Details about Steffen Elstner

Access statistics for papers by Steffen Elstner.

Last updated 2025-04-07. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pel97

Working Papers

2021

1. Unraveling the Productivity Paradox: Evidence for Germany
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
   See also Journal Article Unraveling the Productivity Paradox: Evidence for Germany, German Economic Review, De Gruyter (2024) (2024)

2020

2. Growth prospects and the trade balance in advanced economies
   Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen View citations (4)
   See also Journal Article Growth Prospects and the Trade Balance in Advanced Economies, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2022) View citations (1) (2022)
3. The Diffusion of Technological Progress in ICT
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article The diffusion of technological progress in ICT, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2022) View citations (3) (2022)

2019

4. The consequences of U.S. technology changes for productivity in advanced economies
   Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen View citations (5)
   See also Journal Article The consequences of US technology changes for productivity in advanced economies, Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press (2023) (2023)
5. Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms
   Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (44)
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (28)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (10)
   See also Journal Article Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2019) View citations (46) (2019)

2018

6. International spillover effects of U.S. tax reforms: Evidence from Germany
   Working Papers, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung View citations (6)
   See also Journal Article International spillover effects of U.S. tax reforms: evidence from Germany, Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press (2021) View citations (2) (2021)
7. The German Productivity Paradox - Facts and Explanations
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (17)
   Also in Ruhr Economic Papers, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen (2018) View citations (18)

2017

8. Die Wachstumsperspektiven der deutschen Wirtschaft vor dem Hintergrund des demografischen Wandels: Die Mittelfristprojektion des Sachverständigenrates
   Working Papers, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung View citations (1)
9. Uncertainty and the Great Recession
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (31)
   Also in Working Papers, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung (2014) View citations (13)
   See also Journal Article Uncertainty and the Great Recession, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford (2018) View citations (31) (2018)

2016

10. Bedingt abwehrbereit: Deutschland im digitalen Wandel
    Working Papers, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung View citations (7)

2015

11. Keine Notwendigkeit einer Reform des Gesetzes zur Förderung der Stabilität und des Wachstums der Wirtschaft
    Working Papers, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung View citations (4)

2014

12. Surprise, Surprise - Measuring Firm-Level Investment Innovations
    2014 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (14)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2014) View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Surprise, surprise – Measuring firm-level investment innovations, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier (2017) View citations (23) (2017)

2013

13. Firms' Optimism and Pessimism
    2013 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (4)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (3)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2013) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Firm optimism and pessimism, European Economic Review, Elsevier (2015) View citations (82) (2015)
14. How much did oil market developments contribute to the 2009 recession in Germany?
    Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (20)
    See also Journal Article How Much Did Oil Market Developments Contribute to the 2009 Recession in Germany?, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell (2013) View citations (20) (2013)
15. Time-varying business volatility, price setting, and the real effects of monetary policy
    Working Papers, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung View citations (26)

2012

16. Uncertainty, heterogeneous expectation errors and economic activity: evidence from business survey data
    Munich Dissertations in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (6)

2011

17. How Strongly Did the 2007/08 Oil Price Hike Contribute to the Subsequent Recession?
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (2)

2010

18. Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data
    2010 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (43)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) View citations (62)
    See also Journal Article Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association (2013) View citations (767) (2013)

2008

19. What do reaction functions tell us about central bank preferences?
    Kiel Advanced Studies Working Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)

Journal Articles

2024

1. Unraveling the Productivity Paradox: Evidence for Germany
   German Economic Review, 2024, 25, (3), 165-207
   See also Working Paper Unraveling the Productivity Paradox: Evidence for Germany, CEPR Discussion Papers (2021) (2021)

2023

2. The consequences of US technology changes for productivity in advanced economies
   Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2023, 27, (3), 718-742
   See also Working Paper The consequences of U.S. technology changes for productivity in advanced economies, Ruhr Economic Papers (2019) View citations (5) (2019)

2022

3. Growth Prospects and the Trade Balance in Advanced Economies
   Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2022, 84, (5), 1209-1234 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Growth prospects and the trade balance in advanced economies, Ruhr Economic Papers (2020) View citations (4) (2020)
4. Konjunkturzyklen in Deutschland – die Datierung durch den Sachverständigenrat
   Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, 2022, 23, (3), 200-240
5. Produktivitätseffekte durch Informations- und Kommunikationstechnologien in Deutschland
   ifo Schnelldienst, 2022, 75, (12), 25-31
6. The diffusion of technological progress in ICT
   European Economic Review, 2022, 149, (C) View citations (3)
   See also Working Paper The Diffusion of Technological Progress in ICT, CESifo Working Paper Series (2020) View citations (1) (2020)

