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Details about Joao Tovar Jalles

E-mail:
Homepage:https://www.iseg.ulisboa.pt/aquila/homepage/f9481
Postal address:Rua Miguel Lupi 20 1249-078 Lisboa, Portugal
Workplace:Unidade de Estudos sobre Complexidade e Economia (UECE) (Research Unit on Complexity and Economics), Research in Economics and Mathematics (REM), Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão (ISEG) (School of Economics and Management), Universidade de Lisboa (University of Lisbon), (more information at EDIRC)
Institut de Préparation à l'Administration et à la Gestion (IPAG) (IPAG Business School), (more information at EDIRC)
Departamento de Economia (Department of Economics), Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão (ISEG) (School of Economics and Management), Universidade de Lisboa (University of Lisbon), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Joao Tovar Jalles.

Last updated 2024-09-25. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pja203


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Working Papers

2024

  1. Beyond the Centre: Tracing Decentralization’s Influence on Time-varying Fiscal Sustainability
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2024) Downloads
  2. Estimating Structural Budget Balances in Developing Asia
    ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank Downloads
  3. Labor Market Reforms and Unemployment Fluctuations
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
  4. Labour Market Counter-Reforms in OECD Countries: Conditional Impact on Output and Employment Growth
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
  5. Public versus Private Investment Multipliers in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: Cross-Country Analysis with a Focus on Asia
    ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank Downloads

2023

  1. 2022 Update of the External Balance Assessment Methodology
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
  2. Climate Change and Government Borrowing Costs: A Triple Whammy for Emerging Market Economies
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2023) Downloads
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development (2023) Downloads
  3. Corruption Kills: Global Evidence from Natural Disasters
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
  4. Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (4)
  5. Government Spending and Tax Revenue Decentralization and Public Sector Efficiency: Do Natural Disasters Matter?
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2023) Downloads
  6. How do governments respond to interest rates?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads
  7. Market Reforms and Public Debt Dynamics in Emerging Market and Developing Economies
    IMF Staff Discussion Notes, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (1)
  8. Natural Disasters, Epidemics and Intergovernmental Relations: More or Less Decentralisation?
    International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU, International Center for Public Policy, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022) Downloads
    Working Papers. Collection A: Public economics, governance and decentralization, Universidade de Vigo, GEN - Governance and Economics research Network (2022) Downloads
  9. Pandemics and economic turmoil in the shortrun: the role of fiscal space
    Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER Downloads
  10. Public Spending and Inclusive Growth in Developing Asia
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development Downloads
  11. Restructuring Reforms for Green Growth
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Restructuring reforms for green growth, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society (2024) Downloads (2024)
  12. Revisiting the Countercyclicality of Fiscal Policy
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
    See also Journal Article Revisiting the countercyclicality of fiscal policy, Empirical Economics, Springer (2024) Downloads (2024)
  13. Structural Reforms and Income Distribution: New Evidence for OECD Countries
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2023) Downloads View citations (1)
  14. Tax Progressivity and Output: Evidence from OECD countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  15. The impact of endogenous product and labour market reforms on unemployment: New evidence based on local projections
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads

2022

  1. A Tale of Government Spending Efficiency and Trust in the State
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2022) Downloads

    See also Journal Article A tale of government spending efficiency and trust in the state, Public Choice, Springer (2024) Downloads (2024)
  2. Decentralisation and the environment: Survey-based and cross-country evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Economic Growth After Debt Surges
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022) Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Fiscal Policy for Inclusive Growth in Asia
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development Downloads View citations (1)
  5. For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Inequality
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
  6. Minimum Wage and Collective Bargaining Reforms: A Narrative Database for Advance Economies
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022) Downloads
  7. Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development Downloads
    See also Journal Article Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia, Asian Development Review (ADR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. (2023) Downloads (2023)
  8. The Trade Effects of Pandemics
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  9. To Consolidate or Not to Consolidate? A Multi-Step Analysis to Assess Needed Fiscal Sustainability
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER (2022) Downloads View citations (5)
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article To consolidate or not to consolidate? A multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability, International Economics, CEPII research center (2022) Downloads View citations (1) (2022)
  10. Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (13)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2018) Downloads View citations (13)

    See also Journal Article Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2022) Downloads View citations (13) (2022)
  11. Volatility and the Current Account: Extending the Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  12. Why Do Governments Cut Their Deficits? Lessons for High-Debt Countries in a Post-Pandemic World
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development Downloads

2021

  1. (Non-) Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a large sample
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2021) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article The (non-)Keynesian effects of fiscal austerity: New evidence from a large sample, Economic Systems, Elsevier (2022) Downloads View citations (10) (2022)
  2. Can COVID-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries?
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Can COVID-19 induce governments to implement tax reforms in developing countries?, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2022) Downloads View citations (2) (2022)
  3. Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency?
    Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021) Downloads
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2021) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Do financial markets reward government spending efficiency?, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier (2022) Downloads View citations (9) (2022)
  4. Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel, Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan (2023) Downloads (2023)
  5. Globalization, Freedoms and Economic Convergence: An empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article Globalization, Freedoms and Economic convergence: an empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel, International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer (2021) Downloads (2021)
  6. International Transmission of Interest Rates: The Role of International Reserves and Sovereign Debt
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021) Downloads
  7. Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads
    See also Journal Article Labor and product market reforms and external Imbalances: Evidence from advanced economies, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2022) Downloads View citations (2) (2022)

