Downloads
Randal Verbrugge
21-09: Forecasting with Shadow-Rate VARs Downloads
Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark, Massimiliano Marcellino and Elmar Mertens
21-08: Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees Downloads
Todd Clark, Florian Huber, Gary Koop, Massimiliano Marcellino and Michael Pfarrhofer
21-07: Municipal Markets and the Municipal Liquidity Facility Downloads
John Bagley, Nicholas Fritsch and Shawn Nee
21-06: All Forecasters Are Not the Same: Time-Varying Predictive Ability across Forecast Environments Downloads
Robert Rich and Joseph Tracy
21-05: Inflation Gap Persistence, Indeterminacy, and Monetary Policy Downloads
Yasuo Hirose, Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe
21-04: Applications of Markov Chain Approximation Methods to Optimal Control Problems in Economics Downloads
Keyvan Eslami and Tom Phelan
21-03: Location, Location, Structure Type: Rent Divergence within Neighborhoods Downloads
Brian Adams and Randal Verbrugge
21-02R: Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility Downloads
Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark, Massimiliano Marcellino and Elmar Mertens
21-01: Employer Wage Subsidy Caps and Part-Time Work Downloads
Joel Elvery, Curtis Reynolds and Shawn M. Rohlin
20-37: Neighborhood Sorting Obscures Neighborhood Effects in the Opportunity Atlas Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis and Hal Martin
20-36: What Determines the Success of Housing Mobility Programs? Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis, Hal Martin and Kristen Tauber
20-35: Macroeconomic Changes with Declining Trend Inflation: Complementarity with the Superstar Firm Hypothesis Downloads
Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe
20-34: Does the Yield Curve Predict Output? Downloads
Joseph Haubrich
20-33: Even Keel and the Great Inflation Downloads
Victoria Consolvo, Owen Humpage and Sanchita Mukherjee
20-32R: Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era Downloads
Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark, Massimiliano Marcellino and Elmar Mertens
20-31: Real-Time Density Nowcasts of US Inflation: A Model-Combination Approach Downloads
Edward Knotek and Saeed Zaman
20-30: Fireside Chats: Communication and Consumers’ Expectations in the Great Depression Downloads
Mathieu Pedemonte
20-29: Quantitative Easing and Direct Lending in Response to the COVID-19 Crisis Downloads
Filippo Occhino
20-28: On the Importance of Household versus Firm Credit Frictions in the Great Recession Downloads
Patrick Kehoe, Pierlauro Lopez, Virgiliu Midrigan and Elena Pastorino
20-27: No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates Downloads
Andrea Carriero, Todd Clark and Massimiliano Marcellino
20-26R: Average Inflation Targeting and Household Expectations Downloads
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Edward Knotek
20-25: Information and Inequality in the Time of a Pandemic Downloads
Allan Dizioli and Roberto Pinheiro
20-24R: Low Interest Rates and the Predictive Content of the Yield Curve Downloads
Michael Bordo and Joseph Haubrich
20-23: Government Debt Limits and Stabilization Policy Downloads
Daniel Murphy and Eric Young
20-22R: Late Payment Fees and Nonpayment in Rental Markets, and Implications for Inflation Measurement: Theoretical Considerations and Evidence Downloads
Wesley Janson and Randal Verbrugge
20-21: Evaluating the Benefits of a Streamlined Refinance Program Downloads
Kristopher Gerardi, Lara Loewenstein and Paul Willen
20-20: Output-Inflation Trade-offs and the Optimal Inflation Rate Downloads
Takushi Kurozumi and Willem Van Zandweghe
20-19: Estimating the Trend Unemployment Rate in the Fourth Federal Reserve District Downloads
Bruce Fallick and Murat Tasci
20-18: On the Distributional Effects of International Tariffs Downloads
Daniel Carroll and Sewon Hur
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