Details about Michael Weber
Access statistics for papers by Michael Weber.
Last updated 2025-05-15. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
Short-id: pwe349
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Working Papers
2025
- Central Bank Communication with the Polarized Public
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc  View citations (1)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2025) View citations (1)
- ChatGPT and Corporate Policies
Papers, arXiv.org View citations (1)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2024) View citations (3)
- HOW COSTLY ARE BUSINESS CYCLE VOLATILITY AND INFLATION? A VOX POPULI APPROACH
Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2025)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2025)
- Harnessing Generative AI for Economic Insights
Papers, arXiv.org
- Key challenges for monetary policy
SAFE Policy Letters, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE
- The Long-Term Effects of Inflation on Inflation Expectations
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2024) View citations (1)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2024)
2024
- Household Inflation Expectations: An Overview of Recent Insights for Monetary Policy
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (12)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2024)
- Households' Response to the Wealth Effects of Inflation
VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2023) View citations (9)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2023) View citations (9)
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2024)
SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE (2023) View citations (9)
CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2024)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2023)
- Inflation and Trading
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (2)
Also in CFS Working Paper Series, Center for Financial Studies (CFS) (2024) View citations (2)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2024) View citations (3)
SAFE Working Paper Series, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE (2024) View citations (3)
- On Eliciting Subjective Probability Distributions of Expectations
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
- Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Disaggregated Economies
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2024) View citations (1)
- Perceived Political Bias of the Federal Reserve
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
- Subjective Income Expectations and Household Debt Cycles
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
- Tell me something I don’t already know: learning in low and high-inflation settings
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (2)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2023) View citations (6)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2023) View citations (7)
FRB Atlanta Working Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (2023) View citations (8)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2023)
See also Journal Article Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings, Econometrica, Econometric Society (2025) View citations (1) (2025)
- Why Survey-Based Subjective Expectations are Meaningful and Important
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (6)
See also Journal Article Why Survey-Based Subjective Expectations Are Meaningful and Important, Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews (2024) View citations (5) (2024)
2023
- Cognitive constraints and economic incentives
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland
- Do You Even Crypto, Bro? Cryptocurrencies in Household Finance
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (3)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2023) View citations (3)
- Forward Guidance and Household Expectations
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley View citations (26)
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2020) View citations (74)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (75)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2020) View citations (69)
Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics (2020) View citations (76)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020) View citations (75)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2022) View citations (6)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2020) View citations (69)
See also Journal Article Forward Guidance and Household Expectations, Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association (2023) View citations (8) (2023)
- Greater Than the Sum of Its Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
2022
- Big brother watches you (even when he's dead): Surveillance and long-run conformity
LawFin Working Paper Series, Goethe University, Center for Advanced Studies on the Foundations of Law and Finance (LawFin)
- Climate Change and Individual Behavior
EconStor Research Reports, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics View citations (6)
Also in VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2022) View citations (6)
Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank (2022) View citations (7)
- Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley View citations (14)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020) View citations (35)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2022) View citations (8)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2020) View citations (35)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2020) View citations (35)
Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics (2020) View citations (35)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (35)
See also Journal Article Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?, International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking (2022) View citations (5) (2022)
- Greater Than the Sum of the Parts: Aggregate vs. Aggregated Inflation Expectations
Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (5)
- How to Finance Climate Change Policies? Evidence from Consumers' Beliefs
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (4)
- Inclusive Monetary Policy: How Tight Labor Markets Facilitate Broad-Based Employment Growth
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (12)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2022) View citations (14)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2022)
- Missing Data in Asset Pricing Panels
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
See also Journal Article Missing Data in Asset Pricing Panels, The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies (2025) (2025)
- The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (8)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2022)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2022) View citations (14)
See also Journal Article The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of US Households Before and During the COVID19 Pandemic, IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan (2023) View citations (6) (2023)
- The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (99)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2022)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2022) View citations (100)
See also Journal Article The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications, Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association (2022) View citations (98) (2022)
- What Do the Data Tell Us About Inflation Expectations?