2020

  1. An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults, Open Economies Review, Springer (2022) Downloads View citations (4) (2022)
  2. Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Journal Article Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings, Review of Development Finance Journal, Chartered Institute of Development Finance (2023) Downloads (2023)
  3. Financial Crises and Climate Change
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article Financial Crises and Climate Change, Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan (2024) Downloads (2024)
  4. Government Spending Efficiency, Measurement and Applications: a CrossCountry Efficiency Dataset
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2020) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Chapter Government spending efficiency, measurement and applications: A cross-country efficiency dataset, Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing (2023) Downloads (2023)
  5. Heterogenous Gains from Countercyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level Data
    GRU Working Paper Series, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit Downloads
    Also in Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute (2020) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article Heterogeneous gains from countercyclical fiscal policy: new evidence from international industry-level data*, Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press (2022) Downloads (2022)
  6. On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article On the performance of US fiscal forecasts: government vs. private information, Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2020) Downloads (2020)
  7. On the Political Economy Determinants of Tax Reforms: Evidence from Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Policy Papers, Center for Global Development (2020) Downloads
  8. Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2020) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency, Open Economies Review, Springer (2021) Downloads View citations (7) (2021)
  9. Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Tax evasion from cross-border fraud: does digitalization make a difference?, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2023) Downloads View citations (1) (2023)
  10. Tax Revenue Reforms and Income Distribution in Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Policy Papers, Center for Global Development (2020) Downloads
  11. Terror and its Fiscal Consequences
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  12. This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (22)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2020) Downloads View citations (23)

2019

  1. Crises and Emissions: New Empirical Evidence from a Large Sample
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Crises and emissions: New empirical evidence from a large sample, Energy Policy, Elsevier (2019) Downloads View citations (7) (2019)
  2. Cross-country Evidence on the Determinants of Inclusive Growth Episodes
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Cross‐country evidence on the determinants of inclusive growth episodes, Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell (2019) Downloads View citations (4) (2019)
  3. Explaining Africa’s Public Consumption Procyclicality: Revisiting Old Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Explaining Africa's public consumption procyclicality: Revisiting old evidence, International Finance, Wiley Blackwell (2020) Downloads View citations (2) (2020)
  4. Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates: Does Politics Matter?
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2016) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Journal Article Fiscal discipline and exchange rates: Does politics matter?, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society (2021) Downloads View citations (4) (2021)
  5. Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Post-Print, HAL (2019) View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU, Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer (2020) Downloads (2020)
  6. Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: the Portuguese Escudo, 1911-1999
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: The Portuguese Escudo, 1911–1999, International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals (2019) Downloads (2019)
  7. On the Cyclicality of Social Expenditure: New Time-Varying evidence from Developing Economies
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
  8. Polluting Emissions and GDP: Decoupling Evidence from Brazilian States
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  9. Sovereign Indebtedness and Financial and Fiscal Conditions
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2020) Downloads (2020)
  10. Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers’ Characteristics
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers' Characteristics, Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon (2019) Downloads (2019)
  11. Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article Stock flow adjustments in sovereign debt dynamics: The role of fiscal frameworks, International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier (2020) Downloads View citations (7) (2020)
  12. Stock flow adjustments in sovereign debt dynamics: the role of fiscal frameworks
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
  13. Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (9)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2019) Downloads View citations (9)

    See also Journal Article Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison, Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan (2021) Downloads View citations (20) (2021)
  14. The Effects of Macroeconomic, Fiscal and Monetary Policy Announcements on Sovereign Bond Spreads: An Event Study from the EMU
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2019) Downloads View citations (5)
  15. Wagner and the Fading Voracity Effect: Short vs. Long-Run Effects in Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article Wagner and the fading voracity effect: short vs. long-run effects in developing countries, Review of Development Finance Journal, Chartered Institute of Development Finance (2019) Downloads (2019)

2018

  1. A Narrative Database of Major Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (34)
  2. Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa (2017) Downloads View citations (1)
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2017) Downloads

    See also Journal Article Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union, The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell (2019) Downloads View citations (16) (2019)
  3. DECOMPOSING AND ANALYSING THE DETERMINANTS OF CURRENT ACCOUNTS’ CYCLICALITY: EVIDENCE FROM THE EURO AREA
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts’ Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area, Open Economies Review, Springer (2019) Downloads View citations (3) (2019)
  4. Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Decoupling of emissions and GDP: Evidence from aggregate and provincial Chinese data, Energy Economics, Elsevier (2019) Downloads View citations (21) (2019)
  5. How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Journal Article How well do economists forecast recessions?, International Finance, Wiley Blackwell (2018) Downloads View citations (27) (2018)
  6. The Global Crisis and Intergovernmental Relations: Revisiting the Centralisation-Decentralisation Debate Ten Years On
    International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU, International Center for Public Policy, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers. Collection A: Public economics, governance and decentralization, Universidade de Vigo, GEN - Governance and Economics research Network (2018) Downloads View citations (2)
  7. The Long-Run Decoupling of Emissions and Output: Evidence from the Largest Emitters
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (38)
    See also Journal Article The long-run decoupling of emissions and output: Evidence from the largest emitters, Energy Policy, Elsevier (2018) Downloads View citations (40) (2018)

