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Working Papers

From Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
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24-15: CRE Redevelopment Options and the Use of Mortgage Financing Downloads
David Glancy, Robert Kurtzman and Lara Loewenstein
24-14: On Commercial Construction Activity's Long and Variable Lags Downloads
David Glancy, Robert Kurtzman and Lara Loewenstein
24-13: Equilibrium Multiplicity in Aiyagari and Krusell-Smith Downloads
Kieran Walsh and Eric Young
24-12: Capital-Skill Complementarity in Manufacturing: Lessons from the US Shale Boom Downloads
Victor Hernandez Martinez
24-11: Oil Price Fluctuations and US Banks Downloads
Paolo Gelain, Marco Lorusso and Saeed Zaman
24-10: Sixty Years of Global Inflation: A Post-GFC Update Downloads
Raphael Auer, Mathieu Pedemonte and Raphael Schoenle
24-09: Consumer Bankruptcy and Unemployment Insurance Downloads
Diego Legal and Eric Young
24-08: Predictable Forecast Errors in Full-Information Rational Expectations Models with Regime Shifts Downloads
Ina Hajdini and André Kurmann
24-07: The Causal Effects of Expected Depreciations Downloads
Martha Elena Delgado, Juan Herreño, Marc Hofstetter and Mathieu Pedemonte
24-06: Nowcasting Inflation Downloads
Edward Knotek and Saeed Zaman
24-05: Short Selling and Bank Deposit Flows Downloads
Mark Carey and Christopher Healy
24-04: The Role of Friends in the Opioid Epidemic Downloads
Effrosyni Adamopoulou, Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner and Karen Kopecky
24-03: Interest Rate Risk at US Credit Unions Downloads
Grant Rosenberger and Peter Zimmerman
24-02: The Effect of Component Disaggregation on Measures of the Median and Trimmed-Mean CPI Downloads
Christian Garciga, Randal Verbrugge and Saeed Zaman
24-01: The Effects of Interest Rate Increases on Consumers' Inflation Expectations: The Roles of Informedness and Compliance Downloads
Edward Knotek, James Mitchell, Mathieu Pedemonte and Taylor Shiroff
23-36: Can Supply Shocks Be Inflationary with a Flat Phillips Curve? Downloads
Jean-Paul L'Huillier and Gregory Phelan
23-35: A DSGE Model Including Trend Information and Regime Switching at the ZLB Downloads
Paolo Gelain and Pierlauro Lopez
23-34: Forecasting Core Inflation and Its Goods, Housing, and Supercore Components Downloads
Todd Clark, Matthew Gordon and Saeed Zaman
23-33: Tax Heterogeneity and Misallocation Downloads
Baris Kaymak and Immo Schott
23-32: How Important Is the Information Effect of Monetary Policy? Downloads
Zhao Han and Chengcheng Jia
23-31: The Distributional Predictive Content of Measures of Inflation Expectations Downloads
James Mitchell and Saeed Zaman
23-30: Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function Downloads
Tony Chernis, Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Gary Koop and James Mitchell
23-29: Federal Reserve Structure and the Production of Monetary Policy Ideas Downloads
Michael Bordo and Edward Prescott
23-28: Time Use and the Efficiency of Heterogeneous Markups Downloads
Brian C. Albrecht, Thomas Phelan and Nick Pretnar
23-27: Black Mayors and Crime Downloads
Craig Sylvera
23-26: The Effects of the Federal Reserve Chair’s Testimony on Interest Rates and Stock Prices Downloads
Matthew Gordon and Kurt Lunsford
23-25: Federal Reserve Balance-Sheet Policy in an Ample Reserves Framework: An Inventory Approach Downloads
Joseph Haubrich
23-24: Basic Facts on the Coverage of the Paycheck Protection Program Downloads
Angela Guo and Mark Schweitzer
23-23: Wage Adjustment in Efficient Long-Term Employment Relationships Downloads
Michael Elsby, Axel Gottfries, Pawel Krolikowski and Gary Solon
23-22: The Expectations of Others Downloads
Ezequiel Garcia-Lembergman, Ina Hajdini, John Leer, Mathieu Pedemonte and Raphael Schoenle
23-21: Estimating Duration Dependence on Re-employment Wages When Reservation Wages Are Binding Downloads
Richard Grice, Victor Hernandez Martinez and Kaixin Liu
23-20: The FOMC versus the Staff: Do Policymakers Add Value in Their Tales? Downloads
Ilias Filippou, James Mitchell and My T. Nguyen
23-19: Business Cycles and Low-Frequency Fluctuations in the US Unemployment Rate Downloads
Kurt Lunsford
23-18: Random Walk Forecasts of Stationary Processes Have Low Bias Downloads
Kurt Lunsford and Kenneth D. West
23-17: On the Origins of the Federal Reserve System and Its Structure Downloads
Owen Humpage
2023-16: K–12 Schools in Ohio Are Separate and Unequal Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis and Mukund Jayaram
23-16: Childhood Exposure to Violence and Nurturing Relationships: The Long-Run Effects on Black Men Downloads
Dionissi Aliprantis and Kristen Tauber
23-15: Deep Neural Network Estimation in Panel Data Models Downloads
Ilias Chronopoulos, Katerina Chrysikou, George Kapetanios, James Mitchell and Aristeidis Raftapostolos
23-14: Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data Downloads
Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Keshav Dogra, Sebastian Heise, Edward Knotek, Brent Meyer, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw
23-14: Estimates of Cost-Price Passthrough from Business Survey Data Downloads
Wändi Bruine de Bruin, Keshav Dogra, Sebastian Heise, Edward Knotek, Brent Meyer, Robert Rich, Raphael Schoenle, Giorgio Topa and Wilbert van der Klaauw
23-13: On the Essentiality of Credit and Banking at Zero Interest Rates Downloads
Paola Boel and Christopher Waller
23-12: Sticky Wages on the Layoff Margin Downloads
Steven Davis and Pawel Krolikowski
23-11: Nominal Rigidities and the Term Structures of Equity and Bond Returns Downloads
Pierlauro Lopez, David Lopez-Salido and Francisco Vazquez-Grande
23-10: The Art of Temporal Approximation An Investigation into Numerical Solutions to Discrete and Continuous-Time Problems in Economics Downloads
Keyvan Eslami and Thomas Phelan
23-09: Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting Downloads
Gary Koop, Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell, Aubrey Poon and Ping Wu
23-08: The Effect of Local Economic Shocks on Local and National Elections Downloads
Juan Herreño, Matias Morales and Mathieu Pedemonte
23-07: Optimal Fiscal Reform with Many Taxes Downloads
Daniel Carroll, André Victor Doherty Luduvice and Eric Young
23-06R: Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics: Higher for Longer Downloads
Randal Verbrugge and Saeed Zaman
23-05: Bayesian Modeling of Time-Varying Parameters Using Regression Trees Downloads
Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Gary Koop and James Mitchell
23-04: Aggregate Implications of Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations: The Role of Individual Experience Downloads
Mathieu Pedemonte, Hiroshi Toma and Esteban Verdugo
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