National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers

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494: Real-time Forecast Combinations for the Oil Price

Anthony Garratt, Shaun P. Vahey and Ynuyi Zhang

493: Is Football a Matter of Life and Death – Or is it more Important than that?

Peter Dolton and George MacKerron

492: The Lack of Wage Growth and the Falling NAIRU

David N F Bell and David Blanchflower

491: The Role of Financial Policy

Roger Farmer

490: Implementing Macroprudential Policy in NiGEM

Oriol Carreras, E Philip Davis, Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze, Rebecca Piggott and James Warren

489: Effects of asset purchases and financial stability measures on term premia in the euro area

Richhild Moessner

488: The Impact of Management Practices on SME Performance

Alex Bryson and John Forth

487: The Household Fallacy

Roger Farmer and Pawel Zabczyk

486: Consumption Dynamics, Housing Collateral and Stabilisation Policies: A Way Forward for Policy Co-Ordination?

Jagjit Chadha, Germana Corrado and Luisa Corrado

485: Pricing Assets in a Perpetual Youth Model

Roger Farmer

484: Did Central Banks Cause The Last Financial Crisis? Will They Cause The Next?

Philip Turner

483: Peer Effects and Social Influence in Post-16 Educational Choice

Stefan Speckesser and Sophie Hedges

482: Central bank swap lines and CIP deviations

Richhild Moessner, William A. Allen, Gabriele Galati and William Nelson

481: Union Density, Productivity, and Wages

Alex Bryson, Erling Barth and Harald Dale-Olsen

480: The power of self-interest: Effects of subsidies for adult education and training

Justin van de Ven, Cain Polidano and Sarah Voitchovsky

479: Exploring the importance of behavioural endogeneity for policy projections

Justin van de Ven

478: The Macroeconomic Effects of Banking Crises: Evidence from the United Kingdom, 1750-1938

Jason Lennard, Seán Kenny and John D. Turner

477: Mutual Gains? Is There a Role for Employee Engagement in the Modern Workplace?

Alex Bryson

476: The interest rate effects of government debt maturity

Jagjit Chadha, Philip Turner and Fabrizio Zampolli

475: Foreign Investment and Shared Sovereignty

Angus Armstrong

474: Academic Review of Asset Lives in the UK

Ana Rincon-Aznar, Rebecca Riley and Garry Young

473: The UK Economy in the Long Expansion and its Aftermath

Jagjit Chadha

472: The New Art of Central Banking

Jagjit Chadha

471: Finance and Credit in a Model of Monetary Policy

Jagjit Chadha and Young-Kwan Kang

470: Macroprudential tools, transmission and modelling

Oriol Carreras, E Davis and Rebecca Piggott

469: Quantifying Fiscal Multipliers

Oriol Carreras, Iana Liadze, Simon Kirby and Rebecca Piggott

468: Fiscal Policy Spillovers

Oriol Carreras, Simon Kirby, Iana Liadze and Rebecca Piggott

467: The monetary and fiscal framework of the EMU in times of high debt and constrained interest rates

Ian Hurst, Iana Liadze and Jack Meaning

466: The fiscal and monetary determinants of sovereign bond yields in the Euro Area

Jessica Baker, Oriol Carreras, Simon Kirby and Jack Meaning

465: Linking Retirement Age to Life Expectancy in a Bismarckian System - The Case of Germany

Valentin Vogt and Jörg Althammer

464: Parameterising the LINDA microsimulation model of benefit unit savings and labour supply

Justin van de Ven

463: One pillar crumbling, the others too short: Old-age provision in Germany

Martin Werding

462: Modelling the long-run economic impact of leaving the European Union

Monique Ebell, Ian Hurst and James Warren

461: Modelling events: the short-term economic impact of leaving the EU

Jessica Baker, Simon Kirby, Oriol Carreras, Jack Meaning and Rebecca Piggott

460: The long-term macroeconomic effects of lower migration to the UK

Katerina Lisenkova and Miguel Sanchez-Martinez

459: LINDA: A dynamic microsimulation model for analysing policy effects on the evolving population cross-section

Justin van de Ven

458: An Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) Model with Age-variable Rate of Time Preference

Katerina Lisenkova

457: Who Wins? Evaluating the Impact of UK Public Sector Pension Scheme Reforms

Chiara Rosazza-Bondibene, Alexander Danzer and Peter Dolton

456: The sustainability of Scottish public finances: a Generational Accounting approach

Katerina Lisenkova, Miguel Sanchez-Martinez and James Sefton

455: An economic analysis of the existing taxation of pensions (EET) versus an alternative regime (TEE)

Monique Ebell, Angus Armstrong and Philip Davis

454: What young English people do once they reach school-leaving age: a cross-cohort comparison for the last 30 years

Jake Anders and Richard Dorsett

453: Does socioeconomic background affect pay growth among early entrants to high-status jobs?

Jake Anders

452: Ownership and Pay in Britain

Alex Bryson

451: Intergenerational and Inter-Ethnic Well-Being: An Analysis for the UK

Richard Dorsett, Cinzia Rienzo and Martin Weale

450: The UK Productivity Puzzle 2008-2013: Evidence From British Businesses

Rebecca Riley and Chiara Rosazza-Bondibene

449: Raising the Standard: Minimum Wages and Firm Productivity

Rebecca Riley and Chiara Rosazza-Bondibene

448: The UK's Productivity Puzzle

Alex Bryson and John Forth

447: Does Worker Wellbeing Affect Workplace Performance?

Alex Bryson, John Forth and Lucy Stokes

446: Has Performance Pay Increased Wage Inequality in Britain?

Alex Bryson

445: The School-to-Work Transtion: An Overview of Two Recent Studies

Richard Dorsett and Paolo Lucchino