2017

  1. Do Fiscal Rules Lower Government Financing Costs?
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Emissions and Growth: Trends and Cycles in a Globalized World
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (8)
  3. Fiscal Activism and Price Volatility: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: A Battle of Statistical (In-) Significance
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  5. Fiscal Stabilization and Growth: Evidence from Industry-level Data for Advanced and Developing Economies
    Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2017) Downloads View citations (4)
  6. Governments and Promised Fiscal Consolidations: Do They Mean What They Say?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (16)
  7. How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article How Buoyant Is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel, Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2018) Downloads View citations (9) (2018)
  8. Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article Job protection deregulation in good and bad times, Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press (2020) Downloads View citations (18) (2020)
  9. Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Quantitative easing and sovereign yield spreads: Euro-area time-varying evidence, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier (2019) Downloads View citations (34) (2019)
  10. Sovereign Debt Effects and Composition: Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (5)

2016

  1. Beyond the austerity dispute: new priorities for fiscal policy
    Workshop and Conferences, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (8)
  2. Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article Budgetary decomposition and yield spreads, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) Downloads (2016)
  3. China Spillovers: New Evidence From Time-Varying Estimates
    IMF Spillover Notes, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article China Spillovers: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates, Open Economies Review, Springer (2017) Downloads View citations (14) (2017)
  4. Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields’ Determinants: a Time-Varying Approach
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Economic volatility and sovereign yields’ determinants: a time-varying approach, Empirical Economics, Springer (2020) Downloads View citations (13) (2020)
  5. Shifting the Beveridge Curve: What Affects Labor Market Matching?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Shifting the Beveridge curve: What affects labour market matching?, International Labour Review, International Labour Organization (2018) Downloads View citations (9) (2018)
  6. The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article The Fiscal consequences of deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier (2019) Downloads View citations (10) (2019)

2015

  1. Euro Area Time Varying Fiscal Sustainability
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Euro area time‐varying fiscal sustainability, International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2017) Downloads View citations (13) (2017)
  2. Fiscal Episodes, Technological Progress and Market Power
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  3. Fiscal Sustainability: A Panel Assessment for Advanced Economies
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article Fiscal sustainability: a panel assessment for advanced economies, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2015) Downloads View citations (19) (2015)
  4. Markups’ Cyclical Behavior: The role of Demand and Supply Shocks
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Markups' cyclical behaviour: the role of demand and supply shocks, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) Downloads (2016)
  5. The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments, International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals (2017) Downloads View citations (2) (2017)

2014

  1. Causalilty for the government budget and economic growth
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Causality for the government budget and economic growth, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2014) Downloads View citations (12) (2014)
  2. Dividing the Pie in Brazil: Income Distribution, Social Policies and the New Middle Class
    OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing Downloads View citations (8)
  3. Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Do forecasters believe in Okun’s Law? An assessment of unemployment and output forecasts, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2015) Downloads View citations (31) (2015)

2013

  1. Fiscal composition and long-term growth
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article Fiscal composition and long-term growth, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2014) Downloads View citations (46) (2014)
  2. Globalization, Democracy and Development
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Like Father like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults In Reduced Credit to the Private Sector
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2016) Downloads View citations (5) (2016)

2012

  1. Do fiscal rules matter for growth?
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Do fiscal rules matter for growth?, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2013) Downloads View citations (20) (2013)
  2. Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Journal Article Fiscal volatility, financial crises and growth, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2012) Downloads View citations (26) (2012)
  3. Revisiting fiscal sustainability: panel cointegration and structural breaks in OECD countries
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (27)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2012) Downloads View citations (27)
  4. The Fiscal-Growth Nexus
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  5. The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2013) Downloads View citations (15) (2013)

2011

  1. A Longer-run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article A longer-run perspective on fiscal sustainability, Empirica, Springer (2014) Downloads View citations (29) (2014)
  2. Assessing fiscal episodes
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Assessing fiscal episodes, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2014) Downloads View citations (24) (2014)
  3. Economic performance and government size
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (44)
  4. Growth and Productivity: the role of Government Debt
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Journal Article Growth and productivity: The role of government debt, International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier (2013) Downloads View citations (125) (2013)
  5. Linking Investment and Fiscal Policies
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
  6. Rational vs. Professional Forecasts
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads

2009

  1. Structural time series models and the Kalman filter: a concise review
    Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics Downloads View citations (9)

2008

  1. Baumol revisitado: que futuro para o peso do sector da sa de em portugal?
    Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics Downloads

