Details about Joao Tovar Jalles

Access statistics for papers by Joao Tovar Jalles.

Last updated 2023-09-21. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pja203

Working Papers

2023

1. 2022 Update of the External Balance Assessment Methodology
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
2. Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
3. Government Spending and Tax Revenue Decentralization and Public Sector Efficiency: Do Natural Disasters Matter?
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2023)
4. How do governments respond to interest rates?
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
5. Market Reforms and Public Debt Dynamics in Emerging Market and Developing Economies
   IMF Staff Discussion Notes, International Monetary Fund
6. Natural Disasters, Epidemics and Intergovernmental Relations: More or Less Decentralisation?
   International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU, International Center for Public Policy, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University
   Also in Working Papers. Collection A: Public economics, governance and decentralization, Universidade de Vigo, GEN - Governance and Economics research Network (2022)
   Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022)
7. Pandemics and economic turmoil in the shortrun: the role of fiscal space
   Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER
8. Public Spending and Inclusive Growth in Developing Asia
   Working Papers, Center for Global Development
9. Restructuring Reforms for Green Growth
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
10. Revisiting the Countercyclicality of Fiscal Policy
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
11. Structural Reforms and Income Distribution: New Evidence for OECD Countries
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2023) View citations (1)

2022

12. A Tale of Government Spending Efficiency and Trust in the State
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2022)
13. Decentralisation and the environment: Survey-based and cross-country evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (3)
14. Economic Growth After Debt Surges
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022) View citations (1)
15. Fiscal Policy for Inclusive Growth in Asia
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development
16. For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Inequality
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
17. Minimum Wage and Collective Bargaining Reforms: A Narrative Database for Advance Economies
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022)
18. Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development
19. The Trade Effects of Pandemics
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
20. To Consolidate or Not to Consolidate? A Multi-Step Analysis to Assess Needed Fiscal Sustainability
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (3)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022) View citations (4)
    Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER (2022) View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in International Economics (2022)
21. Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (9)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2018) View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2022)
22. Volatility and the Current Account: Extending the Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
23. Why Do Governments Cut Their Deficits? Lessons for High-Debt Countries in a Post-Pandemic World
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development

2021

24. (Non-) Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a large sample
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (3)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2021) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Systems (2022)
25. Can COVID-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries?
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics (2022)
26. Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency?
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
    Also in Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER (2021)
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money (2022)
27. Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article in Comparative Economic Studies (2023)
28. Globalization, Freedoms and Economic Convergence: An empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article in International Economics and Economic Policy (2021)
29. International Transmission of Interest Rates: The Role of International Reserves and Sovereign Debt
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021)
30. Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Money and Finance (2022)

2020

31. An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (2022)
32. Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (11)
33. Financial Crises and Climate Change
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
34. Government Spending Efficiency, Measurement and Applications: a CrossCountry Efficiency Dataset
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (4)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2020) View citations (2)
    See also Chapter (2023)
35. Heterogenous Gains from Countercyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level Data
    GRU Working Paper Series, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit
    Also in Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute (2020) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Economic Papers (2022)
36. On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Studies (2020)
37. On the Political Economy Determinants of Tax Reforms: Evidence from Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
38. Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (3)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2020) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (2021)
39. Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2023)
40. Tax Revenue Reforms and Income Distribution in Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
41. Terror and its Fiscal Consequences
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
42. This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (21)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2020) View citations (20)

2019

43. Crises and Emissions: New Empirical Evidence from a Large Sample
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Energy Policy (2019)
44. Cross-country Evidence on the Determinants of Inclusive Growth Episodes
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Review of Development Economics (2019)
45. Explaining Africa’s Public Consumption Procyclicality: Revisiting Old Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (2020)
46. Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates: Does Politics Matter?
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2016) View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Scottish Journal of Political Economy (2021)
47. Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2019) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Portuguese Economic Journal (2020)
48. Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: the Portuguese Escudo, 1911-1999
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article in International Economic Journal (2019)
49. On the Cyclicality of Social Expenditure: New Time-Varying evidence from Developing Economies
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
50. Polluting Emissions and GDP: Decoupling Evidence from Brazilian States
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
51. Sovereign Indebtedness and Financial and Fiscal Conditions
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2020)
52. Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers’ Characteristics
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article in Economics Bulletin (2019)
53. Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article in International Review of Economics & Finance (2020)
54. Stock flow adjustments in sovereign debt dynamics: the role of fiscal frameworks
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
55. Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (9)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2019) View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in Comparative Economic Studies (2021)
56. The Effects of Macroeconomic, Fiscal and Monetary Policy Announcements on Sovereign Bond Spreads: An Event Study from the EMU
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (5)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2019) View citations (5)
57. Wagner and the Fading Voracity Effect: Short vs. Long-Run Effects in Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article in Review of Development Finance Journal (2019)

