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Details about Joao Tovar Jalles

E-mail:
Homepage:https://www.iseg.ulisboa.pt/aquila/homepage/f9481
Postal address:Rua Miguel Lupi 20 1249-078 Lisboa, Portugal
Workplace:Unidade de Estudos sobre Complexidade e Economia (UECE) (Research Unit on Complexity and Economics), Research in Economics and Mathematics (REM), Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão (ISEG) (School of Economics and Management), Universidade de Lisboa (University of Lisbon), (more information at EDIRC)
Departamento de Economia (Department of Economics), Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão (ISEG) (School of Economics and Management), Universidade de Lisboa (University of Lisbon), (more information at EDIRC)
Institut de Préparation à l'Administration et à la Gestion (IPAG) (IPAG Business School), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Joao Tovar Jalles.

Last updated 2021-11-30. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pja203


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Working Papers

2021

  1. (Non-) Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a large sample
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2021) Downloads
  2. Can Covid-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries?
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  3. Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency?
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021) Downloads
    Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER (2021) Downloads
  4. Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  5. Globalization, Freedoms and Economic Convergence: An empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in International Economics and Economic Policy (2021)
  6. International Transmission of Interest Rates: The Role of International Reserves and Sovereign Debt
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021) Downloads
  7. Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads

2020

  1. An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Financial Crises and Climate Change
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  4. Government Spending Efficiency, Measurement and Applications: a CrossCountry Efficiency Dataset
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2020) Downloads View citations (2)
  5. Heterogenous Gains from Countercyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level Data
    Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in GRU Working Paper Series, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit (2020) Downloads
  6. On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Studies (2020)
  7. On the Political Economy Determinants of Tax Reforms: Evidence from Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  8. Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2020) Downloads
  9. Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (1)
  10. Tax Revenue Reforms and Income Distribution in Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  11. Terror and its Fiscal Consequences
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  12. This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2020) Downloads

2019

  1. Crises and Emissions: New Empirical Evidence from a Large Sample
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Energy Policy (2019)
  2. Cross-country Evidence on the Determinants of Inclusive Growth Episodes
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Development Economics (2019)
  3. Explaining Africa’s Public Consumption Procyclicality: Revisiting Old Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (2020)
  4. Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates: Does Politics Matter?
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2016) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article in Scottish Journal of Political Economy (2021)
  5. Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU
    Post-Print, HAL
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2019) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Portuguese Economic Journal (2020)
  6. Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: the Portuguese Escudo, 1911-1999
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in International Economic Journal (2019)
  7. On the Cyclicality of Social Expenditure: New Time-Varying evidence from Developing Economies
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
  8. Polluting Emissions and GDP: Decoupling Evidence from Brazilian States
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  9. Sovereign Indebtedness and Financial and Fiscal Conditions
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2020)
  10. Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers’ Characteristics
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Economics Bulletin (2019)
  11. Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in International Review of Economics & Finance (2020)
  12. Stock flow adjustments in sovereign debt dynamics: the role of fiscal frameworks
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
  13. Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2019) Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Journal Article in Comparative Economic Studies (2021)
  14. The Effects of Macroeconomic, Fiscal and Monetary Policy Announcements on Sovereign Bond Spreads: An Event Study from the EMU
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2019) Downloads View citations (3)
  15. Wagner and the Fading Voracity Effect: Short vs. Long-Run Effects in Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Review of Development Finance Journal (2019)

2018

  1. A Narrative Database of Major Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (19)
  2. Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2017) Downloads
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa (2017) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in The World Economy (2019)
  3. DECOMPOSING AND ANALYSING THE DETERMINANTS OF CURRENT ACCOUNTS’ CYCLICALITY: EVIDENCE FROM THE EURO AREA
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (2019)
  4. Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Energy Economics (2019)
  5. How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (2018)
  6. The Global Crisis and Intergovernmental Relations: Revisiting the Centralisation-Decentralisation Debate Ten Years On
    International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU, International Center for Public Policy, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers. Collection A: Public economics, governance and decentralization, Universidade de Vigo, GEN - Governance and Economics research Network (2018) Downloads
  7. The Long-Run Decoupling of Emissions and Output: Evidence from the Largest Emitters
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article in Energy Policy (2018)
  8. Twin Deficits Revisited: a role for fiscal institutions?
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (6)

