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Details about Lucian Liviu Albu

Workplace:Institutul de Prognoza Economica (Institute for Economic Forecasting), Institutul National de Cercetari Economice (INCE) (National Institute of Economic Research), Academia Romana (Romanian Academy), (more information at EDIRC)

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Last updated 2017-05-15. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

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Working Papers

2016

  1. Modelling of the relation between financial market and growth in EU: convergence and behavioural regimes
    EcoMod2016, EcoMod Downloads
  2. Trends in the relation between regional convergence and economic growth in EU
    Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads
    Also in ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association (2016) Downloads

2015

  1. Interactions between financial markets and macroeconomic variables in EU: a nonlinear modeling approach
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads View citations (2)

2014

  1. A Nonlinear Model to Estimate the Long Term Correlation between Market Capitalization and GDP per capita in Eastern EU Countries
    Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads View citations (9)
  2. A model to estimate macroeconomic parameters for growth in EU
    Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads

2013

  1. Development Gaps in the Sud Muntenia Region of Romania
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Trends in Convergence in EU. Differences between EU-10 and EU-15
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads
  3. Trends in Real Convergence and Structural Changes in EU
    EcoMod2013, EcoMod Downloads

2012

  1. Model of Comparative Analysis of the Main Indices of Economic and Social Performance of the European Union Countries
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads
  2. QUANTIFYING THE IMPACT OF CURRENT CRISIS ON THE CONVERGENCE IN EU AND POST-CRISIS SCENARIOS
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads

2011

  1. A model to estimate the effect of global crisis on the convergence process in EU
    EcoMod2011, EcoMod Downloads
    See also Journal Article in New Trends in Modelling and Economic Forecast (MEF 2011) (2012)
  2. Analysing drivers of and barriers to the sustainable development: hidden economy and hidden migration
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  3. CHANGES IN ECONOMY OR CHANGES IN ECONOMICS?
    Working Papers of National Institute of Economic Research, National Institute of Economic Research Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Revista Economica (2011)
  4. European Performances regarding Flexicurity. The Case of the New Member States
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads
  5. STRUCTURAL CHANGES AND CONVERGENCE IN EU AND IN ADRIATIC-BALKANS REGION
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads
    Also in MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany (2011) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Romanian Journal of Economics (2011)

2010

  1. Classification of competitiveness types using copula
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Scenarios for post-crisis period based on a set of presumed changes in the interest rate – investment – GDP growth relationship
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (2)

2009

  1. A method to evaluate composite performance indices based on variance-covariance matrix
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  2. Estimarea Cursului Real de Echilibru si a Deviatiilor pentru Romania
    Studii Economice, National Institute of Economic Research Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Estimation of Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate and of Deviations for Romania
    Working Papers of National Institute of Economic Research, National Institute of Economic Research Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Evidences of the Intensity of the Balassa-Samuelson Phenomenon in the Romanian Economy
    Working Papers of National Institute of Economic Research, National Institute of Economic Research Downloads
  5. Evidente privind Intensitatea Fenomenului Balassa-Sauelson pentru Economia Romaneasca
    Studii Economice, National Institute of Economic Research Downloads
  6. Simulation on long-term correlation between demographic variables and economic growth
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

2008

  1. A simulation model of public debt sustainability
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Romania’s development level comparing with EU countries: The RGS (Relative Gap Scoring) Ranking Index
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  3. Strain and Inflation-Unemployment Relationship in Transitional Economies: A theoretical and empirical investigation
    Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads View citations (9)
  4. Strain and Inflation-Unemployment Relationship: A conceptual and empirical investigation
    Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads View citations (1)

2007

  1. A model to estimate informal economy at regional level: Theoretical and empirical investigation
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Regional and Urban Modeling, EcoMod Downloads
  2. Estimating the Size of Underground Economy in Romania
    Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads View citations (9)
  3. Modelarea si evaluarea impactului investitiilor directe, nationale si internationale asupra pietii muncii si evolutiei macroeconomice din Romania - Modele macroeconomice - studiu de sinteza
    Working Papers of Macroeconomic Modelling Seminar, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads View citations (5)
  4. UNDERGROUND ECONOMY AND FISCAL POLICIES MODELING*
    Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads View citations (8)