2018

58. A Narrative Database of Major Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (32)
59. Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa (2017) View citations (1)
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2017)
    See also Journal Article in The World Economy (2019)
60. DECOMPOSING AND ANALYSING THE DETERMINANTS OF CURRENT ACCOUNTS’ CYCLICALITY: EVIDENCE FROM THE EURO AREA
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (2019)
61. Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article in Energy Economics (2019)
62. How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (24)
    See also Journal Article in International Finance (2018)
63. The Global Crisis and Intergovernmental Relations: Revisiting the Centralisation-Decentralisation Debate Ten Years On
    International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU, International Center for Public Policy, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers. Collection A: Public economics, governance and decentralization, Universidade de Vigo, GEN - Governance and Economics research Network (2018) View citations (2)
64. The Long-Run Decoupling of Emissions and Output: Evidence from the Largest Emitters
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (33)
    See also Journal Article in Energy Policy (2018)

2017

65. Do Fiscal Rules Lower Government Financing Costs?
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
66. Emissions and Growth: Trends and Cycles in a Globalized World
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (7)
67. Fiscal Activism and Price Volatility: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
68. Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: A Battle of Statistical (In-) Significance
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
69. Fiscal Stabilization and Growth: Evidence from Industry-level Data for Advanced and Developing Economies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (4)
    Also in Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute (2017) View citations (4)
70. Governments and Promised Fiscal Consolidations: Do They Mean What They Say?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (16)
71. How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Development (2018)
72. Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (18)
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Economic Papers (2020)
73. Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money (2019)
74. Sovereign Debt Effects and Composition: Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (5)

2016

75. Beyond the austerity dispute: new priorities for fiscal policy
    Workshop and Conferences, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area View citations (8)
76. Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2016)
77. China Spillovers: New Evidence From Time-Varying Estimates
    IMF Spillover Notes, International Monetary Fund View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Open Economies Review (2017)
78. Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields’ Determinants: a Time-Varying Approach
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in Empirical Economics (2020)
79. Shifting the Beveridge Curve: What Affects Labor Market Matching?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article in International Labour Review (2018)
80. The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance (2019)

2015

81. Euro Area Time Varying Fiscal Sustainability
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Finance & Economics (2017)
82. Fiscal Episodes, Technological Progress and Market Power
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa
83. Fiscal Sustainability: A Panel Assessment for Advanced Economies
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2015)
84. Markups’ Cyclical Behavior: The role of Demand and Supply Shocks
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2016)
85. The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in International Economic Journal (2017)

2014

86. Causalilty for the government budget and economic growth
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2014)
87. Dividing the Pie in Brazil: Income Distribution, Social Policies and the New Middle Class
    OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing View citations (8)
88. Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2015)

2013

89. Fiscal composition and long-term growth
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics (2014)
90. Globalization, Democracy and Development
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)
91. Like Father like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults In Reduced Credit to the Private Sector
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2016)

2012

92. Do fiscal rules matter for growth?
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2013)
93. Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2012)
94. Revisiting fiscal sustainability: panel cointegration and structural breaks in OECD countries
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (27)
    Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2012) View citations (27)
95. The Fiscal-Growth Nexus
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa
96. The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Letters (2013)

2011

97. A Longer-run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (8)
    See also Journal Article in Empirica (2014)
98. Assessing fiscal episodes
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Modelling (2014)
99. Economic performance and government size
    Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (43)
100. Growth and Productivity: the role of Government Debt
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (18)
     See also Journal Article in International Review of Economics & Finance (2013)
101. Linking Investment and Fiscal Policies
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
102. Rational vs. Professional Forecasts
     Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department

2009

103. Structural time series models and the Kalman filter: a concise review
     Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics View citations (9)

2008

104. Baumol revisitado: que futuro para o peso do sector da sa de em portugal?
     Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics

2007

105. EU competition policy: some real case applications
     Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics
106. Empirical applications of neoclassical growth models the "FIT" of the Solow augmented growth model
     Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics
107. Endogenous growth models: Jones vs Romer the path to a fully-fledged dynamic analysis
     Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics

Journal Articles

2023

1. Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel
   Comparative Economic Studies, 2023, 65, (1), 96-136
   See also Working Paper (2021)
2. For whom the bell tolls: Climate change and income inequality
   Energy Policy, 2023, 174, (C) View citations (3)
3. Governments' accounts and pandemics
   Journal of Economics and Development, 2023, 25, (3), 244-265
4. Macroeconomic volatility and the current account: Extending the evidence
   Economic Modelling, 2023, 125, (C)
5. Minimum wage and collective bargaining shocks: a narrative database for advanced economies
   IZA Journal of Labor Policy, 2023, 13, (1), 18
6. Tax evasion from cross-border fraud: does digitalization make a difference?
   Applied Economics Letters, 2023, 30, (10), 1400-1406
   See also Working Paper (2020)

2022

7. An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults
   Open Economies Review, 2022, 33, (1), 89-108
   See also Working Paper (2020)
8. Can COVID-19 induce governments to implement tax reforms in developing countries?
   Applied Economics, 2022, 54, (20), 2288-2301 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper (2021)
9. Do credit rating agencies reward fiscal prudence?
   International Finance, 2022, 25, (1), 2-22
10. Do financial markets reward government spending efficiency?
    Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2022, 77, (C) View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2021)
11. Do tax reforms affect income distribution? Evidence from developing countries
    Economic Modelling, 2022, 110, (C) View citations (3)
12. Heterogeneous gains from countercyclical fiscal policy: new evidence from international industry-level data*
    (Optimal investment with costly reversibility)
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2022, 74, (3), 773-804
    See also Working Paper (2020)
13. Labor and product market reforms and external Imbalances: Evidence from advanced economies
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022, 121, (C) View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2021)
14. Private and public consumption: substitutes or complements?
    (Temporary and permanent government spending in an open economy)
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2022, 74, (3), 805-819 View citations (1)
15. Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa and its Determinants
    International Tax and Public Finance, 2022, 29, (4), 890-921
16. The (non-)Keynesian effects of fiscal austerity: New evidence from a large sample
    Economic Systems, 2022, 46, (2) View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2021)
17. This changes everything: Climate shocks and sovereign bonds⁎
    Energy Economics, 2022, 107, (C) View citations (6)
18. To consolidate or not to consolidate? A multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability
    International Economics, 2022, 172, (C), 106-123 View citations (3)
    Also in International Economics, 2022, (172), 106-123 (2022)
    See also Working Paper (2022)
19. Trends and cycles in CO2 emissions and incomes: Cross-country evidence on decoupling
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2022, 71, (C) View citations (1)
20. Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022, 121, (C) View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2022)

2021

21. Dynamics of government spending cyclicality
    Economic Modelling, 2021, 97, (C), 411-427 View citations (5)
22. Economic and Financial Adjustments in Europe: An Introduction
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (3), 337-338
23. Fiscal Reaction Functions in the EU: A Tale of “r-g” and Whether it Matters
    Revue française d'économie, 2021, XXXVI, (3), 65-101 View citations (3)
24. Fiscal discipline and exchange rates: Does politics matter?
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2021, 68, (2), 155-178 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2019)
25. Globalization, Freedoms and Economic convergence: an empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel
    International Economics and Economic Policy, 2021, 18, (3), 605-629
    See also Working Paper (2021)
26. Promised Fiscal Expansions and Politics: A European Union Assessment
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (1), 84-116 View citations (3)
27. Recessions and total factor productivity: Evidence from sectoral data
    Economic Modelling, 2021, 94, (C), 130-138 View citations (17)
28. Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency
    Open Economies Review, 2021, 32, (5), 1017-1061 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2020)
29. Tax capacity and growth in the Asia-Pacific region
    Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 2021, 26, (3), 527-551
30. Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (3), 356-383 View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper (2019)

