Decision Analysis

2004 - 2025

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Probability Forecasts and Their Combination: A Research Perspective pp. 239-260: Robert L. Winkler, Yael Grushka-Cockayne, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl and Victor Richmond R. Jose
Misperception of Exponential Growth: Are People Aware of Their Errors? pp. 261-280: Henning Cordes, Bryan Foltice and Thomas Langer
Sparse Probability Assessment Heuristic Based on Orthogonal Matching Pursuit pp. 281-300: Tao Huang and J. Eric Bickel
A Probability Scoring Rule for Simultaneous Events pp. 301-313: Andrew Grant, David Johnstone and Oh Kang Kwon
Computational Efficiency in Multivariate Adversarial Risk Analysis Models pp. 314-332: Michael Perry and Hadi El-Amine

Characterizing Conflicting User Values for Cyber Authentication Using a Virtual Public Values Forum pp. 157-171: Sarah Kusumastuti, Heather Rosoff and Richard S. John
Information Sharing in Cybersecurity: A Review pp. 172-196: Ali Pala and Jun Zhuang
Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments pp. 197-217: Yuyu Fan, David V. Budescu, David Mandel and Mark Himmelstein
Archimedean Utility Copulas with Polynomial Generating Functions pp. 218-237: Ali E. Abbas and Zhengwei Sun

Gulf Coast Port Selection Using Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis pp. 87-104: Rivelino R. De Icaza, Gregory S. Parnell and Edward A. Pohl
Principal–Agent Theory, Game Theory, and the Precautionary Principle pp. 105-127: Kjell Hausken
The Myopic Property in Decision Models pp. 128-141: Manel Baucells and Rakesh K. Sarin
On the Geometry of Nash and Correlated Equilibria with Cumulative Prospect Theoretic Preferences pp. 142-156: Soham R. Phade and Venkat Anantharam

Optimizing Choice Architectures pp. 2-30: Mark Schneider, Cary Deck, Mikhael Shor, Tibor Besedes and Sudipta Sarangi
Securing Gates of a Protected Area: A Hybrid Game and Queueing Theory Modeling Approach pp. 31-45: Yael Deutsch and Boaz Golany
Two-Stage Invest–Defend Game: Balancing Strategic and Operational Decisions pp. 46-66: Abdolmajid Yolmeh and Melike Baykal-Gürsoy
The Generalized Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distribution System pp. 67-85: Christopher C. Hadlock and J. Eric Bickel

A Probability Model for Strategic Bidding on “The Price Is Right” pp. 195-207: Paul H. Kvam
Decision Analysis and Political Processes pp. 208-222: Simon French and Nikolaos Argyris
Eliciting Public Risk Preferences in Emergency Situations pp. 223-241: Ehsan Taheri and Chen Wang
Moment Risks: Investment for Self and for a Firm pp. 242-266: François Desmoulins-Lebeault and Luc Meunier

Partnership Dissolution: Information and Efficiency+ pp. 133-138: Yuri Khoroshilov
The Hurwicz Decision Rule’s Relationship to Decision Making with the Triangle and Beta Distributions and Exponential Utility pp. 139-153: Sarat Sivaprasad and Cameron A. MacKenzie
Insights for Critical Alarm-Based Warning Systems from a Risk Analysis of Commercial Aviation Passenger Screening pp. 154-173: Robin L. Dillon, William J. Burns and Richard S. John
Role of Intelligence Inputs in Defending Against Cyber Warfare and Cyberterrorism pp. 174-193: Aniruddha Bagchi and Tridib Bandyopadhyay

Modeling and Validating Public–Private Partnerships in Disaster Management pp. 55-71: Peiqiu Guan, Jing Zhang, Vineet M. Payyappalli and Jun Zhuang
On the Road to Making Science of “Art”: Risk Bias in Market Scoring Rules pp. 72-89: Majid Karimi and Stanko Dimitrov
When Hackers Err: The Impacts of False Positives on Information Security Games pp. 90-109: Bin Mai and Shailesh Kulkarni
Eliminating the Weakest Link Approach to Army Unit Readiness pp. 110-130: Paul L. Goethals and Natalie M. Scala

Participation Costs and Inefficiency in Takeover Contests pp. 1-10: Didier Dègnidé Hounwanou
When to Release Feedback in a Dynamic Tournament pp. 11-26: Brendan Daley and Ruoyu Wang
Impact of Compound and Reduced Specification on Valuation of Projects with Multiple Risks pp. 27-46: Saurabh Bansal and Yaroslav Rosokha
Kelly Betting on Horse Races with Uncertainty in Probability Estimates pp. 47-52: Michael R. Metel

Introduction to the Special Issue on Decision Analysis and Social Media pp. 227-228: Ali E. Abbas, Jay Simon and Chris Smith
Social Media Analytics: Literature Review and Directions for Future Research pp. 229-249: Ashish K. Rathore, Arpan K. Kar and P. Vigneswara Ilavarasan
Timely Decision Analysis Enabled by Efficient Social Media Modeling pp. 250-260: Theodore T. Allen, Zhenhuan Sui and Nathan L. Parker
Online and Off the Field: Predicting School Choice in College Football Recruiting from Social Media Data pp. 261-273: Kristina Gavin Bigsby, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann and Kang Zhao
Identifying Soccer Players on Facebook Through Predictive Analytics pp. 274-297: Matthias Bogaert, Michel Ballings, Martijn Hosten and Dirk Van den Poel

Was Angelina Jolie Right? Optimizing Cancer Prevention Strategies Among BRCA Mutation Carriers pp. 139-169: Eike Nohdurft, Elisa Long and Stefan Spinler
In Equations We Trust? Formula Knowledge Effects on the Exponential Growth Bias in Household Finance Decisions pp. 170-186: Bryan Foltice and Thomas Langer
Value of Global Catastrophic Risk (GCR) Information: Cost-Effectiveness-Based Approach for GCR Reduction pp. 187-203: Anthony Michael Barrett
Optimal Group Size in Joint Liability Contracts pp. 204-225: Bahar Rezaei, Sriram Dasu and Reza Ahmadi

A Polytomous Item Response Theory Model for Measuring Near-Miss Appraisal as a Psychological Trait pp. 75-86: Jinshu Cui, Heather Rosoff and Richard S. John
Modeling a Multitarget Attacker–Defender Game with Budget Constraints pp. 87-107: Peiqiu Guan, Meilin He, Jun Zhuang and Stephen C. Hora
Directed Expected Utility Networks pp. 108-125: Manuele Leonelli and Jim Q. Smith
Sensitivity of the Discount Rate to the Expected Payoff in Project Valuation pp. 126-136: David Johnstone

Combining Interval Forecasts pp. 1-20: Anil Gaba, Ilia Tsetlin and Robert L. Winkler
Discretization Precision and Assessment Error pp. 21-34: Robert K. Hammond and J. Eric Bickel
Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distributions pp. 35-64: Christopher C. Hadlock and J. Eric Bickel
Clear Preferences Under Partial Distribution Information pp. 65-73: Chin Hon Tan and Chunling Luo