Details about J James Reade

Access statistics for papers by J James Reade.

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Short-id: pre128

Working Papers

2019

1. Evaluating Strange Forecasts: The Curious Case of Football Match Scorelines
   Economics & Management Discussion Papers, Henley Business School, Reading University
2. Going with your gut: the (in)accuracy of forecast revisions in a football score prediction game
   Economics & Management Discussion Papers, Henley Business School, Reading University
   Also in Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting (2018)
3. Information, prices and efficiency in an online betting market
   Economics & Management Discussion Papers, Henley Business School, Reading University
4. Social Pressure or Rational Reactions to Incentives? A Historical Analysis of Reasons for Referee Bias in the Spanish Football
   DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística

2018

5. Officials and Home Advantage
   Economics & Management Discussion Papers, Henley Business School, Reading University
6. Prediction Markets and Poll Releases: When Are Prices Most Informative?
   Economics & Management Discussion Papers, Henley Business School, Reading University

2016

7. General-to-Specific (GETS) Modelling And Indicator Saturation With The R Package Gets
   Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (7)
8. Using Social Media to Identify Market Ine!ciencies: Evidence from Twitter and Betfair
   Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting View citations (2)
9. Using Social Media to Identify Market Inefficiencies: Evidence from Twitter and Betfair
   Dundee Discussion Papers in Economics, Economic Studies, University of Dundee View citations (4)
   Also in Economics & Management Discussion Papers, Henley Business School, Reading University (2016) View citations (4)

2014

10. Information and Predictability: Bookmakers, Prediction Markets and Tipsters as Forecasters
    Economics & Management Discussion Papers, Henley Business School, Reading University View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Prediction Markets (2014)
11. On Fixing International Cricket Matches
    Economics & Management Discussion Papers, Henley Business School, Reading University
12. Prediction Markets, Twitter and Bigotgate
    Economics & Management Discussion Papers, Henley Business School, Reading University View citations (3)

2013

13. Using Forecasting to Detect Corruption in International Football
    Working Papers, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting View citations (1)

2012

14. Punishing the Foreigner: Implicit Discrimination in the Premier League Based on Oppositional Identity
    Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (2013)

2011

15. Chinese Monetary Policy and the Dollar Peg
    Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association
    Also in Discussion Papers, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics (2010) View citations (12)
16. Exchange vs Dealers: A High-Frequency Analysis of In-Play Betting Prices
    Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham View citations (7)
17. From the General to the Specific
    Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham View citations (1)
18. Information and Efficiency: Goal Arrival in Soccer Betting
    Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham View citations (28)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2014)
19. Modelling Monetary and Fiscal Policy in the US: A Cointegration Approach
    Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham View citations (5)

2010

20. Panel Estimation for Worriers
    Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham View citations (14)
    Also in Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2010) View citations (13)
21. Too Much to Lose, or More to Gain? Should Sweden Join the Euro?
    Discussion Papers, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham View citations (1)
    Also in Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics (2009) View citations (11)

2009

22. Leader of the Pack? German Monetary Dominance in Europe Prior to EMU
    Economics Series Working Papers, University of Oxford, Department of Economics View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Modelling (2011)

2004

23. Simulating properties of the likelihood ratio test for a unit root in an explosive second order autoregression
    Economics Papers, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Econometric Reviews (2007)

Journal Articles

2019

1. Polls to probabilities: Comparing prediction markets and opinion polls
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (1), 336-350
2. The wisdom of amateur crowds: Evidence from an online community of sports tipsters
   European Journal of Operational Research, 2019, 272, (3), 1073-1081 View citations (4)
3. When are prediction market prices most informative?
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (1), 420-428 View citations (3)

2018

4. FORECASTING WITH SOCIAL MEDIA: EVIDENCE FROM TWEETS ON SOCCER MATCHES
   Economic Inquiry, 2018, 56, (3), 1748-1763 View citations (6)

2016

5. Forecasting Elections
   Journal of Forecasting, 2016, 35, (4), 308-328 View citations (10)
6. Prediction Markets, Social Media and Information Efficiency
   Kyklos, 2016, 69, (3), 518-556 View citations (10)

2014

7. INFORMATION AND PREDICTABILITY: BOOKMAKERS, PREDICTION MARKETS AND TIPSTERS AS FORECASTERS
   Journal of Prediction Markets, 2014, 8, (1), 43-76 View citations (4)
   See also Working Paper (2014)
8. Information and Efficiency: Goal Arrival in Soccer Betting
   Economic Journal, 2014, 124, (575), 62-91 View citations (24)
   See also Working Paper (2011)

2013

9. Punishing the Foreigner: Implicit Discrimination in the Premier League Based on Oppositional Identity
   Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2013, 75, (1), 136-156 View citations (8)
   See also Working Paper (2012)

2011

10. From the General to the Specific—Modelling Inflation in China
    Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2011, 57, (1), 27-44 View citations (1)
11. Leader of the pack? German monetary dominance in Europe prior to EMU
    Economic Modelling, 2011, 28, (1-2), 239-250 View citations (14)
    Also in Economic Modelling, 2011, 28, (1), 239-250 (2011) View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
12. Measurement of competitive balance in professional team sports using the Normalized Concentration Ratio
    Economics Bulletin, 2011, 31, (3), 2529-2540 View citations (7)

2009

13. Playing Like the Home Team: An Economic Investigation into Home Advantage in Football
    International Journal of Sport Finance, 2009, 4, (1), 16-41 View citations (1)

2008

14. Elusive return predictability: Discussion
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2008, 24, (1), 22-28
15. Linear vs. Log‐linear Unit‐Root Specification: An Application of Mis‐specification Encompassing*
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2008, 70, (s1), 829-847 View citations (4)

2007

16. Simulating Properties of the Likelihood Ratio Test for a Unit Root in an Explosive Second-Order Autoregression
    Econometric Reviews, 2007, 26, (5), 487-501 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2004)

Chapters

2014

1. Detecting corruption in football
   Chapter 25 in Handbook on the Economics of Professional Football, 2014, pp 419-446

2011

2. When You Got Nothing, You Got Nothing to Lose – Regional Monetary Integration and Policy Independence
   Chapter 12 in Regional Integration, Economic Development and Global Governance, 2011 View citations (1)