2020

31. A NOTE ON INFLATION DYNAMICS, PRICE VOLATILITY, AND FISCAL ACTIVISM
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2020, 24, (5), 1299-1313 View citations (2)
32. A New Look into Fiscal Countercyclicality: Expectations, Shocks, and the Business Cycle
    FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, 2020, 76, (3), 240-265
33. Economic volatility and sovereign yields’ determinants: a time-varying approach
    Empirical Economics, 2020, 58, (2), 427-451 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
34. Emissions and economic development in commodity exporting countries
    Energy Economics, 2020, 85, (C) View citations (2)
35. European commission’s fiscal forecasts in CEE countries: a thorough assessment
    Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 2020, 23, (2), 161-183 View citations (1)
36. Explaining Africa's public consumption procyclicality: Revisiting old evidence
    International Finance, 2020, 23, (2), 297-323 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2019)
37. Job protection deregulation in good and bad times
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2020, 72, (2), 370-390 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2017)
38. Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU
    Portuguese Economic Journal, 2020, 19, (2), 155-170
    See also Working Paper (2019)
39. On the Determinants of the Okun’s Law: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2020, 62, (4), 661-700 View citations (1)
40. On the performance of US fiscal forecasts: government vs. private information
    Journal of Economic Studies, 2020, 48, (2), 367-391
    See also Working Paper (2020)
41. Social expenditure cyclicality: New time-varying evidence in developing economies
    Economic Systems, 2020, 44, (3)
42. Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions
    Applied Economics Letters, 2020, 27, (19), 1611-1616
    See also Working Paper (2019)
43. Stock flow adjustments in sovereign debt dynamics: The role of fiscal frameworks
    International Review of Economics & Finance, 2020, 65, (C), 1-16 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2019)
44. The effects of macroeconomic, fiscal and monetary policy announcements on sovereign bond spreads
    International Review of Law and Economics, 2020, 63, (C) View citations (15)
45. The global crisis and intergovernmental relations: centralization versus decentralization 10 years on
    Regional Studies, 2020, 54, (7), 942-957 View citations (4)
46. The impact of financial crises on the environment in developing countries
    Annals of Finance, 2020, 16, (2), 281-306
47. The volatility impact of social expenditure’s cyclicality in advanced economies
    Economic Analysis and Policy, 2020, 66, (C), 26-40

2019

48. An Assessment of the IMF’s Unemployment Forecasts
    Manchester School, 2019, 87, (4), 489-509 View citations (1)
49. Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union
    The World Economy, 2019, 42, (2), 320-348 View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
50. Crises and emissions: New empirical evidence from a large sample
    Energy Policy, 2019, 129, (C), 880-895 View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2019)
51. Cross‐country evidence on the determinants of inclusive growth episodes
    Review of Development Economics, 2019, 23, (4), 1818-1839 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2019)
52. Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts’ Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area
    Open Economies Review, 2019, 30, (1), 133-156 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
53. Decoupling of emissions and GDP: Evidence from aggregate and provincial Chinese data
    Energy Economics, 2019, 77, (C), 105-118 View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
54. Do IMF forecasts respect Okun’s law? Evidence for advanced and developing economies
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (3), 1131-1142 View citations (6)
55. Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: In Quest of Statistical (In)significance
    FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, 2019, 75, (3), 207-228 View citations (3)
56. Fiscal Rules and Government Financing Costs
    Fiscal Studies, 2019, 40, (1), 71-90 View citations (10)
57. Fiscal counter-cyclicality and productive investment: evidence from advanced economies
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2019, 19, (1), 15 View citations (5)
58. How Do Macroeconomic Fundamentals Affect Sovereign Bond Yields? New Evidence from European Forecasts
    CESifo Economic Studies, 2019, 65, (1), 44-67 View citations (3)
59. Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: The Portuguese Escudo, 1911–1999
    International Economic Journal, 2019, 33, (4), 719-740
    See also Working Paper (2019)
60. On the Time‐Varying Relationship between Unemployment and Output: What shapes it?
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2019, 66, (5), 605-630 View citations (6)
61. Quantitative easing and sovereign yield spreads: Euro-area time-varying evidence
    Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2019, 58, (C), 208-224 View citations (28)
    See also Working Paper (2017)
62. Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers' Characteristics
    Economics Bulletin, 2019, 39, (4), 2999-3010
    See also Working Paper (2019)
63. The Fiscal consequences of deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization
    The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2019, 74, (C), 129-147 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
64. Wagner and the fading voracity effect: short vs. long-run effects in developing countries
    Review of Development Finance Journal, 2019, 9, (1), 51-78
    See also Working Paper (2019)
65. Wagner’s law and governments’ functions: granularity matters
    Journal of Economic Studies, 2019, 46, (2), 446-466 View citations (5)

