Details about Michael James Roberts
Access statistics for papers by Michael James Roberts.
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Short-id: pro207
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Working Papers
2025
- Optimal transmission expansion modestly reduces decarbonization costs of U.S. electricity
Papers, arXiv.org
2024
- Optimal transmission expansion minimally reduces decarbonization costs of U.S. electricity
Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa
- Process and Policy Insights from Intercomparing Electricity System Capacity Expansion Models
Papers, arXiv.org
2023
- Real-Time Pricing and the Cost of Clean Power
Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa 
Also in IHEID Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies (2022) 
See also Journal Article Real-Time Pricing and the Cost of Clean Power, American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association (2024) (2024)
2022
- Are We Building Too Much Natural Gas Pipeline? A comparison of actual US expansion of pipeline to an optimized plan of the interstate network
Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa
- Using Temperature Sensitivity to Estimate Shiftable Electricity Demand: Implications for power system investments and climate change
Papers, arXiv.org 
Also in Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa (2021)
2020
- Estimating Water Demand Using Price Differences of Wastewater Services
Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics 
Also in Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa (2020)
- How Will Climate Change Affect Water Demand? Evidence from Hawaii Microclimates
Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics
- How Will Climate Change Affect Water Demand? Evidence from Hawai‘i Microclimates
Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa
- Randomized Double Auctions: Gains from Trade, Trader Roles, and Price Discovery
Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Randomized double auctions: gains from trade, trader roles, and price discovery, Experimental Economics, Springer (2021) View citations (4) (2021)
2019
- Do energy efficiency standards hurt consumers?: evidence from household appliance sales
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library View citations (7)
Also in Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics (2016) View citations (1) GRI Working Papers, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment (2017) View citations (5)
See also Journal Article Do energy efficiency standards hurt consumers? Evidence from household appliance sales, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier (2019) View citations (7) (2019)
2018
- Not All Regions Are Alike: Evaluating the Effect of Oil Price Shocks on Local and Aggregate Economies
Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa 
Also in Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics (2018)
- Variable Pricing and the Cost of Renewable Energy
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (27)
Also in Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa (2018) View citations (24) Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics (2018) View citations (21)
2016
- 2015 Trans-Pacific Intellectual Dialogue
Conference Proceedings, Korea Institute for International Economic Policy
2015
- Balancing Opportunities and Costs in Hawaii’s Increasingly Green Grid
Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa
- Balancing Opportunities and Costs in Hawaii’s Increasingly Green Grid
Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics
- Can Energy Efficiency Standards Reduce Prices and Improve Quality? Evidence from the US Clothes Washer Market
Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics 
Also in Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa (2015)
- Commodity Prices and Volatility in Response to Anticipated Climate Change
Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics View citations (1)
Also in 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2012) View citations (4)
- Options for Improving Conservation Programs: Insights from Auction Theory and Economic Experiments
Economic Research Report, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (25)
See also Journal Article Options for Improving Conservation Programs: Insights From Auction Theory and Economic Experiments, Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service (2015) View citations (23) (2015)
- Who Really Benefits from Agricultural Subsidies? Evidence from Field-level Data
Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics View citations (3)
Also in 2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2010) View citations (3) Working Papers, University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization, University of Hawaii at Manoa (2015) View citations (3)
See also Journal Article Who Really Benefits from Agricultural Subsidies? Evidence from Field-level Data, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2016) View citations (34) (2016)
2014
- Optimal Sequential Plantings of Corn and Soybeans Under Price Uncertainty
Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics View citations (2)
See also Journal Article Optimal Sequential Plantings of Corn and Soybeans Under Price Uncertainty, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association (2015) View citations (22) (2015)
- Separating Moral Hazard from Adverse Selection: Evidence from the U.S. Federal Crop Insurance Program
Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics
- Using Quotas to Enhance Competition in Asymmetric Auctions: A Comparison of Theoretical and Experimental Outcomes
Working Papers, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Department of Economics View citations (1)
2013
- Conditional Suspension of the US Ethanol Mandate using Threshold Price inside a Competitive Storage Model
2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C., Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (6)
2012
- Commodity Price Adjustment in a Competitive Storage Model with an Application to the US Biofuel Policies
2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (9)
- Corn Production Shocks in 2012 and Beyond: Implications for Food Price Volatility
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (9)
- The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather: Comment
Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley View citations (211)
See also Journal Article The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather: Comment, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2012) View citations (227) (2012)
2010
- Identifying Supply and Demand Elasticities of Agricultural Commodities: Implications for the US Ethanol Mandate
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (39)
See also Journal Article Identifying Supply and Demand Elasticities of Agricultural Commodities: Implications for the US Ethanol Mandate, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2013) View citations (245) (2013)
- Is Agricultural Production Becoming More or Less Sensitive to Extreme Heat? Evidence from U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (7)
See also Chapter Is Agricultural Production Becoming More or Less Sensitive to Extreme Heat? Evidence from U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields, NBER Chapters, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2011) View citations (2) (2011)
- Using Enrollment Discontinuities to Estimate the Effect of Voluntary Conservation on Local Land Values
2010 Annual Meeting, July 25-27, 2010, Denver, Colorado, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association View citations (1)
2009
- Production Effects of Decoupled Commodity Program Payments: An Instrumental Variables Approach
2009 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, 2009, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
2008
- Did the Baby Boom Cause the Farm-Size Boom?