2007

  1. EU competition policy: some real case applications
    Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics Downloads
  2. Empirical applications of neoclassical growth models the "FIT" of the Solow augmented growth model
    Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics Downloads
  3. Endogenous growth models: Jones vs Romer the path to a fully-fledged dynamic analysis
    Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics Downloads

Journal Articles

2024

  1. A tale of government spending efficiency and trust in the state
    Public Choice, 2024, 200, (1), 89-118 Downloads
    See also Working Paper A Tale of Government Spending Efficiency and Trust in the State, Working Papers REM (2022) Downloads (2022)
  2. Effectiveness of Fiscal Announcements: Early Evidence from COVID-19
    Open Economies Review, 2024, 35, (3), 623-658 Downloads
  3. Financial Crises and Climate Change
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2024, 66, (1), 166-190 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Financial Crises and Climate Change, Working Papers REM (2020) Downloads (2020)
  4. Restructuring reforms for green growth
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2024, 71, (4), 515-541 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Restructuring Reforms for Green Growth, IMF Working Papers (2023) Downloads View citations (1) (2023)
  5. Revisiting the countercyclicality of fiscal policy
    Empirical Economics, 2024, 67, (3), 877-914 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Revisiting the Countercyclicality of Fiscal Policy, IMF Working Papers (2023) Downloads (2023)
  6. Tax progressivity and income inequality in the US
    Economics Letters, 2024, 238, (C) Downloads
  7. Tax progressivity and output in the US
    Economics Letters, 2024, 235, (C) Downloads View citations (1)
  8. The economic aftermath of surges in public and private debt: Initial conditions and channels
    Economic Systems, 2024, 48, (3) Downloads
  9. Total factor productivity and structural reforms: Evidence from advanced economies sector‐level data
    Manchester School, 2024, 92, (2), 122-147 Downloads

2023

  1. Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2023, 65, (1), 96-136 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel, Working Papers REM (2021) Downloads (2021)
  2. Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings
    Review of Development Finance Journal, 2023, 13, (2), 21-34 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings, IMF Working Papers (2020) Downloads View citations (17) (2020)
  3. For whom the bell tolls: Climate change and income inequality
    Energy Policy, 2023, 174, (C) Downloads View citations (12)
  4. Governments' accounts and pandemics
    Journal of Economics and Development, 2023, 25, (3), 244-265 Downloads
  5. Macroeconomic volatility and the current account: Extending the evidence
    Economic Modelling, 2023, 125, (C) Downloads
  6. Minimum wage and collective bargaining shocks: a narrative database for advanced economies
    IZA Journal of Labor Policy, 2023, 13, (1), 18 Downloads
  7. Pandemics and Trade in the 21st Century: Evidence from five Pre-Covid Pandemics
    Open Economies Review, 2023, 34, (4), 895-918 Downloads
  8. Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia
    Asian Development Review (ADR), 2023, 40, (02), 271-303 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia, Working Papers (2022) Downloads (2022)
  9. Tax evasion from cross-border fraud: does digitalization make a difference?
    Applied Economics Letters, 2023, 30, (10), 1400-1406 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?, IMF Working Papers (2020) Downloads View citations (2) (2020)

2022

  1. An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults
    Open Economies Review, 2022, 33, (1), 89-108 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults, IMF Working Papers (2020) Downloads View citations (2) (2020)
  2. Can COVID-19 induce governments to implement tax reforms in developing countries?
    Applied Economics, 2022, 54, (20), 2288-2301 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Can COVID-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries?, Working Papers (2021) Downloads (2021)
  3. Do credit rating agencies reward fiscal prudence?
    International Finance, 2022, 25, (1), 2-22 Downloads
  4. Do financial markets reward government spending efficiency?
    Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2022, 77, (C) Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency?, Working Papers (2021) Downloads (2021)
  5. Do tax reforms affect income distribution? Evidence from developing countries
    Economic Modelling, 2022, 110, (C) Downloads View citations (7)
  6. Heterogeneous gains from countercyclical fiscal policy: new evidence from international industry-level data*
    (Optimal investment with costly reversibility)
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2022, 74, (3), 773-804 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Heterogenous Gains from Countercyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level Data, GRU Working Paper Series (2020) Downloads (2020)
  7. Labor and product market reforms and external Imbalances: Evidence from advanced economies
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022, 121, (C) Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies, IMF Working Papers (2021) Downloads (2021)
  8. Private and public consumption: substitutes or complements?
    (Temporary and permanent government spending in an open economy)
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2022, 74, (3), 805-819 Downloads View citations (4)
  9. Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa and its Determinants
    International Tax and Public Finance, 2022, 29, (4), 890-921 Downloads
  10. The (non-)Keynesian effects of fiscal austerity: New evidence from a large sample
    Economic Systems, 2022, 46, (2) Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (Non-) Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a large sample, Working Papers REM (2021) Downloads View citations (3) (2021)
  11. This changes everything: Climate shocks and sovereign bonds⁎
    Energy Economics, 2022, 107, (C) Downloads View citations (8)
  12. To consolidate or not to consolidate? A multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability
    International Economics, 2022, (172), 106-123 Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in International Economics, 2022, 172, (C), 106-123 (2022) Downloads View citations (5)

