Decision Analysis

2004 - 2026

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Volume 14, issue 4, 2017

Introduction to the Special Issue on Decision Analysis and Social Media pp. 227-228

Ali E. Abbas, Jay Simon and Chris Smith

Social Media Analytics: Literature Review and Directions for Future Research pp. 229-249

Ashish K. Rathore, Arpan K. Kar and P. Vigneswara Ilavarasan

Timely Decision Analysis Enabled by Efficient Social Media Modeling pp. 250-260

Theodore T. Allen, Zhenhuan Sui and Nathan L. Parker

Online and Off the Field: Predicting School Choice in College Football Recruiting from Social Media Data pp. 261-273

Kristina Gavin Bigsby, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann and Kang Zhao

Identifying Soccer Players on Facebook Through Predictive Analytics pp. 274-297

Matthias Bogaert, Michel Ballings, Martijn Hosten and Dirk Van den Poel

Volume 14, issue 3, 2017

Was Angelina Jolie Right? Optimizing Cancer Prevention Strategies Among BRCA Mutation Carriers pp. 139-169

Eike Nohdurft, Elisa Long and Stefan Spinler

In Equations We Trust? Formula Knowledge Effects on the Exponential Growth Bias in Household Finance Decisions pp. 170-186

Bryan Foltice and Thomas Langer

Value of Global Catastrophic Risk (GCR) Information: Cost-Effectiveness-Based Approach for GCR Reduction pp. 187-203

Anthony Michael Barrett

Optimal Group Size in Joint Liability Contracts pp. 204-225

Bahar Rezaei, Sriram Dasu and Reza Ahmadi

Volume 14, issue 2, 2017

A Polytomous Item Response Theory Model for Measuring Near-Miss Appraisal as a Psychological Trait pp. 75-86

Jinshu Cui, Heather Rosoff and Richard S. John

Modeling a Multitarget Attacker–Defender Game with Budget Constraints pp. 87-107

Peiqiu Guan, Meilin He, Jun Zhuang and Stephen C. Hora

Directed Expected Utility Networks pp. 108-125

Manuele Leonelli and Jim Q. Smith

Sensitivity of the Discount Rate to the Expected Payoff in Project Valuation pp. 126-136

David Johnstone

Volume 14, issue 1, 2017

Combining Interval Forecasts pp. 1-20

Anil Gaba, Ilia Tsetlin and Robert L. Winkler

Discretization Precision and Assessment Error pp. 21-34

Robert K. Hammond and J. Eric Bickel

Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distributions pp. 35-64

Christopher C. Hadlock and J. Eric Bickel

Clear Preferences Under Partial Distribution Information pp. 65-73

Chin Hon Tan and Chunling Luo

Volume 13, issue 4, 2016

An Overview of Applications of Proper Scoring Rules pp. 223-242

Arthur Carvalho

The Metalog Distributions pp. 243-277

Thomas W. Keelin

Can Novices Create Alternatives of the Same Quality as Experts? pp. 278-291

Johannes Siebert

Volume 13, issue 3, 2016

Long-Term Care Insurance Decisions pp. 173-191

Samuel E. Bodily and Bryan Furman

Equilibrium Notions for Agents with Cumulative Prospect Theory Preferences pp. 192-208

Kerim Keskin

On the Positive Expected Utility of Combination Wagers pp. 209-212

Babatunde Buraimo, David Peel and Robert Simmons

Remembering Howard Raiffa pp. 213-218

Ralph L. Keeney

The Legacy of Howard Raiffa pp. 219-220

David Bell

Volume 13, issue 2, 2016

Reducing Risk and Improving Incentives in Funding Entrepreneurs pp. 101-116

Samuel E. Bodily

Using Means Objectives to Present Risk Information pp. 117-127

Candice H. Huynh and Jay Simon

Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses pp. 128-152

Eva Chen, David V. Budescu, Shrinidhi K. Lakshmikanth, Barbara A. Mellers and Philip E. Tetlock

Goals as Reference Points: Empirical Evidence from a Virtual Reward System pp. 153-171

Tobias von Rechenberg, Dominik Gutt and Dennis Kundisch

Volume 13, issue 1, 2016

Probabilistic Warnings in National Security Crises: Pearl Harbor Revisited pp. 1-25

David M. Blum and M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell

Identifying and Structuring the Objectives of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and Its Followers pp. 26-50

Johannes Siebert, Detlof von Winterfeldt and Richard S. John

Partition Dependence and Carryover Biases in Subjective Probability Assessment Surveys for Continuous Variables: Model-Based Estimation and Correction pp. 51-67

Venkata R. Prava, Robert T. Clemen, Benjamin F. Hobbs and Melissa A. Kenney

Sequential Shortest Path Interdiction with Incomplete Information pp. 68-98

Juan S. Borrero, Oleg A. Prokopyev and Denis Sauré

Volume 12, issue 4, 2015

“Gaming the System”: Decision Making by Interdependent Critical Infrastructure pp. 155-172