2021

7. International spillover effects of U.S. tax reforms: evidence from Germany
   Oxford Economic Papers, 2021, 73, (2), 578-600 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper International spillover effects of U.S. tax reforms: Evidence from Germany, Working Papers (2018) View citations (6) (2018)

2020

8. Germany’s Growth Prospects against the Backdrop of Demographic Change
   Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2020, 240, (5), 565-605 View citations (3)

2019

9. Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms
   Journal of Monetary Economics, 2019, 101, (C), 82-99 View citations (46)
   See also Working Paper Time-varying business volatility and the price setting of firms, Munich Reprints in Economics (2019) View citations (44) (2019)

2018

10. Uncertainty and the Great Recession
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2018, 80, (5), 951-971 View citations (31)
    See also Working Paper Uncertainty and the Great Recession, CEPR Discussion Papers (2017) View citations (31) (2017)

2017

11. Schwaches Produktivitätswachstum — zyklisches oder strukturelles Phänomen?
    (Weak Productivity Growth — A Cyclical or Structural Phenomenon?)
    Wirtschaftsdienst, 2017, 97, (2), 83-102 View citations (1)
12. Surprise, surprise – Measuring firm-level investment innovations
    Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2017, 83, (C), 107-148 View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper Surprise, Surprise - Measuring Firm-Level Investment Innovations, 2014 Meeting Papers (2014) View citations (14) (2014)

2016

13. Argumente gegen die Reform des Stabilitätsgesetzes wenig überzeugend — eine Replik
    (An Assessment of the Economic Stability and Growth Law — Reply and Response)
    Wirtschaftsdienst, 2016, 96, (4), 258-264 View citations (1)
14. Das leere Versprechen der aktiven Konjunktursteuerung
    (The Empty Promises of Active Economic Fine-Tuning)
    Wirtschaftsdienst, 2016, 96, (8), 534-540 View citations (4)
15. Geringes Wirtschaftswachstum und Abwärtstrend bei Investitionen: Wege aus der Wachstumsschwäche
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (22), 03-21 View citations (1)

2015

16. Firm optimism and pessimism
    European Economic Review, 2015, 79, (C), 297-325 View citations (82)
    See also Working Paper Firms' Optimism and Pessimism, 2013 Meeting Papers (2013) View citations (4) (2013)
17. Überprüfung des Stabilitäts- und Wachstumsgesetzes
    Wirtschaftsdienst, 2015, 95, (12), 830-836 View citations (2)

2013

18. Das ifo Exportklima – ein Frühindikator für die deutsche Exportprognose
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2013, 66, (04), 36-43 View citations (26)
19. How Much Did Oil Market Developments Contribute to the 2009 Recession in Germany?
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2013, 115, (3), 695-721 View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper How much did oil market developments contribute to the 2009 recession in Germany?, Munich Reprints in Economics (2013) View citations (20) (2013)
20. Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data
    American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2013, 5, (2), 217-49 View citations (767)
    See also Working Paper Uncertainty and Economic Activity: Evidence from Business Survey Data, 2010 Meeting Papers (2010) View citations (43) (2010)

2012

21. CESifo World Economic Survey February 2012
    ifo World Economic Survey, 2012, 11, (01), 1-24 View citations (2)
22. Methoden der ifo Kurzfristprognose am Beispiel der Ausrüstungsinvestitionen
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, (21), 24-33 View citations (6)
23. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Erhöhte Unsicherheit dämpft deutsche Konjunktur erneut
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, (13), 15-68 View citations (3)
24. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2012/2013: Eurokrise verzögert Aufschwung
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2012, 65, (24), 15-65

2011

25. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Aufschwung geht langsamer voran
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2011, 64, (13), 16-62 View citations (3)
26. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011/2012: Schuldenkrise bremst deutsche Wirtschaft aus
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2011, 64, (24), 26-72 View citations (1)

2010

27. Die größten aufstrebenden Märkte für deutsche Exporte liegen in Asien und Osteuropa
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2010, 63, (16), 22-25 View citations (6)
28. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010/2011:Auftriebskräfte verlagern sich nach Deutschland
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2010, 63, (12), 12-63 View citations (3)
29. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2011: Aufschwung setzt sich verlangsamt fort
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2010, 63, (24), 18-68 View citations (4)

2009

30. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009/2010: Abschwung setzt sich fort
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2009, 62, (12), 11-57 View citations (3)
31. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2010: Deutsche Wirtschaft ohne Dynamik
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2009, 62, (24), 17-64 View citations (7)

2008

32. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2008/2009: Aufschwung geht zu Ende
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2008, 61, (12), 09-54 View citations (1)
33. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2009: Deutsche Wirtschaft in der Rezession
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2008, 61, (24), 21-69