Decision Analysis

2004 - 2025

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Volume 18, issue 4, 2021

From the Editor: 2020 Inaugural Clemen–Kleinmuntz Decision Analysis Best Paper Award pp. 245-246

Vicki M. Bier

On (Measurable) Multiattribute Value Functions: An Expository Argument pp. 247-256

James E. Smith and James S. Dyer

Microfoundations of Discounting pp. 257-272

Alexander Adamou, Yonatan Berman, Diomides Mavroyiannis and Ole Peters

Preference–Approval Structures in Group Decision Making: Axiomatic Distance and Aggregation pp. 273-295

Yucheng Dong, Yao Li, Ying He and Xia Chen

A New Binary Programming Formulation and Social Choice Property for Kemeny Rank Aggregation pp. 296-320

Yeawon Yoo and Adolfo R. Escobedo

Numerical Solution of Asymmetric Auctions pp. 321-334

Timothy C. Au, David Banks and Yi Guo

Call for Papers on Decision Analysis to Further Environmental Sustainability pp. 335-336

Vicki Bier

Volume 18, issue 3, 2021

Scoring Probability Forecasts by a User’s Bets Against a Market Consensus pp. 169-184

David Johnstone, Stewart Jones, Oliver Jones and Steve Tulig

Adversarial Risk Analysis for Auctions Using Mirror Equilibrium and Bayes Nash Equilibrium pp. 185-202

Muhammad Ejaz, Stephen Joe and Chaitanya Joshi

Statistical Process Control for the Number of Defectives with Limited Memory pp. 203-217

Barry R. Cobb

Sequential Shortest Path Interdiction with Incomplete Information and Limited Feedback pp. 218-244

Jing Yang, Juan S. Borrero, Oleg A. Prokopyev and Denis Sauré

Volume 18, issue 2, 2021

Friction and Decision Rules in Portfolio Decision Analysis pp. 101-120

Gary J. Summers

Decisions on Probabilistic Selling for Consumers with Different Risk Attitudes pp. 121-138

Yeu-Shiang Huang, Tzu-Yi Wu, Chih-Chiang Fang and Tzu-Liang (Bill) Tseng

Project Valuation: Price Forecasts Bound to Discount Rates pp. 139-152

Babak Jafarizadeh and Reidar B. Bratvold

Stochastic Superiority Equilibrium in Game Theory pp. 153-168

Ali Yekkehkhany, Timothy Murray and Rakesh Nagi

Volume 18, issue 1, 2021

Collective Choice May Tell Nothing About Anyone’s Individual Preferences pp. 1-24

Muye Chen, Michel Regenwetter and Clintin P. Davis-Stober

An Adversarial Risk Analysis Framework for Batch Acceptance Problems pp. 25-40

Jorge González-Ortega, Refik Soyer, David Ríos Insua and Fabrizio Ruggeri

Basic Geometric Dispersion Theory of Decision Making Under Risk: Asymmetric Risk Relativity, New Predictions of Empirical Behaviors, and Risk Triad pp. 41-77

Behnam Malakooti, Mohamed Komaki and Camelia Al-Najjar

Quantile Judgments of Lognormal Losses: An Experimental Investigation pp. 78-99

Sulian Wang and Chen Wang

Volume 17, issue 4, 2020

Optimal Off-line Experimentation for Games pp. 277-298

Theodore T. Allen, Olivia K. Hernand and Abdullah Alomair

The Valuator’s Curse: Decision Analysis of Overvaluation and Disappointment in Acquisition pp. 299-313

Onesun Steve Yoo and Kevin McCardle

Eliciting Risk Preferences and Elasticity of Substitution pp. 314-329

Johan Burgaard and Mogens Steffensen

Using Value-Focused Thinking and Multicriteria Decision Making to Evaluate Energy Transition Alternatives pp. 330-355

Tim H¨ofer, Rüdiger von Nitzsch and Reinhard Madlener

Assessing and Forecasting Cybersecurity Impacts pp. 356-374

Aitor Couce-Vieira, David Rios Insua and Alex Kosgodagan

Volume 17, issue 3, 2020

From the Editor: Advances in Multi-Agent Decision Making pp. 187-188

Vicki M. Bier

Interdependent Altruistic Preference Models pp. 189-207

Jay Simon, Donald Saari and Donald Saari

Fire Code Inspection and Compliance: A Game-Theoretic Model Between Fire Inspection Agencies and Building Owners pp. 208-226

