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Details about Magnus Reif

Workplace:Deutsche Bundesbank (German Federal Bank), (more information at EDIRC)
ifo Institut - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung an der Universität München e.V. (Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich), (more information at EDIRC)
CESifo, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Magnus Reif.

Last updated 2022-02-06. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pre458


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Working Papers

2021

  1. Technological Growth and Hours in the Long Run: Theory and Evidence
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads
    Also in IMFS Working Paper Series, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) (2021) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economica (2021)
  2. Time-Varying Dynamics of the German Business Cycle: A Comprehensive Investigation
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (2022)

2020

  1. Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model An application to the German business cycle
    Munich Reprints in Economics, University of Munich, Department of Economics View citations (17)
    Also in VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2017) Downloads View citations (23)
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo (2017) Downloads View citations (27)
  2. Real-Time Forecasting Using Mixed-Frequency VARS with Time-Varying Parameters
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (2)
  3. The Economic Costs of the Coronavirus Shutdown for Germany: A Scenario Calculation
    EconPol Policy Brief, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads View citations (4)
  4. The Economic Costs of the Coronavirus Shutdown for Selected European Countries: A Scenario Calculation
    EconPol Policy Brief, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads View citations (17)
  5. Tracking and Predicting the German Economy: ifo vs. PMI
    CESifo Working Paper Series, CESifo Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business Cycle Research (2021)

2019

  1. Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model
    Jena Economics Research Papers, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article in International Journal of Forecasting (2020)

2018

  1. Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Forecasting Macroeconomic Aggregates
    ifo Working Paper Series, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics (2021)

Journal Articles

2022

  1. Time‐Varying Dynamics of the German Business Cycle: A Comprehensive Investigation
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 2022, 84, (1), 80-102 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2021)

2021

  1. Macroeconomic uncertainty and forecasting macroeconomic aggregates
    Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2021, 25, (2), 20 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2018)
  2. Predicting the German Economy: Headline Survey Indices Under Test
    Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2021, 17, (2), 215-232 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2020)
  3. Technological Growth and Hours in the Long Run: Theory and Evidence
    Economica, 2021, 88, (352), 1016-1053 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2021)
  4. ifo Konjunkturprognose Frühjahr 2021: Deutsche Wirtschaft taumelt in die dritte Coronawelle
    ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2021, 2, (09), 01-13 Downloads View citations (7)

2020

  1. Die volkswirtschaftlichen Kosten des Corona-Shutdown für Bayern: Eine Szenarienrechnung
    ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2020, 1, (02), 01-02 Downloads
  2. Die volkswirtschaftlichen Kosten des Corona-Shutdown für Deutschland: Eine Szenarienrechnung
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, (04), 29-35 Downloads View citations (21)
  3. Die volkswirtschaftlichen Kosten des Corona-Shutdown für ausgewählte europäische Länder: Eine Szenarienrechnung
    ifo Schnelldienst Digital, 2020, 1, (03), 01-07 Downloads
  4. Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2020, 36, (3), 829-850 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2019)
  5. ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2020: Deutsche Wirtschaft – es geht wieder aufwärts
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, (Sonderausgabe), 3-58 Downloads View citations (16)
  6. ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2020: Das Coronavirus schlägt zurück – erneuter Shutdown bremst Konjunktur ein zweites Mal aus
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, (Sonderausgabe), 03-61 Downloads View citations (10)
  7. ifoCAST: Der neue Prognosestandard des ifo Instituts
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2020, 73, (11), 31-39 Downloads View citations (1)

2019

  1. Rezessionsrisiko der deutschen Wirtschaft deutlich erhöht
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (05), 28-31 Downloads
  2. ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2019: Deutsche Konjunktur ohne Schwung
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (12), 25-78 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2019: Deutsche Konjunktur stabilisiert sich
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2019, 72, (24), 27-89 Downloads View citations (9)

2018

  1. ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2018: Gewitterwolken am deutschen Konjunkturhimmel
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, (12), 33-87 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2018: Deutsche Konjunktur kühlt sich ab
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2018, 71, (24), 28-82 Downloads View citations (12)

2017

  1. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017/2018: Deutsche Wirtschaft stark und stabil
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (12), 30-83 Downloads View citations (9)
  2. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017–2019: Deutsche Wirtschaft auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2017, 70, (24), 28-81 Downloads View citations (3)

2016

  1. Die Auswirkungen des britischen Votums für einen Brexit auf die deutsche Konjunktur 2016/17
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (13), 38-43 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Eine Flash-Schätzung für die privaten Konsumausgaben in Deutschland
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (21), 36-41 Downloads View citations (9)
  3. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016/2017: Aufschwung in Deutschland geht in die zweite Halbzeit
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (12), 21-57 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016–2018: Robuste deutsche Konjunktur vor einem Jahr ungewisser internationaler Wirtschaftspolitik
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2016, 69, (24), 28-73 Downloads View citations (1)

2015

  1. ifo Konjunkturprognose 2015/2017: Verhaltener Aufschwung setzt sich fort
    ifo Schnelldienst, 2015, 68, (24), 23-66 Downloads View citations (1)

Books

2020

  1. Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle
    ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich Downloads
 
Page updated 2023-09-22