Decision Analysis

2004 - 2026

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Volume 23, issue 3, 2026

Call for Papers: Decision Analysis for Policy Interventions Using Nonexperimental Evidence pp. iii-iv

Tony Cox, Vicki Bier and Allison Reilly

Choosing Among Utility Functions: Guidance from Maximum Certain Equivalent Error pp. 173-188

Colin Small and J. Eric Bickel

Aggregating Judgmental Demand Forecasts in Environments with Structural Breaks pp. 189-204

Matthias Seifert, Yun Shin Lee and Shijith Kumar Pm

Assessing the Quality of Large Language Models and Human Inputs to a Decision: A Proposed Framework and Two Benchmark Case Studies pp. 205-220

Ali E. Abbas, Andrea C. Hupman and Rachel Monger

Voting by Mail: A Markov Chain Model for Managing the Security Risks of Absentee Voting pp. 221-247

Carmen A. Haseltine and Laura A. Albert

Decision-Tailored Uncertainty Quantification for Probability Estimates pp. 248-259

Zachary Smith, J. Eric Bickel, Richard Field and Michael Darling

Supplier Capability Signaling Through Investment in Quality Improvement: Roles of Cost of Quality and Inequity Aversion pp. 260-279

Dipankar Bose and Sumit Sarkar

Optimizing Jumper Notification Timing to Minimize Vaccine Waste and Requester Waiting Time pp. 280-305

Chun-Miin (Jimmy) Chen

Volume 23, issue 2, 2026

From the Editor: Eight New Associate Editors and the 2025 Clemen–Kleinmuntz Decision Analysis Best Paper Award pp. iii-iv

Jun Zhuang

On Path Dependence in the Even-Swap Decision-Making Method pp. 77-93

Lisheng Jiang, Lixuan An, Huchang Liao and Bernard De Baets

Reassessing Machine Learning for Decision Analysis: Reinforcement Learning vs. Least Squares Monte Carlo for Real Option Decisions in Energy Transition pp. 94-113

Yasaman Cheraghi and Reidar B. Bratvold

Asymptotic Fractional Degree Stochastic Dominance for Lognormal Prospects pp. 114-128

Jiehua Xie and Wei Zou

Assessing the Value of Flexibility in Large Projects pp. 129-148

Yaniv Harel, Asher Tishler, Dov Dvir and Abraham Carmeli

Characterizing Fractional-Degree Stochastic Dominance by Invariance Laws pp. 149-171

Tiantian Mao, Ruodu Wang and Lin Zhao

Volume 23, issue 1, 2026

Risk Sharing with a Time Preference pp. 1-10

Zhengwei Sun and Ali Abbas

Bayesian Graph Traversal pp. 11-27

William N. Caballero, Phillip R. Jenkins, David Banks and Matthew Robbins

Do People Willfully Ignore Decision Support? Evidence from an Online Experiment pp. 28-45

Katharina Momsen, Sebastian Bachler, Stefan Haeussler and Matthias Stefan

Linear Transformation of One-Dimensional Utility Functions: Empirical Study on the Impact on the Final Ranking of Alternatives in Personal Decisions pp. 46-64

Mendy Tönsfeuerborn, Rüdiger von Nitzsch and Johannes Ulrich Siebert

Bayesian Resolution of an Information Paradox in the Theory of Investment pp. 65-76

David Johnstone

Volume 22, issue 4, 2025

From the Editor: 2024 Clemen-Kleinmuntz Decision Analysis Best Paper Award pp. iii-iv

Vicki M. Bier

A Bayesian Analysis Framework for Decision Making with Interval Pairwise Comparison Judgments pp. 207-254

Hao Li, Xianchao Dai, Qun Wu, Ligang Zhou and Witold Pedrycz

Decision Analysis for Practitioners pp. 255-272

Lawrence D. Phillips

Proactively Planning for Possible Future Crises pp. 273-283

Ralph L. Keeney, Robin Gregory and Paul Slovic

Anchoring Bias in Value Function Elicitation Within Multiattribute Value Theory pp. 284-304