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2022) View citations (30)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2022) View citations (33)
2021
- A Temporary VAT Cut as Unconventional Fiscal Policy
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (25)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2021)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2021) View citations (26)
- Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Also in LawFin Working Paper Series, Goethe University, Center for Advanced Studies on the Foundations of Law and Finance (LawFin) (2021) View citations (36)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2021) View citations (41)
- Effective policy communication: Targets versus instruments
Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management View citations (4)
Also in Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland (2020) View citations (23)
Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics (2020) View citations (36)
- FISCAL POLICY AND HOUSEHOLDS’ INFLATION EXPECTATIONS: EVIDENCE FROM A RANDOMIZED CONTROL TRIAL
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (23)
- Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (23)
Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2021) View citations (23)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2021) View citations (23)
- Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap
LawFin Working Paper Series, Goethe University, Center for Advanced Studies on the Foundations of Law and Finance (LawFin) View citations (2)
Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2020) View citations (38)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (50)
Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics (2020) View citations (42)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020) View citations (45)
- Gender roles produce divergent economic expectations
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley View citations (23)
See also Journal Article Gender roles produce divergent economic expectations, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2021) View citations (25) (2021)
- Human Frictions in the Transmission of Economic Policies
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (8)
- Human frictions in the transmission of economic policy
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland View citations (6)
Also in 2019 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2019) View citations (20)
Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management (2019) View citations (24)
- Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies
Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management View citations (8)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (26)
See also Journal Article Managing Households’ Expectations with Unconventional Policies, The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies (2022) View citations (33) (2022)
- The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (40)
Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2021) View citations (39)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2021) View citations (39)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2021) View citations (39)
See also Journal Article The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2024) View citations (23) (2024)
2020
- Big G
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
Also in Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2020)
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2020)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020)
Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics (2020)
See also Journal Article Big G, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (2024) (2024)
- Cybersecurity Risk
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
Also in Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series, Swiss Finance Institute (2020)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020)
Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics (2020)
See also Journal Article Cybersecurity Risk, The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies (2023) View citations (11) (2023)
- Does Policy Communication during COVID-19 Work?
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (35)
- How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?
Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics View citations (101)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020) View citations (93)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2020) View citations (94)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (93)
- How are households’ consumption plans affected by the COVID-19 pandemic?
EconStor Research Reports, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics View citations (2)
- Labor Markets During the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley View citations (200)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (297)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2020) View citations (284)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2020) View citations (298)
Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics (2020) View citations (290)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2020) View citations (288)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020) View citations (292)
- Manpower Constraints and Corporate Policies
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (2)
Also in VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2017) View citations (1)
- Monetary Momentum
Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2017) View citations (1)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2018)
- Perceived Precautionary Savings Motives: Evidence from FinTech
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (17)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (16)
- Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes
Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics View citations (27)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (27)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2020) View citations (26)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2020) View citations (24)
- Price Rigidity and the Granular Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile View citations (8)
- The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley View citations (210)
Also in Working Papers, Becker Friedman Institute for Research In Economics (2020) View citations (238)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2020) View citations (238)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2020) View citations (249)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2020) View citations (233)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2020) View citations (238)
IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2020) View citations (227)
Department of Economics, Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley (2020) View citations (204)
See also Journal Article The cost of the COVID-19 crisis: Lockdowns, macroeconomic expectations, and consumer spending, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier (2025) (2025)
- The Propagation of Monetary Policy Shocks in a Heterogeneous Production Economy
Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland View citations (54)
Also in Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile (2019) View citations (11)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2018) View citations (35)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2018) View citations (35)
See also Journal Article The propagation of monetary policy shocks in a heterogeneous production economy, Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier (2020) View citations (46) (2020)
2019
- Cognitive abilities and inflation expectations
Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management View citations (45)
See also Journal Article Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations, AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association (2019) View citations (45) (2019)
- Crowdsourcing financial information to change spending behavior
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (23)
- Estimating The Anomaly Base Rate
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Estimating the anomaly base rate, Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier (2021) View citations (12) (2021)
- Exposure to Daily Price Changes and Inflation Expectations
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (75)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2019) View citations (65)
- IQ, Expectations, and Choice
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland View citations (2)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2019) View citations (30)
Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management (2019) View citations (30)
See also Journal Article IQ, Expectations, and Choice, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (2023) View citations (6) (2023)
- Managing Households' Expectations with Salient Economic Policies
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (9)
- Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (198)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2019) View citations (191)
See also Journal Article Monetary Policy Communications and Their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations, Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press (2022) View citations (197) (2022)
- Punish One, Teach A Hundred: The Sobering Effect of Punishment on the Unpunished
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (9)
- Signaling Safety
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2018)
See also Journal Article Signaling safety, Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier (2021) View citations (1) (2021)
2018
- Dissecting Characteristics Nonparametrically
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (4)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2017) View citations (31)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2017) View citations (38)
See also Journal Article Dissecting Characteristics Nonparametrically, The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies (2020) View citations (140) (2020)
- Low Inflation: High Default Risk AND High Equity Valuations
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (3)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2018) View citations (3)
- Price Rigidity and the Origins af Aggregate Fluctuations
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (6)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2017) View citations (13)
- Price rigidities and the granular origins of aggregate fluctuations
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2017) View citations (24)
Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2017) View citations (18)
- Unconventional Fiscal Policy
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (45)
Also in Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management (2018) View citations (46)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2018) View citations (44)
See also Journal Article Unconventional Fiscal Policy, AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association (2018) View citations (47) (2018)
2017
- Deflation, Sticky Leverage and Asset Prices
2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
- Flexible Prices and Leverage
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (4)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2017) View citations (10)
See also Journal Article Flexible prices and leverage, Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier (2018) View citations (33) (2018)
- Historical Antisemitism, Ethnic Specialization, and Financial Development
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2017) View citations (1)
See also Journal Article Historical Antisemitism, Ethnic Specialization, and Financial Development, The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd (2019) View citations (56) (2019)
- Monetary Policy and the Stock Market: Time Series Evidence
