Economic Bulletin Boxes

2017 - 2025

From European Central Bank
60640 Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Contact information at EDIRC.
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2024, volume 4

Credit risk and bank lending conditions

Francesca Barbiero and Maria Dimou

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 31 January to 16 April 2024

Juliane Kinsele and Vagia Iskaki

Profit indicators for inflation analysis considering the role of total costs

Elke Hahn and Théodore Renault

Will the euro area car sector recover?

Roberto A. De Santis, Virginia Di Nino, Nina Furbach, Ulla Neumann and Pedro Neves

Drivers of employment growth in the euro area after the pandemic – a model-based perspective

Agostino Consolo and Claudia Foroni

Higher profit margins have helped firms hoard labour

Vasco Botelho

Insights from earnings calls – what can we learn from corporate risk perceptions and sentiment?

Malin Andersson, Juliette Guillotin and Pedro Neves

The post-pandemic recovery – why is the euro area growing more slowly than the United States?

Malin Andersson, Cristina Checherita-Westphal, António Dias Da Silva and Michel Soudan

2024, volume 3

The reformed EU fiscal framework – potential macroeconomic implications for the euro area

Othman Bouabdallah, Cristina Checherita-Westphal, Sebastian Hauptmeier and Philip Muggenthaler

The role of technical factors in euro area inflation-linked swap rates

Asger Munch Grønlund, Kasper Jørgensen and Fabian Schupp

Decomposing HICPX inflation into energy-sensitive and wage-sensitive items

Bruno Fagandini, Eduardo Gonçalves, Ieva Rubene, Omiros Kouvavas, Katalin Bodnár and Gerrit Koester

Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

Peter Healy, Friderike Kuik, Richard Morris and Michal Slavík

Housing investment and the user cost of housing in the euro area

Niccolò Battistini and Johannes Gareis

How big is the household housing burden? Evidence from the ECB Consumer Expectations Survey

Omiros Kouvavas and Desislava Rusinova

Why did the import intensity of GDP decline decline in 2023?

Laura Lebastard, Laura Olivero and Giacomo Pongetti

Recent inflation developments and wage pressures in the euro area and the United States

Anna Beschin, Katalin Bodnár, Ramon Gomez-Salvador, Eduardo Gonçalves, Marcel Tirpák and Marco Weißler

2024, volume 2

The ECB’s climate and nature plan 2024-2025

Sara Skjeggestad Meyer and Carolin Nerlich

The euro as a global currency: a payments perspective

Oana Furtuna, Patrick Papsdorf, Livia Polo Friz and Sara Testi

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 1 November 2023 to 30 January 2024

Nikolaus Solonar and María González da Silva

An update on the accuracy of recent Eurosystem/ECB staff projections for short-term inflation

Mohammed Chahad, Catalina Martínez Hernández, Adrian Page and Anna-Camilla Hofmann-Drahonsky

What were the drivers of euro area food price inflation over the last two years?

Friderike Kuik, Eliza Lis, Joan Paredes and Ieva Rubene

How have households adjusted their spending and saving behaviour to cope with high inflation?

Alina Bobasu, Evangelos Charalambakis and Omiros Kouvavas

How geopolitics is changing trade

Costanza Bosone, Ernest Dautović, Michael Fidora and Giovanni Stamato

Speculation in oil and gas prices in times of geopolitical risks

Livia Chiţu, Massimo Ferrari Minesso and Ana-Simona Manu

2024, volume 1

Fiscal policy measures in response to the energy and inflation shock and climate change

Marien Ferdinandusse and Mar Delgado-Téllez

Estimates of the natural interest rate for the euro area: an update

Claus Brand, Noëmie Lisack and Falk Mazelis

Policy expectation errors during the recent tightening cycle – insights from the ECB’s Survey of Monetary Analysts

Yıldız Akkaya, Lea Bitter, Claus Brand and Diogo Sá

Corporate vulnerabilities as reported by firms in the SAFE

Carmela Attolini, Annalisa Ferrando and Judit Rariga

Assessing the macroeconomic effects of climate change transition policies

Marien Ferdinandusse, Friderike Kuik and Romanos Priftis

Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

Gabe de Bondt, Friderike Kuik and Richard Morris

Is the PMI a reliable indicator for nowcasting euro area real GDP?

Gabe de Bondt and Lorena Saiz

Global trade in the post-pandemic environment

Maria Grazia Attinasi, Lukas Boeckelmann, Laura Hespert, Jan Linzenich and Baptiste Meunier

2023, volume 8

Fiscal policy implications of euro area countries’ 2023 draft budgetary plans

Johannes Simeon Bischl, Stephan Haroutunian, Sebastian Hauptmeier and Steffen Osterloh

What information does the euro area bank lending survey provide on future loan developments?

Petra Köhler-Ulbrich and Franziska Hünnekes

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 27 July to 1 November 2022

Juliane Kinsele and Christian Lizarazo

Firms’ access to finance and the business cycle: evidence from the SAFE

Giada Durante, Annalisa Ferrando, Asger Munch Grønlund and Timo Reinelt

Wage dynamics across euro area countries since the start of the pandemic

Katalin Bodnár and Julien Le Roux

The impact of higher energy prices on services and goods consumption in the euro area

Alina Bobasu and Johannes Gareis

Croatia adopts the euro

Matteo Falagiarda and Christine Gartner

Inflation developments in the euro area and the United States

Gerrit Koester, Eduardo Gonçalves, Ramon Gomez-Salvador, Julia Doleschel, Malin Andersson, Belén González Pardo and Laura Lebastard

2023, volume 7

Rent inflation in the euro area

Rodolfo Arioli, Elena Bobeica, Moreno Roma and Michel Soudan

Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

Gwenaël Le Breton, Richard Morris, Moreno Roma, Desislava Rusinova and Octavia Hedwig Zahrt

The drivers of recent developments in business activity expectations across sectors

Niccolò Battistini and Pedro Neves

Industry structure and the real effects of monetary policy

Sebastian Hauptmeier and Fédéric Holm-Hadulla

Spillovers to the euro area from recent negative inflation in China

Martina Di Sano, Giacomo Pongetti, Tobias Schuler and Seng Guan Toh

The inversion of the yield curve and its information content in the euro area and the United States

Luís Fonseca, Peter McQuade, Ine Van Robays and Andreea Liliana Vladu

Global production and supply chain risks: insights from a survey of leading companies

Maria Grazia Attinasi, Demosthenes Ioannou, Laura Lebastard and Richard Morris

2023, volume 6

The fiscal impact of financial sector support measures 15 years after the great financial crisis

Marien Ferdinandusse and Benoit Lichtenauer

Banks’ capital distributions and implications for monetary policy

Cyril Couaillier, Maria Dimou and Conor Parle

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 10 May to 1 August 2023

Jens Budde and Petra Fricke

Climate change and euro area firms’ green investment and financing ‒ results from the SAFE

Annalisa Ferrando, Johannes Groß and Judit Rariga

What do consumers think is the main driver of recent inflation?

Dimitris Georgarakos, Omiros Kouvavas, Aidan Meyler and Pedro Neves

The euro area labour force: recent developments and drivers

Agostino Consolo, António Dias Da Silva, Catalina Martínez Hernández and Marco Weißler

What role do reopening effects play across countries and sectors?

Niccolò Battistini and Johannes Gareis

Risks to global food prices from El Niño

Jakob Adolfsen and Marie-Sophie Lappe