Details about Joao Tovar Jalles

Access statistics for papers by Joao Tovar Jalles.

Last updated 2025-01-28. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pja203

Working Papers

2025

1. AUSTERITY AND BANKING: THE IMPACT OF FISCAL CONSOLIDATION ON BANK EFFICIENCY AND STABILITY
   Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
2. Promotion of Equitable Monetary and Fiscal Policies
   Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa

2024

3. Beyond the Centre: Tracing Decentralization’s Influence on Time-varying Fiscal Sustainability
   Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
   Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2024)
   See also Journal Article Beyond the centre: Tracing Decentralization's influence on time-varying fiscal sustainability, International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier (2024) (2024)
4. Energy Price Dynamics in the Face of Uncertainty Shocks and the Role of Exchange Rate Regimes: A Global Cross-Country Analysis
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2024)
5. Estimating Structural Budget Balances in Developing Asia
   ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank
6. Inflation Tales: The Heterogenous Price Effects from Current Account Dynamics
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
   Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2024)
7. Labor Market Reforms and Unemployment Fluctuations
   CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
8. Labour Market Counter-Reforms in OECD Countries: Conditional Impact on Output and Employment Growth
   CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
9. Public versus Private Investment Multipliers in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: Cross-Country Analysis with a Focus on Asia
   ADB Economics Working Paper Series, Asian Development Bank
10. Revisiting Public Investment Multipliers: Nonlinear Effects of the Business Cycle, Fiscal Space, Efficiency, and Capital Stock
    Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank

2023

11. 2022 Update of the External Balance Assessment Methodology
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (1)
12. Climate Change and Government Borrowing Costs: A Triple Whammy for Emerging Market Economies
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2023)
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2023)
13. Corruption Kills: Global Evidence from Natural Disasters
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
14. Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth, Review of Economics, De Gruyter (2024) View citations (1) (2024)
15. Government Spending and Tax Revenue Decentralization and Public Sector Efficiency: Do Natural Disasters Matter?
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2023)
16. How do governments respond to interest rates?
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers
17. Market Reforms and Public Debt Dynamics in Emerging Market and Developing Economies
    IMF Staff Discussion Notes, International Monetary Fund View citations (1)
18. Natural Disasters, Epidemics and Intergovernmental Relations: More or Less Decentralisation?
    International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU, International Center for Public Policy, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022)
    Working Papers. Collection A: Public economics, governance and decentralization, Universidade de Vigo, GEN - Governance and Economics research Network (2022)
19. Pandemics and economic turmoil in the shortrun: the role of fiscal space
    Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER
20. Public Spending and Inclusive Growth in Developing Asia
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development
21. Restructuring Reforms for Green Growth
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Restructuring reforms for green growth, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society (2024) (2024)
22. Revisiting the Countercyclicality of Fiscal Policy
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Revisiting the countercyclicality of fiscal policy, Empirical Economics, Springer (2024) (2024)
23. Structural Reforms and Income Distribution: New Evidence for OECD Countries
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2023) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Structural reforms and income distribution: new evidence for OECD countries, Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press (2024) View citations (3) (2024)
24. Tax Progressivity and Output: Evidence from OECD countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
25. The impact of endogenous product and labour market reforms on unemployment: New evidence based on local projections
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)

2022

26. A Tale of Government Spending Efficiency and Trust in the State
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    Also in CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2022)
    See also Journal Article A tale of government spending efficiency and trust in the state, Public Choice, Springer (2024) View citations (2) (2024)
27. Decentralisation and the environment: Survey-based and cross-country evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (3)
28. Economic Growth After Debt Surges
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022) View citations (1)
29. Fiscal Policy for Inclusive Growth in Asia
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development View citations (1)
30. For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Inequality
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
31. Minimum Wage and Collective Bargaining Reforms: A Narrative Database for Advance Economies
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022)
32. Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development
    See also Journal Article Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia, Asian Development Review (ADR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. (2023) (2023)
33. The Trade Effects of Pandemics
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
34. To Consolidate or Not to Consolidate? A Multi-Step Analysis to Assess Needed Fiscal Sustainability
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo View citations (4)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2022) View citations (5)
    Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER (2022) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article To consolidate or not to consolidate? A multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability, International Economics, Elsevier (2022) View citations (5) (2022)
35. Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (14)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2018) View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2022) View citations (14) (2022)
36. Volatility and the Current Account: Extending the Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
37. Why Do Governments Cut Their Deficits? Lessons for High-Debt Countries in a Post-Pandemic World
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development

2021

38. (Non-) Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a large sample
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (3)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2021) View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article The (non-)Keynesian effects of fiscal austerity: New evidence from a large sample, Economic Systems, Elsevier (2022) View citations (10) (2022)
39. Can COVID-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries?
    Working Papers, Center for Global Development
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Can COVID-19 induce governments to implement tax reforms in developing countries?, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2022) View citations (2) (2022)
40. Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency?
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
    Also in Working Papers, International Network for Economic Research - INFER (2021)
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021)
    See also Journal Article Do financial markets reward government spending efficiency?, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier (2022) View citations (18) (2022)
41. Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel, Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan (2023) View citations (3) (2023)
42. Globalization, Freedoms and Economic Convergence: An empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article Globalization, Freedoms and Economic convergence: an empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel, International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer (2021) (2021)
43. International Transmission of Interest Rates: The Role of International Reserves and Sovereign Debt
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2021)
44. Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund
    See also Journal Article Labor and product market reforms and external Imbalances: Evidence from advanced economies, Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier (2022) View citations (2) (2022)

