Details about Mthuli Ncube

Access statistics for papers by Mthuli Ncube.

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Short-id: pnc2

Working Papers

2019

1. Working Paper 320 - Hands Off Oil Revenues? Public Investment and Cash Transfers
   Working Paper Series, African Development Bank
2. Working Paper 322- Managing Natural Resource Revenue in Ghana
   Working Paper Series, African Development Bank

2016

3. Eliminating Extreme Poverty in Africa: Trends, Policies and the Role of International Organizations
   SALDRU Working Papers, Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit, University of Cape Town

2015

4. Can Intra-Regional Trade Act as a Global Shock Absorber in Africa?
   SALDRU Working Papers, Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit, University of Cape Town View citations (2)
   Also in William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan (2014) View citations (4)
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2015) View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article Can Intra-Regional Trade Act as a Global Shock Absorber in Africa?, World Economics, World Economics, 1 Ivory Square, Plantation Wharf, London, United Kingdom, SW11 3UE (2015) View citations (2) (2015)
5. Capital Account Policies, IMF Programs and Growth in Developing Regions
   IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
   Also in William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan (2014)
6. Entrepreneurship and the Business Environment in Africa: An Application to Ethiopia
   SALDRU Working Papers, Southern Africa Labour and Development Research Unit, University of Cape Town
   Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2013) View citations (1)
7. Macroeconomic Challenges of Structural Transformation: Public Investment, Growth and Debt Sustainability in Sierra Leone
   IMF Working Papers, International Monetary Fund View citations (3)
8. Policy-Makers, the International Community and People Living with HIV: The Need for New Commitment Mechanisms
   UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance, University of Stavanger
9. Public Debt Sustainability in Africa: Building Resilience and Challenges Ahead
   IZA Policy Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (9)
   Also in William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan (2013) View citations (4)
   See also Journal Article Public Debt Sustainability in Africa: Building Resilience and Challenges Ahead, Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute (2015) View citations (8) (2015)
10. The economy wide impact of HIV/AIDS and the funding dilemma in Africa: Evidence from a dynamic life cycle horizon
    EcoMod2015, EcoMod
11. Working Paper - 217 - Capital Account Policies, IMF Programs and Growth in Developing Regions
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank
12. Working Paper 223 - Eliminating Extreme Poverty in Africa: Trends, Policies and the Role of International Organizations
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank
13. Working Paper 227 - Public Debt Sustainability in Africa: Building Resilience and Challenges Ahead
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (8)

2014

14. CAN DREAMS COME TRUE? ELIMINATING EXTREME POVERTY IN AFRICA BY 2030
    William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan View citations (1)
    Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2014) View citations (1)
15. Economic Policy in South Africa: Past Present and Future
    Working Papers, University of Cape Town, Development Policy Research Unit View citations (8)
    Also in Working Papers, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management (2014) View citations (9)
16. Skills and Youth Entrepreneurship in Africa: Analysis with Evidence from Swaziland
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (24)
    Also in WIDER Working Paper Series, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER) (2014) View citations (1)
    William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan (2014) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Skills and Youth Entrepreneurship in Africa: Analysis with Evidence from Swaziland, World Development, Elsevier (2015) View citations (71) (2015)
17. The Real Exchange Rate and Growth in Zimbabwe: Does the Currency Regime Matter?
    William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan View citations (3)
    Also in IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2014) View citations (1)
18. Working Paper - 210 - The Real Exchange Rate and Growth in Zimbabwe Does the Currency Regime Matter
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (1)
19. Working Paper - 212 - Diversification and Sophistication of Livestock Products: the Case of African Countries
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (3)
20. Working Paper 195 - Inequality, Economic Growth, and Poverty in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (125)
21. Working Paper 197 - Estimating the Economic Cost of Fragility in Africa
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (5)
22. Working Paper 198 - Can Intra-Regional Trade Act as a Global Shock Absorber in Africa?
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (3)
23. Working Paper 204 - Skills and Youth Entrepreneurship in Africa: Analysis with Evidence from Swaziland
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (1)
24. Working Paper 205 - Volatility and Co-movement in Commodity Prices- New Evidence
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank

2013

25. Agricultural Sector Development and Structural Transformation: Sub-Saharan Africa versus East Asia
    Working Papers, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea
26. Quantitative easing, global economic crisis and market response
    UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance, University of Stavanger View citations (1)
27. The Making of Middle Class in Africa: Evidence from DHS Data
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) View citations (20)
    See also Journal Article The Making of the Middle-Class in Africa: Evidence from DHS Data, Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals (2015) View citations (36) (2015)
28. We develop a global vector autoregressive model (GVAR) to analyze the global growth spillover effects on Africa. The model contains 46 African countries and 30 developed and emerging market countries, covering 90 percent of the world economy. The results suggest that there is a significant growth spillover effect to African economies from both the Euro zone economies and BRICs. In terms of the magnitudes, a percentage decline in Euro zone growth rate could lead to 0.34 to 0.6 percentage point drop in African countries growth rates while an equivalent shock in BRICs growth could dent African growth rate to the tune of 0.09 to 0.23 percentage points. In both cases, the adverse effects on fragile and resource dependent economies are closer to the upper bound while the lower bounds apply for the more diversified African countries. The paper also looks at the spillover effects of the US, Euro, UK, and Japan (G4) quantitative easing (QE). The results indicate that the QE could have a mild inflationary effect in addition to putting pressure on exchange rates to appreciate
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (21)
29. Working Paper 169 - Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Shocks on South African Trade Balance
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (7)
30. Working Paper 172 - Political Economy of Service Delivery: Monitoring versus Contestation
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank
31. Working Paper 173 - Production and Conflict in Risky Elections
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank
32. Working Paper 188 - Remittances and their Macroeconomic Impact: Evidence from Africa
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (2)
33. Working Paper 189 - An Empirical Investigation of the Taylor Curve in South Africa
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (4)

2012

34. Production and Conflict in Risky Elections
    UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance, University of Stavanger View citations (1)
35. Working Paper 150 - South Africa’s Quest for Inclusive Development
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank
36. Working Paper 157 - How are the US Financial Shocks Transmitted into South Africa? Structural VAR Evidence
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (11)
    Also in Working Paper Series, African Development Bank (2012) View citations (11)
37. Working Paper 161 - The Impact of Euro Area Monetary and Bond Yield Shocks on the South African Economy: Structural Vector Autoregression Model Evidence
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (2)

2011

38. Working Paper 133 - Monetary Policy Transmission, House Prices and Consumer Spending in South Africa: An SVAR Approach
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (37)
39. Working Paper 134 - Inflation Targeting, Exchange Rate Shocks and Output: Evidence from South Africa
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (4)

2010

40. Working Paper 113 - Monetary Policy Conduct Based on Nonlinear Taylor Rule: Evidence from South Africa
    Working Paper Series, African Development Bank View citations (8)

2009

41. Agent Takeover Risk of Principal in Outsourcing Relationships
    UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance, University of Stavanger
    See also Journal Article Agent takeover risk of principal in outsourcing relationships, Global Business and Economics Review, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd (2010) View citations (5) (2010)

1997

42. Heterogeneous Information Arrival and Option Pricing
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
    See also Journal Article Heterogeneous information arrival and option pricing, Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier (1998) View citations (1) (1998)

1995

43. Modelling U.K. Mortgage Defaults Using a Hazard Approach Based on American Options
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations (5)

1991

44. The Black and Scholes Option Price as a Random Variable
    Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge

Journal Articles

2021

1. The Links between Business Environment, Economic Growth and Social Equity: A Study of African Countries
   Journal of African Business, 2021, 22, (1), 61-84 View citations (5)

2020

2. Game Theoretic Analysis of Insurgent Attacks, Government Protection, and International Intervention
   International Journal of Strategic Decision Sciences (IJSDS), 2020, 11, (1), 56-75 View citations (1)
3. Game theoretic analysis of persons, the pharmaceutical industry, and donors in disease contraction and recovery
   Palgrave Communications, 2020, 7, (1), 1-17
4. Strategic choices by the incumbent and challenger during revolution and civil war
   Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2020, 15, (1), 58-81