2017 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (3)
Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2016) View citations (9)
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2016) View citations (11)
- Monetary Policy through Production Networks: Evidence from the Stock Market
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (106)
Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston (2017) View citations (68)
2016 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2016) View citations (27)
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2017) View citations (97)
- The Information Content of Dividends: Safer Profits, Not Higher Profits
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (1)
2016
- Cash Flow Duration and the Term Structure of Equity Returns
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (7)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2016) View citations (7)
See also Journal Article Cash flow duration and the term structure of equity returns, Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier (2018) View citations (51) (2018)
- The Effect of Unconventional Fiscal Policy on Consumption Expenditure
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (66)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2016) View citations (63)
Working Paper Series in Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management (2016) View citations (63)
See also Journal Article The Effect of Unconventional Fiscal Policy on Consumption Expenditure, ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2017) View citations (10) (2017)
- Unconventional Fiscal Policy, Inflation Expectations, and Consumption Expenditure
CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (31)
2015
- Distrust in Finance Lingers: Jewish Persecution and Households' Investments
2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (3)
- Inflation Expectations and Consumption Expenditure
2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (24)
- Price Rigidities in a Productive Network
2015 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
2013
- Are Sticky Prices Costly? Evidence From The Stock Market
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (23)
See also Journal Article Are Sticky Prices Costly? Evidence from the Stock Market, American Economic Review, American Economic Association (2016) View citations (238) (2016)
- Conditional Risk Premia in Currency Markets and Other Asset Classes
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (16)
Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2013) View citations (14)
See also Journal Article Conditional risk premia in currency markets and other asset classes, Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier (2014) View citations (179) (2014)
Journal Articles
2025
- Missing Data in Asset Pricing Panels
The Review of Financial Studies, 2025, 38, (3), 760-802
See also Working Paper Missing Data in Asset Pricing Panels, NBER Working Papers (2022) (2022)
- Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low‐ and High‐Inflation Settings
Econometrica, 2025, 93, (1), 229-264 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Tell me something I don’t already know: learning in low and high-inflation settings, Working Paper Series (2024) View citations (2) (2024)
- The cost of the COVID-19 crisis: Lockdowns, macroeconomic expectations, and consumer spending
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2025, 229, (C)
See also Working Paper The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending, Department of Economics, Working Paper Series (2020) View citations (210) (2020)
2024
- Big G
Journal of Political Economy, 2024, 132, (10), 3260 - 3297
See also Working Paper Big G, CESifo Working Paper Series (2020) (2020)
- Crowdsourcing peer information to change spending behavior
Journal of Financial Economics, 2024, 157, (C)
- Sectoral Heterogeneity in Nominal Price Rigidity and the Origin of Aggregate Fluctuations
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2024, 16, (2), 318-52 View citations (3)
- The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending
American Economic Review, 2024, 114, (3), 645-77 View citations (23)
See also Working Paper The Effect of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Household Spending, CEPR Discussion Papers (2021) View citations (40) (2021)
- The heart is a resident tissue for hematopoietic stem and progenitor cells in zebrafish
Nature Communications, 2024, 15, (1), 1-19
- Why Survey-Based Subjective Expectations Are Meaningful and Important
Annual Review of Economics, 2024, 16, (1), 329-357 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Why Survey-Based Subjective Expectations are Meaningful and Important, NBER Working Papers (2024) View citations (6) (2024)
2023
- Cybersecurity Risk
The Review of Financial Studies, 2023, 36, (1), 351-407 View citations (11)
See also Working Paper Cybersecurity Risk, NBER Working Papers (2020) (2020)
- Forward Guidance and Household Expectations
Journal of the European Economic Association, 2023, 21, (5), 2131-2171 View citations (8)
See also Working Paper Forward Guidance and Household Expectations, Department of Economics, Working Paper Series (2023) View citations (26) (2023)
- High Inflation: Low Default Risk and Low Equity Valuations
The Review of Financial Studies, 2023, 36, (3), 1192-1252 View citations (4)
- IQ, Expectations, and Choice
The Review of Economic Studies, 2023, 90, (5), 2292-2325 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper IQ, Expectations, and Choice, Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers (2019) View citations (2) (2019)
- Perceived and Expected Rates of Inflation of US Firms
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2023, 113, 52-55 View citations (5)
- The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of US Households Before and During the COVID19 Pandemic
IMF Economic Review, 2023, 71, (1), 326-368 View citations (6)
See also Working Paper The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic, IZA Discussion Papers (2022) View citations (8) (2022)
- Unconventional Fiscal Policy at Work
