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Details about Makram El-Shagi

Workplace:School of Economics, Henan University, (more information at EDIRC)
Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH) (Halle Institute for Economic Research), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Makram El-Shagi.

Last updated 2021-01-27. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pel108


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Working Papers

2020

  1. Do Expert Experience and Characteristics Affect Inflation Forecasts?
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads
  2. Forecast Performance in Times of Terrorism
    Globalization Institute Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China (2017) Downloads View citations (1)
    Bank of Israel Working Papers, Bank of Israel (2019) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economic Modelling (2020)
  3. Money Demand: A Pseudo-Metastudy
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads View citations (1)
  4. One Country - Two Monetary Policies: Evidence from a new indicator of the PBoC¡äs monetary policy support for poor regions
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads
  5. Shadow of the Colossus: Euro Area Spillovers and Monetary Policy in Central and Eastern Europe
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads

2019

  1. Efficient Dynamic Yield Curve Estimation in Emerging Financial Markets
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads
  2. Fiscal Policy and Fiscal Fragility: Evidence from the OECD
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads
  3. Fiscal policy and fiscal fragility: Empirical evidence from the OECD
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads
  4. Inequality and credit growth in Russian regions
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economic Modelling (2020)
  5. Institutional Similarity and Bilateral FDI
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads
  6. The Income Elasticity of Import Demand: A Meta-Survey
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads

2018

  1. IMF Conditionality and Capital Controls: Capital Account Liberalization to Capital Inflow Management?
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads
  2. State-Level Capital and Investment: Refinements and Update
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Growth and Change (2019)

2017

  1. China Monetary Policy Transmission in China: Dual Shocks with Dual Bond Markets
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Money Demand in China: A Meta-Study
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Trade Effects of Silver Price Fluctuations in 19th Century China: A Macro Approach
    CFDS Discussion Paper Series, Center for Financial Development and Stability at Henan University, Kaifeng, Henan, China Downloads
    See also Journal Article in China Economic Review (2020)
  4. Why they keep missing: An empirical investigation of rational inattention of rating agencies
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads View citations (2)

2016

  1. Does Inequality Lead to Credit Growth? Testing the Rajan Hypothesis Using State-Level Data
    Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2016)
  2. Macroeconomic trade effects of vehicle currencies: Evidence from 19th century China
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Much ado about nothing: Sovereign ratings and government bond yields in the OECD
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads View citations (1)
  4. The Joint Dynamics of Sovereign Ratings and Government Bond Yields
    VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Discussion Papers, Deutsche Bundesbank (2016) Downloads View citations (1)
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2015) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Banking & Finance (2018)
  5. The diffusion of "green'' buildings in the housing market: empirics on the long run effects of energy efficiency regulation
    VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads

2015

  1. Has the publication of minutes helped markets to predict the monetary policy decisions of the Bank of England's MPC?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (1)

2014

  1. Does the federal reserve staff still beat private forecasters?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (7)
  2. Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment in the Euro Area: A Counterfactual Analysis
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Review of International Economics (2016)
  3. Regulation, Innovation and Technology Diffusion: Evidence from Building Energy Efficiency Standards in Germany
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (7)

2013

  1. Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?
    VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads
    Also in IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) (2012) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Does the Greenspan era provide evidence on leadership in the FOMC?
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER (2012) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Macroeconomics (2015)
  3. Liquidity in the Liquidity Crisis: Evidence from Divisia Monetary Aggregates in Germany and the European Crisis Countries
    VfS Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Bulletin (2014)

2012

  1. Monetary Policy in a World Where Money (Also) Matters
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Predicting Financial Crises: The (Statistical) Significance of the Signals Approach
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2013)
  3. Qual VAR Revisited: Good Forecast, Bad Story
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Economics (2016)

2011

  1. The Quantity Theory Revisited: A New Structural Approach
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Macroeconomic Dynamics (2015)

2010

  1. An Evolutionary Algorithm for the Estimation of Threshold Vector Error Correction Models
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in International Economics and Economic Policy (2011)
  2. Did the Crisis Affect Potential Output?
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads
  3. Money and Inflation: The Role of Persistent Velocity Movements
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads View citations (3)
  4. Testing for Structural Breaks at Unknown Time: A Steeplechase
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Computational Economics (2013)