    See also Working Paper To Consolidate or Not to Consolidate? A Multi-Step Analysis to Assess Needed Fiscal Sustainability, CESifo Working Paper Series (2022) Downloads View citations (4) (2022)
  13. Trends and cycles in CO2 emissions and incomes: Cross-country evidence on decoupling
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2022, 71, (C) Downloads View citations (2)
  14. Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022, 121, (C) Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?, Post-Print (2022) View citations (13) (2022)

2021

  1. Dynamics of government spending cyclicality
    Economic Modelling, 2021, 97, (C), 411-427 Downloads View citations (8)
  2. Economic and Financial Adjustments in Europe: An Introduction
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (3), 337-338 Downloads
  3. Fiscal Reaction Functions in the EU: A Tale of “r-g” and Whether it Matters
    Revue française d'économie, 2021, XXXVI, (3), 65-101 Downloads View citations (4)
  4. Fiscal discipline and exchange rates: Does politics matter?
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2021, 68, (2), 155-178 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates: Does Politics Matter?, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads View citations (1) (2019)
  5. Globalization, Freedoms and Economic convergence: an empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel
    International Economics and Economic Policy, 2021, 18, (3), 605-629 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Globalization, Freedoms and Economic Convergence: An empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel, Working Papers REM (2021) Downloads (2021)
  6. Promised Fiscal Expansions and Politics: A European Union Assessment
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (1), 84-116 Downloads View citations (3)
  7. Recessions and total factor productivity: Evidence from sectoral data
    Economic Modelling, 2021, 94, (C), 130-138 Downloads View citations (20)
  8. Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency
    Open Economies Review, 2021, 32, (5), 1017-1061 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency, Working Papers REM (2020) Downloads View citations (5) (2020)
  9. Tax capacity and growth in the Asia-Pacific region
    Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 2021, 26, (3), 527-551 Downloads View citations (1)
  10. Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (3), 356-383 Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads View citations (9) (2019)

2020

  1. A NOTE ON INFLATION DYNAMICS, PRICE VOLATILITY, AND FISCAL ACTIVISM
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2020, 24, (5), 1299-1313 Downloads View citations (6)
  2. A New Look into Fiscal Countercyclicality: Expectations, Shocks, and the Business Cycle
    FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, 2020, 76, (3), 240-265 Downloads
  3. Economic volatility and sovereign yields’ determinants: a time-varying approach
    Empirical Economics, 2020, 58, (2), 427-451 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields’ Determinants: a Time-Varying Approach, Working Papers Department of Economics (2016) Downloads View citations (10) (2016)
  4. Emissions and economic development in commodity exporting countries
    Energy Economics, 2020, 85, (C) Downloads View citations (4)
  5. European commission’s fiscal forecasts in CEE countries: a thorough assessment
    Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 2020, 23, (2), 161-183 Downloads View citations (1)
  6. Explaining Africa's public consumption procyclicality: Revisiting old evidence
    International Finance, 2020, 23, (2), 297-323 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Explaining Africa’s Public Consumption Procyclicality: Revisiting Old Evidence, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads View citations (1) (2019)
  7. Job protection deregulation in good and bad times
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2020, 72, (2), 370-390 Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times, IMF Working Papers (2017) Downloads View citations (19) (2017)
  8. Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU
    Portuguese Economic Journal, 2020, 19, (2), 155-170 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads View citations (2) (2019)
  9. On the Determinants of the Okun’s Law: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2020, 62, (4), 661-700 Downloads View citations (1)
  10. On the performance of US fiscal forecasts: government vs. private information
    Journal of Economic Studies, 2020, 48, (2), 367-391 Downloads
    See also Working Paper On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information, Working Papers REM (2020) Downloads (2020)
  11. Social expenditure cyclicality: New time-varying evidence in developing economies
    Economic Systems, 2020, 44, (3) Downloads
  12. Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions
    Applied Economics Letters, 2020, 27, (19), 1611-1616 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Sovereign Indebtedness and Financial and Fiscal Conditions, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads (2019)
  13. Stock flow adjustments in sovereign debt dynamics: The role of fiscal frameworks
    International Review of Economics & Finance, 2020, 65, (C), 1-16 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads (2019)
  14. The effects of macroeconomic, fiscal and monetary policy announcements on sovereign bond spreads
    International Review of Law and Economics, 2020, 63, (C) Downloads View citations (19)
  15. The global crisis and intergovernmental relations: centralization versus decentralization 10 years on
    Regional Studies, 2020, 54, (7), 942-957 Downloads View citations (4)
  16. The impact of financial crises on the environment in developing countries
    Annals of Finance, 2020, 16, (2), 281-306 Downloads View citations (2)
  17. The volatility impact of social expenditure’s cyclicality in advanced economies
    Economic Analysis and Policy, 2020, 66, (C), 26-40 Downloads