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2023, 113, 61-64
2022
- Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?
International Journal of Central Banking, 2022, 18, (1), 3-39 View citations (5)
See also Working Paper Does Policy Communication during COVID Work?, Department of Economics, Working Paper Series (2022) View citations (14) (2022)
- Managing Households’ Expectations with Unconventional Policies
The Review of Financial Studies, 2022, 35, (4), 1597-1642 View citations (33)
See also Working Paper Managing households' expectations with unconventional policies, Working Paper Series in Economics (2021) View citations (8) (2021)
- Monetary Policy Communications and Their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations
Journal of Political Economy, 2022, 130, (6), 1537 - 1584 View citations (197)
See also Working Paper Monetary Policy Communications and their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations, NBER Working Papers (2019) View citations (198) (2019)
- Subjective inflation expectations of households
Business Economics, 2022, 57, (4), 217-221 View citations (12)
- The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2022, 36, (3), 157-84 View citations (98)
See also Working Paper The Subjective Inflation Expectations of Households and Firms: Measurement, Determinants, and Implications, IZA Discussion Papers (2022) View citations (99) (2022)
- Wie soll der Staat Klimaschutzmaßnahmen finanzieren? Eine repräsentative Befragung deutscher Haushalte
ifo Schnelldienst, 2022, 75, (05), 11-14
2021
- Estimating the anomaly base rate
Journal of Financial Economics, 2021, 140, (1), 101-126 View citations (12)
See also Working Paper Estimating The Anomaly Base Rate, NBER Working Papers (2019) View citations (1) (2019)
- Expected Post-Pandemic Consumption and Scarred Expectations from COVID-19
Economic Commentary, 2021, 2021, (11), 8 View citations (1)
- Exposure to Grocery Prices and Inflation Expectations
Journal of Political Economy, 2021, 129, (5), 1615 - 1639 View citations (124)
- Gender roles produce divergent economic expectations
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2021, 118, (21), e2008534118 View citations (25)
See also Working Paper Gender roles produce divergent economic expectations, Department of Economics, Working Paper Series (2021) View citations (23) (2021)
- Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 CEBRA Annual Meeting Session Summary
Economic Commentary, 2021, 2021, (03), 3
- Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2020 Conference Summary
Economic Commentary, 2021, 2021, (02), 7
- Signaling safety
Journal of Financial Economics, 2021, 139, (2), 405-427 View citations (1)
See also Working Paper Signaling Safety, CEPR Discussion Papers (2019) (2019)
2020
- Consumers and COVID-19: A Real-Time Survey
Economic Commentary, 2020, 2020, (08), 6 View citations (11)
- Consumers and COVID-19: Survey Results on Mask-Wearing Behaviors and Beliefs
Economic Commentary, 2020, 2020, (20), 7 View citations (4)
- Dissecting Characteristics Nonparametrically
The Review of Financial Studies, 2020, 33, (5), 2326-2377 View citations (140)
See also Working Paper Dissecting Characteristics Nonparametrically, CESifo Working Paper Series (2018) View citations (4) (2018)
- The propagation of monetary policy shocks in a heterogeneous production economy
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2020, 116, (C), 1-22 View citations (46)
See also Working Paper The Propagation of Monetary Policy Shocks in a Heterogeneous Production Economy, Working Papers (2020) View citations (54) (2020)
2019
- Cognitive Abilities and Inflation Expectations
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2019, 109, 562-66 View citations (45)
See also Working Paper Cognitive abilities and inflation expectations, Working Paper Series in Economics (2019) View citations (45) (2019)
- Historical Antisemitism, Ethnic Specialization, and Financial Development
The Review of Economic Studies, 2019, 86, (3), 1170-1206 View citations (56)
See also Working Paper Historical Antisemitism, Ethnic Specialization, and Financial Development, NBER Working Papers (2017) View citations (1) (2017)
- Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2019 Conference Summary
Economic Commentary, 2019, 2019, (22), 6
- Monetary policy communication, policy slope, and the stock market
Journal of Monetary Economics, 2019, 108, (C), 140-155 View citations (39)
2018
- Cash flow duration and the term structure of equity returns
Journal of Financial Economics, 2018, 128, (3), 486-503 View citations (51)
See also Working Paper Cash Flow Duration and the Term Structure of Equity Returns, CESifo Working Paper Series (2016) View citations (7) (2016)
- Flexible prices and leverage
Journal of Financial Economics, 2018, 129, (1), 46-68 View citations (33)
See also Working Paper Flexible Prices and Leverage, CESifo Working Paper Series (2017) View citations (4) (2017)
- Unconventional Fiscal Policy
AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2018, 108, 519-23 View citations (47)
See also Working Paper Unconventional Fiscal Policy, NBER Working Papers (2018) View citations (45) (2018)
2017
- The Effect of Unconventional Fiscal Policy on Consumption Expenditure
ifo DICE Report, 2017, 15, (01), 09-11 View citations (10)
See also Working Paper The Effect of Unconventional Fiscal Policy on Consumption Expenditure, CESifo Working Paper Series (2016) View citations (66) (2016)
2016
- Are Sticky Prices Costly? Evidence from the Stock Market
American Economic Review, 2016, 106, (1), 165-99 View citations (238)
See also Working Paper Are Sticky Prices Costly? Evidence From The Stock Market, NBER Working Papers (2013) View citations (23) (2013)
2014
- Conditional risk premia in currency markets and other asset classes
Journal of Financial Economics, 2014, 114, (2), 197-225 View citations (179)
See also Working Paper Conditional Risk Premia in Currency Markets and Other Asset Classes, CEPR Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (16) (2013)
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