National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers

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533: Macroprudential Policy, Bank Competition and Bank Risk in East Asia

E Philip Davis, Ka Kei Chan and Dilruba Karim

532: The Sahm Rule and Predicting the Great Recession Across OECD Countries

David Blanchflower and Alex Bryson

531: Modelling the impact of Covid-19 on the UK economy: an application of a disaggregated New-Keynesian model

Cyrille Lenoel and Garry Young

530: Modelling and Estimating Large Macroeconomic Shocks During the Pandemic

Luisa Corrado, Stefano Grassi and Aldo Paolillo

529: Micro level data for macro models: the distributional effects of monetary policy

Luisa Corrado and Daniela Fantozzi

528: Be kind or take it on the chin? Political narratives, pandemics, and social distancing

Kartik Anand, Prasanna Gai, Edmund Lou and Sherry X. Wu

527: The long-run investment effect of taxation in OECD countries

Jakob Madsen, Antonio Minniti and Francesco Venturini

526: Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Error Correction Networks and Common Correlated Effects

Arnab Bhattacharjee, Sean Holly and Jan Ditzen

525: What we can learn about economics from professional sport during Covid-19

Alex Bryson, Peter Dolton, J Reade, Dominik Schreyer and Carl Singleton

524: Causal effects of an absent crowd on performances and refereeing decisions during Covid-19

Alex Bryson, Peter Dolton, J Reade, Dominik Schreyer and Carl Singleton

523: Outlier detection methodologies for alternative data sources: International review of current practices

Janine Boshoff, Xuxin Mao and Garry Young

522: Does Obamacare Care? A Fuzzy Difference-in-Discontinuities Approach

Guy Tchuente, Hector Galindo-Silva and Nibene Habib Some

521: An Economic Model of Health-vs-Wealth Prioritization During COVID-19: Optimal Lockdown, Network Centrality, and Segregation

Roland Pongou, Guy Tchuente and Jean-Baptiste Tondji

520: When the penny doesn't drop - Macroeconomic tail risk and currency crises

Chanelle Duley and Prasanna Gai

519: Bank reserves and broad money in the global financial crisis: a quantitative evaluation

Jagjit Chadha, Luisa Corrado, Jack Meaning and Tobias Schuler

518: How to not miss a productivity revival once again?

Bart van Ark, Klaas de Vries and Abdul Azeez Erumban

517: Time series models for epidemics: leading indicators, control groups and policy assessment

Andrew Harvey

516: Banking Concentration and Financial Crises

Ray Barrell and Dilruba Karim

515: Macroprudential Policy, Monetary Policy and the Bank Interest Rate Margin

E Davis, Dilruba Karim and Dennison Noel

514: The Effects of Macroprudential Policy on Banks' Profitability

E Davis, Dilruba Karim and Dennison Noel

513: The Fed's enhanced swap lines and new interventions in the Treasury market

Richhild Moessner and William Allen

512: Brexit and the Euro

Nauro Campos and Corrado Macchiarelli

511: What does leadership look like in schools and does it matter for school performance?

Alex Bryson, Lucy Stokes and David Wilkinson

510: The evolution of tax implicit value judgements, redistribution and income inequality in the UK: 1968 to 2015

Justin Van de Ven and Nicolas Hérault

509: A Century of High Frequency UK Macroeconomic Statistics: A Data Inventory

Jagjit Chadha, Ana Rincon-Aznar, Sylaja Srinivasan and Ryland Thomas

508: Below the Aggregate: A Sectoral Account of the UK Productivity Puzzle

Rebecca Riley, Ana Rincon-Aznar and Lea Samek

507: The Indeterminacy Agenda in Macroeconomics

Roger Farmer

506: Tax Policy for Innovation

Bronwyn Hall

505: Some International Evidence for Keynesian Economics Without the Phillips Curve

Roger Farmer and Giovanni Nicolo

504: Nominal GDP growth indexed bonds: Business Cycle and Welfare Effects within the Framework of New Keynesian DSGE model

Yongo Kwon

503: Distressed Banks, Distorted Decisions?

Gareth Anderson, Rebecca Riley and Garry Young

502: A Comparison of Earnings Related to Higher Level Vocational/Technical and Academic Education

Hector Espinoza and Stefan Speckesser

501: The Impact of the Introduction of the National Living Wage on Employment, Hours and Wages

Andrew Aitken, Peter Dolton and Rebecca Riley

500: The Bank Capital-Competition-Risk Nexus - A Global Perspective

E Davis, Dilruba Karim and Dennison Noel

499: Bank Leverage Ratios, Risk and Competition - An Investigation Using Individual Bank Data

E Davis, Dilruba Karim and Dennison Noel

498: The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level in Overlapping Generations Models

Roger Farmer and Pawel Zabczyk

497: Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies for Sustained Growth in Asia

Joseph E Gagnon and Philip Turner

496: Young people’s education choices and progression to Higher Education; A comparison of A-Level and Non-A-Level students in Key Stage 5, their subject choices and transitions to university

Matt Bursnall, Andriena Naddeo and Stefan Speckesser

495: Understanding and Confronting Uncertainty: Revisions to UK Government Expenditure Plans

Jagjit Chadha, Arno Hantzsche, Adrian Pabst, Thomas Lazarowicz and Garry Young

494: Real-time Forecast Combinations for the Oil Price

Anthony Garratt, Shaun Vahey and Ynuyi Zhang

493: Is Football a Matter of Life and Death – Or is it more Important than that?

Peter Dolton and George MacKerron

492: The Lack of Wage Growth and the Falling NAIRU

David N F Bell and David Blanchflower

491: The Role of Financial Policy

Roger Farmer

490: Implementing Macroprudential Policy in NiGEM

Oriol Carreras, E Davis, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Rebecca Piggott and James Warren

489: Effects of asset purchases and financial stability measures on term premia in the euro area

Richhild Moessner

488: The Impact of Management Practices on SME Performance

Alex Bryson and John Forth

487: The Household Fallacy

Roger Farmer and Pawel Zabczyk

486: Consumption Dynamics, Housing Collateral and Stabilisation Policies: A Way Forward for Policy Co-Ordination?

Jagjit Chadha, Germana Corrado and Luisa Corrado

485: Pricing Assets in a Perpetual Youth Model

Roger Farmer

484: Did Central Banks Cause The Last Financial Crisis? Will They Cause The Next?

Philip Turner