2017

  1. Do Fiscal Rules Lower Government Financing Costs?
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  2. Emissions and Growth: Trends and Cycles in a Globalized World
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Fiscal Activism and Price Volatility: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: A Battle of Statistical (In-) Significance
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  5. Fiscal Stabilization and Growth: Evidence from Industry-level Data for Advanced and Developing Economies
    Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2017) Downloads View citations (2)
  6. Governments and Promised Fiscal Consolidations: Do They Mean What They Say?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (13)
  7. How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Development (2018)
  8. Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Economic Papers (2020)
  9. Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money (2019)
  10. Sovereign Debt Effects and Composition: Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (3)

2016

  1. Beyond the austerity dispute: new priorities for fiscal policy
    Workshop and Conferences, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area Downloads View citations (8)
  2. Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2016)
  3. China Spillovers: New Evidence From Time-Varying Estimates
    IMF Spillover Notes, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (2017)
  4. Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields’ Determinants: a Time-Varying Approach
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in Empirical Economics (2020)
  5. Shifting the Beveridge Curve: What Affects Labor Market Matching?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Journal Article in International Labour Review (2018)
  6. The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance (2019)

2015

  1. Euro Area Time Varying Fiscal Sustainability
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (2017)
  2. Fiscal Episodes, Technological Progress and Market Power
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  3. Fiscal Sustainability: A Panel Assessment for Advanced Economies
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2015)
  4. Markups’ Cyclical Behavior: The role of Demand and Supply Shocks
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2016)
  5. The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in International Economic Journal (2017)

2014

  1. Causalilty for the government budget and economic growth
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2014)
  2. Dividing the Pie in Brazil: Income Distribution, Social Policies and the New Middle Class
    OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing Downloads View citations (6)
  3. Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2015)

2013

  1. Fiscal composition and long-term growth
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics (2014)
  2. Globalization, Democracy and Development
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
  3. Like Father like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults In Reduced Credit to the Private Sector
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2016)

2012

  1. Do fiscal rules matter for growth?
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2013)
  2. Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2012)
  3. Revisiting fiscal sustainability: panel cointegration and structural breaks in OECD countries
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (20)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2012) Downloads View citations (22)
  4. The Fiscal-Growth Nexus
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads
  5. The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2013)

2011

  1. A Longer-run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Empirica (2014)
  2. Assessing fiscal episodes
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Modelling (2014)
  3. Economic performance and government size
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank Downloads View citations (34)
  4. Growth and Productivity: the role of Government Debt
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article in International Review of Economics & Finance (2013)
  5. Linking Investment and Fiscal Policies
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa Downloads View citations (2)
  6. Rational vs. Professional Forecasts
    Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department Downloads

2009

  1. Structural time series models and the Kalman filter: a concise review
    Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics Downloads View citations (8)

2008

  1. Baumol revisitado: que futuro para o peso do sector da saúde em portugal?
    Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics Downloads

2007

  1. EU competition policy: some real case applications
    Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics Downloads
  2. Empirical applications of neoclassical growth models the "FIT" of the Solow augmented growth model
    Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics Downloads
  3. Endogenous growth models: Jones vs Romer the path to a fully-fledged dynamic analysis
    Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics Downloads

Journal Articles

2021

  1. Dynamics of government spending cyclicality
    Economic Modelling, 2021, 97, (C), 411-427 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Economic and Financial Adjustments in Europe: An Introduction
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (3), 337-338 Downloads
  3. Fiscal discipline and exchange rates: Does politics matter?
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2021, 68, (2), 155-178 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  4. Globalization, Freedoms and Economic convergence: an empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel
    International Economics and Economic Policy, 2021, 18, (3), 605-629 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2021)
  5. Promised Fiscal Expansions and Politics: A European Union Assessment
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (1), 84-116 Downloads
  6. Recessions and total factor productivity: Evidence from sectoral data
    Economic Modelling, 2021, 94, (C), 130-138 Downloads View citations (4)
  7. Tax capacity and growth in the Asia-Pacific region
    Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 2021, 26, (3), 527-551 Downloads
  8. Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (3), 356-383 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2019)

