Decision Analysis

2004 - 2026

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Volume 17, issue 4, 2020

Optimal Off-line Experimentation for Games pp. 277-298

Theodore T. Allen, Olivia K. Hernand and Abdullah Alomair

The Valuator’s Curse: Decision Analysis of Overvaluation and Disappointment in Acquisition pp. 299-313

Onesun Steve Yoo and Kevin McCardle

Eliciting Risk Preferences and Elasticity of Substitution pp. 314-329

Johan Burgaard and Mogens Steffensen

Using Value-Focused Thinking and Multicriteria Decision Making to Evaluate Energy Transition Alternatives pp. 330-355

Tim H¨ofer, Rüdiger von Nitzsch and Reinhard Madlener

Assessing and Forecasting Cybersecurity Impacts pp. 356-374

Aitor Couce-Vieira, David Rios Insua and Alex Kosgodagan

Volume 17, issue 3, 2020

From the Editor: Advances in Multi-Agent Decision Making pp. 187-188

Vicki M. Bier

Interdependent Altruistic Preference Models pp. 189-207

Jay Simon, Donald Saari and Donald Saari

Fire Code Inspection and Compliance: A Game-Theoretic Model Between Fire Inspection Agencies and Building Owners pp. 208-226

Puneet Agarwal, Kyle Hunt, Shivasubramanian Srinivasan and Jun Zhuang

Skills, Efficiency, and Timing in a Simple Attack and Defense Model pp. 227-234

Nicola Dimitri

Managing Security Outsourcing in the Presence of Strategic Hackers pp. 235-259

Yong Wu, Junlin Duan, Tao Dai and Dong Cheng

Discussion of the Competitive Strategies of Telecom Operators and Over-the-Top Service Providers from the Perspective of Evolutionary Game Theory pp. 260-275

Hsi Tse Wang

Volume 17, issue 2, 2020

Comparative Analysis of Terrorists’ Objectives Hierarchies pp. 97-114

Johannes Ulrich Siebert and Detlof von Winterfeldt

Additive Scoring Rules for Discrete Sample Spaces pp. 115-133

Zachary J. Smith and J. Eric Bickel

Value of Information Analysis for Complex Simulator Models: Application to Wind Farm Maintenance pp. 134-153

Hans Olav Vogt Myklebust, Jo Eidsvik, Iver Bakken Sperstad and Debarun Bhattacharjya

Valuation of Research and Development Projects Using Buying and Selling Prices: Generalized Definitions pp. 154-168

Janne Gustafsson

Almost Stochastic Dominance for Most Risk-Averse Decision Makers pp. 169-184

Chunling Luo and Chin Hon Tan

Call for Papers on Emerging Topics in Health Decision Analysis pp. 185-185

Elisa Long, Gilberto Montibeller and Jun Zhuang

Volume 17, issue 1, 2020

From the Editors: Decision Analysis Focus and Trends pp. 1-8

Vicki M. Bier and Simon French

What Is Six Hours Worth? The Impact of Lead Time on Tropical-Storm Preparation Decisions pp. 9-23

Eva D. Regnier

Valuing Sequences of Lives Lost or Saved Over Time: Preference for Uniform Sequences pp. 24-38

Jeffery L. Guyse, L. Robin Keller and Candice H. Huynh

A Review of Probabilistic Opinion Pooling Algorithms with Application to Insider Threat Detection pp. 39-55

Jared A. Beekman, Ronald F. A. Woodaman and Dennis M. Buede

Open Source or Closed Source? A Competitive Analysis with Software Security pp. 56-73

Xing Gao

On Bilevel Optimization with Inexact Follower pp. 74-95

M. Hosein Zare, Oleg A. Prokopyev and Denis Sauré

Volume 16, issue 4, 2019

Probability Forecasts and Their Combination: A Research Perspective pp. 239-260

Robert L. Winkler, Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl and Victor Richmond R. Jose

Misperception of Exponential Growth: Are People Aware of Their Errors? pp. 261-280

Henning Cordes, Bryan Foltice and Thomas Langer

Sparse Probability Assessment Heuristic Based on Orthogonal Matching Pursuit pp. 281-300

Tao Huang and J. Eric Bickel

A Probability Scoring Rule for Simultaneous Events pp. 301-313

Andrew Grant, David Johnstone and Oh Kang Kwon

Computational Efficiency in Multivariate Adversarial Risk Analysis Models pp. 314-332