2006

  1. A dynamic model to estimate the long-run trends in potential GDP
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Non-linear models: applications in economics
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (2)

2005

  1. A dynamic model to estimate the “pure” productivity
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal for Economic Forecasting (2005)

2004

  1. Probleme privind estimarea NAIRU in perioada tranzitiei
    Working Papers of Macroeconomic Modelling Seminar, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads

2003

  1. Estimating contribution of factors to long-term growth in Romania
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  2. Probleme privind modelarea ciclurilor economice. Abordari teoretice - Sinteza
    Working Papers of Macroeconomic Modelling Seminar, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads
  3. Scenarii multianuale utilizind un model redus de tip RMSM pentru prognoza principalilor indicatori macroeconomici din Romania - Sinteza
    Working Papers of Macroeconomic Modelling Seminar, Institute for Economic Forecasting Downloads
  4. Scenarios of economic development in Romania - medium to long-term forecasting models
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal for Economic Forecasting (2003)
  5. Underground economy modelling: simple models with complicated dynamics
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads
  6. Use of households survey data to estimate the size of the informal economy in Romania
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (5)

2002

  1. An attempt to estimate the size of informal economy based on household behaviour modeling
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Journal for Economic Forecasting (2002)
  2. Households’ activities in informal economy: size and behavioural aspects
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Underground economy quantitative models. Some applications to Romania’s case
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

2000

  1. Sustainability of public debt: a theoretical and empirical investigation
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

1997

  1. Institutions, Strains and the Underground Economy
    William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan Downloads View citations (3)

1996

  1. Strain and the inflation - unemployment relationship: a conceptual and empirical investigation
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Ace Project Memoranda, Department of Economics, University of Leicester View citations (5)

1994

  1. Coût ou bénéfice de la transition
    (Cost or benefit of the transition)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Problems in the structure of Romania’s economy
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

1993

  1. Exploration of economic systems in the transition period
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (1)

1991

  1. Le Rapport Industrie - Agriculture Et Le Developpement Economique
    (Industry-Agriculture Relationship and Economic Development)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

1987

  1. L’amortissement et l’autofinancement du processus d’investissement
    (The amortization and self-financing of the investment process)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

1986

  1. Un modèle d’analyse de la modification structurelle des investissements par stades de développement économique
    (A model to analyse structural changes of investment by economic development stages)
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (2)

1985

  1. A quantifying method of microinvestment optimum
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

1983

  1. An attempt to quantify the economic system motion under the investment process incidence
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads

Undated

  1. A Model to Simulate the Long-Term Dynamics of Public Debt
    EcoMod2010, EcoMod Downloads

Journal Articles

2016

  1. Impact Of FOMC Official Speeches on the Intraday Dynamics of CDS Markets
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2016, (2), 5-12 Downloads
  2. QUANTITATIVE EASING, TAPERING AND STOCK MARKET INDICES
    ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, 2016, 50, (3), 5-23 Downloads View citations (1)

2015

  1. INVESTMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH ON MEDIUM AND LONG TERM
    Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, 2015, 2, (1), 2-14 Downloads
  2. Nonlinearities and divergences in the process of European financial integration
    Economic Modelling, 2015, 46, (C), 416-425 Downloads View citations (9)
  3. The Assessment of Some Macroeconomic Forecasts for Spain using Aggregated Accuracy Indicators
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2015, (2), 30-47 Downloads

2014

  1. Estimating the Impact of Quantitative Easing On Credit Risk through an ARMA-GARCH Model
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2014, (3), 39-50 Downloads View citations (14)
  2. Lawrence R. Klein and the Economic Forecasting – A Survey
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2014, (1), 5-14 Downloads

2013

  1. Foreign Trade and FDI as Main Factors of Growth in the EU
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2013, (2), 7-17 Downloads View citations (9)
  2. IMPACT OF ACTUAL CRISIS ON EU CONVERGENCE
    Internal Auditing and Risk Management, 2013, 30, (1), 125-134 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Model for Qualitative Static and Dynamic Evaluation of Performance of the Export Sectors in Romania during 2009-2012 [Model de evaluare calitativă statică şi dinamică a performanţelor sectoarelor exportatoare ale României în perioada 2009-2012]
    Revista OEconomica, 2013, (02) Downloads