Geqie Sun, Maarten Kroesen and Jafar Rezaei

Volume 22, issue 3, 2025

Quantile-Parameterized Distributions for Expert Knowledge Elicitation pp. 169-188

Dmytro Perepolkin, Erik Lindström and Ullrika Sahlin

A Machine Learning-Assisted Decision-Making Methodology Based on Simplex Weight Generation for Non-Dominated Alternative Selection pp. 189-205

Matheus Bernardelli de Moraes, Guilherme Palermo Coelho and Reidar B. Bratvold

Optimization Scheduling of Integrated Park Energy Systems with Hydrogen Energy Storage Based on Hybrid Copula pp. 206-226

Wu Zhongqun and Liang Jian

Note: Ordinal Equivalence of Buying and Selling Prices for Information—When is Constant Risk Attitude Entailed? pp. 227-233

Gordon Hazen

Volume 22, issue 2, 2025

On the Value of the Tail Event Information pp. 89-108

N. Onur Bakır

Neutral Pivoting: Strong Bias Correction for Shared Information pp. 109-119

Joseph Rilling

Differential Game Theoretic Models for Designing Water Conservation Incentives pp. 120-146

Behnam Momeni and Shima Mohebbi

Downstream Information Sharing in Agricultural Supply Chains with Investment Spillovers pp. 147-168

Zunwei Fu, Hongchun Sun, Chenglong Xu and Mingshi Yue

Volume 22, issue 1, 2025

On the Value of Information Across Decision Problems pp. 1-13

Ali Abbas and Gordon Hazen

Why Investors Want Risk pp. 14-29

David Johnstone and Yan-Xia Lin

Satiation-Based Theory of Frugal Materialism pp. 30-43

Robert Zeithammer

Research on Ecological Restoration Strategies for Abandoned Mines Based on Ecology-Oriented Development pp. 44-69

Ning Wang and Deqing Tan

Decision Making in Information Security Investments: Impact of System Vulnerability and Investment Timing on Resource-Sharing Platforms pp. 70-86

Hui Zhao, Yong Wu and Zhijie Jin

Volume 21, issue 4, 2024

Call for Papers on the Implications of Advances in Artificial Intelligence for Decision Analysis pp. 195-195

Vicki Bier

A Behavioral Model of Responsible Sourcing in Supply Chains: The Role of Dual-Sourcing Bias pp. 196-214

Mahdi Mahmoudzadeh and Aadhaar Chaturvedi

Measuring and Mitigating the Risk of Advanced Cyberattackers pp. 215-234

Amitai Gilad and Asher Tishler

Endogenous Preference for Nonmarket Goods in Carbon Abatement Decisions pp. 235-251

Fangzhi Wang, Hua Liao, Richard Tol and Changjing Ji

Volume 21, issue 3, 2024

Whose Judgement? Reflections on Elicitation in Bayesian Analysis pp. 143-159

Simon French

Comment on “Whose Judgement? Reflections on Elicitation in Bayesian Analysis” pp. 160-162

Lawrence D. Phillips

Reply to “Comment on ‘Whose Judgement? Reflections on Elicitation in Bayesian Analysis’” pp. 163-164

Simon French

Curbing the Opioid Crisis: Optimal Dynamic Policies for Preventive and Mitigating Interventions pp. 165-193

Sina Ansari, Shakiba Enayati, Raha Akhavan-Tabatabaei and Julie M. Kapp

Volume 21, issue 2, 2024

From the Editor: 2023 Clemen–Kleinmuntz Decision Analysis Best Paper Award pp. 75-76

Vicki M. Bier

Eliciting Informative Priors by Modeling Expert Decision Making pp. 77-90

Julia R. Falconer, Eibe Frank, Devon L. L. Polaschek and Chaitanya Joshi

How to Control Waste Incineration Pollution? Cost-Sharing or Penalty Mechanism—Based on Two Differential Game Models pp. 91-109

Huijie Li and Deqing Tan

Hide-and-Seek Game with Capacitated Locations and Imperfect Detection pp. 110-124

Bastián Bahamondes and Mathieu Dahan

The Discount Rate for Investment Analysis Applying Expected Utility pp. 125-141

Manel Baucells and Samuel E. Bodily