Working Paper Series

From Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government
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2017: Women and Work in India: Descriptive Evidence and a Review of Potential Policies

Erin Fletcher, Rohini Pande and Charity Moore

2017: The Politics of Selecting the Bench from the Bar: The Legal Profession and Partisan Incentives to Introduce Ideology into Judicial Selection

Adam Bonica and Maya Sen

2017: The Efficiency Consequences of Heterogeneous Behavioral Responses to Energy Fiscal Policies

Sebastien Houde and Joseph Aldy

2017: Can Public Reporting Cure Healthcare? The Role of Quality Transparency in Improving Patient-Provider Alignment

Soroush Saghafian and Wallace J. Hopp

2017: Recursive Representation in the Representative System

Jane Mansbridge

2017: Space Technology and Africa’s Development: The Strategic Role of Small Satellites

Calestous Juma, Wesley L. Harris and Peter B. Waswa

2017: Linking Heterogeneous Climate Policies (Consistent with the Paris Agreement)

Michael A. Mehling, Gilbert Metcalf and Robert Stavins

2017: Report on Network Sunday Morning Talk Show Content and Ratings, Comparing 1983, 1999, and 2015

Matthew A. Baum

2017: Paths to Convergence: Stock Price Behavior after Donald Trump's Election

Alexander Wagner, Richard Zeckhauser and Alexandre Ziegler

2017: What Does General Secretary Xi Jinping Dream About?

Anthony Saich

2017: Rules versus Home Rule: Local Government Responses to Negative Revenue Shocks

Daniel Shoag, Cody Tuttle and Stan Veuger

2017: Data-Driven Management of Post-transplant Medications: An APOMDP Approach

Alireza Boloori, Soroush Saghafian, Harini A. A. Chakkera and Curtiss B. Cook

2017: Workload Management in Telemedical Physician Triage and Other Knowledge-Based Service Systems

Soroush Saghafian, Wallace J. Hopp, Seyed M. R. Iravani, Yao Cheng and Daniel Diermeier

2017: How to Cope with Volatile Commodity Export Prices: Four Proposals

Jeffrey Frankel

2017: Connecting the Northeast: A Cost Estimate for the North South Rail Link

Laura White, Jean-Louis Rochet, Pete Mathias, Kate O'Gorman and Linda Bilmes

2017: African Megacities as Emerging Innovation Ecosystems

Katarzyna A. Nawrot, Calestous Juma and James Donald

2017: The Social Construction of the UN Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights

John Gerard Ruggie

2017: Still More on Mariel: The Role of Race

George Borjas

2017: An Economic Anatomy of Optimal Climate Policy

Juan Moreno-Cruz, Gernot Wagner and David w. Keith

2017: The Geopolitics of Renewable Energy

Meghan O'Sullivan, Indra Overland and David Sandalow

2017: Populism and the Economics of Globalization

Dani Rodrik

2017: Systematic Managed Floating

Jeffrey Frankel

2017: The Impact of Defaults on Technology Adoption, and Its Underappreciation by Pollicymakers

Peter Bergman and Todd Rogers

2017: News Coverage of Donald Trump’s First 100 Days

Thomas E. Patterson

2017: Structural Change, Fundamentals, and Growth: A Framework and Case Studies

Margaret McMillan, Dani Rodrik and Claudia Sepulveda

2017: Taking My Talents to South Beach (and Back)

Daniel Shoag and Stan Veuger

2017: Populist Threats to Electoral Integrity: The Year in Elections 2016-2017

Pippa Norris and Max Gromping

2017: Simultaneous Pursuit of Discovery and Invention in the US Department of Energy

Anna P. Goldstein and Venkatesh Narayanamurti

2017: The Legal Academy's Ideological Uniformity

Adam Bonica, Adam Chilton, Kyle Rozema and Maya Sen

2017: Skill Requirements across Firms and Labor Markets: Evidence from Job Postings for Professionals

David Deming and Lisa Kahn

2017: Straight Talkers and Vague Talkers: The Effects of Managerial Style in Earnings Conference Calls

Richard Zeckhauser

2017: Endowments, Exclusion, and Exchange

Ivan Balbuzanov and Maciej Kotowski

2017: The Earnings of Undocumented Immigrants

George Borjas

2017: Is Western Democracy Backsliding? Diagnosing the Risks

Pippa Norris

2017: Reducing Student Absenteeism in the Early Grades by Targeting Parental Beliefs

Carly D. Robinson, Monica G. Lee, Eric Dearing and Todd Rogers

2017: Institutions vs. Social Interactions in Driving Economic Convergence: Evidence from Colombia

Michelle Coscia, Timothy Cheston and Ricardo Hausmann

2017: Company Stock Reactions to the 2016 Election Shock: Trump, Taxes and Trade

Alexander Wagner, Richard Zeckhauser and Alexandre Siegler

2017: Learning to Target for Economic Diversification: PDIA in Sri Lanka

Matt Andrews

2017: Welcome Home in a Crisis: Effects of Return Migration on the Non-Migrants’ Wages and Employment

Ricardo Hausmann and Ljubica Nedelkoska

2017: The Evolution of Health Insurer Costs in Massachusetts, 2010-12

Kate Ho, Ariel Pakes and Mark Shepard

2017: The Labor of Division: Returns to Compulsory High School Math Coursework

Joshua Goodman

2017: Is Global Equality the Enemy of National Equality?