Allison C. Reilly, Andrew Samuel and Seth D. Guikema

Modeling Public–Private Partnerships in Disaster Management via Centralized and Decentralized Models pp. 173-189

Peiqiu Guan and Jun Zhuang

Equal Tails: A Simple Method to Elicit Utility Under Violations of Expected Utility pp. 190-204

Manel Baucells and Antonio Villasís

Theory of Generalized Risk Attitudes pp. 205-227

Janne Gustafsson

Volume 12, issue 3, 2015

Search Before Trade-offs Are Known pp. 105-121

Otso Massala and Ilia Tsetlin

Use of Insurance Against a Small Loss as an Incentive Strategy pp. 122-129

Daniella Meeker, Christin Thompson, Greg Strylewicz, Tara K. Knight and Jason Doctor

The Composition of Optimally Wise Crowds pp. 130-143

Clintin P. Davis-Stober, David V. Budescu, Stephen B. Broomell and Jason Dana

The Impact of Learning by Thought on Violations of Independence and Coalescing pp. 144-152

Michael H. Birnbaum and Ulrich Schmidt

Volume 12, issue 2, 2015

Possibility Engineering pp. 61-73

James C. Felli

Weighted Almost Stochastic Dominance: Revealing the Preferences of Most Decision Makers in the St. Petersburg Paradox pp. 74-80

Chin Hon Tan

Air Force Cyberspace Investment Analysis pp. 81-95

Gregory S. Parnell, Rudolph E. Butler, Stephen J. Wichmann, Mike Tedeschi and David Merritt

An Empirical Examination of Multiple Objective Risk Attitudes pp. 96-103

William K. Klimack, Jack M. Kloeber, Kenneth W. Bauer and Mark E. Oxley

Volume 12, issue 1, 2015

Nonconvex Equilibrium Prices in Prediction Markets pp. 1-14

Ashwin K. Seshadri

Project Management Decisions with Uncertain Targets pp. 15-28

Jeffrey M. Keisler and Robert F. Bordley

Collaborative Decision Making pp. 29-45

Daniel Owen

Deciding on the Decision Situation to Analyze: The Critical First Step of a Decision Analysis pp. 46-58

Roberto Ley-Borrás

Volume 11, issue 4, 2014

Multiattribute Procurement Auctions: Efficiency and Social Welfare in Theory and Practice pp. 215-232

Gregory E. Kersten

Decomposing a Utility Function Based on Discrete Distribution Independence pp. 233-249

Ying He, James S. Dyer and John C. Butler

Augmented Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation for Two-Stage Stochastic Programs with Recourse pp. 250-264

Tahir Ekin, Nicholas G. Polson and Refik Soyer

Pancreatic Cancer: Insights from Counterterrorism Theories pp. 265-276

Mary F. McGuire

Volume 11, issue 3, 2014

A Generalized Sampling Approach for Multilinear Utility Functions Given Partial Preference Information pp. 147-170

Luis V. Montiel and J. Eric Bickel

Exploding Offers Can Blow Up in More Than One Way pp. 171-188

Nelson Lau, Yakov Bart, J. Neil Bearden and Ilia Tsetlin

The Value of Information in Some Variations of the Stopping Problem pp. 189-203

Debarun Bhattacharjya and Léa A. Deleris

Reducing Interval-Valued Decision Trees to Conventional Ones: Comments on Decision Trees with Single and Multiple Interval-Valued Objectives pp. 204-212

Yongzhi Cao

Volume 11, issue 2, 2014

Scale Dependence and Ranking Intervals in Additive Value Models Under Incomplete Preference Information pp. 83-104

Antti Punkka and Ahti Salo

Decision Performance and Safety Performance: A Value-Focused Thinking Study in the Oil Industry pp. 105-116

Jason R. W. Merrick and Martha Grabowski

A Value-Focused Approach to Energy Transformation in the United States Department of Defense pp. 117-132

Jay Simon, Eva Regnier and Laura Whitney

Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme pp. 133-145

Jonathan Baron, Barbara A. Mellers, Philip E. Tetlock, Eric Stone and Lyle H. Ungar

Volume 11, issue 1, 2014

Measurable Multiattribute Value Functions for Portfolio Decision Analysis pp. 1-20

Juuso Liesiö

Augmenting Ordinal Methods of Attribute Weight Approximation pp. 21-26

Mats Danielson, Love Ekenberg and Ying He

Evolving Risk Perceptions About Near-Miss Terrorist Events pp. 27-42

Robin L. Dillon, Catherine H. Tinsley and William J. Burns

Modeling Credible Retaliation Threats in Deterring the Smuggling of Nuclear Weapons Using Partial Inspection---A Three-Stage Game pp. 43-62

Xiaojun (Gene) Shan and Jun Zhuang

Improving the Value of Analysis for Biosurveillance pp. 63-81

Henry H. Willis and Melinda Moore