2009

  1. Inflation Expectations: Does the Market Beat Professional Forecasts?
    IWH Discussion Papers, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH) Downloads
  2. The impact of fixed exchange rates on fiscal discipline
    Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Scottish Journal of Political Economy (2011)

Journal Articles

2021

  1. INTRODUCTION TO CURRENT ISSUES IN APPLIED MACROECONOMICS
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2021, 25, (1), 1-4 Downloads
  2. WHEN DOES MONETARY MEASUREMENT MATTER (MOST)?
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2021, 25, (1), 240-256 Downloads

2020

  1. Forecast performance in times terrorism
    Economic Modelling, 2020, 91, (C), 386-402 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2020)
  2. Inequality and credit growth in Russian regions
    Economic Modelling, 2020, 91, (C), 550-558 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  3. Trade effects of silver price fluctuations in 19th-century China: A macro approach
    China Economic Review, 2020, 63, (C) Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2017)

2019

  1. A simple estimator for smooth local projections
    Applied Economics Letters, 2019, 26, (10), 830-834 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Rationality tests in the presence of instabilities in finite samples
    Economic Modelling, 2019, 79, (C), 242-246 Downloads View citations (2)
  3. State‐level capital and investment: Refinements and update
    Growth and Change, 2019, 50, (4), 1411-1422 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
  4. The Impact of Inequality and Redistribution on Growth
    Review of Income and Wealth, 2019, 65, (2), 239-263 Downloads View citations (2)
  5. What can we learn from country-level liquidity in the EMU?
    Journal of Financial Stability, 2019, 42, (C), 75-83 Downloads View citations (3)

2018

  1. Capital, Interest, and Money: The Economics of Viking Village: Comments on the book by Ulrich van Suntum
    ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, 2018, 69, (1), 516-517 Downloads
  2. The joint dynamics of sovereign ratings and government bond yields
    Journal of Banking & Finance, 2018, 97, (C), 198-218 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2016)

2017

  1. Dealing with small sample bias in post-crisis samples
    Economic Modelling, 2017, 65, (C), 1-8 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Empirics on the Long-Run Effects of Building Energy Codes in the Housing Market
    Land Economics, 2017, 93, (4), 585-607 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. For they know not what they do: an analysis of monetary policy during the Great Moderation
    Applied Economics Letters, 2017, 24, (10), 717-721 Downloads View citations (1)

2016

  1. Does inequality lead to credit growth? Testing the Rajan hypothesis using state-level data
    Economics Letters, 2016, 148, (C), 63-67 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
  2. Qual VAR revisited: Good forecast, bad story
    Journal of Applied Economics, 2016, 19, 293-322 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
  3. Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment in the Euro Area: A Counterfactual Analysis
    Review of International Economics, 2016, 24, (1), 37-66 Downloads View citations (22)
    See also Working Paper (2014)
  4. Revisiting the relative forecast performances of Fed staff and private forecasters: A dynamic approach
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2016, 32, (2), 313-323 Downloads View citations (12)
  5. The Diablo 3 Economy: An Agent Based Approach
    Computational Economics, 2016, 47, (2), 193-217 Downloads

2015

  1. Does the Greenspan era provide evidence on leadership in the FOMC?
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2015, 43, (C), 173-190 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  2. Have minutes helped markets to predict the MPC's monetary policy decisions?
    European Journal of Political Economy, 2015, 39, (C), 222-234 Downloads View citations (11)
  3. Negative Bonitätsbewertungen und Zinsen auf Staatsanleihen – Gibt es einen Teufelskreis?
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2015, 21, (3), 44-47 Downloads
  4. Risk and return—Is there an unholy cycle of ratings and yields?
    Economics Letters, 2015, 129, (C), 49-51 Downloads View citations (6)
  5. THE QUANTITY THEORY REVISITED: A NEW STRUCTURAL APPROACH
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2015, 19, (1), 58-78 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2014

