Decision Analysis

2004 - 2025

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Volume 6, issue 4, 2009

From the Editors pp. 199-201

L. Robin Keller, Manel Baucells, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Jason R. W. Merrick, Gregory S. Parnell and Ahti Salo

Proper Scoring Rules, Dominated Forecasts, and Coherence pp. 202-221

Mark J. Schervish, Teddy Seidenfeld and Joseph B. Kadane

Bayesian Simulation and Decision Analysis: An Expository Survey pp. 222-238

Jason R. W. Merrick

A Decision Analysis Approach to Solving the Signaling Game pp. 239-255

Barry R. Cobb and Atin Basuchoudhary

On the Choice of Baselines in Multiattribute Portfolio Analysis: A Cautionary Note pp. 256-262

Robert T. Clemen and James E. Smith

An Interview with Ronald A. Howard pp. 263-272

Russ Garber

Volume 6, issue 3, 2009

From the Editor pp. 121-123

L. Robin Keller

A Prospect Theory Model of Resource Allocation pp. 124-138

Philip Bromiley

Combining a Multiattribute Value Function with an Optimization Model: An Application to Dynamic Resource Allocation for Infrastructure Maintenance pp. 139-152

Pekka Mild and Ahti Salo

Supporting Negotiations over Influence Diagrams pp. 153-171

Jesus Rios and David Rios Insua

Development of a Green Building Decision Support Tool: A Collaborative Process pp. 172-185

Ben Ewing and Erin Baker

On the Decision to Take a Pitch pp. 186-193

J. Eric Bickel

Volume 6, issue 2, 2009

From the Editors pp. 53-56

L. Robin Keller and Kelly M. Kophazi

Impact of Presentation Format and Self-Reported Risk Aversion on Revealed Skewness Preferences pp. 57-74

Dennis Vrecko, Alexander Klos and Thomas Langer

A Direct Test of Risk Aversion and Regret in First Price Sealed-Bid Auctions pp. 75-86

Richard Engelbrecht-Wiggans and Elena Katok

Anchor Selection and Group Dynamics in Newsvendor Decisions---A Note pp. 87-97

Srinagesh Gavirneni and Yusen Xia

Resource-Limited Multiattribute Value Analysis of Alternatives for Immobilizing Radioactive Liquid Process Waste Stored in Saluggia, Italy pp. 98-114

Alan J. Brothers, Shas V. Mattigod, Denis M. Strachan, Gordon H. Beeman, Paul K. Kearns, Angelo Papa and Carlo Monti

Volume 6, issue 1, 2009

From the Editor pp. 1-3

L. Robin Keller

A Decision Analysis Tool for Evaluating Fundraising Tiers pp. 4-13

Kevin F. McCardle, Kumar Rajaram and Christopher S. Tang

Working with Policy Makers on Their Choices: A Decision Analyst Reminisces pp. 14-24

Rex V. Brown

A Kullback-Leibler View of Linear and Log-Linear Pools pp. 25-37

Ali E. Abbas

Combining the Opinions of Experts Who Partition Events Differently pp. 38-46

Robert F. Bordley

Call for Papers ---Special “Michael Rothkopf Memorial” Issue on Auctions pp. 51-51

Robert Bordley and Elena Katok

Volume 5, issue 4, 2008

From the Editors pp. 173-176

L. Robin Keller, Manel Baucells, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Jason R. W. Merrick, Gregory S. Parnell and Ahti Salo

Aggregating Probabilistic Forecasts from Incoherent and Abstaining Experts pp. 177-189

Joel B. Predd, Daniel N. Osherson, Sanjeev R. Kulkarni and H. Vincent Poor

A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability vs. Fixed Variable Values pp. 190-202

Ali E. Abbas, David V. Budescu, Hsiu-Ting Yu and Ryan Haggerty

An Interactive Search Method Based on User Preferences pp. 203-229

Asim Roy, Patrick Mackin, Jyrki Wallenius, James Corner, Mark Keith, Gregory Schymik and Hina Arora

A Decision Tree Model for Evaluating Countermeasures to Secure Cargo at United States Southwestern Ports of Entry pp. 230-248

Niyazi Onur Bakır

Volume 5, issue 3, 2008

From the Editor pp. 113-115

L. Robin Keller

The Relationship Between Perfect and Imperfect Information in a Two-Action Risk-Sensitive Problem pp. 116-128