2020

45. An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults, Open Economies Review, Springer (2022) View citations (5) (2022)
46. Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (23)
    See also Journal Article Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings, Review of Development Finance Journal, Chartered Institute of Development Finance (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
47. Financial Crises and Climate Change
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article Financial Crises and Climate Change, Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan (2024) View citations (1) (2024)
48. Government Spending Efficiency, Measurement and Applications: a CrossCountry Efficiency Dataset
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (5)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2020) View citations (2)
    See also Chapter Government spending efficiency, measurement and applications: A cross-country efficiency dataset, Chapters, Edward Elgar Publishing (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
49. Heterogenous Gains from Countercyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level Data
    GRU Working Paper Series, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit
    Also in Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute (2020) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Heterogeneous gains from countercyclical fiscal policy: new evidence from international industry-level data*, Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press (2022) View citations (2) (2022)
50. On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article On the performance of US fiscal forecasts: government vs. private information, Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited (2020) (2020)
51. On the Political Economy Determinants of Tax Reforms: Evidence from Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (3)
    Also in Policy Papers, Center for Global Development (2020)
52. Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (5)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2020) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency, Open Economies Review, Springer (2021) View citations (12) (2021)
53. Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article Tax evasion from cross-border fraud: does digitalization make a difference?, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
54. Tax Revenue Reforms and Income Distribution in Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    Also in Policy Papers, Center for Global Development (2020)
55. Terror and its Fiscal Consequences
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
56. This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (24)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2020) View citations (23)

2019

57. Crises and Emissions: New Empirical Evidence from a Large Sample
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Crises and emissions: New empirical evidence from a large sample, Energy Policy, Elsevier (2019) View citations (7) (2019)
58. Cross-country Evidence on the Determinants of Inclusive Growth Episodes
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Cross‐country evidence on the determinants of inclusive growth episodes, Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell (2019) View citations (4) (2019)
59. Explaining Africa’s Public Consumption Procyclicality: Revisiting Old Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Explaining Africa's public consumption procyclicality: Revisiting old evidence, International Finance, Wiley Blackwell (2020) View citations (2) (2020)
60. Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates: Does Politics Matter?
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    Also in IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund (2016) View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Fiscal discipline and exchange rates: Does politics matter?, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society (2021) View citations (4) (2021)
61. Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
    Also in Post-Print, HAL (2019) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU, Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer (2020) View citations (2) (2020)
62. Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: the Portuguese Escudo, 1911-1999
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: The Portuguese Escudo, 1911–1999, International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals (2019) (2019)
63. On the Cyclicality of Social Expenditure: New Time-Varying evidence from Developing Economies
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
64. Polluting Emissions and GDP: Decoupling Evidence from Brazilian States
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
65. Sovereign Indebtedness and Financial and Fiscal Conditions
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2020) (2020)
66. Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers’ Characteristics
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers' Characteristics, Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon (2019) (2019)
67. Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article Stock flow adjustments in sovereign debt dynamics: The role of fiscal frameworks, International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier (2020) View citations (9) (2020)
68. Stock flow adjustments in sovereign debt dynamics: the role of fiscal frameworks
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
69. Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison
    EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich View citations (9)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2019) View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison, Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan (2021) View citations (24) (2021)
70. The Effects of Macroeconomic, Fiscal and Monetary Policy Announcements on Sovereign Bond Spreads: An Event Study from the EMU
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (5)
    Also in EconPol Working Paper, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2019) View citations (5)
71. Wagner and the Fading Voracity Effect: Short vs. Long-Run Effects in Developing Countries
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article Wagner and the fading voracity effect: short vs. long-run effects in developing countries, Review of Development Finance Journal, Chartered Institute of Development Finance (2019) (2019)

2018

72. A Narrative Database of Major Labor and Product Market Reforms in Advanced Economies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (38)
73. Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union
    Post-Print, HAL View citations (1)
    Also in Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa (2017)
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa (2017) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union, The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell (2019) View citations (24) (2019)
74. DECOMPOSING AND ANALYSING THE DETERMINANTS OF CURRENT ACCOUNTS’ CYCLICALITY: EVIDENCE FROM THE EURO AREA
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts’ Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area, Open Economies Review, Springer (2019) View citations (3) (2019)
75. Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (9)
    See also Journal Article Decoupling of emissions and GDP: Evidence from aggregate and provincial Chinese data, Energy Economics, Elsevier (2019) View citations (23) (2019)
76. How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (30)
    See also Journal Article How well do economists forecast recessions?, International Finance, Wiley Blackwell (2018) View citations (32) (2018)
77. The Global Crisis and Intergovernmental Relations: Revisiting the Centralisation-Decentralisation Debate Ten Years On
    International Center for Public Policy Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU, International Center for Public Policy, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University View citations (2)
    Also in Working Papers. Collection A: Public economics, governance and decentralization, Universidade de Vigo, GEN - Governance and Economics research Network (2018) View citations (2)
78. The Long-Run Decoupling of Emissions and Output: Evidence from the Largest Emitters
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (43)
    See also Journal Article The long-run decoupling of emissions and output: Evidence from the largest emitters, Energy Policy, Elsevier (2018) View citations (45) (2018)

