Decision Analysis

2004 - 2025

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Volume 9, issue 4, 2012

From the Editors ---Brainstorming, Multiplicative Utilities, Partial Information on Probabilities or Outcomes, and Regulatory Focus pp. 297-302

L. Robin Keller, Ali Abbas, J. Eric Bickel, Vicki M. Bier, David V. Budescu, John C. Butler, Enrico Diecidue, Robin L. Dillon-Merrill, Raimo P. Hämäläinen, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl, Jason R. W. Merrick, Jay R. Simon and George Wu

Value-Focused Brainstorming pp. 303-313

Ralph L. Keeney

Multiplicative Utilities for Health and Consumption pp. 314-328

Kenneth C. Lichtendahl and Samuel E. Bodily

A Simulation-Based Approach to Decision Making with Partial Information pp. 329-347

Luis V. Montiel and J. Eric Bickel

Decision Trees with Single and Multiple Interval-Valued Objectives pp. 348-358

Kash Barker and Kaycee J. Wilson

Explaining Risk Attitude in Framing Tasks by Regulatory Focus: A Verbal Protocol Analysis and a Simulation Using Fuzzy Logic pp. 359-372

Anton Kühberger and Christian Wiener

Volume 9, issue 3, 2012

From the Editors ---Copulas, Group Preferences, Multilevel Defenders, Sharing Rewards, and Communicating Analytics pp. 213-218

L. Robin Keller and Kelly M. Kophazi

Conditionalization of Copula-Based Models pp. 219-230

Dorota Kurowicka

A Note on a Group Preference Axiomatization with Cardinal Utility pp. 231-237

Luis Dias and Paula Sarabando

Resource Allocation for Homeland Defense: Dealing with the Team Effect pp. 238-252

Andrew Samuel and Seth D. Guikema

Sharing Rewards Among Strangers Based on Peer Evaluations pp. 253-273

Arthur Carvalho and Kate Larson

Communicating Analytic Results: A Tutorial for Decision Consultants pp. 274-292

Jeffrey M. Keisler and Patrick S. Noonan

Volume 9, issue 2, 2012

From the Editors---Games and Decisions in Reliability and Risk pp. 81-85

Jason R. W. Merrick, Fabrizio Ruggeri, Refik Soyer and L. Robin Keller

Adversarial Risk Analysis: The Somali Pirates Case pp. 86-95

Juan Carlos Sevillano, David Rios Insua and Jesus Rios

Risk Measures from Risk-Reducing Experiments pp. 96-102

Philippe Delquié

Interactions Between Ageing and Risk Properties in the Analysis of Burn-in Problems pp. 103-118

Rachele Foschi and Fabio Spizzichino

Expert Judgment, Meta-analysis, and Participatory Risk Analysis pp. 119-127

Simon French

From Reliability Block Diagrams to Fault Tree Circuits pp. 128-137

Debarun Bhattacharjya and Léa A. Deleris

Formulating Asymmetric Decision Problems as Decision Circuits pp. 138-145

Debarun Bhattacharjya and Ross D. Shachter

Game Theoretical Approach for Reliable Enhanced Indexation pp. 146-155

Miguel Lejeune

Regulation Games Between Government and Competing Companies: Oil Spills and Other Disasters pp. 156-164

May Cheung and Jun Zhuang

Regulating Autonomous Agents Facing Conflicting Objectives: A Command and Control Example pp. 165-171

Jim Q. Smith and Lorraine Dodd

Modeling State-Dependent Priorities of Malicious Agents pp. 172-185

Sumitra Sri Bhashyam and Gilberto Montibeller

Games, Risks, and Analytics: Several Illustrative Cases Involving National Security and Management Situations pp. 186-203

M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell

Volume 9, issue 1, 2012

From the Editor---Decisions over Time (Exploding Offers or Purchase Regret), in Game Settings (Embedded Nash Bargaining or Adversarial Games), and in Influence Diagrams pp. 1-5

L. Robin Keller

Exploding Offers pp. 6-21

Steven A. Lippman and John W. Mamer

Dynamic Purchase Decisions Under Regret: Price and Availability pp. 22-30

Enrico Diecidue, Nils Rudi and Wenjie Tang

Embedded Nash Bargaining: Risk Aversion and Impatience pp. 31-40

Steven A. Lippman and Kevin F. McCardle

Robust Adversarial Risk Analysis: A Level- k Approach pp. 41-54

Laura McLay, Casey Rothschild and Seth Guikema

A Framework for Solving Hybrid Influence Diagrams Containing Deterministic Conditional Distributions pp. 55-75

