Working Papers

From National Institute of Economic Research
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152: Forecasting Inflation in Sweden

Unn Lindholm, Marcus Mossfeldt and Pär Stockhammar

151: EU ETS emissions under the cancellation mechanism: Effects of national measures

Björn Carlén, Anna Dahlqvist, Svante Mandell and Pelle Marklund

150: Assessing the Rebound Effect in Energy Intensive Industries: A Factor Demand Model Approach with Asymmetric Price Response

Anna Dahlqvist, Tommy Lundgren and Per-Olov Marklund

149: Wage Flexibility in a Unionized Economy with Stable Wage Dispersion

Iida Häkkinen Skans, Mikael Carlsson and Oskar Skans

148: Direct and indirect effects of waste management policies on household waste behaviour: The case of Sweden

Camilla Andersson and Jesper Stage

147: Short Run Effects of Fiscal Policy on GDP and Employment: Swedish Evidence

Göran Hjelm and Pär Stockhammar

146: Forecasting Goods and Services Inflation in Sweden

Marcus Mossfeldt and Pär Stockhammar

145: Do Inflation Expectations Granger Cause Inflation?

Pär Stockhammar and Pär Österholm

144: Forecasting Employment Growth in Sweden Using a Bayesian VAR Model

Karine Raoufina

143: Quasi-Real-Time Data of the Economic Tendency Survey

Maria Billstam, Kristina Frändén, Johan Samuelsson and Pär Österholm

142: The Rise in Life Expectancy, Health Trends among the Elderly, and the Demand for Health and Social Care

Björn Lindgren

141: IOR – NIER’s Input-Output Model of the Swedish Economy

Tomas Forsfält and Erik Glans

139: Do Swedish Consumer Confidence Indicators Do What They Are Intended to Do?

Bengt Assarsson and Pär Österholm

138: Macroeconomic Effects of a Decline in Housing Prices in Sweden

Peter Gustafsson, Pär Stockhammar and Pär Österholm

137: Appropriate Macroeconomic Model Support for the Ministry of Finance and the National Institute of Economic Research: A Pilot Study

Göran Hjelm, Helena Bornevall, Pia Fromlet, Jonny Nilsson, Pär Stockhammar and Magnus Wiberg

136: A Statistical Analysis of Revisions of Swedish National Accounts Data

Caroline Flodberg and Pär Österholm

135: Effects of US Policy Uncertainty on Swedish GDP Growth

Pär Stockhammar and Pär Österholm

134: The Euro Crisis and Swedish GDP Growth — A Study of Spillovers

Pär Österholm and Pär Stockhammar

133: Challenges in Soft-Linking: The Case of EMEC and TIMES-Sweden

Anna Krook Riekkola, Charlotte Berg, Erik O. Ahlgren and Patrik Söderholm

132: Exchange Rates, Wages, and Export Price Dynamics

Pia Fromlet

131: Forecasting Business Investment in the Short Term Using Survey Data

Pär Österholm

130: Survey Data and Short-Term Forecasts of Swedish GDP Growth

Pär Österholm

129: On the Usefulness of Constant Gain Least Squares when Forecasting the Unemployment Rate

Jan-Erik Antipin, Farid Jimmy Boumediene and Pär Österholm

128: Central Bank Forecasts of Policy Interest Rates: An Evaluation of the First Years

Meredith Beechey and Pär Österholm

127: Policy Interest-Rate Expectations in Sweden: A Forecast Evaluation

Meredith Beechey and Pär Österholm

126: Forecasting Inflation Using Constant Gain Least Squares

Jan-Erik Antipin, Farid Jimmy Boumediene and Pär Österholm

125: Making Climate Policy Efficient Implementing a Model for Environmental Policy Efficiency

Sven Ove Hansson, Karin Edvardsson Björnberg and Maria Vredin

124: Scenarios and Sustainability A Swedish Case Study of Adaptation Tools for Local Decision-Makers

Patrik Baard, Henrik Carlsen, Karin Edvardsson Björnberg and Maria Vredin

123: The Excess Cost of Supplementary Constraints in Climate Policy: The Case of Sweden’s Energy Intensity Target

Thomas Broberg, Tomas Forsfält and Göran Östblom

121: The Forecasting Properties of Survey-Based Wage-Growth Expectations

Thomas Jonsson and Pär Österholm

120: Labor-Force Participation Rates and the Informational Value of Unemployment Rates: Evidence from Disaggregated US Data

Magnus Gustavsson and Pär Österholm

119: Does environmental leadership pay off for Swed-ish industry? - Analyzing the effects of environ-mental investments on efficiency

Thomas Broberg, Per-Olov Marklund, Eva Samakovlis and Henrik Hammar

118: Analysing future solid waste generation - Soft linking a model of waste management with a CGE-model for Sweden

Göran Östblom, Maria Ljunggren Söderman and Magnus Sjöström

117: The Persistent Labour-Market Effects of the Financial Crisis

Pär Österholm and Marcus Mossfeldt

116: Interpreting Wage Bargaining Norms

Juhana Vartiainen

115: In Search of a Method for Measuring the Output Gap of the Swedish Economy

Göran Hjelm and Kristian Jönsson

114: The Properties of Survey-Based Inflation Expectations in Sweden

Thomas Jonsson and Pär Österholm

113: Unemployment and Labour Force Participation in Sweden

Pär Österholm

112: Improving Unemployment Rate Forecasts Using Survey Data

Pär Österholm

111: KIMOD 2.0 Documentation of changes in the model from January 2007 to January 2009

Tomas Forsfält

110: The Effect on the Swedish Real Economy of the Financial Crisis

Pär Österholm

109: Future Waste Scenarios for Sweden based on a CGE-model

Magnus Sjöström and Göran Östblom

108: Does remediation save lives? On the cost of cleaning up arsenic-contaminated sites in Sweden

Johanna Forslund, Eva Samakovlis, Maria Vredin and Lars Barregård

107: Can We Buy Time? Evaluation of the Government’s Directed Grant to Remediation in Sweden

Johanna Forslund, Per Johansson, Eva Samakovlis and Maria Vredin

105: How are Green National Accounts Produced in Practice?

Eva Samakovlis

104: Modellansatser i Konjunkturinstitutets medelfristprognoser

Tomas Forsfält, Jonny Nilsson and Juhana Vartiainen

103: Outcomes of a Swedish Kilometre Tax. An analysis of Economic Effects and Effects on NOx Emissions

Göran Östblom and Henrik Hammar

102: Explaining adoption of end of pipe solutions and clean technologies

Henrik Hammar and Åsa Löfgren

101: Nitrogen and Sulphur Outcomes of a Carbon Emissions Target Excluding Traded Allowances - An Input-Output Analysis of the Swedish Case

Göran Östblom

100: KIMOD 1.0 Documentation of NIER´s Dynamic Macroeconomic General Equilibrium Model of the Swedish Economy

Anders Bergvall, Tomas Forsfält, Göran Hjelm, Jonny Nilsson and Juhana Vartiainen