2017

79. Do Fiscal Rules Lower Government Financing Costs?
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
80. Emissions and Growth: Trends and Cycles in a Globalized World
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (8)
81. Fiscal Activism and Price Volatility: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
82. Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: A Battle of Statistical (In-) Significance
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa
83. Fiscal Stabilization and Growth: Evidence from Industry-level Data for Advanced and Developing Economies
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (5)
    Also in Working papers, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute (2017) View citations (4)
84. Governments and Promised Fiscal Consolidations: Do They Mean What They Say?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (17)
85. How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article How Buoyant Is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel, Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2018) View citations (13) (2018)
86. Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (19)
    See also Journal Article Job protection deregulation in good and bad times, Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press (2020) View citations (23) (2020)
87. Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence
    Working Papers REM, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Quantitative easing and sovereign yield spreads: Euro-area time-varying evidence, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier (2019) View citations (37) (2019)
88. Sovereign Debt Effects and Composition: Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (5)

2016

89. Beyond the austerity dispute: new priorities for fiscal policy
    Workshop and Conferences, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area View citations (8)
90. Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa
    See also Journal Article Budgetary decomposition and yield spreads, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) (2016)
91. China Spillovers: New Evidence From Time-Varying Estimates
    IMF Spillover Notes, International Monetary Fund View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article China Spillovers: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates, Open Economies Review, Springer (2017) View citations (16) (2017)
92. Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields’ Determinants: a Time-Varying Approach
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Economic volatility and sovereign yields’ determinants: a time-varying approach, Empirical Economics, Springer (2020) View citations (15) (2020)
93. Shifting the Beveridge Curve: What Affects Labor Market Matching?
    IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Shifting the Beveridge curve: What affects labour market matching?, International Labour Review, International Labour Organization (2018) View citations (9) (2018)
94. The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article The Fiscal consequences of deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier (2019) View citations (12) (2019)

2015

95. Euro Area Time Varying Fiscal Sustainability
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article Euro area time‐varying fiscal sustainability, International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2017) View citations (16) (2017)
96. Fiscal Episodes, Technological Progress and Market Power
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa
97. Fiscal Sustainability: A Panel Assessment for Advanced Economies
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (21)
    See also Journal Article Fiscal sustainability: a panel assessment for advanced economies, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2015) View citations (21) (2015)
98. Markups’ Cyclical Behavior: The role of Demand and Supply Shocks
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Markups' cyclical behaviour: the role of demand and supply shocks, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) (2016)
99. The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments
    Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments, International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals (2017) View citations (2) (2017)

2014

100. Causalilty for the government budget and economic growth
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (15)
     See also Journal Article Causality for the government budget and economic growth, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2014) View citations (15) (2014)
101. Dividing the Pie in Brazil: Income Distribution, Social Policies and the New Middle Class
     OECD Economics Department Working Papers, OECD Publishing View citations (8)
102. Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts
     IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (10)
     See also Journal Article Do forecasters believe in Okun’s Law? An assessment of unemployment and output forecasts, International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier (2015) View citations (34) (2015)

2013

103. Fiscal composition and long-term growth
     Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (16)
     See also Journal Article Fiscal composition and long-term growth, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2014) View citations (52) (2014)
104. Globalization, Democracy and Development
     NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)
105. Like Father like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults In Reduced Credit to the Private Sector
     CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations (3)
     See also Journal Article Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing (2016) View citations (5) (2016)

2012

106. Do fiscal rules matter for growth?
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (7)
     See also Journal Article Do fiscal rules matter for growth?, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2013) View citations (24) (2013)
107. Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (27)
     See also Journal Article Fiscal volatility, financial crises and growth, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2012) View citations (28) (2012)
108. Revisiting fiscal sustainability: panel cointegration and structural breaks in OECD countries
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (28)
     Also in Working Paper Series, European Central Bank (2012) View citations (28)
109. The Fiscal-Growth Nexus
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa
110. The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
     See also Journal Article The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2013) View citations (17) (2013)

2011

111. A Longer-run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (8)
     See also Journal Article A longer-run perspective on fiscal sustainability, Empirica, Springer (2014) View citations (31) (2014)
112. Assessing fiscal episodes
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (3)
     See also Journal Article Assessing fiscal episodes, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2014) View citations (25) (2014)
113. Economic performance and government size
     Working Paper Series, European Central Bank View citations (47)
114. Growth and Productivity: the role of Government Debt
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (18)
     See also Journal Article Growth and productivity: The role of government debt, International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier (2013) View citations (134) (2013)
115. Linking Investment and Fiscal Policies
     Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa View citations (2)
116. Rational vs. Professional Forecasts
     Working Papers, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department

2009

117. Structural time series models and the Kalman filter: a concise review
     Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics View citations (9)

2008

118. Baumol revisitado: que futuro para o peso do sector da sa de em portugal?
     Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics

2007

119. EU competition policy: some real case applications
     Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics
120. Empirical applications of neoclassical growth models the "FIT" of the Solow augmented growth model
     Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics
121. Endogenous growth models: Jones vs Romer the path to a fully-fledged dynamic analysis
     Nova SBE Working Paper Series, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics

Journal Articles

2025

1. Public Spending and Inclusive Growth in Developing Asiaâ€
   Public Finance Review, 2025, 53, (2), 139-168
2. The impact of increasing labour market rigidity on employment growth in OECD countries
   Economic Analysis and Policy, 2025, 85, (C), 2265-2275