2012

  1. A MODEL TO ESTIMATE THE EFFECT OF GLOBAL CRISIS ON THE CONVERGENCE PROCESS IN EU
    New Trends in Modelling and Economic Forecast (MEF 2011), 2012, 1, (1), 11-27 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  2. A Multivariate Analysis of the Monthly Unemployment Rate in the County of Constanta
    Ovidius University Annals, Economic Sciences Series, 2012, XII, (2), 321-325 Downloads
  3. Structural Convergence in European Union
    Annals - Economy Series, 2012, 4II, 1-10 Downloads View citations (3)
  4. TRENDS IN INCOME DISTRIBUTION
    Romanian Journal of Economics, 2012, 35, (2(44)), 33-44 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. The Convergence Process in the EU Estimated by Gini Coefficients
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2012, (4), 5-16 Downloads View citations (8)

2011

  1. CHANGES IN ECONOMY OR CHANGES IN ECONOMICS?
    Revista Economica, 2011, 55, (2), 28-31 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  2. FISCAL AND DEBT SUSTAINABILITY AND GROWTH CHALLENGES
    Studies in Business and Economics, 2011, 6, (3), 5-38 Downloads
  3. Spatial Distribution of the Informal Economy. A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation
    SCIENZE REGIONALI, 2011, 2011/1, (1), 63-80 Downloads View citations (4)
  4. Structural Changes and Convergence in EU and in Adriatic-Balkans Region
    Romanian Journal of Economics, 2011, 32, (1(41)), 78-96 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2010

  1. Estimating Hidden Economy and Hidden Migration: The Case of Romania
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2010, (2), 46-56 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. European Performances regarding Flexicurity in the New Member States and Their Regions
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2010, (5), 59-73 Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Examples of New Macroeconomic Modelling and Simulation Techniques: How They Could Improve Decisions and Public Perception
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2010, (5), 7-16 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. FROM STANDARD MACROECONOMICS TO NON-LINEAR MACROECONOMICS
    Studies in Business and Economics, 2010, 5, (1), 5-33 Downloads View citations (2)
  5. TRENDS IN STRUCTURAL CHANGES AND CONVERGENCE IN EU AND IN ADRIATIC-BALKANS REGION
    Studies in Business and Economics, 2010, 5, (3), 7-66 Downloads

2009

  1. How Deep and How Long Could Be the Recession in Romania
    The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, 2009, 11, (Number Special 3), 675-683 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. LONG-TERM CORRELATIONS BETWEEN DEMOGRAPHIC VARIABLES AND ECONOMIC GROWTH
    Studies in Business and Economics, 2009, 4, (4), 5-28 Downloads
  3. Patterns of Foreign Direct Investment in the New EU Countries
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2009, 6, (2), 42-51 Downloads View citations (4)
  4. THE "DOBRESCU MACROMODEL" OF THE ROMANIAN MARKET ECONOMY - 2005 VERSION* YEARLY FORECAST - SPRING FORECAST 2009
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2009, 6, (1), 155-159 Downloads

2008

  1. A MODEL TO ESTIMATE SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF INFORMAL ECONOMY
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2008, 5, (4), 111-124 View citations (4)
  2. A Model to Estimate the Composite Index of Economic Activity in Romania – IEF-RO
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2008, 5, (2), 44-50 View citations (5)
  3. Informal Economic Estimation Models at Macroeconomic Level. Some Theoretical and Methodologial Considerations
    Timisoara Journal of Economics, 2008, 1, (2), 177-190 Downloads
  4. Modèle d’estimation de l’économie informelle au niveau macroéconomique. Quelques considerations teoretiques et methodologiques
    Romanian Economic Journal, 2008, 11, (27), 139-164 Downloads
  5. Trends in Structural Changes and Convergence in EU
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2008, 5, (1), 91-101 Downloads View citations (12)

2007

  1. A Model to Evaluate the Regional Competitiveness of the EU Regions
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2007, 4, (3), 81-102 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. SPATIAL ECONOMETRICS - APPLICATIONS TO INVESTIGATE DISTRIBUTION OF CO2 EMISSION IN EUROPE*
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2007, 4, (1), 45-56 Downloads View citations (1)