2019

  1. An Assessment of the IMF’s Unemployment Forecasts
    Manchester School, 2019, 87, (4), 489-509 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union
    The World Economy, 2019, 42, (2), 320-348 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union, Post-Print (2018) View citations (1) (2018)
  3. Crises and emissions: New empirical evidence from a large sample
    Energy Policy, 2019, 129, (C), 880-895 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Crises and Emissions: New Empirical Evidence from a Large Sample, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads View citations (7) (2019)
  4. Cross‐country evidence on the determinants of inclusive growth episodes
    Review of Development Economics, 2019, 23, (4), 1818-1839 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Cross-country Evidence on the Determinants of Inclusive Growth Episodes, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads View citations (7) (2019)
  5. Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts’ Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area
    Open Economies Review, 2019, 30, (1), 133-156 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper DECOMPOSING AND ANALYSING THE DETERMINANTS OF CURRENT ACCOUNTS’ CYCLICALITY: EVIDENCE FROM THE EURO AREA, Working Papers REM (2018) Downloads View citations (3) (2018)
  6. Decoupling of emissions and GDP: Evidence from aggregate and provincial Chinese data
    Energy Economics, 2019, 77, (C), 105-118 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data, IMF Working Papers (2018) Downloads View citations (9) (2018)
  7. Do IMF forecasts respect Okun’s law? Evidence for advanced and developing economies
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (3), 1131-1142 Downloads View citations (9)
  8. Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: In Quest of Statistical (In)significance
    FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, 2019, 75, (3), 207-228 Downloads View citations (4)
  9. Fiscal Rules and Government Financing Costs
    Fiscal Studies, 2019, 40, (1), 71-90 Downloads View citations (13)
  10. Fiscal counter-cyclicality and productive investment: evidence from advanced economies
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2019, 19, (1), 15 Downloads View citations (5)
  11. How Do Macroeconomic Fundamentals Affect Sovereign Bond Yields? New Evidence from European Forecasts
    CESifo Economic Studies, 2019, 65, (1), 44-67 Downloads View citations (4)
  12. Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: The Portuguese Escudo, 1911–1999
    International Economic Journal, 2019, 33, (4), 719-740 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: the Portuguese Escudo, 1911-1999, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads (2019)
  13. On the Time‐Varying Relationship between Unemployment and Output: What shapes it?
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2019, 66, (5), 605-630 Downloads View citations (7)
  14. Quantitative easing and sovereign yield spreads: Euro-area time-varying evidence
    Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2019, 58, (C), 208-224 Downloads View citations (34)
    See also Working Paper Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence, Working Papers REM (2017) Downloads View citations (1) (2017)
  15. Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers' Characteristics
    Economics Bulletin, 2019, 39, (4), 2999-3010 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers’ Characteristics, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads (2019)
  16. The Fiscal consequences of deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization
    The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2019, 74, (C), 129-147 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization, Working Papers Department of Economics (2016) Downloads View citations (1) (2016)
  17. Wagner and the fading voracity effect: short vs. long-run effects in developing countries
    Review of Development Finance Journal, 2019, 9, (1), 51-78 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Wagner and the Fading Voracity Effect: Short vs. Long-Run Effects in Developing Countries, Working Papers REM (2019) Downloads (2019)
  18. Wagner’s law and governments’ functions: granularity matters
    Journal of Economic Studies, 2019, 46, (2), 446-466 Downloads View citations (6)

2018

  1. Determinants and Effects of Fiscal Counter-Cyclicality
    Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, 2018, 36, (85), 137-151 Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, 2018, 36, (85), 137-151 (2018) Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Do IMF fiscal forecasts add value?
    Journal of Forecasting, 2018, 37, (6), 650-665 Downloads View citations (11)
  3. Fiscal rules and fiscal counter-cyclicality
    Economics Letters, 2018, 170, (C), 159-162 Downloads View citations (13)
  4. How Buoyant Is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel
    Journal of International Development, 2018, 30, (6), 961-991 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel, IMF Working Papers (2017) Downloads View citations (16) (2017)
  5. How well do economists forecast recessions?
    International Finance, 2018, 21, (2), 100-121 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?, IMF Working Papers (2018) Downloads View citations (26) (2018)
  6. Planned fiscal adjustments: Do governments fulfil their commitments?
    European Union Politics, 2018, 19, (3), 383-407 Downloads View citations (9)
  7. Shifting the Beveridge curve: What affects labour market matching?
    International Labour Review, 2018, 157, (2), 267-306 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Shifting the Beveridge Curve: What Affects Labor Market Matching?, IMF Working Papers (2016) Downloads View citations (12) (2016)
  8. Single currency and fiscal performance: the early Euro Area in perspective
    Applied Economics Letters, 2018, 25, (6), 415-419 Downloads View citations (2)
  9. The Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Human Development
    Journal of International Development, 2018, 30, (3), 399-429 Downloads View citations (3)
  10. The long-run decoupling of emissions and output: Evidence from the largest emitters
    Energy Policy, 2018, 118, (C), 58-68 Downloads View citations (40)
    See also Working Paper The Long-Run Decoupling of Emissions and Output: Evidence from the Largest Emitters, IMF Working Papers (2018) Downloads View citations (38) (2018)
  11. What determines the share of non-resident public debt ownership? Evidence from Euro Area countries
    Annals of Finance, 2018, 14, (3), 379-414 Downloads View citations (5)