2024

3. A tale of government spending efficiency and trust in the state
   Public Choice, 2024, 200, (1), 89-118 View citations (2)
   See also Working Paper A Tale of Government Spending Efficiency and Trust in the State, Working Papers REM (2022) (2022)
4. Beyond the centre: Tracing Decentralization's influence on time-varying fiscal sustainability
   International Review of Economics & Finance, 2024, 96, (PA)
   See also Working Paper Beyond the Centre: Tracing Decentralization’s Influence on Time-varying Fiscal Sustainability, Working Papers REM (2024) (2024)
5. Decentralization and attitudes towards the environment: Survey-based evidence
   Energy Economics, 2024, 139, (C)
6. Decentralization and the environment: cross-country evidence
   Applied Economics, 2024, 56, (57), 7960-7970 View citations (1)
7. Effectiveness of Fiscal Announcements: Early Evidence from COVID-19
   Open Economies Review, 2024, 35, (3), 623-658
8. Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth
   Review of Economics, 2024, 75, (2), 109-138 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth, IMF Working Papers (2023) View citations (12) (2023)
9. Financial Crises and Climate Change
   Comparative Economic Studies, 2024, 66, (1), 166-190 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Financial Crises and Climate Change, Working Papers REM (2020) (2020)
10. Politics in Reforming Taxes: Evidence from Developing Countries
    FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, 2024, 80, (3), 303-331
11. Restructuring reforms for green growth
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2024, 71, (4), 515-541
    See also Working Paper Restructuring Reforms for Green Growth, IMF Working Papers (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
12. Revisiting the countercyclicality of fiscal policy
    Empirical Economics, 2024, 67, (3), 877-914
    See also Working Paper Revisiting the Countercyclicality of Fiscal Policy, IMF Working Papers (2023) View citations (1) (2023)
13. Structural reforms and income distribution: new evidence for OECD countries
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2024, 76, (4), 1071-1088 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Structural Reforms and Income Distribution: New Evidence for OECD Countries, CESifo Working Paper Series (2023) View citations (2) (2023)
14. Tax progressivity and income inequality in the US
    Economics Letters, 2024, 238, (C) View citations (2)
15. Tax progressivity and output in the US
    Economics Letters, 2024, 235, (C) View citations (3)
16. The economic aftermath of surges in public and private debt: Initial conditions and channels
    Economic Systems, 2024, 48, (3)
17. Total factor productivity and structural reforms: Evidence from advanced economies sector‐level data
    Manchester School, 2024, 92, (2), 122-147

2023

18. Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2023, 65, (1), 96-136 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel, Working Papers REM (2021) (2021)
19. Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings
    Review of Development Finance Journal, 2023, 13, (2), 21-34 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Feeling the Heat: Climate Shocks and Credit Ratings, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (23) (2020)
20. For whom the bell tolls: Climate change and income inequality
    Energy Policy, 2023, 174, (C) View citations (24)
21. Governments' accounts and pandemics
    Journal of Economics and Development, 2023, 25, (3), 244-265
22. Macroeconomic volatility and the current account: Extending the evidence
    Economic Modelling, 2023, 125, (C) View citations (1)
23. Minimum wage and collective bargaining shocks: a narrative database for advanced economies
    IZA Journal of Labor Policy, 2023, 13, (1), 18 View citations (1)
24. Pandemics and Trade in the 21st Century: Evidence from five Pre-Covid Pandemics
    Open Economies Review, 2023, 34, (4), 895-918
25. Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia
    Asian Development Review (ADR), 2023, 40, (02), 271-303
    See also Working Paper Priorities for Strengthening Key Revenue Sources in Asia, Working Papers (2022) (2022)
26. Tax evasion from cross-border fraud: does digitalization make a difference?
    Applied Economics Letters, 2023, 30, (10), 1400-1406 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Tax Evasion from Cross-Border Fraud: Does Digitalization Make a Difference?, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (4) (2020)

2022

27. An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults
    Open Economies Review, 2022, 33, (1), 89-108 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults, IMF Working Papers (2020) View citations (3) (2020)
28. Can COVID-19 induce governments to implement tax reforms in developing countries?
    Applied Economics, 2022, 54, (20), 2288-2301 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Can COVID-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries?, Working Papers (2021) (2021)
29. Do credit rating agencies reward fiscal prudence?
    International Finance, 2022, 25, (1), 2-22
30. Do financial markets reward government spending efficiency?
    Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2022, 77, (C) View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency?, EconPol Working Paper (2021) (2021)
31. Do tax reforms affect income distribution? Evidence from developing countries
    Economic Modelling, 2022, 110, (C) View citations (11)
32. Heterogeneous gains from countercyclical fiscal policy: new evidence from international industry-level data*
    (Optimal investment with costly reversibility)
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2022, 74, (3), 773-804 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Heterogenous Gains from Countercyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level Data, GRU Working Paper Series (2020) (2020)
33. Labor and product market reforms and external Imbalances: Evidence from advanced economies
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022, 121, (C) View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies, IMF Working Papers (2021) (2021)
34. Private and public consumption: substitutes or complements?
    (Temporary and permanent government spending in an open economy)
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2022, 74, (3), 805-819 View citations (4)
35. Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa and its Determinants
    International Tax and Public Finance, 2022, 29, (4), 890-921 View citations (6)
36. The (non-)Keynesian effects of fiscal austerity: New evidence from a large sample
    Economic Systems, 2022, 46, (2) View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (Non-) Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Austerity: New Evidence from a large sample, Working Papers REM (2021) View citations (3) (2021)
37. This changes everything: Climate shocks and sovereign bonds⁎
    Energy Economics, 2022, 107, (C) View citations (15)
38. To consolidate or not to consolidate? A multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability
    International Economics, 2022, 172, (C), 106-123 View citations (5)
    Also in International Economics, 2022, (172), 106-123 (2022) View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper To Consolidate or Not to Consolidate? A Multi-Step Analysis to Assess Needed Fiscal Sustainability, CESifo Working Paper Series (2022) View citations (4) (2022)
39. Trends and cycles in CO2 emissions and incomes: Cross-country evidence on decoupling
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 2022, 71, (C) View citations (5)
40. Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 2022, 121, (C) View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?, Post-Print (2022) View citations (14) (2022)