Dani Rodrik

2017: Price-Linked Subsidies and Health Insurance Markups

Sonia Jaffe and Mark Shepard

2017: Designing and Updating a US Carbon Tax in an Uncertain World

Joseph Aldy

2016: Dynamic Assignment of Patients to Primary and Secondary Inpatient Units: Is Patience a Virtue?

Derya Kilinc, Soroush Saghafian and Stephen Traub

2016: Democracy Versus Dictatorship? The Political Determinants of Growth Episodes

Kunal Sen, Lant Pritchett, Sabyasachi Kar and Selim Raihan

2016: Citywide Effects of High-Occupancy Vehicle Restrictions: Evidence from the Elimination of "3-in-1" in Jakarta

Rema Hanna, Gabriel Kreindler and Benjamin Olken

2016: Henry Kissinger: Negotiating Black Majority Rule of Southern Africa

James K. Sebenius, R. Nicholas Burns, Robert H. Mnookin and L. Alexander Green

2016: Enrollee Choices after Their Health Plans Are Terminated: Default Effects versus Persistent Preferences

Anna Sinaiko and Richard Zeckhauser

2016: The New Case for Migration Restrictions: An Assessment

Michael Clemens and Lant Pritchett

2016: News Coverage of the 2016 General Election: How the Press Failed the Voters

Thomas E. Patterson

2016: Making Moves Matter: Experimental Evidence on Incentivizing Bureaucrats through Performance-Based Transfers

Adnan Q. Khan, Asim Ijaz Khwaja and Benjamin Olken

2016: Exploring the Uncharted Export: An Analysis of Tourism-Related Foreign Expenditure with International Spend Data

Michele Coscia, Ricardo Hausmann and Frank Neffke

2016: Shifting College Majors in Response to Advanced Placement Exam Scores

Christopher Avery, Oded Gurantz, Michael Hurwitz and Jonathan Smith

2016: E-Governance, Accountability, and Leakage in Public Programs: Experimental Evidence from a Financial Management Reform in India

Abhijit Banerjee, Esther Duflo, Clément Imbert, Santosh Mathew and Rohini Pande

2016: Economic Complexity in Panama: Assessing Opportunities for Productive Diversification

Ricardo Hausmann, Jose Ramon Morales and Miguel Santos

2016: Shifting Gears: A Growth Diagnostic of Panama

Ricardo Hausmann, Luis Espinoza and Miguel Santos

2016: Special Economic Zones in Panama: A Critical Assessment

Ricardo Hausmann, Juan Obach and Miquel Angel Santos

2016: Liquidity Risk in Sequential Trading Networks

Shachar Kariv, Maciej Kotowski and Christian Leister

2016: From Proof of Concept to Scalable Policies: Challenges and Solutions, with an Application

Abhijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, James Berry, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Shobhini Mukerji, Marc Shotland and Michael Walton

2016: Risky Choices: Simulating Public Pension Funding Stress with Realistic Shocks

James Farrell and Daniel Shoag

2016: News Coverage of the 2016 National Conventions: Negative News, Lacking Context

Thomas E. Patterson

2016: Securing Property Rights

Edward L. Glaeser, Giacomo Ponzetto and Andrei Shleifer

2016: Why American Elections Are Flawed (and How to Fix Them)

Pippa Norris

2016: Research and Impacts of Digital Financial Services

Dean Karlan, Jake Kendall, Rebecca Mann, Rohini Pande, Tavneet Suri and Jonathan Zinman

2016: Microcredit: Points of Promise

Erica Field, Abraham Holland and Rohini Pande

2016: Does Online Delivery Increase Access to Education?