2017

  1. China Spillovers: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Open Economies Review, 2017, 28, (3), 413-429 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper China Spillovers: New Evidence From Time-Varying Estimates, IMF Spillover Notes (2016) Downloads View citations (6) (2016)
  2. Debt spikes, blind spots, and financial stress
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2017, 22, (4), 421-437 Downloads View citations (9)
  3. Euro area time‐varying fiscal sustainability
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2017, 22, (3), 244-254 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper Euro Area Time Varying Fiscal Sustainability, Working Papers Department of Economics (2015) Downloads View citations (2) (2015)
  4. Fiscal Episodes and Market Power
    Open Economies Review, 2017, 28, (2), 233-250 Downloads View citations (8)
  5. Forecasting performance of private sector’s unemployment forecasts in advanced economies
    International Review of Applied Economics, 2017, 31, (6), 707-733 Downloads View citations (1)
  6. How do fiscal adjustments change the income distribution in emerging market economies?
    International Journal of Emerging Markets, 2017, 12, (2), 310-334 Downloads View citations (3)
  7. Income inequality, fiscal stimuli and political (in)stability
    International Tax and Public Finance, 2017, 24, (3), 484-511 Downloads View citations (9)
  8. MODEL-BASED VS. PROFESSIONAL FORECASTS: IMPLICATIONS FOR MODELS WITH NOMINAL RIGIDITIES
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2017, 21, (1), 130-159 Downloads View citations (1)
  9. On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts: Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies
    Research in International Business and Finance, 2017, 40, (C), 175-189 Downloads
  10. Sovereign debt composition and time-varying public finance sustainability
    The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2017, 42, (C), 144-155 Downloads View citations (5)
  11. Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Exploration
    African Development Review, 2017, 29, (1), 1-15 Downloads View citations (3)
  12. The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments
    International Economic Journal, 2017, 31, (1), 36-50 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments, Working Papers Department of Economics (2015) Downloads View citations (1) (2015)
  13. Understanding the relationship between the economy and crime: Canadian provinces, 1981-2009
    International Journal of Social Economics, 2017, 44, (9), 1268-1288 Downloads View citations (1)

2016

  1. A new theory of innovation and growth: the role of banking intermediation and corruption
    Studies in Economics and Finance, 2016, 33, (4), 488-500 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Budgetary decomposition and yield spreads
    Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (15), 1093-1098 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads, Working Papers Department of Economics (2016) Downloads (2016)
  3. Economic performance, government size, and institutional quality
    Empirica, 2016, 43, (1), 83-109 Downloads View citations (14)
  4. Financial stress and sovereign debt composition
    Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (9), 678-683 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2016, 48, (7), 1515-1545 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Like Father like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults In Reduced Credit to the Private Sector, CEPR Discussion Papers (2013) Downloads View citations (3) (2013)
  6. Markups' cyclical behaviour: the role of demand and supply shocks
    Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (1), 1-5 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Markups’ Cyclical Behavior: The role of Demand and Supply Shocks, Working Papers Department of Economics (2015) Downloads View citations (1) (2015)
  7. The elusive character of fiscal sustainability
    Applied Economics, 2016, 48, (28), 2651-2664 Downloads View citations (29)

2015

  1. Cross-country evidence on the quality of private sector fiscal forecasts
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2015, 45, (C), 186-201 Downloads View citations (12)
  2. Do debt crises boost financial reforms?
    Applied Economics Letters, 2015, 22, (5), 356-360 Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Do forecasters believe in Okun’s Law? An assessment of unemployment and output forecasts
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 31, (1), 176-184 Downloads View citations (31)
    See also Working Paper Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts, IMF Working Papers (2014) Downloads View citations (10) (2014)
  4. Fiscal consolidation and financial reforms
    Applied Economics, 2015, 47, (34-35), 3740-3755 Downloads View citations (6)
  5. Fiscal sustainability: a panel assessment for advanced economies
    Applied Economics Letters, 2015, 22, (11), 925-929 Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Working Paper Fiscal Sustainability: A Panel Assessment for Advanced Economies, Working Papers Department of Economics (2015) Downloads View citations (19) (2015)
  6. How Does Fiscal Policy Affect Investment? Evidence from a Large Panel
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2015, 20, (4), 310-327 Downloads View citations (16)
  7. How Quickly is News Incorporated in Fiscal Forecasts?
    Economics Bulletin, 2015, 35, (4), 2802-2812 Downloads
  8. Is There A Stable Long-run Relationship Between Unemployment And Productivity? / Czy Istnieje Stabilny Długookresowy Związek Między Bezrobociem A Produktywnością?
    Comparative Economic Research, 2015, 18, (2), 57-75 Downloads
  9. Panel Causality and Cointegration between Productivity and Unemployment
    Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2015, 61, (2), 141-153 Downloads
  10. The social and economic determinants of suicide in Canadian provinces
    Health Economics Review, 2015, 5, (1), 1-12 Downloads View citations (3)
  11. Trade, scale or social capital? Technological progress in poor and rich countries
    The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2015, 24, (6), 767-808 Downloads View citations (3)
  12. What determines the likelihood of structural reforms?
    European Journal of Political Economy, 2015, 37, (C), 129-145 Downloads View citations (40)