2021

41. Dynamics of government spending cyclicality
    Economic Modelling, 2021, 97, (C), 411-427 View citations (11)
42. Economic and Financial Adjustments in Europe: An Introduction
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (3), 337-338
43. Fiscal Reaction Functions in the EU: A Tale of “r-g” and Whether it Matters
    Revue française d'économie, 2021, XXXVI, (3), 65-101 View citations (6)
44. Fiscal discipline and exchange rates: Does politics matter?
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2021, 68, (2), 155-178 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates: Does Politics Matter?, Working Papers REM (2019) View citations (1) (2019)
45. Globalization, Freedoms and Economic convergence: an empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel
    International Economics and Economic Policy, 2021, 18, (3), 605-629
    See also Working Paper Globalization, Freedoms and Economic Convergence: An empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel, Working Papers REM (2021) (2021)
46. Promised Fiscal Expansions and Politics: A European Union Assessment
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (1), 84-116 View citations (3)
47. Recessions and total factor productivity: Evidence from sectoral data
    Economic Modelling, 2021, 94, (C), 130-138 View citations (22)
48. Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency
    Open Economies Review, 2021, 32, (5), 1017-1061 View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Structural Tax Reforms and Public Spending Efficiency, EconPol Working Paper (2020) View citations (5) (2020)
49. Tax capacity and growth in the Asia-Pacific region
    Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 2021, 26, (3), 527-551 View citations (2)
50. Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2021, 63, (3), 356-383 View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper Taxation and Public Spending Efficiency: An International Comparison, EconPol Working Paper (2019) View citations (9) (2019)

2020

51. A NOTE ON INFLATION DYNAMICS, PRICE VOLATILITY, AND FISCAL ACTIVISM
    Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2020, 24, (5), 1299-1313 View citations (10)
52. A New Look into Fiscal Countercyclicality: Expectations, Shocks, and the Business Cycle
    FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, 2020, 76, (3), 240-265 View citations (1)
53. Economic volatility and sovereign yields’ determinants: a time-varying approach
    Empirical Economics, 2020, 58, (2), 427-451 View citations (15)
    See also Working Paper Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields’ Determinants: a Time-Varying Approach, Working Papers Department of Economics (2016) View citations (10) (2016)
54. Emissions and economic development in commodity exporting countries
    Energy Economics, 2020, 85, (C) View citations (4)
55. European commission’s fiscal forecasts in CEE countries: a thorough assessment
    Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 2020, 23, (2), 161-183 View citations (1)
56. Explaining Africa's public consumption procyclicality: Revisiting old evidence
    International Finance, 2020, 23, (2), 297-323 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Explaining Africa’s Public Consumption Procyclicality: Revisiting Old Evidence, Working Papers REM (2019) View citations (1) (2019)
57. Job protection deregulation in good and bad times
    Oxford Economic Papers, 2020, 72, (2), 370-390 View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times, IMF Working Papers (2017) View citations (19) (2017)
58. Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU
    Portuguese Economic Journal, 2020, 19, (2), 155-170 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU, Working Papers REM (2019) View citations (2) (2019)
59. On the Determinants of the Okun’s Law: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Comparative Economic Studies, 2020, 62, (4), 661-700 View citations (4)
60. On the performance of US fiscal forecasts: government vs. private information
    Journal of Economic Studies, 2020, 48, (2), 367-391
    See also Working Paper On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information, Working Papers REM (2020) (2020)
61. Social expenditure cyclicality: New time-varying evidence in developing economies
    Economic Systems, 2020, 44, (3) View citations (1)
62. Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions
    Applied Economics Letters, 2020, 27, (19), 1611-1616
    See also Working Paper Sovereign Indebtedness and Financial and Fiscal Conditions, Working Papers REM (2019) (2019)
63. Stock flow adjustments in sovereign debt dynamics: The role of fiscal frameworks
    International Review of Economics & Finance, 2020, 65, (C), 1-16 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The Role of Fiscal Frameworks, Working Papers REM (2019) (2019)
64. The effects of macroeconomic, fiscal and monetary policy announcements on sovereign bond spreads
    International Review of Law and Economics, 2020, 63, (C) View citations (20)
65. The global crisis and intergovernmental relations: centralization versus decentralization 10 years on
    Regional Studies, 2020, 54, (7), 942-957 View citations (5)
66. The impact of financial crises on the environment in developing countries
    Annals of Finance, 2020, 16, (2), 281-306 View citations (3)
67. The volatility impact of social expenditure’s cyclicality in advanced economies
    Economic Analysis and Policy, 2020, 66, (C), 26-40

