Decision Analysis

2004 - 2025

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Volume 15, issue 4, 2018

A Probability Model for Strategic Bidding on “The Price Is Right” pp. 195-207

Paul H. Kvam

Decision Analysis and Political Processes pp. 208-222

Simon French and Nikolaos Argyris

Eliciting Public Risk Preferences in Emergency Situations pp. 223-241

Ehsan Taheri and Chen Wang

Moment Risks: Investment for Self and for a Firm pp. 242-266

François Desmoulins-Lebeault and Luc Meunier

Volume 15, issue 3, 2018

Partnership Dissolution: Information and Efficiency+ pp. 133-138

Yuri Khoroshilov

The Hurwicz Decision Rule’s Relationship to Decision Making with the Triangle and Beta Distributions and Exponential Utility pp. 139-153

Sarat Sivaprasad and Cameron A. MacKenzie

Insights for Critical Alarm-Based Warning Systems from a Risk Analysis of Commercial Aviation Passenger Screening pp. 154-173

Robin L. Dillon, William J. Burns and Richard S. John

Role of Intelligence Inputs in Defending Against Cyber Warfare and Cyberterrorism pp. 174-193

Aniruddha Bagchi and Tridib Bandyopadhyay

Volume 15, issue 2, 2018

Modeling and Validating Public–Private Partnerships in Disaster Management pp. 55-71

Peiqiu Guan, Jing Zhang, Vineet M. Payyappalli and Jun Zhuang

On the Road to Making Science of “Art”: Risk Bias in Market Scoring Rules pp. 72-89

Majid Karimi and Stanko Dimitrov

When Hackers Err: The Impacts of False Positives on Information Security Games pp. 90-109

Bin Mai and Shailesh Kulkarni

Eliminating the Weakest Link Approach to Army Unit Readiness pp. 110-130

Paul L. Goethals and Natalie M. Scala

Volume 15, issue 1, 2018

Participation Costs and Inefficiency in Takeover Contests pp. 1-10

Didier Dègnidé Hounwanou

When to Release Feedback in a Dynamic Tournament pp. 11-26

Brendan Daley and Ruoyu Wang

Impact of Compound and Reduced Specification on Valuation of Projects with Multiple Risks pp. 27-46

Saurabh Bansal and Yaroslav Rosokha

Kelly Betting on Horse Races with Uncertainty in Probability Estimates pp. 47-52

Michael R. Metel

Volume 14, issue 4, 2017

Introduction to the Special Issue on Decision Analysis and Social Media pp. 227-228

Ali E. Abbas, Jay Simon and Chris Smith

Social Media Analytics: Literature Review and Directions for Future Research pp. 229-249

Ashish K. Rathore, Arpan K. Kar and P. Vigneswara Ilavarasan

Timely Decision Analysis Enabled by Efficient Social Media Modeling pp. 250-260

Theodore T. Allen, Zhenhuan Sui and Nathan L. Parker

Online and Off the Field: Predicting School Choice in College Football Recruiting from Social Media Data pp. 261-273

Kristina Gavin Bigsby, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann and Kang Zhao

Identifying Soccer Players on Facebook Through Predictive Analytics pp. 274-297

Matthias Bogaert, Michel Ballings, Martijn Hosten and Dirk Van den Poel

Volume 14, issue 3, 2017

Was Angelina Jolie Right? Optimizing Cancer Prevention Strategies Among BRCA Mutation Carriers pp. 139-169

Eike Nohdurft, Elisa Long and Stefan Spinler

In Equations We Trust? Formula Knowledge Effects on the Exponential Growth Bias in Household Finance Decisions pp. 170-186

Bryan Foltice and Thomas Langer

Value of Global Catastrophic Risk (GCR) Information: Cost-Effectiveness-Based Approach for GCR Reduction pp. 187-203

Anthony Michael Barrett

Optimal Group Size in Joint Liability Contracts pp. 204-225

Bahar Rezaei, Sriram Dasu and Reza Ahmadi

Volume 14, issue 2, 2017

A Polytomous Item Response Theory Model for Measuring Near-Miss Appraisal as a Psychological Trait pp. 75-86

Jinshu Cui, Heather Rosoff and Richard S. John

Modeling a Multitarget Attacker–Defender Game with Budget Constraints pp. 87-107

Peiqiu Guan, Meilin He, Jun Zhuang and Stephen C. Hora

Directed Expected Utility Networks pp. 108-125

Manuele Leonelli and Jim Q. Smith

Sensitivity of the Discount Rate to the Expected Payoff in Project Valuation pp. 126-136

