Economic Bulletin Boxes

2017 - 2025

From European Central Bank
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2024, volume 7

Euro area fiscal position in 2024

Cristina Checherita-Westphal, Sebastian Hauptmeier, Nadine Leiner-Killinger and Philip Muggenthaler

Decoding revisions in policy rate expectations: insights from the Survey of Monetary Analysts

Yıldız Akkaya and Boryana Ilieva

The performance of Eurosystem/ECB staff projections for economic growth since the COVID-19 pandemic

Adrian Page

What consumers think is the main driver of recent inflation: changes in perceptions over time

Pedro Baptista, Colm Bates, Omiros Kouvavas, Pedro Neves and Katia Werkmeister

Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

Gwenaël Le Breton, Richard Morris and Moreno Roma

The impact of special-purpose entities on euro area cross-border financial linkages

Lorenz Emter, Fausto Pastoris, Carmen Picón Aguilar and Martin Schmitz

The link between oil prices and the US dollar: evidence and economic implications

Martino Ricci

Geopolitical fragmentation in global and euro area greenfield foreign direct investment

Lukas Boeckelmann, Lorenz Emter, Isabella Moder, Giacomo Pongetti and Tajda Spital

2024, volume 6

Money and credit dynamics in the euro area and a comparison with the United States

Ramón Adalid, Silvia Scopel, Lucía Kazarian and Davide Malacrino

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 17 April to 23 July 2024

Samuel Bieber and Christian Lizarazo

Recent developments in wages and the role of wage drift

Colm Bates, Katalin Bodnár and Kathinka Schlieker

Findings from a survey of leading firms on labour market trends and the adoption of generative AI

Agostino Consolo, Guzmán González-Torres Fernández, Richard Morris and Christofer Schroeder

Why are euro area households still gloomy and what are the implications for private consumption?

Alina Bobasu, Johannes Gareis and Dario Esposito

Accounting for nature in euro area economic activity

Mariana Martins Cardoso and Miles Parker

Labour productivity growth in the euro area and the United States: short and long-term developments

António Dias Da Silva, Paola Di Casola, Ramon Gomez-Salvador and Matthias Mohr

2024, volume 5

Ageing cost projections – new evidence from the 2024 Ageing Report

Edmund Moshammer and Joachim Schroth

The return on capital and its determinants in recent times

John Hutchinson and Arthur Saint Guilhem

Selling price expectations for services: what do they tell us about consumer price pressures?

Elena Bobeica, Joan Paredes, Théodore Renault and Flavie Rousseau

The dynamics of inflation differentials in the euro area

Anastasia Allayioti and Anna Beschin

Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

Catherine Elding, Richard Morris and Moreno Roma

What do recent surveys reveal about euro area business investment in 2024?

Valerie Jarvis and Barbara Schirato

Recent country-specific and sectoral developments in labour productivity in the euro area

António Dias Da Silva, Antonella Fabrizio and Matthias Mohr

Geopolitics and trade in the euro area and the United States: a de-risking of import supplies?

Ivelina Ilkova, Laura Lebastard and Roberta Serafini

2024, volume 4

Credit risk and bank lending conditions

Francesca Barbiero and Maria Dimou

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 31 January to 16 April 2024

Juliane Kinsele and Vagia Iskaki

Profit indicators for inflation analysis considering the role of total costs

Elke Hahn and Théodore Renault

Will the euro area car sector recover?

Roberto A. De Santis, Virginia Di Nino, Nina Furbach, Ulla Neumann and Pedro Neves

Drivers of employment growth in the euro area after the pandemic – a model-based perspective

Agostino Consolo and Claudia Foroni

Higher profit margins have helped firms hoard labour

Vasco Botelho

Insights from earnings calls – what can we learn from corporate risk perceptions and sentiment?

Malin Andersson, Juliette Guillotin and Pedro Neves

The post-pandemic recovery – why is the euro area growing more slowly than the United States?

Malin Andersson, Cristina Checherita-Westphal, António Dias Da Silva and Michel Soudan

2024, volume 3

The reformed EU fiscal framework – potential macroeconomic implications for the euro area

Othman Bouabdallah, Cristina Checherita-Westphal, Sebastian Hauptmeier and Philip Muggenthaler

The role of technical factors in euro area inflation-linked swap rates

Asger Munch Grønlund, Kasper Jørgensen and Fabian Schupp

Decomposing HICPX inflation into energy-sensitive and wage-sensitive items

Bruno Fagandini, Eduardo Gonçalves, Ieva Rubene, Omiros Kouvavas, Katalin Bodnár and Gerrit Koester

Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

Peter Healy, Friderike Kuik, Richard Morris and Michal Slavík

Housing investment and the user cost of housing in the euro area

Niccolò Battistini and Johannes Gareis

How big is the household housing burden? Evidence from the ECB Consumer Expectations Survey

Omiros Kouvavas and Desislava Rusinova

Why did the import intensity of GDP decline decline in 2023?

Laura Lebastard, Laura Olivero and Giacomo Pongetti

Recent inflation developments and wage pressures in the euro area and the United States

Anna Beschin, Katalin Bodnár, Ramon Gomez-Salvador, Eduardo Gonçalves, Marcel Tirpák and Marco Weißler

2024, volume 2

The ECB’s climate and nature plan 2024-2025

Sara Skjeggestad Meyer and Carolin Nerlich

The euro as a global currency: a payments perspective

Oana Furtuna, Patrick Papsdorf, Livia Polo Friz and Sara Testi

Liquidity conditions and monetary policy operations from 1 November 2023 to 30 January 2024

Nikolaus Solonar and María González da Silva

An update on the accuracy of recent Eurosystem/ECB staff projections for short-term inflation

Mohammed Chahad, Catalina Martínez Hernández, Adrian Page and Anna-Camilla Hofmann-Drahonsky

What were the drivers of euro area food price inflation over the last two years?

Friderike Kuik, Eliza Lis, Joan Paredes and Ieva Rubene

How have households adjusted their spending and saving behaviour to cope with high inflation?

Alina Bobasu, Evangelos Charalambakis and Omiros Kouvavas

How geopolitics is changing trade

Costanza Bosone, Ernest Dautović, Michael Fidora and Giovanni Stamato

Speculation in oil and gas prices in times of geopolitical risks

Livia Chiţu, Massimo Ferrari Minesso and Ana-Simona Manu

2024, volume 1

Fiscal policy measures in response to the energy and inflation shock and climate change

Marien Ferdinandusse and Mar Delgado-Téllez

Estimates of the natural interest rate for the euro area: an update

Claus Brand, Noëmie Lisack and Falk Mazelis

Policy expectation errors during the recent tightening cycle – insights from the ECB’s Survey of Monetary Analysts

Yıldız Akkaya, Lea Bitter, Claus Brand and Diogo Sá

Corporate vulnerabilities as reported by firms in the SAFE

Carmela Attolini, Annalisa Ferrando and Judit Rariga

Assessing the macroeconomic effects of climate change transition policies

Marien Ferdinandusse, Friderike Kuik and Romanos Priftis

Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

Gabe de Bondt, Friderike Kuik and Richard Morris

Is the PMI a reliable indicator for nowcasting euro area real GDP?

Gabe de Bondt and Lorena Saiz

Global trade in the post-pandemic environment

Maria Grazia Attinasi, Lukas Boeckelmann, Laura Hespert, Jan Linzenich and Baptiste Meunier