Joshua Goodman, Julia Melkers and Amanda Pallais

2016: Long-Range Growth: Economic Development in the Global Network of Air Links

Filipe Campante and David Yanagizawa-Drott

2016: Efficient Warnings, Not "Wolf or Rabbit" Warnings

Lisa Robinson, W Viscusi and Richard Zeckhauser

2016: Mainstreaming an Effective Intervention: Evidence from Randomized Evaluations of "Teaching at the Right Level" in India

Abjijit Banerjee, Rukmini Banerji, James Berry, Esther Duflo, Harini Kannan, Shobhini Mukerji, Marc Shotland and Michael Walton

2016: Searching for the Devil in the Details: Learning about Development Program Design

Sara Nadel and Lant Pritchett

2016: Loss Sequencing in Banking Networks: Threatened Banks as Strategic Dominoes

Ngoc-Khanh Tran, Thao Vuong and Richard Zeckhauser

2016: Trump, Brexit, and the Rise of Populism: Economic Have-Nots and Cultural Backlash

Ronald F. Inglehart and Pippa Norris

2016: Confronting Deep and Persistent Climate Uncertainty

Gernot Wagner and Richard Zeckhauser

2016: News Coverage of the 2016 Presidential Primaries: Horse Race Reporting Has Consequences

Thomas E. Patterson

2016: Measuring Judicial Ideology Using Law Clerk Hiring

Adam Bonica, Adam S. Chilton, Jacob Goldin, Kyle Rozema and Maya Sen

2016: A Quantum Leap over High Hurdles to Financial Inclusion: The Mobile Banking Revolution in Kenya

Jay Rosengard

2016: Globalization and Chinese Growth: Ends of Trends?

Jeffrey Frankel

2016: Classifying Exchange Rate Regimes: 15 Years Later

Eduardo Levy-Yeyati and Federico Sturzenegger

2016: The Causes of Peer Effects in Production: Evidence from a Series of Field Experiments

John Horton and Richard Zeckhauser

2016: Total Economic Valuation of the National Park Service Lands and Programs: Results of a Survey of the American Public

Michelle Haefele, John Loomis and Linda J. Bilmes

2016: Pre-primary News Coverage of the 2016 Presidential Race: Trump's Rise, Sanders' Emergence, Clinton's Struggle

Thomas E. Patterson

2016: The Causal Effect of Place: Evidence from Japanese-American Internment

Daniel Shoag and Nicholas Carollo

2016: Bias in Official Fiscal Forecasts: Can Private Forecasts Help?

Jeffrey Frankel and Jesse Schreger

2016: The United States and the European Refugee Crisis: Standing with Allies

Michael Ignatieff, Juliette Keeley, Betsy Ribble and Keith McCammon

2016: Collective Action in an Asymmetric World

Cuicui Chen and Richard Zeckhauser

2016: Towards a Prosperous and Productive Chiapas: Institutions, Policies, and Public-Private Dialog to Promote Inclusive Growth

Ricardo Hausmann, Timothy Cheston, Miguel Santos and Carlo Pietrobelli

2016: Trust Your Gut or Think Carefully? Examining Whether an Intuitive versus a Systematic Mode of Thought Produces Greater Empathic Accuracy

Christine Ma-Kellams and Jennifer S. Lerner

2016: No Woman No Crime: Ban the Box, Employment, and Upskilling

Daniel Shoag and Stan Veuger

2016: Downskilling: Changes in Employer Skill Requirements over the Business Cycle

Alicia Modestino, Daniel Shoag and Joshua Ballance

2016: Academics vs. Athletics: Career Concerns for NCAA Division I Coaches

Christopher Avery, Brian Cadman and Gavin Cassar

2016: The Labor Supply of Undocumented Immigrants

George Borjas

2016: Does It Matter If Statistical Agencies Frame the Month's CPI Report on a 1-Month or 12-Month Basis?

Jeffrey Frankel and Ayako Saiki

2016: Using Inclusive Wealth for Policy Evaluation: Application to Electricity Infrastructure Planning in Oil-Exporting Countries

Ross D. Collins, Noelle E. Selin, Olivier L. de Weck and William C. Clark

2016: Reimagining Accountability in K-12 Education: A Behavioral Science Perspective

Brian P. Gill, Jennifer S. Lerner and Paul Meosky

2016: "No More Credit Score": Emplyer Credit Check Bans and Signal Substitution

Robert Clifford and Daniel Shoag

2016: Owning, Using and Renting: Some Simple Economics of the "Sharing Economy"

John Horton and Richard Zeckhauser

2016: Off Pitch: Football's Financial Integrity Weaknesses, and How to Strengthen Them

Matt Andrews and Peter Harrington

2016: The Workforce of Pioneer Plants

Ricardo Hausmann and Frank Neffke

2016: Crafting Usuable Knowledge for Sustainable Development

William C. Clark, Lorrae van Kerkhoff, Louis Lebel and Gilberto Gallopin

2016: Recollection Bias and Its Underpinnings: Lessons from Terrorism-Risk Assessments

W Viscusi and Richard Zeckhauser

2016: International Coordination

Jeffrey Frankel

2016: Contracting Out the Last-Mile of Service Delivery: Subsidized Food Distribution in Indonesia

Abhijit Banerjee, Rema Hanna, Jordan C. Kyle, Benjamin Olken and Sudarno Sumarto