2019

68. An Assessment of the IMF’s Unemployment Forecasts
    Manchester School, 2019, 87, (4), 489-509 View citations (2)
69. Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union
    The World Economy, 2019, 42, (2), 320-348 View citations (24)
    See also Working Paper Assessing the sustainability of external imbalances in the European Union, Post-Print (2018) View citations (1) (2018)
70. Crises and emissions: New empirical evidence from a large sample
    Energy Policy, 2019, 129, (C), 880-895 View citations (7)
    See also Working Paper Crises and Emissions: New Empirical Evidence from a Large Sample, Working Papers REM (2019) View citations (7) (2019)
71. Cross‐country evidence on the determinants of inclusive growth episodes
    Review of Development Economics, 2019, 23, (4), 1818-1839 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Cross-country Evidence on the Determinants of Inclusive Growth Episodes, Working Papers REM (2019) View citations (7) (2019)
72. Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts’ Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area
    Open Economies Review, 2019, 30, (1), 133-156 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper DECOMPOSING AND ANALYSING THE DETERMINANTS OF CURRENT ACCOUNTS’ CYCLICALITY: EVIDENCE FROM THE EURO AREA, Working Papers REM (2018) View citations (3) (2018)
73. Decoupling of emissions and GDP: Evidence from aggregate and provincial Chinese data
    Energy Economics, 2019, 77, (C), 105-118 View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper Decoupling of Emissions and GDP: Evidence from Aggregate and Provincial Chinese Data, IMF Working Papers (2018) View citations (9) (2018)
74. Do IMF forecasts respect Okun’s law? Evidence for advanced and developing economies
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2019, 35, (3), 1131-1142 View citations (9)
75. Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: In Quest of Statistical (In)significance
    FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, 2019, 75, (3), 207-228 View citations (4)
76. Fiscal Rules and Government Financing Costs
    Fiscal Studies, 2019, 40, (1), 71-90 View citations (20)
77. Fiscal counter-cyclicality and productive investment: evidence from advanced economies
    The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 2019, 19, (1), 15 View citations (6)
78. How Do Macroeconomic Fundamentals Affect Sovereign Bond Yields? New Evidence from European Forecasts
    CESifo Economic Studies, 2019, 65, (1), 44-67 View citations (4)
79. Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: The Portuguese Escudo, 1911–1999
    International Economic Journal, 2019, 33, (4), 719-740
    See also Working Paper Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: the Portuguese Escudo, 1911-1999, Working Papers REM (2019) (2019)
80. On the Time‐Varying Relationship between Unemployment and Output: What shapes it?
    Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2019, 66, (5), 605-630 View citations (8)
81. Quantitative easing and sovereign yield spreads: Euro-area time-varying evidence
    Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 2019, 58, (C), 208-224 View citations (37)
    See also Working Paper Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence, Working Papers REM (2017) View citations (1) (2017)
82. Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers' Characteristics
    Economics Bulletin, 2019, 39, (4), 2999-3010
    See also Working Paper Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers’ Characteristics, Working Papers REM (2019) (2019)
83. The Fiscal consequences of deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization
    The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2019, 74, (C), 129-147 View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization, Working Papers Department of Economics (2016) View citations (1) (2016)
84. Wagner and the fading voracity effect: short vs. long-run effects in developing countries
    Review of Development Finance Journal, 2019, 9, (1), 51-78
    See also Working Paper Wagner and the Fading Voracity Effect: Short vs. Long-Run Effects in Developing Countries, Working Papers REM (2019) (2019)
85. Wagner’s law and governments’ functions: granularity matters
    Journal of Economic Studies, 2019, 46, (2), 446-466 View citations (8)

2018

86. Determinants and Effects of Fiscal Counter-Cyclicality
    Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, 2018, 36, (85), 137-151 View citations (5)
    Also in Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, 2018, 36, (85), 137-151 (2018) View citations (5)
87. Do IMF fiscal forecasts add value?
    Journal of Forecasting, 2018, 37, (6), 650-665 View citations (12)
88. Fiscal rules and fiscal counter-cyclicality
    Economics Letters, 2018, 170, (C), 159-162 View citations (19)
89. How Buoyant Is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel
    Journal of International Development, 2018, 30, (6), 961-991 View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper How Buoyant is the Tax System? New Evidence from a Large Heterogeneous Panel, IMF Working Papers (2017) View citations (16) (2017)
90. How well do economists forecast recessions?
    International Finance, 2018, 21, (2), 100-121 View citations (32)
    See also Working Paper How Well Do Economists Forecast Recessions?, IMF Working Papers (2018) View citations (30) (2018)
91. Planned fiscal adjustments: Do governments fulfil their commitments?
    European Union Politics, 2018, 19, (3), 383-407 View citations (12)
92. Shifting the Beveridge curve: What affects labour market matching?
    International Labour Review, 2018, 157, (2), 267-306 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper Shifting the Beveridge Curve: What Affects Labor Market Matching?, IMF Working Papers (2016) View citations (12) (2016)
93. Single currency and fiscal performance: the early Euro Area in perspective
    Applied Economics Letters, 2018, 25, (6), 415-419 View citations (2)
94. The Impact of Fiscal Consolidation on Human Development
    Journal of International Development, 2018, 30, (3), 399-429 View citations (3)
95. The long-run decoupling of emissions and output: Evidence from the largest emitters
    Energy Policy, 2018, 118, (C), 58-68 View citations (45)
    See also Working Paper The Long-Run Decoupling of Emissions and Output: Evidence from the Largest Emitters, IMF Working Papers (2018) View citations (43) (2018)
96. What determines the share of non-resident public debt ownership? Evidence from Euro Area countries
    Annals of Finance, 2018, 14, (3), 379-414 View citations (5)