2019

5. EVIDENCE ON THE IMPACT OF THE TROUBLED ASSETS RELIEF PROGRAM ON STOCK RETURNS
   The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, 2019, 13, (1), 1-30 View citations (1)
6. EVIDENCE ON THE TROUBLED ASSETS RELIEF PROGRAM, BAILOUT SIZE, RETURNS AND TAIL RISK
   The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, 2019, 13, (2), 1-20 View citations (1)
7. Insurgent attacks, government protection, and international intervention
   International Journal of Development and Conflict, 2019, 9, (2), 142-175
8. The incumbent, challenger, and population during revolution and civil war
   Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2019, 14, (2), 32-41

2018

9. Service Delivery versus Moonlighting: Using Data from Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania and Senegal
   African Development Review, 2018, 30, (2), 219-232
10. Service delivery weaknesses within education and healthcare: Applying empirics from Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, and Senegal
    Review of Development Economics, 2018, 22, (1), 133-147 View citations (1)

2017

11. Can Extreme Poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa be Eliminated by 2030?
    Journal of African Development, 2017, 19, (2), 93-110 View citations (204)
12. Financing HIV/AIDS responses in Africa: Impact evidence from Uganda
    Journal of Policy Modeling, 2017, 39, (5), 843-860 View citations (3)
13. Incumbent policy, benefits provision, and the triggering and spread of revolutionary uprisings
    Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 2017, 12, (1), 54-63
14. Policy makers, the international community and the population in the prevention and treatment of diseases: case study on HIV/AIDS
    Health Economics Review, 2017, 7, (1), 1-12 View citations (1)

2016

15. Financing the HIV response in sub-Saharan Africa from domestic sources: Moving beyond a normative approach
    Social Science & Medicine, 2016, 169, (C), 66-76 View citations (5)
16. How Elections are Impacted by Production, Economic Growth and Conflict
    International Game Theory Review (IGTR), 2016, 18, (01), 1-29

2015

17. Can Intra-Regional Trade Act as a Global Shock Absorber in Africa?
    World Economics, 2015, 16, (3), 141-162 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Can Intra-Regional Trade Act as a Global Shock Absorber in Africa?, SALDRU Working Papers (2015) View citations (2) (2015)
18. Public Debt Sustainability in Africa: Building Resilience and Challenges Ahead
    Development Policy Review, 2015, 33, (5), 555-580 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper Public Debt Sustainability in Africa: Building Resilience and Challenges Ahead, IZA Policy Papers (2015) View citations (9) (2015)
19. Skills and Youth Entrepreneurship in Africa: Analysis with Evidence from Swaziland
    World Development, 2015, 67, (C), 11-26 View citations (71)
    See also Working Paper Skills and Youth Entrepreneurship in Africa: Analysis with Evidence from Swaziland, IZA Discussion Papers (2014) View citations (24) (2014)
20. The Making of the Middle-Class in Africa: Evidence from DHS Data
    Journal of Development Studies, 2015, 51, (2), 178-193 View citations (36)
    See also Working Paper The Making of Middle Class in Africa: Evidence from DHS Data, IZA Discussion Papers (2013) View citations (20) (2013)
21. The Real Exchange Rate and Growth in Emerging Markets: The Case of Zimbabwe
    Review of Development Economics, 2015, 19, (3), 564-576

2014

22. Determinants of Election Outcomes: New Evidence from Africa
    African Development Review, 2014, 26, (4), 610-630 View citations (2)
23. Diversification and Sophistication as drivers of structural transformation for Africa: The Economic Complexity Index of African Countries
    Journal of African Development, 2014, 16, (2), 1-31 View citations (1)
24. Diversification and sophistication of livestock products: The case of African countries
    Food Policy, 2014, 49, (P2), 398-407 View citations (3)
25. Inequality, Economic Growth and Poverty in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
    African Development Review, 2014, 26, (3), 435-453 View citations (142)
26. Political Economy of Service Delivery: Monitoring Versus Contestation
    The Developing Economies, 2014, 52, (1), 68-84 View citations (1)

2013

27. Infrastructure Deficit, Financing Needs and the Post-2015 MDG Framework in Africa
    IDS Bulletin, 2013, 44, (5-6), 72-80
28. Policy Perspectives: Africa in the Next 50 Years: The Road towards Inclusive Growth
    Journal of African Development, 2013, 15, (2), 139-154
29. Remittances and their Macroeconomic Impact
    World Economics, 2013, 14, (4), 1-20 View citations (5)

