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National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers

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556: On Measuring the Labour Income Share Downloads
Benjamin Caswell
555: Endogenous Defaults, Value-at-Risk and the Business Cycle Downloads
Issam Samiri
554: The Nature of the Inflationary Surprise in Europe and the USA Downloads
Paula Bejarano Carbo
553: Energy and Climate Policy in a DSGE Model of the United Kingdom Downloads
Sandra Batten and Stephen Millard
552: Exploring Alternative Data Sources for Household Wealth Statistics Downloads
Arnab Bhattacharjee, Larissa Marioni, Max Mosley and Adrian Pabst
551: Mr Putin and the Chronicle of a Normalisation Foretold Downloads
Jagjit S. Chadha
550: Energy Expenditures and CPI Inflation in 2022: Inflation Was Even Higher Than We Thought Downloads
Huw Dixon and Aftab Chowdhury
549: The Economic and Social Impacts of Lifting Work Restrictions on People Seeking Asylum Downloads
Ekaterina Aleynikova and Max Mosley
548: Vertical and Horizontal Mismatch in the UK: Are Graduates' Skills a Good Fit for Their Jobs? Downloads
Michela Vecchi, Catherine Robinson, Maja Savic and Marina Romiti
547: NiReMS: A Regional Model at Household Level Combining Spatial Econometrics with Dynamic Microsimulation Downloads
Arnab Bhattacharjee, Adrian Pabst, Tibor Szendrei and Geoffrey Hewings
546: Spatial Agglomeration, Innovation and Firm Survival for Italian Manufacturing Firms Downloads
Arnab Bhattacharjee, Ornella Maietta and Fernanda Mazzotta
545: Financial Development, Cycles and Income Inequality in a Model with Good and Bad Projects Downloads
Spiros Bougheas, Pasquale Commendatore, Laura Gardini and Ingrid Kubin
544: Fire Sales and Ex Ante Valuation of Systemic Risk: A Financial Equilibrium Networks Approach Downloads
Spiros Bougheas and Adam Spencer
543: Financial Stocks and Flows in the Time of Covid-19 Downloads
Stephen Millard and Nicholas Jackson
542: Corporate Tax Shields and Capital Structure: Levelling the Playing Field in Debt vs Equity Finance Downloads
Yifei Cao and Kemar Whyte
541: Asymmetry and Interdependence when Evaluating U.S. Energy Information Agency Forecasts Downloads
Anthony Garratt, Ivan Petrella and Yunyi Zhang
540: Profits, Pandemics, and Lockdown Effectiveness in Nursing Home Networks Downloads
Roland Pongou, Ghislain Junior Sidie, Guy Tchuente and Jean-Baptiste Tondji
539: Financing Higher Education in England: The Fiscal Implications of Reform Downloads
Arno Hantzsche and Garry Young
538: Nowcasting Growth using Google Trends Data: A Bayesian Structural Time Series Model Downloads
Arnab Bhattacharjee and David Kohns
537: Agroforestry Programs in the Colombian Amazon: Selection, Treatment and Exposure Effects on Deforestation Downloads
Arnab Bhattacharjee, Claudia Aravena, Natalia Castillo, Marco Ehrlich, Nadia Taou and Thomas Wagner
536: Econometric Analysis of the Determinants of Bank Profitability in Three Major African Counties: Kenya, Nigeria and South Africa Downloads
E Philip Davis and Ridwa Ali Abdilahi
535: The Macro-Economic Effects of UK Aid Returning to 0.7 per cent of GNI Downloads
Dawn Holland and Dirk Willem te Velde
534: The Dollar Debt of Companies in Latin America: the warning signs Downloads
Iader Giraldo and Philip Turner
533: Macroprudential Policy, Bank Competition and Bank Risk in East Asia Downloads
E Philip Davis, Ka Kei Chan and Dilruba Karim
532: The Sahm Rule and Predicting the Great Recession Across OECD Countries Downloads
David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson
531: Modelling the impact of Covid-19 on the UK economy: an application of a disaggregated New-Keynesian model Downloads
Cyrille Lenoel and Garry Young
530: Modelling and Estimating Large Macroeconomic Shocks During the Pandemic Downloads
Luisa Corrado, Stefano Grassi and Aldo Paolillo
529: Micro level data for macro models: the distributional effects of monetary policy Downloads
Luisa Corrado and Daniela Fantozzi
528: Be kind or take it on the chin? Political narratives, pandemics, and social distancing Downloads
Kartik Anand, Prasanna Gai, Edmund Lou and Sherry X. Wu
527: The long-run investment effect of taxation in OECD countries Downloads
Jakob Madsen, Antonio Minniti and Francesco Venturini
526: Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Error Correction Networks and Common Correlated Effects Downloads
Arnab Bhattacharjee, Sean Holly and Jan Ditzen
525: What we can learn about economics from professional sport during Covid-19 Downloads
Alex Bryson, Peter Dolton, J Reade, Dominik Schreyer and Carl Singleton
524: Causal effects of an absent crowd on performances and refereeing decisions during Covid-19 Downloads
Alex Bryson, Peter Dolton, J Reade, Dominik Schreyer and Carl Singleton
523: Outlier detection methodologies for alternative data sources: International review of current practices Downloads
Janine Boshoff, Xuxin Mao and Garry Young
522: Does Obamacare Care? A Fuzzy Difference-in-Discontinuities Approach Downloads
Guy Tchuente, Hector Galindo-Silva and Nibene Habib Some
521: An Economic Model of Health-vs-Wealth Prioritization During COVID-19: Optimal Lockdown, Network Centrality, and Segregation Downloads
Roland Pongou, Guy Tchuente and Jean-Baptiste Tondji
520: When the penny doesn't drop - Macroeconomic tail risk and currency crises Downloads
Chanelle Duley and Prasanna Gai
519: Bank reserves and broad money in the global financial crisis: a quantitative evaluation Downloads
Jagjit Chadha, Luisa Corrado, Jack Meaning and Tobias Schuler
518: How to not miss a productivity revival once again? Downloads
Bart van Ark, Klaas de Vries and Abdul Azeez Erumban
517: Time series models for epidemics: leading indicators, control groups and policy assessment Downloads
Andrew Harvey
516: Banking Concentration and Financial Crises Downloads
Ray Barrell and Dilruba Karim
515: Macroprudential Policy, Monetary Policy and the Bank Interest Rate Margin Downloads
E Davis, Dilruba Karim and Dennison Noel
514: The Effects of Macroprudential Policy on Banks' Profitability Downloads
E Davis, Dilruba Karim and Dennison Noel
513: The Fed's enhanced swap lines and new interventions in the Treasury market Downloads
Richhild Moessner and William Allen
512: Brexit and the Euro Downloads
Nauro Campos and Corrado Macchiarelli
511: What does leadership look like in schools and does it matter for school performance? Downloads
Alex Bryson, Lucy Stokes and David Wilkinson
510: The evolution of tax implicit value judgements, redistribution and income inequality in the UK: 1968 to 2015 Downloads
Justin Van de Ven and Nicolas Hérault
509: A Century of High Frequency UK Macroeconomic Statistics: A Data Inventory Downloads
Jagjit Chadha, Ana Rincon-Aznar, Sylaja Srinivasan and Ryland Thomas
508: Below the Aggregate: A Sectoral Account of the UK Productivity Puzzle Downloads
Rebecca Riley, Ana Rincon-Aznar and Lea Samek
507: The Indeterminacy Agenda in Macroeconomics Downloads
Roger Farmer
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