2017

97. China Spillovers: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates
    Open Economies Review, 2017, 28, (3), 413-429 View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper China Spillovers: New Evidence From Time-Varying Estimates, IMF Spillover Notes (2016) View citations (6) (2016)
98. Debt spikes, blind spots, and financial stress
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2017, 22, (4), 421-437 View citations (9)
99. Euro area time‐varying fiscal sustainability
    International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2017, 22, (3), 244-254 View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper Euro Area Time Varying Fiscal Sustainability, Working Papers Department of Economics (2015) View citations (2) (2015)
100. Fiscal Episodes and Market Power
     Open Economies Review, 2017, 28, (2), 233-250 View citations (8)
101. Forecasting performance of private sector’s unemployment forecasts in advanced economies
     International Review of Applied Economics, 2017, 31, (6), 707-733 View citations (1)
102. How do fiscal adjustments change the income distribution in emerging market economies?
     International Journal of Emerging Markets, 2017, 12, (2), 310-334 View citations (3)
103. Income inequality, fiscal stimuli and political (in)stability
     International Tax and Public Finance, 2017, 24, (3), 484-511 View citations (9)
104. MODEL-BASED VS. PROFESSIONAL FORECASTS: IMPLICATIONS FOR MODELS WITH NOMINAL RIGIDITIES
     Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2017, 21, (1), 130-159 View citations (1)
105. On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts: Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies
     Research in International Business and Finance, 2017, 40, (C), 175-189
106. Sovereign debt composition and time-varying public finance sustainability
     The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 2017, 42, (C), 144-155 View citations (10)
107. Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa: An Empirical Exploration
     African Development Review, 2017, 29, (1), 1-15 View citations (3)
108. The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments
     International Economic Journal, 2017, 31, (1), 36-50 View citations (2)
     See also Working Paper The Price Relevance of Fiscal Developments, Working Papers Department of Economics (2015) View citations (1) (2015)
109. Understanding the relationship between the economy and crime: Canadian provinces, 1981-2009
     International Journal of Social Economics, 2017, 44, (9), 1268-1288 View citations (1)

2016

110. A new theory of innovation and growth: the role of banking intermediation and corruption
     Studies in Economics and Finance, 2016, 33, (4), 488-500 View citations (1)
111. Budgetary decomposition and yield spreads
     Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (15), 1093-1098
     See also Working Paper Budgetary Decomposition and Yield Spreads, Working Papers Department of Economics (2016) (2016)
112. Economic performance, government size, and institutional quality
     Empirica, 2016, 43, (1), 83-109 View citations (15)
113. Financial stress and sovereign debt composition
     Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (9), 678-683 View citations (1)
114. Like Father Like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults in Reduced Credit to the Private Sector
     Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2016, 48, (7), 1515-1545 View citations (5)
     See also Working Paper Like Father like Sons? The Cost of Sovereign Defaults In Reduced Credit to the Private Sector, CEPR Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (3) (2013)
115. Markups' cyclical behaviour: the role of demand and supply shocks
     Applied Economics Letters, 2016, 23, (1), 1-5
     See also Working Paper Markups’ Cyclical Behavior: The role of Demand and Supply Shocks, Working Papers Department of Economics (2015) View citations (1) (2015)
116. The elusive character of fiscal sustainability
     Applied Economics, 2016, 48, (28), 2651-2664 View citations (31)

2015

117. Cross-country evidence on the quality of private sector fiscal forecasts
     Journal of Macroeconomics, 2015, 45, (C), 186-201 View citations (12)
118. Do debt crises boost financial reforms?
     Applied Economics Letters, 2015, 22, (5), 356-360 View citations (5)
119. Do forecasters believe in Okun’s Law? An assessment of unemployment and output forecasts
     International Journal of Forecasting, 2015, 31, (1), 176-184 View citations (34)
     See also Working Paper Do Forecasters Believe in Okun’s Law? An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts, IMF Working Papers (2014) View citations (10) (2014)
120. Fiscal consolidation and financial reforms
     Applied Economics, 2015, 47, (34-35), 3740-3755 View citations (6)
121. Fiscal sustainability: a panel assessment for advanced economies
     Applied Economics Letters, 2015, 22, (11), 925-929 View citations (21)
     See also Working Paper Fiscal Sustainability: A Panel Assessment for Advanced Economies, Working Papers Department of Economics (2015) View citations (21) (2015)
122. How Does Fiscal Policy Affect Investment? Evidence from a Large Panel
     International Journal of Finance & Economics, 2015, 20, (4), 310-327 View citations (17)
123. How Quickly is News Incorporated in Fiscal Forecasts?
     Economics Bulletin, 2015, 35, (4), 2802-2812 View citations (1)
124. Is There A Stable Long-run Relationship Between Unemployment And Productivity? / Czy Istnieje Stabilny Długookresowy Związek Między Bezrobociem A Produktywnością?
     Comparative Economic Research, 2015, 18, (2), 57-75
125. Panel Causality and Cointegration between Productivity and Unemployment
     Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2015, 61, (2), 141-153 View citations (1)
126. The social and economic determinants of suicide in Canadian provinces
     Health Economics Review, 2015, 5, (1), 1-12 View citations (3)
127. Trade, scale or social capital? Technological progress in poor and rich countries
     The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2015, 24, (6), 767-808 View citations (3)
128. What determines the likelihood of structural reforms?
     European Journal of Political Economy, 2015, 37, (C), 129-145 View citations (42)