Yijing Li and Prakash P. Shenoy

Volume 8, issue 4, 2011

From the Editors ---Probability Scoring Rules, Ambiguity, Multiattribute Terrorist Utility, and Sensitivity Analysis pp. 251-255

L. Robin Keller, Ali Abbas, J. Eric Bickel, Vicki M. Bier, David V. Budescu, John C. Butler, Philippe Delquié, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl, Jason R. W. Merrick, Ahti Salo and George Wu

Tailored Scoring Rules for Probabilities pp. 256-268

David J. Johnstone, Victor Richmond R. Jose and Robert L. Winkler

Do Bayesians Learn Their Way Out of Ambiguity? pp. 269-285

Alexander Zimper

Target-Hardening Decisions Based on Uncertain Multiattribute Terrorist Utility pp. 286-302

Chen Wang and Vicki M. Bier

A Practical Procedure for Customizable One-Way Sensitivity Analysis in Additive Value Models pp. 303-321

Stephen P. Chambal, Jeffery D. Weir, Yucel R. Kahraman and Alex J. Gutman

Volume 8, issue 3, 2011

From the Editor ---Multiattribute and Intertemporal Preferences, Probability, and Stochastic Processes: Models and Assessment pp. 165-169

L. Robin Keller

A Multiattribute Sealed-Bid Procurement Auction with Multiple Budgets for Government Vendor Selection pp. 170-179

Jay Simon and Francois Melese

The Multiattribute Utility Tree pp. 180-205

Ali E. Abbas

Quantile-Parameterized Distributions pp. 206-219

Thomas W. Keelin and Bradford W. Powley

A Discrete Time Approach for Modeling Two-Factor Mean-Reverting Stochastic Processes pp. 220-232

Warren J. Hahn and James S. Dyer

Consistency Among Elicitation Techniques for Intertemporal Choice: A Within-Subjects Investigation of the Anomalies pp. 233-246

Jeffery L. Guyse and Jay Simon

Volume 8, issue 2, 2011

From the Editors---Deterrence, Multiattribute Utility, and Probability and Bayes' Updating pp. 83-87

L. Robin Keller and Kelly M. Kophazi

Deterring the Smuggling of Nuclear Weapons in Container Freight Through Detection and Retaliation pp. 88-102

Naraphorn Haphuriwat, Vicki M. Bier and Henry H. Willis

Decomposing the Cross Derivatives of a Multiattribute Utility Function into Risk Attitude and Value pp. 103-116

Ali E. Abbas

Using Bayes' Rule to Update an Event's Probabilities Based on the Outcomes of Partially Similar Events pp. 117-127

Robert F. Bordley

Aggregating Large Sets of Probabilistic Forecasts by Weighted Coherent Adjustment pp. 128-144

Guanchun Wang, Sanjeev R. Kulkarni, H. Vincent Poor and Daniel N. Osherson

Whether to Retest the Lipids of HIV-Infected Patients: How Much Does Fasting Bias Matter? pp. 145-157

Xiting Yang, Joseph B. Kadane, Heidi M. Crane and Mari M. Kitahata

Volume 8, issue 1, 2011

Investment and Defense Strategies, Heuristics, and Games: From the Editor pp. 1-3

L. Robin Keller

Partial-Kelly Strategies and Expected Utility: Small-Edge Asymptotics pp. 4-9

Joseph B. Kadane

Psychological Heuristics for Making Inferences: Definition, Performance, and the Emerging Theory and Practice pp. 10-29

Konstantinos V. Katsikopoulos

Analysis of National Strategies to Counter a Country's Nuclear Weapons Program pp. 30-45

David J. Caswell, Ronald A. Howard and M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell

Governments' and Terrorists' Defense and Attack in a T -Period Game pp. 46-70

Kjell Hausken and Jun Zhuang

Playing Squash Against Ralph Keeney: Should Weaker Players Always Prefer Shorter Games? pp. 71-77

Jeryl L. Mumpower

Call for Papers ---Special Issue of Decision Analysis on Games and Decisions in Reliability and Risk pp. 82-82

L. Robin Keller, Refik Soyer, Fabrizio Ruggeri and Jason R. W. Merrick