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Working Papers

From Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey
Contact information at EDIRC.

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1930: Facts on Business Dynamism in Turkey Downloads
Ufuk Akcigit, Yusuf Emre Akgunduz, Seyit Cilasun, Elif Ozcan Tok and Fatih Yilmaz
1929: Monitoring and Forecasting Cyclical Dynamics in Bank Credits: Evidence from Turkish Banking Sector Downloads
Mehmet Selman Colak, Ibrahim Ethem Guney, Ahmet Senol and Muhammed Hasan Yilmaz
1928: Intraday Volume-Volatility Nexus in the FX Markets: Evidence from an Emerging Market Downloads
Suleyman Serdengecti and Ahmet Sensoy
1927: Is There Asymmetry between GDP and Labor Market Variables in Turkey under Okun’s Law? Downloads
Evren Erdoğan Coşar and Ayse Arzu Yavuz
1926: Composing High-Frequency Financial Conditions Index and Implications for Economic Activity Downloads
Abdullah Kazdal, Halil Ibrahim Korkmaz and Muhammed Hasan Yilmaz
1925: A Bayesian VAR Approach to Short-Term Inflation Forecasting Downloads
Fethi Ogunc
1924: Foreign Currency Debt and the Exchange Rate Pass-Through Downloads
Salih Fendoglu, Mehmet Selman Colak and Yavuz Selim Hacihasanoglu
1923: Two and a Half Million Syrian Refugees, Tasks and Capital Intensity Downloads
Yusuf Emre Akgunduz and Huzeyfe Torun
1922: Estimates of Exchange Rate Pass-through with Product-level Data Downloads
Yusuf Emre Akgunduz, Emine Meltem Bastan, Ufuk Demiroglu and Semih Tumen
1921: Skill-Biased Occupation Growth Downloads
Orhun Sevinc
1920: Impact of Minimum Wages on Exporters: Evidence From a Sharp Minimum Wage Increase in Turkey Downloads
Yusuf Emre Akgunduz, Altan Aldan, Yusuf Bağır and Huzeyfe Torun
1919: An Analysis to Detect Exuberance and Implosion in Regional House Prices in Turkey Downloads
Evren Ceritoglu, Seyit Cilasun, Ufuk Demiroglu and Aytül Ganioğlu
1918: A Trade-Based Misallocation Index Downloads
Orhun Sevinc
1917: Invoicing Currency, Exchange Rate Pass-through and Value-Added Trade: An Emerging Country Case Downloads
Hulya Saygili
1916: Exchange Rate Driven Balance Sheet Effect and Capital Flows to Emerging Market Economies Downloads
Can Kadirgan
1915: Leverage Dynamics: Do Financial Development and Government Leverage Matter? Evidence from a Major Developing Economy Downloads
Ibrahim Yarba and Zehra Nuray Guner
1914: Convergence in House Prices: Cross-Regional Evidence for Turkey Downloads
Aytül Ganioğlu and Ünal Seven
1913: Global Liquidity and the Impairment of Local Monetary Policy Transmission Downloads
Salih Fendoglu, Eda Gulsen and Jose-Luis Peydro
1912: Measuring Inflation Uncertainty in Turkey Downloads
Eda Gulsen and Hakan Kara
1911: Demographic Developments and Their Macroeconomic Impacts Downloads
Koray Kalafatcılar
1910: Macroprudential Policies, Persistence of Uncertainty and Leverage Dynamics: Evidence from a Major Developing Economy Downloads
Ibrahim Yarba and Zehra Nuray Guner
1909: The Evolution of Import Content of Production and Exports in Turkey: 2002-2017 Downloads
Yasemin Erduman, Okan Eren and Selcuk Gul
1908: Exports, Imported Inputs, and Domestic Supply Networks Downloads
Yusuf Emre Akgunduz and Salih Fendoglu
1907: Bargaining on Supply Chain Networks with Heterogeneous Valuations Downloads
Elif Ozcan Tok
