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Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies

1997 - 2023

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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A novel decomposition of national central banks’ profits in the euro area: application to the case of Banco de Portugal Downloads
José Miguel Cardoso da Costa and Nuno Silva
Markup premium of Portuguese exporters Downloads
Ana Cristina Soares and Rita Sousa
European structural funds and the performance of Portuguese firms Downloads
Maria Manuel Campos and Sónia Cabral


A circular business cycle clock for Portugal Downloads
António Rua and Nuno Lourenço
Firm lifecycles Downloads
António Santos, Pedro Dias Moreira, Nicholas Kozeniauskas and Laszlo Tetenyi
A multidimensional poverty indicator for Portugal Downloads
Nuno Alves
The role of family social transfers in reducing child poverty in Portugal Downloads
Lara Wemans, Sara Riscado and Edlira Narazani
On the solvency and credibility of a central bank Downloads
José Miguel Cardoso da Costa
Pandemic shocks Downloads
José Maria and Paulo Júlio
On the aggregate and distributional effects of carbon taxation in Portugal Downloads
Nuno Lourenço, Zeina Hasna and Cezar Santos
Corporate insolvency and restructuring during COVID-19 Downloads
Gil Nogueira
An assessment of companies’ competitiveness in Portugal and in some European countries Downloads
Fernando Martins, Hugo Reis, Manuel Coutinho Pereira, Mário Lourenço and Cloé Magalhães
The competitiveness of the Portuguese economy: A view from a composite indicator Downloads
João Amador, Ana Fernandes and Guida Nogueira
Financial literacy of 15 years-old in Portugal: Evidence from PISA 2018 Downloads
Hugo Reis and Lara Wemans
Workforce skills and firm productivity Downloads
Ana Catarina Pimenta, Marta Silva, Joana Cima and Miguel Portela
A micro-level analysis of corporate income taxation in Portugal Downloads
Cláudia Braz, Maria Campos and Sonia Cabral
Characteristics of parties and duration of insolvency cases in Portugal Downloads
Lara Wemans and Manuel Coutinho Pereira
Energy mix and intensity in Portugal: Portraits from aggregate and firm-level data Downloads
João Amador


Revisiting Portuguese banks’ efficiency and productivity Downloads
Nuno Ribeiro and Inês Tavares
Household wealth in Portugal and the euro area Downloads
Luís Martins, Luísa Farinha, Renata Mesquita and Sónia Costa
Consumption expenditure during the COVID-19 pandemic: an analysis based on Portuguese card transaction data Downloads
Cristina Manteu, Sara Serra, Sonia Cabral and Cátia Silva
Euro area inflation expectations during the COVID-19 pandemic Downloads
Nikolay Iskrev, Pedro Pires Ribeiro and Sandra Gomes
Simple guidelines for the taxation of housing Downloads
Pedro Teles
Heterogeneity in loan pricing: the role of bank capital Downloads
Diana Bonfim, Leonor Queiró and Luísa Farinha
Unveiling the real contribution of final demand to GDP growth Downloads
António Rua and Fátima Cardoso
Challenges in measuring fiscal effects Downloads
Cláudia Braz and Maria Campos
Curb your enthusiasm: the aggregate short-run effects of a borrower-based measure Downloads
Daniel Abreu and Joana Passinhas
Bank pricing of corporate loans Downloads
Márcio Mateus and Tiago Pinheiro
Cyclical outputs and structural budget balances Downloads
Cláudia Duarte, José Maria and Sharmin Sazedj
Lessons from a finitely-lived agents structural model Downloads
José Maria and Paulo Júlio
Portuguese firms’ financial vulnerability and excess debt in the context of the COVID-19 shock Downloads
Francisco Augusto and Márcio Mateus
On the measurement of Portuguese firms’ fixed operating costs Downloads
Nuno Silva, Pedro Dias Moreira and Sónia Félix
Indicators of monetary policy stance and financial conditions: an overview Downloads
Carla Soares, Nikolay Iskrev and Rita Fradique Lourenço


Inputs, technology and efficiency: The Portuguese economy in the last three decades Downloads
António Santos and João Amador
House price forecasting and uncertainty: Examining Portugal and Spain Downloads
Paulo Rodrigues, Rita Fradique Lourenço and Robert Hill
Rise and fall of the largest firms in Portugal Downloads
Ana Catarina Pimenta, João Amador, Mário Lourenço and Cloé Magalhães
Business owners in Portugal and the euro area: characteristics and exposure to the pandemic Downloads
Luís Martins, Luísa Farinha, Renata Mesquita and Sónia Costa
Deposit interest rate ceilings Downloads
Paulo Esteves and Maximiano Pinheiro
The capital surcharge on banks offering ‘superdeposits’: An early example of macroprudential policy measure in Portugal Downloads
Paulo Esteves and Maximiano Pinheiro
The relation between PD and LGD: an application to a corporate loan portfolio Downloads
António Santos
The effect of corporate bond purchases by the ECB on firms’ borrowing costs Downloads
Diana Bonfim and André Capela
The sources of wage variability in Portugal: a binge reading survey Downloads
Pedro Portugal
The measurement of labour market slack: An empirical analysis for Portugal Downloads
Fernando Martins and Domingos Seward
The granularity of Portuguese firm-level exports Downloads
Carlos Melo Gouveia, Cristina Manteu and Sonia Cabral
Exchange Rate Cooperation Agreement between Portugal and Cabo Verde: characterisation, developments and challenges after 20 years Downloads
Ana Filipa Correia, José Maria, Vanda G. Cunha, Fernando Heitor and Luis Saramago
Non-performing loans and bank lending: Evidence for Portugal Downloads
Carla Marques, Ricardo Martinho and Rui Silva
Portuguese Household Finance and Consumption Survey: results for 2017 and comparison with the previous waves Downloads
Luís Martins, Luísa Farinha, Renata Mesquita and Sónia Costa
A characterization of income and consumption inequality in Portugal Downloads
Fátima Cardoso, Nuno Alves and Nuno Monteiro


The Economics of The European Deposit Insurance Scheme Downloads
Ettore Panetti
The countercyclical capital buffer: A DSGE approach Downloads
José Maria and Paulo Júlio
Portuguese labour market synthetic indicators Downloads
Carlos Melo Gouveia
An analytical assessment of the risks to the sustainability of the Portuguese public debt Downloads
Cláudia Braz and Maria Campos
Credit and the economy: lessons from a decade of research at Banco de Portugal Downloads
Diana Bonfim, Luísa Farinha and Sónia Félix
Inflation expectations in the Survey of Professional Forecasters: An exploratory analysis Downloads
Joana Garcia and Nikolay Iskrev
The new ESCB methodology for the calculation of cyclically adjusted budget balances: an application to the Portuguese case Downloads
Cláudia Braz, Maria Campos and Sharmin Sazedj
Potential output: How does Portugal compare with the euro area over the last 40 years? Downloads
Cláudia Duarte, José Maria and Sharmin Sazedj
Why is price stability a key goal of central banks? Downloads
Bernardino Adão
Aggregate educational mismatches in the Portuguese labour market Downloads
Ana Catarina Pimenta and Manuel Pereira
Cyclically-adjusted current account balances in Portugal Downloads
João Amador and João Falcão Silva
Sectoral concentration risk in Portuguese banks’ loan exposures to non-financial firms Downloads
António Santos and Nuno Silva
Page updated 2023-03-22