2014

129. A longer-run perspective on fiscal sustainability
     Empirica, 2014, 41, (4), 821-847 View citations (31)
     See also Working Paper A Longer-run Perspective on Fiscal Sustainability, Working Papers Department of Economics (2011) View citations (8) (2011)
130. Assessing fiscal episodes
     Economic Modelling, 2014, 37, (C), 255-270 View citations (25)
     See also Working Paper Assessing fiscal episodes, Working Papers Department of Economics (2011) View citations (3) (2011)
131. Causality for the government budget and economic growth
     Applied Economics Letters, 2014, 21, (17), 1198-1201 View citations (15)
     See also Working Paper Causalilty for the government budget and economic growth, Working Papers Department of Economics (2014) View citations (15) (2014)
132. Fiscal adjustments, labour market flexibility and unemployment
     Economics Letters, 2014, 124, (2), 231-235 View citations (17)
133. Fiscal composition and long-term growth
     Applied Economics, 2014, 46, (3), 349-358 View citations (52)
     See also Working Paper Fiscal composition and long-term growth, Working Paper Series (2013) View citations (16) (2013)
134. Respiratory tuberculosis and standards of living in postwar Europe
     European Review of Economic History, 2014, 18, (1), 57-81

2013

135. Do fiscal rules matter for growth?
     Applied Economics Letters, 2013, 20, (1), 34-40 View citations (24)
     See also Working Paper Do fiscal rules matter for growth?, Working Papers Department of Economics (2012) View citations (7) (2012)
136. Growth and productivity: The role of government debt
     International Review of Economics & Finance, 2013, 25, (C), 384-407 View citations (134)
     See also Working Paper Growth and Productivity: the role of Government Debt, Working Papers Department of Economics (2011) View citations (18) (2011)
137. Macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks in Brazil and in the United States
     Applied Energy, 2013, 104, (C), 475-486 View citations (55)
138. The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending
     Applied Economics Letters, 2013, 20, (7), 669-672 View citations (17)
     See also Working Paper The cyclicality of education, health, and social security government spending, Working Papers Department of Economics (2012) View citations (2) (2012)

2012

139. Fiscal volatility, financial crises and growth
     Applied Economics Letters, 2012, 19, (18), 1821-1826 View citations (28)
     See also Working Paper Fiscal Volatility, Financial Crises and Growth, Working Papers Department of Economics (2012) View citations (27) (2012)
140. Measuring the success of fiscal consolidations
     Applied Financial Economics, 2012, 22, (13), 1053-1061 View citations (25)
141. Openness, Regional Trade Agreements and Growth: Evidence from Asia*
     Asian Economic Journal, 2012, 26, (1), 63-85 View citations (8)
142. Structural change and foreign direct investment: globalization and regional economic integration
     Portuguese Economic Journal, 2012, 11, (1), 35-82 View citations (3)

2011

143. Appraising fiscal reaction functions
     Economics Bulletin, 2011, 31, (4), 3320-3330 View citations (21)
144. THE IMPACT OF DEMOCRACY AND CORRUPTION ON THE DEBT-GROWTH RELATIONSHIP IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
     Journal of Economic Development, 2011, 36, (4), 41-72 View citations (37)

2010

145. Does democracy foster or hinder growth? Extreme-type political regimes in a large panel
     Economics Bulletin, 2010, 30, (2), 1359-1372 View citations (3)
146. How to measure innovation? New evidence of the technology-growth linkage
     Research in Economics, 2010, 64, (2), 81-96 View citations (18)
147. Inter‐country trade dependence and inflation transmission mechanisms
     International Journal of Development Issues, 2010, 9, (3), 198-213 View citations (1)

2009

148. Do Oil Prices Matter? The Case of a Small Open Economy
     Annals of Economics and Finance, 2009, 10, (1), 65-87 View citations (6)

Books

2013

1. States, Banks, and the Financing of the Economy: Fiscal Policy and Sovereign Risk Perspectives
   SUERF Studies, SUERF - The European Money and Finance Forum View citations (1)

Edited books

2023

1. Handbook on Public Sector Efficiency
   Books, Edward Elgar Publishing View citations (6)

Chapters

2024

1. Fiscal policy and income redistribution in the turbulent era
   Chapter 10 in Fiscal Policy in a Turbulent Era, 2024, pp 155-167

2023

2. Government spending efficiency, measurement and applications: A cross-country efficiency dataset
   Chapter 3 in Handbook on Public Sector Efficiency, 2023, pp 44-71 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper Government Spending Efficiency, Measurement and Applications: a CrossCountry Efficiency Dataset, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich (2020) View citations (5) (2020)