2018

66. Determinants and Effects of Fiscal Counter-Cyclicality
    Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, 2018, 36, (85), 137-151 View citations (3)
    Also in Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, 2018, 36, (85), 137-151 (2018) View citations (3)
67. Do IMF fiscal forecasts add value?
    Journal of Forecasting, 2018, 37, (6), 650-665 View citations (10)
68. Fiscal rules and fiscal counter-cyclicality
    Economics Letters, 2018, 170, (C), 159-162 View citations (8)
69. How Buoyant Is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel
    Journal of International Development, 2018, 30, (6), 961-991 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2017)
70. How well do economists forecast recessions?
    International Finance, 2018, 21, (2), 100-121 View citations (25)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
71. Planned fiscal adjustments: Do governments fulfil their commitments?
    European Union Politics, 2018, 19, (3), 383-407 View citations (8)
72. Shifting the Beveridge curve: What affects labour market matching?
    International Labour Review, 2018, 157, (2), 267-306 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
73. Single currency and fiscal performance: the early Euro Area in perspective
    Applied Economics Letters, 2018, 25, (6), 415-419 View citations (2)
74. The Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Human Development
    Journal of International Development, 2018, 30, (3), 399-429 View citations (3)
75. The long-run decoupling of emissions and output: Evidence from the largest emitters
    Energy Policy, 2018, 118, (C), 58-68 View citations (35)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
76. What determines the share of non-resident public debt ownership? Evidence from Euro Area countries
    Annals of Finance, 2018, 14, (3), 379-414 View citations (5)

2017

77. China Spillovers: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Open Economies Review, 2017, 28, (3), 413-429 View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (2016)
78. Debt spikes, blind spots, and financial stress
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2017, 22, (4), 421-437 View citations (6)
79. Euro area time‐varying fiscal sustainability
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2017, 22, (3), 244-254 View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (2015)
80. Fiscal Episodes and Market Power
    Open Economies Review, 2017, 28, (2), 233-250 View citations (6)
81. Forecasting performance of private sector’s unemployment forecasts in advanced economies
    International Review of Applied Economics, 2017, 31, (6), 707-733 View citations (1)
82. How do fiscal adjustments change the income distribution in emerging market economies?
    International Journal of Emerging Markets, 2017, 12, (2), 310-334 View citations (1)
83. Income inequality, fiscal stimuli and political (in)stability
    International Tax and Public Finance, 2017, 24, (3), 484-511 View citations (9)
84. MODEL-BASED VS. PROFESSIONAL FORECASTS: IMPLICATIONS FOR MODELS WITH NOMINAL RIGIDITIES
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2017, 21, (1), 130-159 View citations (1)
85. On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts: Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies
    Research in International Business and Finance, 2017, 40, (C), 175-189
86. Sovereign debt composition and time-varying public finance sustainability
    The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2017, 42, (C), 144-155 View citations (5)
87. Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Exploration
    African Development Review, 2017, 29, (1), 1-15 View citations (2)
88. The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments
    International Economic Journal, 2017, 31, (1), 36-50 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2015)
89. Understanding the relationship between the economy and crime: Canadian provinces, 1981-2009
    International Journal of Social Economics, 2017, 44, (9), 1268-1288 View citations (1)

2016

90. A new theory of innovation and growth: the role of banking intermediation and corruption
    Studies in Economics and Finance, 2016, 33, (4), 488-500 View citations (1)
91. Budgetary decomposition and yield spreads
    Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (15), 1093-1098
    See also Working Paper (2016)
92. Economic performance, government size, and institutional quality
    Empirica, 2016, 43, (1), 83-109 View citations (11)
93. Financial stress and sovereign debt composition
    Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (9), 678-683 View citations (1)
94. Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2016, 48, (7), 1515-1545 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2013)
95. Markups' cyclical behaviour: the role of demand and supply shocks
    Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (1), 1-5
    See also Working Paper (2015)
96. The elusive character of fiscal sustainability
    Applied Economics, 2016, 48, (28), 2651-2664 View citations (24)