2014

  1. A longer-run perspective on fiscal sustainability
    Empirica, 2014, 41, (4), 821-847 Downloads View citations (29)
    See also Working Paper A Longer-run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability, Working Papers Department of Economics (2011) Downloads View citations (8) (2011)
  2. Assessing fiscal episodes
    Economic Modelling, 2014, 37, (C), 255-270 Downloads View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper Assessing fiscal episodes, Working Papers Department of Economics (2011) Downloads View citations (3) (2011)
  3. Causality for the government budget and economic growth
    Applied Economics Letters, 2014, 21, (17), 1198-1201 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Causalilty for the government budget and economic growth, Working Papers Department of Economics (2014) Downloads View citations (12) (2014)
  4. Fiscal adjustments, labour market flexibility and unemployment
    Economics Letters, 2014, 124, (2), 231-235 Downloads View citations (17)
  5. Fiscal composition and long-term growth
    Applied Economics, 2014, 46, (3), 349-358 Downloads View citations (46)
    See also Working Paper Fiscal composition and long-term growth, Working Paper Series (2013) Downloads View citations (16) (2013)
  6. Respiratory tuberculosis and standards of living in postwar Europe
    European Review of Economic History, 2014, 18, (1), 57-81 Downloads

2013

  1. Do fiscal rules matter for growth?
    Applied Economics Letters, 2013, 20, (1), 34-40 Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper Do fiscal rules matter for growth?, Working Papers Department of Economics (2012) Downloads View citations (7) (2012)
  2. Growth and productivity: The role of government debt
    International Review of Economics & Finance, 2013, 25, (C), 384-407 Downloads View citations (125)
    See also Working Paper Growth and Productivity: the role of Government Debt, Working Papers Department of Economics (2011) Downloads View citations (18) (2011)
  3. Macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks in Brazil and in the United States
    Applied Energy, 2013, 104, (C), 475-486 Downloads View citations (51)
  4. The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending
    Applied Economics Letters, 2013, 20, (7), 669-672 Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending, Working Papers Department of Economics (2012) Downloads View citations (2) (2012)

2012

  1. Fiscal volatility, financial crises and growth
    Applied Economics Letters, 2012, 19, (18), 1821-1826 Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Working Paper Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth, Working Papers Department of Economics (2012) Downloads View citations (26) (2012)
  2. Measuring the success of fiscal consolidations
    Applied Financial Economics, 2012, 22, (13), 1053-1061 Downloads View citations (25)
  3. Openness, Regional Trade Agreements and Growth: Evidence from Asia*
    Asian Economic Journal, 2012, 26, (1), 63-85 Downloads View citations (8)
  4. Structural change and foreign direct investment: globalization and regional economic integration
    Portuguese Economic Journal, 2012, 11, (1), 35-82 Downloads View citations (3)

2011

  1. Appraising fiscal reaction functions
    Economics Bulletin, 2011, 31, (4), 3320-3330 Downloads View citations (15)
  2. THE IMPACT OF DEMOCRACY AND CORRUPTION ON THE DEBT-GROWTH RELATIONSHIP IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
    Journal of Economic Development, 2011, 36, (4), 41-72 Downloads View citations (35)

2010

  1. Does democracy foster or hinder growth? Extreme-type political regimes in a large panel
    Economics Bulletin, 2010, 30, (2), 1359-1372 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. How to measure innovation? New evidence of the technology-growth linkage
    Research in Economics, 2010, 64, (2), 81-96 Downloads View citations (15)
  3. Inter‐country trade dependence and inflation transmission mechanisms
    International Journal of Development Issues, 2010, 9, (3), 198-213 Downloads View citations (1)

2009

  1. Do Oil Prices Matter? The Case of a Small Open Economy
    Annals of Economics and Finance, 2009, 10, (1), 65-87 Downloads View citations (5)

Books

2013

  1. States, Banks, and the Financing of the Economy: Fiscal Policy and Sovereign Risk Perspectives
    SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum Downloads View citations (1)

Edited books

2023

  1. Handbook on Public Sector Efficiency
    Books, Edward Elgar Publishing Downloads View citations (6)

Chapters

2024

  1. Fiscal policy and income redistribution in the turbulent era
    Chapter 10 in Fiscal Policy in a Turbulent Era, 2024, pp 155-167 Downloads

2023

  1. Government spending efficiency, measurement and applications: A cross-country efficiency dataset
    Chapter 3 in Handbook on Public Sector Efficiency, 2023, pp 44-71 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Government Spending Efficiency, Measurement and Applications: a CrossCountry Efficiency Dataset, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2020) Downloads View citations (4) (2020)
 
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