2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
- Do Decoupled Payments Stimulate Production? Estimating the Effect on Program Crop Acreage Using Matching
2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (8)
- Estimating the Impact of Climate Change on Crop Yields: The Importance of Nonlinear Temperature Effects
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (63)
- Optimal Corn and Soybean Rotations
2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (12)
2007
- Commodity Payments, Farm Business Survival, and Farm Size Growth
Economic Research Report, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (8)
- Does Crop Insurance Affect Crop Yields?
2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (1)
- NONPECUNIARY BENEFITS TO FARMING AND DECOUPLED PAYMENTS
2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (1)
2006
- ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS OF AGRICULTURAL LAND-USE CHANGE: THE ROLE OF ECONOMICS AND POLICY
Economic Research Report, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (30)
- Government Payments and Farmland Concentration
2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
- Major Uses of Land in The United States, 2002
Economic Information Bulletin, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (14)
- The Value of Plant Disease Early-Warning Systems: A Case Study of USDA's Soybean Rust Coordinated Framework
Economic Research Report, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (10)
2005
- Do Government Payments Influence Farm Business Survival?
2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
- Does risk matter for farm businesses? The effect of crop insurance on production and diversification
2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (4)
- Extent, Location, and Characteristics of Land Cropped Due to Insurance Subsidies
2005 Annual meeting, July 24-27, Providence, RI, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (5)
- POTENTIAL MARKET IMPACTS OF SOYBEAN RUST
Agricultural Outlook Forum 2005, United States Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Outlook Forum
2004
- DECOUPLED PAYMENTS IN A CHANGING POLICY SETTING
Agricultural Economic Reports, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (17)
- POLICY DIRECTIONS TO MITIGATE WATER-SUPPLY RISK IN IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE: A FEDERAL PERSPECTIVE
2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
- RISK, GOVERNMENT PROGRAMS, AND THE ENVIRONMENT
Technical Bulletins, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (15)
- THE ILLUSION OF CONTROL, COGNITIVE DISSONANCE AND FARMER PERCEPTION OF GM CROPS
2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
- The 1996 Federal Agriculture Improvement and Reform Act: Correcting a Distortion?
2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (2)
- The Conservation Reserve Program: Economic Implications for Rural America
Agricultural Economic Reports, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service View citations (56)
2003
- CHEMICAL AND FERTILIZER APPLICATIONS IN RESPONSE TO CROP INSURANCE: EVIDENCE FROM CENSUS MICRO DATA
2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (1)
- GOVERNMENT PAYMENTS AND STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN AGRICULTURE
2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (9)
- THE IMPORTANCE OF INCOME RISK IN LABOR ALLOCATION DECISIONS
2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association)
2002
- RISK AND STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN AGRICULTURE: HOW INCOME SHOCKS INFLUENCE FARM SIZE
2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (3)
- SLIPPAGE OR SPURIOUS CORRELATION: AN ANALYSIS OF THE CONSERVATION RESERVE PROGRAM
2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association) View citations (1)
1995
- Natural resource prices: will they ever turn up?