2006

  1. Trends in inflation-unemployment relationship before and after accession to EU
    Romanian Economic Business Review, 2006, 1, (3), 25-33 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Trends in the Interest Rate - Investment - GDP Growth Relationship
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2006, 3, (3), 5-13 Downloads View citations (7)

2005

  1. A DYNAMIC MODEL TO ESTIMATE THE “PURE” PRODUCTIVITY
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2005, 2, (1), 30-34
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2004

  1. DEVELOPMENT OF PRODUCTION FUNCTION MODEL IN ORDER TO QUANTIFY THE CONTRIBUTION OF FACTORS TO LONG-TERM GROWTH IN ROMANIA
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2004, 1, (1), 5-14
  2. ESTIMATING NAIRU FOR THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2004, 1, (2), 5-19 View citations (3)
  3. PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS MODEL OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY. GDP – PRODUCTION SIDE*
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2004, 1, (5), 52-66
  4. QUARTERLY GDP DATA CORRECTION USING PRINCIPAL COMPONENTS ANALYSIS. THE CASE OF THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY – GDP EXPENDITURES SIDE*
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2004, 1, (5), 5-34

2003

  1. FACTORS AND MECHANISMS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH IN TRANSITION ECONOMIES OF DIFFERENT TYPES (CASE OF ROMANIA)
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2003, (4), 50-64 View citations (2)
  2. MODELLING THE ECONOMIC CYCLES. A THEORETICAL APPROACH
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2003, (5), 5-16
  3. MULTI - ANNUAL SCENARIOS USING A SMALL – SIZED RMSM TYPE OF MODEL IN ORDER TO FORECAST THE MAIN MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS IN ROMANIA
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2003, (5), 25-31
  4. SCENARIOS OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN ROMANIA – MEDIUM TO LONG-TERM FORECASTING MODELS
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2003, (5), 64-77
    See also Working Paper (2003)
  5. SHORT-TERM FORECAST
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2003, (2), 197-199 View citations (1)
    Also in Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2002, (2), 81-83 (2002)
  6. UNDERGROUND ECONOMY MODELLING: SIMPLE MODELS WITH COMPLICATED DYNAMICS (PART I)
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2003, (1), 79-85

2002

  1. AN ATTEMPT TO ESTIMATE THE SIZE OF INFORMAL ECONOMY BASED ON HOUSEHOLD BEHAVIOUR MODELING (l)*
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2002, (1), 17-24 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2002)
  2. HOUSEHOLDS' ACTIVITIES IN INFORMAL ECONOMY: SIZE AND BEHAVIOURAL ASPECTS (II)*
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2002, (3), 18-28 View citations (2)
  3. SHORT-TERM FORECASTING FOR SIX MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2002, (1), 114-116
    Also in Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2001, (4), 117-119 (2001)
  4. SUSTAINABILITY FUNCTION
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2002, (2), 5-14 View citations (10)

2001

  1. EVOLUTION OF INFLATION-UNEMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP IN THE PERSPECTIVE OF ROMANIA’S ACCESSION TO EU
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2001, (3), 5-23 View citations (7)
  2. SHORT-TERM FORECASTING FOR 6 MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS: INFLATION DYNAMICS ALLOWS FOR THE PREPARATION FOR THE STRONG LEU
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2001, (2), 140-144
  3. TAX EVASION AND THE SIZE OF UNDERGROUND ECONOMY: A THEORETICAL AND EMPIRICAL INVESTIGATION
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2001, (1), 16-31 View citations (2)

2000

  1. STRAIN AND STAGES OF CENTRAL AND EAST-EUROPEAN TRANSITION
    Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2000, (1), 29-34

Chapters

2010

  1. Spatial Distribution of Key Macroeconomic Growth Indicators in the EU-27: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation
    Chapter 7 in The Labour Market Impact of the EU Enlargement. A New Regional Geography of Europe?, 2010, pp 175-194 Downloads

Editor

  1. Journal for Economic Forecasting
    Institute for Economic Forecasting
  2. Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting
    Institute for Economic Forecasting
 
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