Michael Perry and Hadi El-Amine

Volume 16, issue 3, 2019

Characterizing Conflicting User Values for Cyber Authentication Using a Virtual Public Values Forum pp. 157-171

Sarah Kusumastuti, Heather Rosoff and Richard S. John

Information Sharing in Cybersecurity: A Review pp. 172-196

Ali Pala and Jun Zhuang

Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments pp. 197-217

Yuyu Fan, David V. Budescu, David Mandel and Mark Himmelstein

Archimedean Utility Copulas with Polynomial Generating Functions pp. 218-237

Ali E. Abbas and Zhengwei Sun

Volume 16, issue 2, 2019

Gulf Coast Port Selection Using Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis pp. 87-104

Rivelino R. De Icaza, Gregory S. Parnell and Edward A. Pohl

Principal–Agent Theory, Game Theory, and the Precautionary Principle pp. 105-127

Kjell Hausken

The Myopic Property in Decision Models pp. 128-141

Manel Baucells and Rakesh K. Sarin

On the Geometry of Nash and Correlated Equilibria with Cumulative Prospect Theoretic Preferences pp. 142-156

Soham R. Phade and Venkat Anantharam

Volume 16, issue 1, 2019

Optimizing Choice Architectures pp. 2-30

Mark Schneider, Cary Deck, Mikhael Shor, Tibor Besedes and Sudipta Sarangi

Securing Gates of a Protected Area: A Hybrid Game and Queueing Theory Modeling Approach pp. 31-45

Yael Deutsch and Boaz Golany

Two-Stage Invest–Defend Game: Balancing Strategic and Operational Decisions pp. 46-66

Abdolmajid Yolmeh and Melike Baykal-Gürsoy

The Generalized Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distribution System pp. 67-85

Christopher C. Hadlock and J. Eric Bickel

Volume 15, issue 4, 2018

A Probability Model for Strategic Bidding on “The Price Is Right” pp. 195-207

Paul H. Kvam

Decision Analysis and Political Processes pp. 208-222

Simon French and Nikolaos Argyris

Eliciting Public Risk Preferences in Emergency Situations pp. 223-241

Ehsan Taheri and Chen Wang

Moment Risks: Investment for Self and for a Firm pp. 242-266

François Desmoulins-Lebeault and Luc Meunier

Volume 15, issue 3, 2018

Partnership Dissolution: Information and Efficiency+ pp. 133-138

Yuri Khoroshilov

The Hurwicz Decision Rule’s Relationship to Decision Making with the Triangle and Beta Distributions and Exponential Utility pp. 139-153

Sarat Sivaprasad and Cameron A. MacKenzie

Insights for Critical Alarm-Based Warning Systems from a Risk Analysis of Commercial Aviation Passenger Screening pp. 154-173

Robin L. Dillon, William J. Burns and Richard S. John

Role of Intelligence Inputs in Defending Against Cyber Warfare and Cyberterrorism pp. 174-193

Aniruddha Bagchi and Tridib Bandyopadhyay

Volume 15, issue 2, 2018

Modeling and Validating Public–Private Partnerships in Disaster Management pp. 55-71

Peiqiu Guan, Jing Zhang, Vineet M. Payyappalli and Jun Zhuang

On the Road to Making Science of “Art”: Risk Bias in Market Scoring Rules pp. 72-89

Majid Karimi and Stanko Dimitrov

When Hackers Err: The Impacts of False Positives on Information Security Games pp. 90-109

Bin Mai and Shailesh Kulkarni

Eliminating the Weakest Link Approach to Army Unit Readiness pp. 110-130

Paul L. Goethals and Natalie M. Scala

Volume 15, issue 1, 2018

Participation Costs and Inefficiency in Takeover Contests pp. 1-10

Didier Dègnidé Hounwanou

When to Release Feedback in a Dynamic Tournament pp. 11-26

Brendan Daley and Ruoyu Wang

Impact of Compound and Reduced Specification on Valuation of Projects with Multiple Risks pp. 27-46

Saurabh Bansal and Yaroslav Rosokha

Kelly Betting on Horse Races with Uncertainty in Probability Estimates pp. 47-52

Michael R. Metel