2012

30. Acquisition and collaboration as determinants of organisational structure
    International Journal of Integrated Supply Management, 2012, 7, (1/2/3), 3-37

2011

31. Competition and Efficiency in the Banking Sector in South Africa
    African Development Review, 2011, 23, (1), 4-15 View citations (36)

2010

32. Agent takeover risk of principal in outsourcing relationships
    Global Business and Economics Review, 2010, 12, (4), 329-340 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Agent Takeover Risk of Principal in Outsourcing Relationships, UiS Working Papers in Economics and Finance (2009) (2009)
33. Financing and Managing Infrastructure in Africa
    Journal of African Economies, 2010, 19, (suppl_1), 114-164 View citations (2)
34. Infrastructure and Economic Development in Africa: An Overview
    Journal of African Economies, 2010, 19, (suppl_1), 3-12 View citations (21)

2008

35. Collaboration, competition and strategic costing: knowing when to start learning
    International Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Performance Evaluation, 2008, 5, (2), 138-156

2006

36. Virtual integration costs and the limits of supply chain scalability
    Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 2006, 25, (4), 390-408 View citations (4)

2005

37. Strategy and activity based costing: a cross national study of process and outcome contingencies
    International Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Performance Evaluation, 2005, 2, (3), 187-205 View citations (8)

1998

38. Heterogeneous information arrival and option pricing
    Journal of Econometrics, 1998, 83, (1-2), 291-323 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Heterogeneous Information Arrival and Option Pricing, NBER Working Papers (1997) (1997)

1997

39. Perspectives on Financial Regulation and Liberalisation in Africa under Incentive Problems and Asymmetric Information
    Journal of African Economies, 1997, 6, (1), 29-88 View citations (3)
40. The Statistical Properties of the Black–Scholes Option Price
    Mathematical Finance, 1997, 7, (3), 287-305 View citations (7)

1996

41. Modelling implied volatility with OLS and panel data models
    Journal of Banking & Finance, 1996, 20, (1), 71-84 View citations (8)

Undated

42. Financial Services and Economic Development in Africa-super- 1
    Journal of African Economies, 16, (suppl_1), -57 View citations (3)
43. Services and Economic Development in Africa: An Overview
    Journal of African Economies, 16, (suppl_1), -12 View citations (2)

Books

2017

1. Global Economic Uncertainties and Exchange Rate Shocks
   Springer Books, Springer

2016

2. Global Growth and Financial Spillovers and the South African Macro-economy
   Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan View citations (2)

2013

3. Monetary Policy and the Economy in South Africa
   Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan View citations (7)
4. Quantitative Easing and Its Impact in the US, Japan, the UK and Europe
   SpringerBriefs in Economics, Springer View citations (14)

Edited books

2015

1. Regional Integration and Trade in Africa
   Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan View citations (4)

2014

2. The Oxford Companion to the Economics of South Africa
   OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press View citations (13)

Chapters

2015

1. Conclusion: Enhancing Intra-African Trade through Regional Integration
   Palgrave Macmillan
2. Introduction: Understanding Africa’s Regional Trade
   Palgrave Macmillan

2013

3. Broader Economic Effects of Quantitative Easing
   Springer
4. Conclusion
   Springer
5. Effects of Monetary Policy on Output
   Palgrave Macmillan
6. Exchange Rate, House Price and Equity Shocks on the Current Account
   Palgrave Macmillan
7. Inflation Uncertainty and Output
   Palgrave Macmillan
8. International Transmission of US Shocks into South Africa
   Palgrave Macmillan
9. Introduction
   Springer
10. Introduction: South African Monetary Policy Regimes
    Palgrave Macmillan
11. Monetary Policy Transmission, House Prices and Consumption
    Palgrave Macmillan View citations (27)
12. Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Shocks on South Africa’s Trade Balance
    Palgrave Macmillan View citations (5)
13. Monetary Policy, Disposable Income and Consumption
    Palgrave Macmillan
14. Mortgage Variables, Monetary Policy and Consumption
    Palgrave Macmillan
15. The Central Bank Loss Function and Quantitative Easing as a Stackelberg Game
    Springer
16. The Impact of Quantitative Easing on Interest Rates
    Springer
17. Transmission Channels for QE and Effects on Interest Rates
    Springer