2020

  1. A NOTE ON INFLATION DYNAMICS, PRICE VOLATILITY, AND FISCAL ACTIVISM
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2020, 24, (5), 1299-1313 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. A New Look into Fiscal Countercyclicality: Expectations, Shocks, and the Business Cycle
    FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, 2020, 76, (3), 240-265 Downloads
  3. Economic volatility and sovereign yields’ determinants: a time-varying approach
    Empirical Economics, 2020, 58, (2), 427-451 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
  4. Emissions and economic development in commodity exporting countries
    Energy Economics, 2020, 85, (C) Downloads View citations (1)
  5. European commission’s fiscal forecasts in CEE countries: a thorough assessment
    Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 2020, 23, (2), 161-183 Downloads View citations (1)
  6. Explaining Africa's public consumption procyclicality: Revisiting old evidence
    International Finance, 2020, 23, (2), 297-323 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  7. Job protection deregulation in good and bad times
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2020, 72, (2), 370-390 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2017)
  8. Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU
    Portuguese Economic Journal, 2020, 19, (2), 155-170 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  9. On the Determinants of the Okun’s Law: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2020, 62, (4), 661-700 Downloads
  10. On the performance of US fiscal forecasts: government vs. private information
    Journal of Economic Studies, 2020, 48, (2), 367-391 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2020)
  11. Social expenditure cyclicality: New time-varying evidence in developing economies
    Economic Systems, 2020, 44, (3) Downloads
  12. Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions
    Applied Economics Letters, 2020, 27, (19), 1611-1616 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  13. Stock flow adjustments in sovereign debt dynamics: The role of fiscal frameworks
    International Review of Economics & Finance, 2020, 65, (C), 1-16 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  14. The effects of macroeconomic, fiscal and monetary policy announcements on sovereign bond spreads
    International Review of Law and Economics, 2020, 63, (C) Downloads View citations (3)
  15. The global crisis and intergovernmental relations: centralization versus decentralization 10 years on
    Regional Studies, 2020, 54, (7), 942-957 Downloads View citations (1)
  16. The impact of financial crises on the environment in developing countries
    Annals of Finance, 2020, 16, (2), 281-306 Downloads
  17. The volatility impact of social expenditure’s cyclicality in advanced economies
    Economic Analysis and Policy, 2020, 66, (C), 26-40 Downloads

2019

  1. An Assessment of the IMF’s Unemployment Forecasts
    Manchester School, 2019, 87, (4), 489-509 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union
    The World Economy, 2019, 42, (2), 320-348 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
  3. Crises and emissions: New empirical evidence from a large sample
    Energy Policy, 2019, 129, (C), 880-895 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  4. Cross‐country evidence on the determinants of inclusive growth episodes
    Review of Development Economics, 2019, 23, (4), 1818-1839 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  5. Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts’ Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area
    Open Economies Review, 2019, 30, (1), 133-156 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
  6. Decoupling of emissions and GDP: Evidence from aggregate and provincial Chinese data
    Energy Economics, 2019, 77, (C), 105-118 Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
  7. Do IMF forecasts respect Okun’s law? Evidence for advanced and developing economies
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (3), 1131-1142 Downloads View citations (1)
  8. Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: In Quest of Statistical (In)significance
    FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, 2019, 75, (3), 207-228 Downloads View citations (1)
  9. Fiscal Rules and Government Financing Costs
    Fiscal Studies, 2019, 40, (1), 71-90 Downloads View citations (7)
  10. Fiscal counter-cyclicality and productive investment: evidence from advanced economies
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2019, 19, (1), 15 Downloads View citations (4)
  11. How Do Macroeconomic Fundamentals Affect Sovereign Bond Yields? New Evidence from European Forecasts
    CESifo Economic Studies, 2019, 65, (1), 44-67 Downloads View citations (1)
  12. Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: The Portuguese Escudo, 1911–1999
    International Economic Journal, 2019, 33, (4), 719-740 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  13. On the Time‐Varying Relationship between Unemployment and Output: What shapes it?
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2019, 66, (5), 605-630 Downloads View citations (4)
  14. Quantitative easing and sovereign yield spreads: Euro-area time-varying evidence
    Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2019, 58, (C), 208-224 Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper (2017)
  15. Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers' Characteristics
    Economics Bulletin, 2019, 39, (4), 2999-3010 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  16. The Fiscal consequences of deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization
    The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2019, 74, (C), 129-147 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
  17. Wagner and the fading voracity effect: short vs. long-run effects in developing countries
    Review of Development Finance Journal, 2019, 9, (1), 51-78 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  18. Wagner’s law and governments’ functions: granularity matters
    Journal of Economic Studies, 2019, 46, (2), 446-466 Downloads View citations (3)