  1. A note on the hidden risk of inflation
    Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 2014, 17, (1), 91-97 Downloads
  2. Geriet die preisliche Wettbewerbsfähigkeit von Euroraum-Ländern nach Gründung der Währungsunion aus dem Gleichgewicht?
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2014, 20, (3), 46-49 Downloads
  3. Liquidity in the liquidity crisis: evidence from Divisia monetary aggregates in Germany and the European crisis countries
    Economics Bulletin, 2014, 34, (1), 63-72 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2013)

2013

  1. 3. IWH/INFER-Workshop on Applied Economics and Economic Policy „State of the Euro – State of the Union“ – ein Konferenzbericht
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2013, 19, (3), 57-58 Downloads
  2. Money and inflation: Consequences of the recent monetary policy
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2013, 35, (4), 520-537 Downloads View citations (11)
  3. Predicting financial crises: The (statistical) significance of the signals approach
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2013, 35, (C), 76-103 Downloads View citations (29)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
  4. Testing for Structural Breaks at Unknown Time: A Steeplechase
    Computational Economics, 2013, 41, (1), 101-123 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2010)

2012

  1. Aktuelle Trends: Der Geldmultiplikator: Eingeschränkte Geldschöpfung im Euroraum und in den USA
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2012, 18, (6), 175 Downloads
  2. Geldschöpfung in der Krise
    Wirtschaftsdienst, 2012, 92, (8), 572-574 Downloads
  3. Initial Evidence from a New Database on Capital Market Restrictions
    Panoeconomicus, 2012, 59, (3), 283-292 Downloads View citations (5)
  4. Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet die kurze Schwächephase
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2012, 18, (3), 80-113 Downloads
  5. Protect and survive? Did capital controls help shield emerging markets from the crisis?
    Economics Bulletin, 2012, 32, (1), 1-6 Downloads View citations (1)
  6. The Distorting Impact of Capital Controls
    German Economic Review, 2012, 13, (1), 41-55 Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in German Economic Review, 2012, 13, (1), 41-55 (2012) Downloads

2011

  1. An evolutionary algorithm for the estimation of threshold vector error correction models
    International Economics and Economic Policy, 2011, 8, (4), 341-362 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  2. Bericht über den IWH/INFER-Workshop on Applied Economics and Economic Policy
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2011, 17, (4), 169-172 Downloads
  3. IWH-Indikatoren zur Kapitalmarktregulierung: Hinweise auf eine Renaissance der Kapitalverkehrskontrollen
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2011, 17, (6), 226-232 Downloads
  4. Inflation expectations: Does the market beat econometric forecasts?
    The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2011, 22, (3), 298-319 Downloads View citations (7)
  5. Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland geht weiter – Krisenprävention und Krisenmanagement in Europa unter Reformdruck
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2011, 17, (1), 6-32 Downloads
  6. The Impact of Fixed Exchange Rates on Fiscal Discipline
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2011, 58, (5), 685-710 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2010

  1. Capital controls and international interest rate differentials
    Applied Economics, 2010, 42, (6), 681-688 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Die Bedeutung der Besitzverflechtung von Kapitalgesellschaften für die Finanzmarktkrise / The importance of mutual ownership for the genesis of financial crisis
    ORDO. Jahrbuch für die Ordnung von Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, 2010, 61, (1), 299-324 Downloads
  3. Konjunktur aktuell: Die Erholung legt nur eine kurze Pause ein
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2010, 16, (3), 144-157 Downloads
  4. Konjunktur aktuell: Langsame Erholung ermöglicht Einstieg in die Konsolidierung
    Wirtschaft im Wandel, 2010, 16, (1), 8-41 Downloads
  5. The role of rating agencies in financial crises: event studies from the Asian flu
    Cambridge Journal of Economics, 2010, 34, (4), 671-685 Downloads View citations (17)

2007

  1. Korruption, Institutionen und das Einkommensniveau
    Review of Economics, 2007, 58, (3), 227-249 Downloads

2005

  1. Property networks of corporations as cause of abusive behaviour: a stock market analysis based on institutional economics
    Applied Financial Economics Letters, 2005, 1, (5), 279-283 Downloads View citations (1)

Chapters

2007

  1. Die Einführung von Kapitalverkehrskontrollen mit Korruptionsabsichten
    Chapter 16 in List Forum Band 33, 2007, vol. 4, pp 330-356 View citations (1)
 
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