Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis

Edited by Anca M. Hanea (), Gabriela F. Nane (), Tim Bedford () and Simon French ()

in International Series in Operations Research and Management Science from Springer, currently edited by Camille C. Price, Joe Zhu and Frederick S. Hillier

Date: 2021
ISBN: 978-3-030-46474-5
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Chapters in this book:

Ch Chapter 1 Introduction and Overview of Structured Expert Judgement

Simon French, Anca M. Hanea, Tim Bedford and Gabriela F. Nane

Ch Chapter 10 An In-Depth Perspective on the Classical Model

Anca M. Hanea and Gabriela F. Nane

Ch Chapter 11 Building on Foundations: An Interview with Roger Cooke

Gabriela F. Nane and Anca M. Hanea

Ch Chapter 12 Scientific Advice: A Personal Perspective in Dealing with Uncertainty. An Interview with Prof Dame Anne Glover, in Conversation with Tim Bedford

Anne Glover and Tim Bedford

Ch Chapter 13 Characteristics of a Process for Subjective Probability Elicitation

John Quigley and Lesley Walls

Ch Chapter 14 Developing a Training Course in Structured Expert Judgement

Philip Bonanno, Abigail Colson and Simon French

Ch Chapter 15 Expert Judgement for Geological Hazards in New Zealand

Annemarie Christophersen and Matthew C. Gerstenberger

Ch Chapter 16 Using the Classical Model for Source Attribution of Pathogen-Caused Illnesses

Elizabeth Beshearse, Gabriela F. Nane and Arie H. Havelaar

Ch Chapter 17 Reminiscences of a Classical Model Expert Elicitation Facilitator

Willy Aspinall

Ch Chapter 18 Dealing with Imperfect Elicitation Results

Rens Schoot, Elian Griffioen and Sonja D. Winter

Ch Chapter 19 Structured Expert Judgement for Decisions on Medicines Policy and Management

Patricia Vella Bonanno, Alec Morton and Brian Godman

Ch Chapter 2 Recent Advances in the Elicitation of Uncertainty Distributions from Experts for Multinomial Probabilities

Kevin J. Wilson, Fadlalla G. Elfadaly, Paul H. Garthwaite and Jeremy E. Oakley

Ch Chapter 20 Structured Expert Judgement Issues in a Supply Chain Cyber Risk Management System

Alberto Torres-Barrán, Alberto Redondo, David Rios Insua, Jordi Domingo and Fabrizio Ruggeri

Ch Chapter 21 Structured Expert Judgement in Adversarial Risk Assessment: An Application of the Classical Model for Assessing Geo-Political Risk in the Insurance Underwriting Industry

Christoph Werner and Raveem Ismail

Ch Chapter 22 Expert Judgement in Terrorism Risk Assessment

Gordon Woo

Ch Chapter 23 Decision-Making in Early Internationalization: A Structured Expert Judgement Approach

Michał Zdziarski, Gabriela F. Nane, Grzegorz Król, Katarzyna Kowalczyk and Anna O. Kuźmińska

Ch Chapter 3 Are Performance Weights Beneficial? Investigating the Random Expert Hypothesis

Deniz Marti, Thomas A. Mazzuchi and Roger Cooke

Ch Chapter 4 Customized Structural Elicitation

Rachel L. Wilkerson and Jim Q. Smith

Ch Chapter 5 Bayesian Modelling of Dependence Between Experts: Some Comparisons with Cooke’s Classical Model

David Hartley and Simon French

Ch Chapter 6 Three-Point Lifetime Distribution Elicitation for Maintenance Optimization in a Bayesian Context

J. René Dorp and Thomas A. Mazzuchi

Ch Chapter 7 Adversarial Risk Analysis as a Decomposition Method for Structured Expert Judgement Modelling

David Ríos Insua, David Banks, Jesús Ríos and Jorge González-Ortega

Ch Chapter 8 A Number of Things

Roger Cooke

Ch Chapter 9 The Classical Model: The Early Years

Simon French

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DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-46474-5

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