J. Eric Bickel

The Value of Information and Intensity of Preference pp. 129-139

Philippe Delquié

Valuing Future Information Under Uncertainty Using Polynomial Chaos pp. 140-156

Michael Prange, William J. Bailey, Benoit Couët, Hugues Djikpesse, Margaret Armstrong, Alain Galli and David Wilkinson

Value-of-Information Analysis for Nuclear Waste Storage Tanks pp. 157-167

Thomas Eppel and Detlof von Winterfeldt

Volume 5, issue 2, 2008

From the Editors pp. 57-59

L. Robin Keller and Kelly M. Kophazi

Incorporating Path Dependency into Decision-Analytic Methods: An Application to Global Climate-Change Policy pp. 60-75

Mort Webster

Eliciting Subjective Probabilities Through Exchangeable Events: An Advantage and a Limitation pp. 76-87

Aurelien Baillon

Norms and Descriptions pp. 88-99

Niklas Vareman

Improving Time-Critical Decision Making in Life-Threatening Situations: Observations and Insights pp. 100-110

Izack Cohen

Volume 5, issue 1, 2008

From the Editor pp. 1-4

L. Robin Keller

Interpretation of the Risk Tolerance Coefficient in Terms of Maximum Acceptable Loss pp. 5-9

Philippe Delquié

Optimal Betting Strategies for Simultaneous Games pp. 10-18

Andrew Grant, David Johnstone and Oh Kang Kwon

Decision-Analytic Approach to Knockout Auctions pp. 19-21

Yigal Gerchak

Development of Reusable Bid Evaluation Models for the Portuguese Electric Transmission Company pp. 22-42

Carlos A. Bana e Costa, João C. Lourenço, Manuel P. Chagas and João C. Bana e Costa

Getting the Right Mix of Experts pp. 43-52

Jason R. W. Merrick

Volume 4, issue 4, 2007

From the Editors pp. 173-175

L. Robin Keller, Manel Baucells, Kevin F. McCardle, Gregory S. Parnell and Ahti Salo

On the Trend Recognition and Forecasting Ability of Professional Traders pp. 176-193

Markus Glaser, Thomas Langer and Martin Weber

Quantifying and Mitigating the Splitting Bias and Other Value Tree-Induced Weighting Biases pp. 194-210

Sarah K. Jacobi and Benjamin F. Hobbs

e -Participation and Decision Analysis pp. 211-226

Simon French, David Rios Insua and Fabrizio Ruggeri

How Effective Are Decision Analyses? Assessing Decision Process and Group Alignment Effects pp. 227-242

Martin S. Schilling, Nadine Oeser and Cornelius Schaub

Volume 4, issue 3, 2007

From the Editor pp. 111-113

L. Robin Keller

Analysis of the Biological Clock Decision pp. 114-135

Ralph L. Keeney and Dinah A. Vernik

Influence Diagrams with Continuous Decision Variables and Non-Gaussian Uncertainties pp. 136-155

Barry R. Cobb

An Elicitation Procedure for the Generalized Trapezoidal Distribution with a Uniform Central Stage pp. 156-166

Johan René van Dorp, Salvador Cruz Rambaud, Jose Pérez and Rafael Herrerías Pleguezuelo

Decision Analysis: The Right Tool for Auctions pp. 167-172

Michael H. Rothkopf

Volume 4, issue 2, 2007

From the Editor pp. 47-48

L. Robin Keller

Some Comparisons among Quadratic, Spherical, and Logarithmic Scoring Rules pp. 49-65

J. Eric Bickel

The Parimutuel Kelly Probability Scoring Rule pp. 66-75

David J. Johnstone

Using a Software Tool for Public Decision Analysis: The Case of Nacka Municipality pp. 76-90

Mats Danielson, Love Ekenberg, Jim Idefeldt and Aron Larsson

Elicitation from Large, Heterogeneous Expert Panels: Using Multiple Uncertainty Measures to Characterize Information Quality for Decision Analysis pp. 91-109

Sandra Hoffmann, Paul Fischbeck, Alan Krupnick and Michael McWilliams

Volume 4, issue 1, 2007

From the Editor pp. 1-2

L. Robin Keller

Adding Extrinsic Goals to the Quality-Adjusted Life Year Model pp. 3-16

Gordon B. Hazen

Invariant Utility Functions and Certain Equivalent Transformations pp. 17-31

Ali E. Abbas

Exploring Relations Between Decision Analysis and Game Theory pp. 32-40

Jules van Binsbergen and Leslie Marx

The 2002 Ryder Cup: Was Strange’s Decision to Put Tiger Woods in the Anchor Match a Good One? pp. 41-45

William J. Hurley