David Johnstone

Volume 14, issue 1, 2017

Combining Interval Forecasts pp. 1-20

Anil Gaba, Ilia Tsetlin and Robert L. Winkler

Discretization Precision and Assessment Error pp. 21-34

Robert K. Hammond and J. Eric Bickel

Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distributions pp. 35-64

Christopher C. Hadlock and J. Eric Bickel

Clear Preferences Under Partial Distribution Information pp. 65-73

Chin Hon Tan and Chunling Luo

Volume 13, issue 4, 2016

An Overview of Applications of Proper Scoring Rules pp. 223-242

Arthur Carvalho

The Metalog Distributions pp. 243-277

Thomas W. Keelin

Can Novices Create Alternatives of the Same Quality as Experts? pp. 278-291

Johannes Siebert

Volume 13, issue 3, 2016

Long-Term Care Insurance Decisions pp. 173-191

Samuel E. Bodily and Bryan Furman

Equilibrium Notions for Agents with Cumulative Prospect Theory Preferences pp. 192-208

Kerim Keskin

On the Positive Expected Utility of Combination Wagers pp. 209-212

Babatunde Buraimo, David Peel and Rob Simmons

Remembering Howard Raiffa pp. 213-218

Ralph L. Keeney

The Legacy of Howard Raiffa pp. 219-220

David Bell

Volume 13, issue 2, 2016

Reducing Risk and Improving Incentives in Funding Entrepreneurs pp. 101-116

Samuel E. Bodily

Using Means Objectives to Present Risk Information pp. 117-127

Candice H. Huynh and Jay Simon

Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses pp. 128-152

Eva Chen, David V. Budescu, Shrinidhi K. Lakshmikanth, Barbara A. Mellers and Philip E. Tetlock

Goals as Reference Points: Empirical Evidence from a Virtual Reward System pp. 153-171

Tobias von Rechenberg, Dominik Gutt and Dennis Kundisch

Volume 13, issue 1, 2016

Probabilistic Warnings in National Security Crises: Pearl Harbor Revisited pp. 1-25

David M. Blum and M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell

Identifying and Structuring the Objectives of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and Its Followers pp. 26-50

Johannes Siebert, Detlof von Winterfeldt and Richard S. John

Partition Dependence and Carryover Biases in Subjective Probability Assessment Surveys for Continuous Variables: Model-Based Estimation and Correction pp. 51-67

Venkata R. Prava, Robert T. Clemen, Benjamin F. Hobbs and Melissa A. Kenney

Sequential Shortest Path Interdiction with Incomplete Information pp. 68-98

Juan S. Borrero, Oleg A. Prokopyev and Denis Sauré

Volume 12, issue 4, 2015

“Gaming the System”: Decision Making by Interdependent Critical Infrastructure pp. 155-172

Allison C. Reilly, Andrew Samuel and Seth D. Guikema

Modeling Public–Private Partnerships in Disaster Management via Centralized and Decentralized Models pp. 173-189

Peiqiu Guan and Jun Zhuang

Equal Tails: A Simple Method to Elicit Utility Under Violations of Expected Utility pp. 190-204

Manel Baucells and Antonio Villasís

Theory of Generalized Risk Attitudes pp. 205-227

Janne Gustafsson

Volume 12, issue 3, 2015

Search Before Trade-offs Are Known pp. 105-121

Otso Massala and Ilia Tsetlin

Use of Insurance Against a Small Loss as an Incentive Strategy pp. 122-129

Daniella Meeker, Christin Thompson, Greg Strylewicz, Tara K. Knight and Jason Doctor

The Composition of Optimally Wise Crowds pp. 130-143

Clintin P. Davis-Stober, David V. Budescu, Stephen B. Broomell and Jason Dana

The Impact of Learning by Thought on Violations of Independence and Coalescing pp. 144-152

Michael H. Birnbaum and Ulrich Schmidt

Volume 12, issue 2, 2015

Possibility Engineering pp. 61-73

James C. Felli

Weighted Almost Stochastic Dominance: Revealing the Preferences of Most Decision Makers in the St. Petersburg Paradox pp. 74-80

Chin Hon Tan

Air Force Cyberspace Investment Analysis pp. 81-95

Gregory S. Parnell, Rudolph E. Butler, Stephen J. Wichmann, Mike Tedeschi and David Merritt

An Empirical Examination of Multiple Objective Risk Attitudes pp. 96-103

William K. Klimack, Jack M. Kloeber, Kenneth W. Bauer and Mark E. Oxley

Volume 12, issue 1, 2015

Nonconvex Equilibrium Prices in Prediction Markets pp. 1-14

Ashwin K. Seshadri

Project Management Decisions with Uncertain Targets pp. 15-28

Jeffrey M. Keisler and Robert F. Bordley

Collaborative Decision Making pp. 29-45

Daniel Owen

Deciding on the Decision Situation to Analyze: The Critical First Step of a Decision Analysis pp. 46-58

Roberto Ley-Borrás