Richmond Fed Economic Brief

2008 - 2026

From Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Christian Pascasio ().

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2026, volume 26, articles 07

Business Cycles: Is the Current Economic Environment Different?

Claudia Macaluso

2026, volume 26, articles 06

Does Household Labor Supply Insure Against Income Shocks?

Yongsung Chang, Elin Halvorsen and Marios Karabarbounis

2026, volume 26, articles 05

Buy Now, Pay Later: Recent Developments and Implications

Zhu Wang

2026, volume 26, articles 04

Public and Private Labor Market Data: Insights From the Government Shutdown

Claudia Macaluso

2026, volume 26, articles 03

How Does the Foreign-Born Population Affect Labor Force Growth?

Santiago Pinto

2026, volume 26, articles 2

Home Health Care and Aging in Place

John Jones, Yue Li and Urvi Neelakantan

2026, volume 26, articles 01

How Data Revisions and Uncertainty Affect Monetary Policy

Thomas Lubik and Jacob Titcomb

2025, volume 25, articles 46

How Secondary Trade Affects Social Welfare in an Over-the-Counter Market

Spencer Cooper-Ohm and Nicholas Trachter

2025, volume 25, articles 45

The Value of Government Services: Evidence From Flight Delays During the 2025 Shutdown

Russell Wong

2025, volume 25, articles 44

Predicting PCE Using the Richmond Fed Price Measure

Zach Edwards, Pierre Daniel Sarte and Sonya Ravindranath Waddell

2025, volume 25, articles 43

Sea Level Rise and Effects on House Prices

Toan Phan and Nicholas Weitzel

2025, volume 25, articles 42

Noise Bargaining: A New Perspective on Single Proposers, Negotiation and Delays

Grey Gordon

2025, volume 25, articles 41

Credit Supply Shocks During a Nonfinancial Recession

Carlo Alcaraz Pribaz, Nicolas Amoroso, Rodolfo Oviedo Moguel, Alex Rivadeneira, Brenda Samaniego de la Parra and Horacio Sapriza

2025, volume 25, articles 40

Inflation and the Timing of Actions With Discretionary Monetary Policy

Willem Van Zandweghe and Alexander Wolman

2025, volume 25, articles 39

Understanding the Potential Impact of H-1B Visa Program Changes

Nicolas Morales

2025, volume 25, articles 38

Banks' Credit Lines to Nonbank Mortgage Companies and Downstream Mortgage Originations

Alessandro Rebucci, Horacio Sapriza, Alex Sclip and Daniel te Kaat

2025, volume 25, articles 37

What Drives Business Cycles?

Liyu Dou, Paul Ho and Thomas Lubik

2025, volume 25, articles 36

Do Federal Layoffs Have Ripple Effects on Local Economies?

Katrina Borovickova and Claudia Macaluso

2025, volume 25, articles 35

How Exclusive Homebuyer Representation Contracts Help Keep Commissions High

Borys Grochulski and Zhu Wang

2025, volume 25, articles 34

Goodfriend Memorial Lecture: Productivity and Structural Change

Richard Rogerson

2025, volume 25, articles 33

Bank Liquidity and Financing of Nonbank Mortgage Companies

Alessandro Rebucci, Horacio Sapriza, Alex Sclip and Daniel te Kaat

2025, volume 25, articles 32

How to Gauge Maximum Employment

Marios Karabarbounis

2025, volume 25, articles 31

Five Decades of Decline: U.S. Construction Sector Productivity

Chen Yeh

2025, volume 25, articles 30

Forecasting U.S. Productivity

Pierre Daniel Sarte

2025, volume 25, articles 29

Why Predicted and Actual Tariff Rates Diverged in May 2025

Marina Azzimonti

2025, volume 25, articles 28

Impacts of Government Spending Changes on Local Economies

Santiago Pinto and Sonya Ravindranath Waddell

2025, volume 25, articles 27

Rounding Up: The Impact of Phasing Out the Penny

Zhu Wang and Russell Wong

2025, volume 25, articles 26

How Private Information Distorts OTC Market Outcomes

Lindsay Li and Nicholas Trachter

2025, volume 25, articles 25

Economic Effects Everywhere All at Once

Katharine Anderson, Paul Ho and Nathan Robino

2025, volume 25, articles 24

Human Capital Investment: Would Higher-Order Skills Help Disconnected Youth?

Claudia Macaluso

2025, volume 25, articles 23

Tariff Update: Incorporating Recent Decisions and Deals

Marina Azzimonti and Acacia Wyckoff

2025, volume 25, articles 22

The Debt Brake: Unsafe at Any Speed?

Thomas Lubik

2025, volume 25, articles 21

When Are Tariffs Optimal?

Thomas Lubik

2025, volume 25, articles 20

The Rabbit-Duck Question: What Caused the Recent Inflation Surge?

Felipe Schwartzman

2025, volume 25, articles 19

Why Is Geographic Mobility Declining?

John Jones, Yue Li and Urvi Neelakantan

2025, volume 25, articles 18

How Concentrated Is the Distribution of Banks' Reserve Balances?

Russell Wong

2025, volume 25, articles 17

Can Trade Help Mitigate Risk From Weather Disruptions?

Juanma Castro-Vincenzi, Simon Farbman, Gaurav Khanna, Nicolas Morales and Nitya Pandalai-Nayar

2025, volume 25, articles 16

What Can News Shocks Tell Us About the Effects of AI?

Christoph Görtz, Christopher Gunn and Thomas Lubik

2025, volume 25, articles 15

Tariff Update: Incorporating the April 9 Announcements

Marina Azzimonti, Zach Edwards, Sonya Ravindranath Waddell and Acacia Wyckoff

2025, volume 25, articles 14

How Seasonality in Inflation Variance Affects Estimates of Underlying Inflation

Alexander Wolman

2025, volume 25, articles 13

Tariffs Update: Potential Effects of the April 2 Announcements

Marina Azzimonti, Zach Edwards, Sonya Ravindranath Waddell and Acacia Wyckoff

2025, volume 25, articles 12

Tariffs: Estimating the Economic Impact of the 2025 Measures and Proposals

Marina Azzimonti, Zach Edwards, Sonya Ravindranath Waddell and Acacia Wyckoff

2025, volume 25, articles 10

Hiring Puzzle: Why Do Firms Decrease Hiring So Much in Recessions?

Katrina Borovickova

2025, volume 25, articles 09

Sentiment About Business Debt as a Leading Economic Indicator

Danilo Leiva-Leon, Thomas Lubik, Gabriel Perez-Quiros, Nathan Robino, Horacio Sapriza, Francisco Vazquez-Grande and Egon Zakrajšek

2025, volume 25, articles 7

SOS! Signaling Recessions Earlier

John O'Trakoun and Adam Scavette

2025, volume 25, articles 06

How Do Banks Choose Where to Place Branches?

Lindsay Li and Nicholas Trachter

2025, volume 25, articles 5

Understanding Diffusion Indexes: Insights and Applications

Santiago Pinto

2025, volume 25, articles 04

How Is Housing Handled in the National Income and Product Accounts?

Marios Karabarbounis and John O'Trakoun

2025, volume 25, articles 02

Supply Chain Resilience and the Effects of Economic Shocks

Nicolas Morales

2025, volume 25, articles 1

Will the Pandemic Surge in Employer Business Formation Last?

Chen Yeh