2018

  1. Determinants and Effects of Fiscal Counter-Cyclicality
    Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, 2018, 36, (85), 137-151 Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, 2018, 36, (85), 137-151 (2018) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Do IMF fiscal forecasts add value?
    Journal of Forecasting, 2018, 37, (6), 650-665 Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Fiscal rules and fiscal counter-cyclicality
    Economics Letters, 2018, 170, (C), 159-162 Downloads View citations (5)
  4. How Buoyant Is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel
    Journal of International Development, 2018, 30, (6), 961-991 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2017)
  5. How well do economists forecast recessions?
    International Finance, 2018, 21, (2), 100-121 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
  6. Planned fiscal adjustments: Do governments fulfil their commitments?
    European Union Politics, 2018, 19, (3), 383-407 Downloads View citations (4)
  7. Shifting the Beveridge curve: What affects labour market matching?
    International Labour Review, 2018, 157, (2), 267-306 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
  8. Single currency and fiscal performance: the early Euro Area in perspective
    Applied Economics Letters, 2018, 25, (6), 415-419 Downloads
  9. The Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Human Development
    Journal of International Development, 2018, 30, (3), 399-429 Downloads View citations (2)
  10. The long-run decoupling of emissions and output: Evidence from the largest emitters
    Energy Policy, 2018, 118, (C), 58-68 Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
  11. What determines the share of non-resident public debt ownership? Evidence from Euro Area countries
    Annals of Finance, 2018, 14, (3), 379-414 Downloads View citations (3)

2017

  1. China Spillovers: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Open Economies Review, 2017, 28, (3), 413-429 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
  2. Debt spikes, blind spots, and financial stress
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2017, 22, (4), 421-437 Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Euro area time‐varying fiscal sustainability
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2017, 22, (3), 244-254 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2015)
  4. Fiscal Episodes and Market Power
    Open Economies Review, 2017, 28, (2), 233-250 Downloads View citations (2)
  5. Forecasting performance of private sector’s unemployment forecasts in advanced economies
    International Review of Applied Economics, 2017, 31, (6), 707-733 Downloads View citations (1)
  6. Income inequality, fiscal stimuli and political (in)stability
    International Tax and Public Finance, 2017, 24, (3), 484-511 Downloads View citations (7)
  7. MODEL-BASED VS. PROFESSIONAL FORECASTS: IMPLICATIONS FOR MODELS WITH NOMINAL RIGIDITIES
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2017, 21, (1), 130-159 Downloads
  8. On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts: Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies
    Research in International Business and Finance, 2017, 40, (C), 175-189 Downloads
  9. Sovereign debt composition and time-varying public finance sustainability
    The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2017, 42, (C), 144-155 Downloads View citations (2)
  10. Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Exploration
    African Development Review, 2017, 29, (1), 1-15 Downloads
  11. The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments
    International Economic Journal, 2017, 31, (1), 36-50 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2015)
  12. Understanding the relationship between the economy and crime: Canadian provinces, 1981-2009
    International Journal of Social Economics, 2017, 44, (9), 1268-1288 Downloads

2016

  1. A new theory of innovation and growth: the role of banking intermediation and corruption
    Studies in Economics and Finance, 2016, 33, (4), 488-500 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Budgetary decomposition and yield spreads
    Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (15), 1093-1098 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2016)
  3. Economic performance, government size, and institutional quality
    Empirica, 2016, 43, (1), 83-109 Downloads View citations (4)
  4. Financial stress and sovereign debt composition
    Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (9), 678-683 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2016, 48, (7), 1515-1545 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  6. Markups' cyclical behaviour: the role of demand and supply shocks
    Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (1), 1-5 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2015)
  7. The elusive character of fiscal sustainability
    Applied Economics, 2016, 48, (28), 2651-2664 Downloads View citations (7)