Puneet Agarwal, Kyle Hunt, Shivasubramanian Srinivasan and Jun Zhuang

Skills, Efficiency, and Timing in a Simple Attack and Defense Model pp. 227-234

Nicola Dimitri

Managing Security Outsourcing in the Presence of Strategic Hackers pp. 235-259

Yong Wu, Junlin Duan, Tao Dai and Dong Cheng

Discussion of the Competitive Strategies of Telecom Operators and Over-the-Top Service Providers from the Perspective of Evolutionary Game Theory pp. 260-275

Hsi Tse Wang

Volume 17, issue 2, 2020

Comparative Analysis of Terrorists’ Objectives Hierarchies pp. 97-114

Johannes Ulrich Siebert and Detlof von Winterfeldt

Additive Scoring Rules for Discrete Sample Spaces pp. 115-133

Zachary J. Smith and J. Eric Bickel

Value of Information Analysis for Complex Simulator Models: Application to Wind Farm Maintenance pp. 134-153

Hans Olav Vogt Myklebust, Jo Eidsvik, Iver Bakken Sperstad and Debarun Bhattacharjya

Valuation of Research and Development Projects Using Buying and Selling Prices: Generalized Definitions pp. 154-168

Janne Gustafsson

Almost Stochastic Dominance for Most Risk-Averse Decision Makers pp. 169-184

Chunling Luo and Chin Hon Tan

Call for Papers on Emerging Topics in Health Decision Analysis pp. 185-185

Elisa Long, Gilberto Montibeller and Jun Zhuang

Volume 17, issue 1, 2020

From the Editors: Decision Analysis Focus and Trends pp. 1-8

Vicki M. Bier and Simon French

What Is Six Hours Worth? The Impact of Lead Time on Tropical-Storm Preparation Decisions pp. 9-23

Eva D. Regnier

Valuing Sequences of Lives Lost or Saved Over Time: Preference for Uniform Sequences pp. 24-38

Jeffery L. Guyse, L. Robin Keller and Candice H. Huynh

A Review of Probabilistic Opinion Pooling Algorithms with Application to Insider Threat Detection pp. 39-55

Jared A. Beekman, Ronald F. A. Woodaman and Dennis M. Buede

Open Source or Closed Source? A Competitive Analysis with Software Security pp. 56-73

Xing Gao

On Bilevel Optimization with Inexact Follower pp. 74-95

M. Hosein Zare, Oleg A. Prokopyev and Denis Sauré

Volume 16, issue 4, 2019

Probability Forecasts and Their Combination: A Research Perspective pp. 239-260

Robert L. Winkler, Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl and Victor Richmond R. Jose

Misperception of Exponential Growth: Are People Aware of Their Errors? pp. 261-280

Henning Cordes, Bryan Foltice and Thomas Langer

Sparse Probability Assessment Heuristic Based on Orthogonal Matching Pursuit pp. 281-300

Tao Huang and J. Eric Bickel

A Probability Scoring Rule for Simultaneous Events pp. 301-313

Andrew Grant, David Johnstone and Oh Kang Kwon

Computational Efficiency in Multivariate Adversarial Risk Analysis Models pp. 314-332

Michael Perry and Hadi El-Amine

Volume 16, issue 3, 2019

Characterizing Conflicting User Values for Cyber Authentication Using a Virtual Public Values Forum pp. 157-171

Sarah Kusumastuti, Heather Rosoff and Richard S. John

Information Sharing in Cybersecurity: A Review pp. 172-196

Ali Pala and Jun Zhuang

Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments pp. 197-217

Yuyu Fan, David V. Budescu, David Mandel and Mark Himmelstein

Archimedean Utility Copulas with Polynomial Generating Functions pp. 218-237

Ali E. Abbas and Zhengwei Sun

Volume 16, issue 2, 2019

Gulf Coast Port Selection Using Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis pp. 87-104

Rivelino R. De Icaza, Gregory S. Parnell and Edward A. Pohl

Principal–Agent Theory, Game Theory, and the Precautionary Principle pp. 105-127

Kjell Hausken

The Myopic Property in Decision Models pp. 128-141

Manel Baucells and Rakesh K. Sarin

On the Geometry of Nash and Correlated Equilibria with Cumulative Prospect Theoretic Preferences pp. 142-156

Soham R. Phade and Venkat Anantharam

Volume 16, issue 1, 2019

Optimizing Choice Architectures pp. 2-30

Mark Schneider, Cary Deck, Mikhael Shor, Tibor Besedes and Sudipta Sarangi

Securing Gates of a Protected Area: A Hybrid Game and Queueing Theory Modeling Approach pp. 31-45

Yael Deutsch and Boaz Golany

Two-Stage Invest–Defend Game: Balancing Strategic and Operational Decisions pp. 46-66

Abdolmajid Yolmeh and Melike Baykal-Gürsoy

The Generalized Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distribution System pp. 67-85

Christopher C. Hadlock and J. Eric Bickel