1906: Identifying Credit Supply Shocks in Turkey Downloads
Tayyar Buyukbasaran, Hatice Karasoy Can and Hande Kucuk
1905: Determinants of the Rise in Female Labor Force Participation: Identifying Cohort Effects Downloads
Altan Aldan and Selcen Ozturk
1904: A New Index Score for the Assessment of Firm Financial Risks Downloads
Mehmet Selman Colak
1903: Estimation of FX Option Implied Density Functions: Nonparametric-Malz Approach Downloads
Halil Ibrahim Korkmaz, Doruk Küçüksaraç, Yigit Onay and Ahmet Senol
1902: An Analysis on the Domestic Sales and Exports: A Dynamic Model for the Turkish Manufacturing Firms Downloads
Selcuk Gul
1901: Tax Elasticity Estimates for Capital Stocks Downloads
Fatih Yilmaz and Jean-Francois Wen
1820: Explaining Exchange Rate Movements Using Yield Curves in Emerging Countries Downloads
Murat Duran
1819: Real Exchange Rate Misalignment and Economic Growth: An Update Downloads
Bulent Ulasan
1818: An Anatomy of a Sudden Stop and the Credit Supply Channel Downloads
Salih Fendoglu and Steven Ongena
1817: Dependence of “Fragile Five" and “Troubled Ten" Emerging Markets' Financial System to US Monetary Policy and Monetary Policy Uncertainty Downloads
Meltem Chadwick
1816: Measuring Financial Systemic Stress for Turkey: A Search for the Best Composite Indicator Downloads
Meltem Chadwick and Huseyin Ozturk
1815: VAT Treatment of the Financial Services: Implications for the Real Economy Downloads
Fatih Yilmaz and Ýsmail Baydur
1814: Net External Position, Financial Development, and Banking Crisis Downloads
Aytül Ganioğlu
1813: Transportation Mode Choice and International Fragmentation of Production: Evidence from a Developing Country Downloads
Hulya Saygili and Kemal Turkcan
1812: Turkiye'de Reel Kur Hareketlerinin Ýhracat Uzerindeki Asimetrik Etkileri (Asymmetric Effects of Real Exchange Rate Movements on Turkish Exports) Downloads
Selcuk Gul
1811: The Impact of Monetary Policy Stance, Financial Conditions, and the GFC on Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivity Downloads
Selcuk Gul and Huseyin Tastan
1810: Inflation Dynamics in Turkey from a Bayesian Perspective Downloads
Fethi Ogunc, Utku Ozmen and Cagri Sarikaya
1809: The Effect of Fed’s Future Policy Expectations on Country Shares in Emerging Market Portfolio Flows Downloads
Zelal Aktas, Yasemin Erduman and Neslihan Kaya Eksi
1808: Evolution of the University Wage Premium in Turkey: 2004-2015 Downloads
Okan Eren
1807: Multivariate Filter for Estimating Potential Output and Output Gap in Turkey Downloads
Selen Andic
1806: Quantifying Uncertainty and Identifying its Impacts on the Turkish Economy Downloads
Evren Erdoğan Coşar and Saygin Sahinoz
1805: Forecasting Industrial Production and Inflation in Turkey with Factor Models Downloads
Mahmut Gunay
1804: A Revised Direct Output Gap Measure for the Turkish Economy Downloads
Evren Erdoğan Coşar
1803: Import Demand Function for Turkey Downloads
Olcay Yucel Culha, Okan Eren and Ferya Ogunc
1802: Export Behavior of Turkish Manufacturing Firms Under Crises Downloads
Aslihan Atabek Demi̇rhan and Hakan Ercan
1801: Foreign Currency Borrowing, Exports and Firm Performance: Evidence from a Currency Crisis Downloads
Spiros Bougheas, Hosung Lim, Simona Mateut, Paul Mizen and Cihan Yalcin
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