Decision Analysis

2004 - 2025

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Volume 5, issue 4, 2008

From the Editors pp. 173-176

L. Robin Keller, Manel Baucells, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Jason R. W. Merrick, Gregory S. Parnell and Ahti Salo

Aggregating Probabilistic Forecasts from Incoherent and Abstaining Experts pp. 177-189

Joel B. Predd, Daniel N. Osherson, Sanjeev R. Kulkarni and H. Vincent Poor

A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability vs. Fixed Variable Values pp. 190-202

Ali E. Abbas, David V. Budescu, Hsiu-Ting Yu and Ryan Haggerty

An Interactive Search Method Based on User Preferences pp. 203-229

Asim Roy, Patrick Mackin, Jyrki Wallenius, James Corner, Mark Keith, Gregory Schymik and Hina Arora

A Decision Tree Model for Evaluating Countermeasures to Secure Cargo at United States Southwestern Ports of Entry pp. 230-248

Niyazi Onur Bakır

Volume 5, issue 3, 2008

From the Editor pp. 113-115

L. Robin Keller

The Relationship Between Perfect and Imperfect Information in a Two-Action Risk-Sensitive Problem pp. 116-128

J. Eric Bickel

The Value of Information and Intensity of Preference pp. 129-139

Philippe Delquié

Valuing Future Information Under Uncertainty Using Polynomial Chaos pp. 140-156

Michael Prange, William J. Bailey, Benoit Couët, Hugues Djikpesse, Margaret Armstrong, Alain Galli and David Wilkinson

Value-of-Information Analysis for Nuclear Waste Storage Tanks pp. 157-167

Thomas Eppel and Detlof von Winterfeldt

Volume 5, issue 2, 2008

From the Editors pp. 57-59

L. Robin Keller and Kelly M. Kophazi

Incorporating Path Dependency into Decision-Analytic Methods: An Application to Global Climate-Change Policy pp. 60-75

Mort Webster

Eliciting Subjective Probabilities Through Exchangeable Events: An Advantage and a Limitation pp. 76-87

Aurelien Baillon

Norms and Descriptions pp. 88-99

Niklas Vareman

Improving Time-Critical Decision Making in Life-Threatening Situations: Observations and Insights pp. 100-110

Izack Cohen

Volume 5, issue 1, 2008

From the Editor pp. 1-4

L. Robin Keller

Interpretation of the Risk Tolerance Coefficient in Terms of Maximum Acceptable Loss pp. 5-9

Philippe Delquié

Optimal Betting Strategies for Simultaneous Games pp. 10-18

Andrew Grant, David Johnstone and Oh Kang Kwon

Decision-Analytic Approach to Knockout Auctions pp. 19-21

Yigal Gerchak

Development of Reusable Bid Evaluation Models for the Portuguese Electric Transmission Company pp. 22-42

Carlos A. Bana e Costa, João C. Lourenço, Manuel P. Chagas and João C. Bana e Costa

Getting the Right Mix of Experts pp. 43-52

Jason R. W. Merrick

Volume 4, issue 4, 2007

From the Editors pp. 173-175

L. Robin Keller, Manel Baucells, Kevin F. McCardle, Gregory S. Parnell and Ahti Salo

On the Trend Recognition and Forecasting Ability of Professional Traders pp. 176-193

Markus Glaser, Thomas Langer and Martin Weber

Quantifying and Mitigating the Splitting Bias and Other Value Tree-Induced Weighting Biases pp. 194-210

Sarah K. Jacobi and Benjamin F. Hobbs

e -Participation and Decision Analysis pp. 211-226

Simon French, David Rios Insua and Fabrizio Ruggeri

How Effective Are Decision Analyses? Assessing Decision Process and Group Alignment Effects pp. 227-242

Martin S. Schilling, Nadine Oeser and Cornelius Schaub

Volume 4, issue 3, 2007

From the Editor pp. 111-113

L. Robin Keller

Analysis of the Biological Clock Decision pp. 114-135

Ralph L. Keeney and Dinah A. Vernik

Influence Diagrams with Continuous Decision Variables and Non-Gaussian Uncertainties pp. 136-155

Barry R. Cobb

An Elicitation Procedure for the Generalized Trapezoidal Distribution with a Uniform Central Stage pp. 156-166

Johan René van Dorp, Salvador Cruz Rambaud, Jose Pérez and Rafael Herrerías Pleguezuelo