CUDARE Working Papers, University of California, Berkeley, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics 
See also Journal Article Natural Resource Prices: Will They Ever Turn Up?, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier (1996) View citations (76) (1996)
Undated
- A Mixed Effects Model of Crop Yields for Purposes of Premium Determination
2011 Annual Meeting, July 24-26, 2011, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association
Journal Articles
2024
- Real-Time Pricing and the Cost of Clean Power
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2024, 16, (4), 100-141 
See also Working Paper Real-Time Pricing and the Cost of Clean Power, Working Papers (2023) (2023)
2021
- How Will Climate Change Affect Residential Water Demand? Evidence from Hawai‘i Microclimates
Water Economics and Policy (WEP), 2021, 07, (01), 1-49
- Randomized double auctions: gains from trade, trader roles, and price discovery
Experimental Economics, 2021, 24, (4), 1325-1364 View citations (4)
See also Working Paper Randomized Double Auctions: Gains from Trade, Trader Roles, and Price Discovery, Working Papers (2020) View citations (2) (2020)
2019
- Do energy efficiency standards hurt consumers? Evidence from household appliance sales
Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2019, 96, (C), 88-107 View citations (7)
See also Working Paper Do energy efficiency standards hurt consumers?: evidence from household appliance sales, LSE Research Online Documents on Economics (2019) View citations (7) (2019)
2016
- Who Really Benefits from Agricultural Subsidies? Evidence from Field-level Data
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2016, 98, (4), 1095-1113 View citations (34)
See also Working Paper Who Really Benefits from Agricultural Subsidies? Evidence from Field-level Data, Working Papers (2015) View citations (3) (2015)
2015
- Optimal Sequential Plantings of Corn and Soybeans Under Price Uncertainty
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2015, 97, (3), 855-878 View citations (22)
See also Working Paper Optimal Sequential Plantings of Corn and Soybeans Under Price Uncertainty, Working Papers (2014) View citations (2) (2014)
- Options for Improving Conservation Programs: Insights From Auction Theory and Economic Experiments
Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2015, (01), 1 View citations (23)
See also Working Paper Options for Improving Conservation Programs: Insights from Auction Theory and Economic Experiments, Economic Research Report (2015) View citations (25) (2015)
2014
- Reply to 'Temperature and drought effects on maize yield'
Nature Climate Change, 2014, 4, (4), 234-234
2013
- Agronomic Weather Measures in Econometric Models of Crop Yield with Implications for Climate Change
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2013, 95, (2), 236-243 View citations (71)
- Identifying Supply and Demand Elasticities of Agricultural Commodities: Implications for the US Ethanol Mandate
American Economic Review, 2013, 103, (6), 2265-95 View citations (245)
See also Working Paper Identifying Supply and Demand Elasticities of Agricultural Commodities: Implications for the US Ethanol Mandate, NBER Working Papers (2010) View citations (39) (2010)
- The critical role of extreme heat for maize production in the United States
Nature Climate Change, 2013, 3, (5), 497-501 View citations (84)
- US maize adaptability
Nature Climate Change, 2013, 3, (8), 690-691 View citations (12)
2012
- Projected temperature changes indicate significant increase in interannual variability of U.S. maize yields
Climatic Change, 2012, 112, (2), 525-533 View citations (33)
- The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather: Comment
American Economic Review, 2012, 102, (7), 3749-60 View citations (227)
See also Working Paper The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather: Comment, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series (2012) View citations (211) (2012)
2009
- Did the Federal Crop Insurance Reform Act Alter Farm Enterprise Diversification?
Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2009, 60, (1), 80-104 View citations (25)
- Estimating the Value of an Early-Warning System
Review of Agricultural Economics, 2009, 31, (2), 303-329 View citations (4)
Also in Review of Agricultural Economics, 2009, 31, (2), 303-329 (2009) View citations (3)
- Nonpecuniary Benefits to Farming: Implications for Supply Response to Decoupled Payments
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2009, 91, (1), 1-18 View citations (69)
- World Supply and Demand of Food Commodity Calories
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2009, 91, (5), 1235-1242 View citations (47)
2008
- AJAE appendix for “Nonpecuniary Benefits to Farming: Implications for Supply Response to Decoupled Payments”
American Journal of Agricultural Economics APPENDICES, 2008, 91, (01) View citations (23)
- Agricultural Payments and Land Concentration: A Semiparametric Spatial Regression Analysis
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2008, 90, (3), 627-643 View citations (25)
- Land Retirement Programs May Induce Enduring Land-Use Changes
Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2008, 1 View citations (2)
2007
- AJAE Appendix for “Agricultural Payments and Land Concentration: A Semi-parametric Spatial Regression Analysis”
American Journal of Agricultural Economics APPENDICES, 2007, 90, (3), 14
- Cropland Concentrating Faster Where Payments Are Higher
Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2007, 6
- Do Government Payments Influence Farm Size and Survival?
Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 2007, 32, (2), 19 View citations (26)
- Enduring Impacts of Land Retirement Policies: Evidence from the Conservation Reserve Program
Land Economics, 2007, 83, (4), 516-538 View citations (51)
- How Do Decoupled Payments Affect Resource Allocations Within the Farm Sector?
Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2007, 1 
Also in Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2004, 2 (2004) View citations (2)
- Measures of Trends in Farm Size Tell Differing Stories
Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2007, 2 View citations (3)
2006
- Agricultural Policy Affects Land Use and the Environment
Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2006, 6 View citations (1)
- Estimating the Extent of Moral Hazard in Crop Insurance Using Administrative Data
Review of Agricultural Economics, 2006, 28, (3), 381-390 View citations (29)
Also in Review of Agricultural Economics, 2006, 28, (3), 381-390 (2006) View citations (23)
- Government Payments and Farm Business Survival
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2006, 88, (2), 382-392 View citations (85)
- Nonlinear Effects of Weather on Corn Yields
Review of Agricultural Economics, 2006, 28, (3), 391-398 View citations (116)
Also in Review of Agricultural Economics, 2006, 28, (3), 391-398 (2006) View citations (123)
- Public Information Creates Value
Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2006, 6 View citations (1)
- Risk and farm operator labour supply
Applied Economics, 2006, 38, (5), 573-586 View citations (9)
- Slippage in the Conservation Reserve Program or Spurious Correlation? A Rejoinder
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2006, 88, (2), 512-514 View citations (18)
2005
- Farm-Level Production Effects from Participation in Government Commodity Programs: Did the 1996 Federal Agricultural Improvement and Reform Act Make a Difference?
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2005, 87, (5), 1211-1219 View citations (14)
- How Cost-Effective Are Land Retirement Auctions? Estimating the Difference between Payments and Willingness to Accept in the Conservation Reserve Program
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2005, 87, (5), 1239-1247 View citations (86)
- Losing Under Contract: Transaction-Cost Externalities and Spot Market Disintegration
Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, 2005, 3, (2), 19 View citations (6)
- Slippage in the Conservation Reserve Program or Spurious Correlation? A Comment
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2005, 87, (1), 244-250 View citations (37)
2004
- Coping With Risk in Agriculture
Amber Waves:The Economics of Food, Farming, Natural Resources, and Rural America, 2004, 2
2003
- The Incidence of Government Program Payments on Agricultural Land Rents: The Challenges of Identification
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2003, 85, (3), 762-769 View citations (113)
- Who Benefits from Government Farm Payments?
Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, 2003, 18, (3), 8 View citations (5)
1996
- Natural Resource Prices: Will They Ever Turn Up?
Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 1996, 31, (1), 65-78 View citations (76)
See also Working Paper Natural resource prices: will they ever turn up?, CUDARE Working Papers (1995) (1995)
Chapters
2020
- Comment on "Yield Performance of Corn under Heat Stress: A Comparison of Hybrid and Open-Pollinated Seeds during a Period of Technological Transformation, 1933–55"
A chapter in Economics of Research and Innovation in Agriculture, 2020, pp 129-138
2014
- Corn Production Shocks in 2012 and Beyond: Implications for Harvest Volatility
A chapter in The Economics of Food Price Volatility, 2014, pp 59-81 View citations (4)
2011
- Is Agricultural Production Becoming More or Less Sensitive to Extreme Heat? Evidence from U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields
A chapter in The Design and Implementation of US Climate Policy, 2011, pp 271-282 View citations (2)
See also Working Paper Is Agricultural Production Becoming More or Less Sensitive to Extreme Heat? Evidence from U.S. Corn and Soybean Yields, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2010) View citations (7) (2010)
- The Evolution of Heat Tolerance of Corn: Implications for Climate Change
A chapter in The Economics of Climate Change: Adaptations Past and Present, 2011, pp 225-251 View citations (17)
2010
- Why Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture Could be Economically Substantial
Palgrave Macmillan View citations (1)
Editor
- Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
Elsevier
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