2015

97. Cross-country evidence on the quality of private sector fiscal forecasts
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2015, 45, (C), 186-201 View citations (12)
98. Do debt crises boost financial reforms?
    Applied Economics Letters, 2015, 22, (5), 356-360 View citations (5)
99. Do forecasters believe in Okun’s Law? An assessment of unemployment and output forecasts
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 31, (1), 176-184 View citations (30)
    See also Working Paper (2014)
100. Fiscal consolidation and financial reforms
     Applied Economics, 2015, 47, (34-35), 3740-3755 View citations (6)
101. Fiscal sustainability: a panel assessment for advanced economies
     Applied Economics Letters, 2015, 22, (11), 925-929 View citations (15)
     See also Working Paper (2015)
102. How Does Fiscal Policy Affect Investment? Evidence from a Large Panel
     International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2015, 20, (4), 310-327 View citations (12)
103. How Quickly is News Incorporated in Fiscal Forecasts?
     Economics Bulletin, 2015, 35, (4), 2802-2812
104. Is There A Stable Long-run Relationship Between Unemployment And Productivity? / Czy Istnieje Stabilny Długookresowy Związek Między Bezrobociem A Produktywnością?
     Comparative Economic Research, 2015, 18, (2), 57-75
105. Panel Causality and Cointegration between Productivity and Unemployment
     Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2015, 61, (2), 141-153
106. The social and economic determinants of suicide in Canadian provinces
     Health Economics Review, 2015, 5, (1), 1-12 View citations (3)
107. Trade, scale or social capital? Technological progress in poor and rich countries
     The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2015, 24, (6), 767-808 View citations (3)
108. What determines the likelihood of structural reforms?
     European Journal of Political Economy, 2015, 37, (C), 129-145 View citations (35)

2014

109. A longer-run perspective on fiscal sustainability
     Empirica, 2014, 41, (4), 821-847 View citations (23)
     See also Working Paper (2011)
110. Assessing fiscal episodes
     Economic Modelling, 2014, 37, (C), 255-270 View citations (24)
     See also Working Paper (2011)
111. Causality for the government budget and economic growth
     Applied Economics Letters, 2014, 21, (17), 1198-1201 View citations (12)
     See also Working Paper (2014)
112. Fiscal adjustments, labour market flexibility and unemployment
     Economics Letters, 2014, 124, (2), 231-235 View citations (17)
113. Fiscal composition and long-term growth
     Applied Economics, 2014, 46, (3), 349-358 View citations (40)
     See also Working Paper (2013)
114. Respiratory tuberculosis and standards of living in postwar Europe
     European Review of Economic History, 2014, 18, (1), 57-81

2013

115. Do fiscal rules matter for growth?
     Applied Economics Letters, 2013, 20, (1), 34-40 View citations (17)
     See also Working Paper (2012)
116. Growth and productivity: The role of government debt
     International Review of Economics & Finance, 2013, 25, (C), 384-407 View citations (101)
     See also Working Paper (2011)
117. Macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks in Brazil and in the United States
     Applied Energy, 2013, 104, (C), 475-486 View citations (45)
118. The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending
     Applied Economics Letters, 2013, 20, (7), 669-672 View citations (15)
     See also Working Paper (2012)

2012

119. Fiscal volatility, financial crises and growth
     Applied Economics Letters, 2012, 19, (18), 1821-1826 View citations (20)
     See also Working Paper (2012)
120. Openness, Regional Trade Agreements and Growth: Evidence from Asia*
     Asian Economic Journal, 2012, 26, (1), 63-85 View citations (8)
121. Structural change and foreign direct investment: globalization and regional economic integration
     Portuguese Economic Journal, 2012, 11, (1), 35-82 View citations (3)

2011

122. Appraising fiscal reaction functions
     Economics Bulletin, 2011, 31, (4), 3320-3330 View citations (14)
123. THE IMPACT OF DEMOCRACY AND CORRUPTION ON THE DEBT-GROWTH RELATIONSHIP IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
     Journal of Economic Development, 2011, 36, (4), 41-72 View citations (35)

2010

124. Does democracy foster or hinder growth? Extreme-type political regimes in a large panel
     Economics Bulletin, 2010, 30, (2), 1359-1372 View citations (3)
125. How to measure innovation? New evidence of the technology-growth linkage
     Research in Economics, 2010, 64, (2), 81-96 View citations (14)
126. Inter‐country trade dependence and inflation transmission mechanisms
     International Journal of Development Issues, 2010, 9, (3), 198-213 View citations (1)

2009

127. Do Oil Prices Matter? The Case of a Small Open Economy
     Annals of Economics and Finance, 2009, 10, (1), 65-87 View citations (5)

Books

2013

1. States, Banks, and the Financing of the Economy: Fiscal Policy and Sovereign Risk Perspectives
   SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum View citations (1)

Edited books

2023

1. Handbook on Public Sector Efficiency
   Books, Edward Elgar Publishing View citations (3)

Chapters

2023

1. Government spending efficiency, measurement and applications: A cross-country efficiency dataset
   Chapter 3 in Handbook on Public Sector Efficiency, 2023, pp 44-71
   See also Working Paper (2020)