Decision Analysis: The Right Tool for Auctions pp. 167-172

Michael H. Rothkopf

Volume 4, issue 2, 2007

From the Editor pp. 47-48

L. Robin Keller

Some Comparisons among Quadratic, Spherical, and Logarithmic Scoring Rules pp. 49-65

J. Eric Bickel

The Parimutuel Kelly Probability Scoring Rule pp. 66-75

David J. Johnstone

Using a Software Tool for Public Decision Analysis: The Case of Nacka Municipality pp. 76-90

Mats Danielson, Love Ekenberg, Jim Idefeldt and Aron Larsson

Elicitation from Large, Heterogeneous Expert Panels: Using Multiple Uncertainty Measures to Characterize Information Quality for Decision Analysis pp. 91-109

Sandra Hoffmann, Paul Fischbeck, Alan Krupnick and Michael McWilliams

Volume 4, issue 1, 2007

From the Editor pp. 1-2

L. Robin Keller

Adding Extrinsic Goals to the Quality-Adjusted Life Year Model pp. 3-16

Gordon B. Hazen

Invariant Utility Functions and Certain Equivalent Transformations pp. 17-31

Ali E. Abbas

Exploring Relations Between Decision Analysis and Game Theory pp. 32-40

Jules van Binsbergen and Leslie Marx

The 2002 Ryder Cup: Was Strange’s Decision to Put Tiger Woods in the Anchor Match a Good One? pp. 41-45

William J. Hurley

Volume 3, issue 4, 2006

From the Editors pp. 195-196

Robert T. Clemen and Don N. Kleinmuntz

A Bayesian Decision-Theoretic Dose-Finding Trial pp. 197-207

Peter Müller, Don A. Berry, Andrew P. Grieve and Michael Krams

Parametric Sensitivity Analysis Using Large-Sample Approximate Bayesian Posterior Distributions pp. 208-219

Gordon B. Hazen and Min Huang

The Respective Roles of Risk and Decision Analyses in Decision Support pp. 220-232

M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell and Robin L. Dillon

Some Determinants of Corporate Risk Aversion pp. 233-251

J. Eric Bickel

Volume 3, issue 3, 2006

From the Special Issue Editors... Special Issue on Psychology and Decision Analysis pp. 121-123

Don N. Kleinmuntz and George Wu

Regions of Rationality: Maps for Bounded Agents pp. 124-144

Robin Hogarth and Natalia Karelaia

To Bayes or Not to Bayes? A Comparison of Two Classes of Models of Information Aggregation pp. 145-162

David V. Budescu and Hsiu-Ting Yu

A Survey Study of Factors Influencing Risk-Taking Behavior in Real-World Decisions Under Uncertainty pp. 163-176

Manel Baucells and Cristina Rata

The Sensitivity of Probability Assessments to Time Units and Performer Characteristics pp. 177-193

Eldad Yechiam and David V. Budescu

Volume 3, issue 2, 2006

From the Editors pp. 61-62

Robert T. Clemen and Don N. Kleinmuntz

Should We Protect Commercial Airplanes Against Surface-to-Air Missile Attacks by Terrorists? pp. 63-75

Detlof von Winterfeldt and Terrence M. O'Sullivan

A Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis for Terrorism Protection: Potassium Iodide Distribution in Nuclear Incidents pp. 76-93

Tianjun Feng and L. Robin Keller

On Equivalent Target-Oriented Formulations for Multiattribute Utility pp. 94-99

Ilia Tsetlin and Robert L. Winkler

Using Attributes to Predict Objectives in Preference Models pp. 100-116

John C. Butler, James S. Dyer and Jianmin Jia

Comment on Influence Diagram Retrospective pp. 117-119

Ronald A. Howard, James E. Matheson, Miley W. (Lee) Merkhofer, Allen C. Miller and D. Warner North

Volume 3, issue 1, 2006

From the Editors pp. 1-2

Robert T. Clemen and Don N. Kleinmuntz

Sequential Search with Multiattribute Options pp. 3-15

Churlzu Lim, J. Neil Bearden and J. Cole Smith

Optimal Sequential Exploration: A Binary Learning Model pp. 16-32

J. Eric Bickel and James E. Smith

Use of Decision Analysis in the Army Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) 2005 Military Value Analysis pp. 33-49

Paul L. Ewing, William Tarantino and Gregory S. Parnell

Multiobjective Value Analysis of Army Basic Training pp. 50-58

William K. Klimack and Jack M. Kloeber