2015

  1. Cross-country evidence on the quality of private sector fiscal forecasts
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2015, 45, (C), 186-201 Downloads View citations (12)
  2. Do debt crises boost financial reforms?
    Applied Economics Letters, 2015, 22, (5), 356-360 Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Do forecasters believe in Okun’s Law? An assessment of unemployment and output forecasts
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 31, (1), 176-184 Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper (2014)
  4. Fiscal consolidation and financial reforms
    Applied Economics, 2015, 47, (34-35), 3740-3755 Downloads View citations (4)
  5. Fiscal sustainability: a panel assessment for advanced economies
    Applied Economics Letters, 2015, 22, (11), 925-929 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2015)
  6. How Does Fiscal Policy Affect Investment? Evidence from a Large Panel
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2015, 20, (4), 310-327 Downloads View citations (10)
  7. How Quickly is News Incorporated in Fiscal Forecasts?
    Economics Bulletin, 2015, 35, (4), 2802-2812 Downloads
  8. Is There A Stable Long-run Relationship Between Unemployment And Productivity? / Czy Istnieje Stabilny Długookresowy Związek Między Bezrobociem A Produktywnością?
    Comparative Economic Research, 2015, 18, (2), 57-75 Downloads
  9. Panel Causality and Cointegration between Productivity and Unemployment
    Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2015, 61, (2), 141-153 Downloads
  10. The social and economic determinants of suicide in Canadian provinces
    Health Economics Review, 2015, 5, (1), 1-12 Downloads View citations (2)
  11. Trade, scale or social capital? Technological progress in poor and rich countries
    The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2015, 24, (6), 767-808 Downloads View citations (2)
  12. What determines the likelihood of structural reforms?
    European Journal of Political Economy, 2015, 37, (C), 129-145 Downloads View citations (29)

2014

  1. A longer-run perspective on fiscal sustainability
    Empirica, 2014, 41, (4), 821-847 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  2. Assessing fiscal episodes
    Economic Modelling, 2014, 37, (C), 255-270 Downloads View citations (17)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  3. Causality for the government budget and economic growth
    Applied Economics Letters, 2014, 21, (17), 1198-1201 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2014)
  4. Fiscal adjustments, labour market flexibility and unemployment
    Economics Letters, 2014, 124, (2), 231-235 Downloads View citations (10)
  5. Fiscal composition and long-term growth
    Applied Economics, 2014, 46, (3), 349-358 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
  6. Respiratory tuberculosis and standards of living in postwar Europe
    European Review of Economic History, 2014, 18, (1), 57-81 Downloads

2013

  1. Do fiscal rules matter for growth?
    Applied Economics Letters, 2013, 20, (1), 34-40 Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
  2. Growth and productivity: The role of government debt
    International Review of Economics & Finance, 2013, 25, (C), 384-407 Downloads View citations (77)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  3. Macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks in Brazil and in the United States
    Applied Energy, 2013, 104, (C), 475-486 Downloads View citations (34)
  4. The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending
    Applied Economics Letters, 2013, 20, (7), 669-672 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper (2012)

2012

  1. Fiscal volatility, financial crises and growth
    Applied Economics Letters, 2012, 19, (18), 1821-1826 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
  2. Measuring the success of fiscal consolidations
    Applied Financial Economics, 2012, 22, (13), 1053-1061 Downloads View citations (20)
  3. Openness, Regional Trade Agreements and Growth: Evidence from Asia*
    Asian Economic Journal, 2012, 26, (1), 63-85 Downloads View citations (8)
  4. Structural change and foreign direct investment: globalization and regional economic integration
    Portuguese Economic Journal, 2012, 11, (1), 35-82 Downloads View citations (3)

2011

  1. Appraising fiscal reaction functions
    Economics Bulletin, 2011, 31, (4), 3320-3330 Downloads View citations (10)
  2. THE IMPACT OF DEMOCRACY AND CORRUPTION ON THE DEBT-GROWTH RELATIONSHIP IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
    Journal of Economic Development, 2011, 36, (4), 41-72 Downloads View citations (29)

2010

  1. Does democracy foster or hinder growth? Extreme-type political regimes in a large panel
    Economics Bulletin, 2010, 30, (2), 1359-1372 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. How to measure innovation? New evidence of the technology-growth linkage
    Research in Economics, 2010, 64, (2), 81-96 Downloads View citations (6)
  3. Inter-country trade dependence and inflation transmission mechanisms: The case of a small open African economy
    International Journal of Development Issues, 2010, 9, (3), 198-213 Downloads

2009

  1. Do Oil Prices Matter? The Case of a Small Open Economy
    Annals of Economics and Finance, 2009, 10, (1), 65-87 Downloads View citations (3)

Books

2013

  1. States, Banks, and the Financing of the Economy: Fiscal Policy and Sovereign Risk Perspectives
    SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum Downloads View citations (1)
 
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