Working Papers

From The George Washington University, The Center for Economic Research
Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by GW Economics Department ().

Access Statistics for this working paper series.
Is something missing from the series or not right? See the RePEc data check for the archive and series.

2012-001: Forecasting Data Vintages

Tara Sinclair

2011-006: A New Look at China’s Output Fluctuations: Quarterly GDP Estimation with an Unobserved Components Approach

Yueqing Jia

2011-005: Economic Forecasting in the Great Recession

Herman Stekler and Raj Talwar

2011-004: The Forecasting Performance of Business Economists During the Great Recession

Kathryn Lundquist and Herman Stekler

2011-003: Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games

Herman Stekler and Andrew Klein

2011-002: Comparing Government Forecasts of the United States’ Gross Federal Debt

Andrew Martinez

2011-001: Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates

Tara Sinclair and Herman Stekler

2010-004: Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment

William Larson

2010-003: Forecasting the Intermittent Demand for Slow-Moving Items

Ralph Snyder, John Ord and Adrian Beaumont

2010-002: Perspectives on Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts

Ullrich Heilemann and Herman Stekler

2010-001: Has the Accuracy of German Macroeconomic Forecasts Improved?

Ullrich Heilemann and Herman Stekler

2009-004: Transparency, Performance, and Agency Budgets: A Rational Expectations Modeling Approach

Rosen Valchev and Antony Davies

2009-003: Evaluating National Football League Draft Choices: The Passing Game

Bryan Boulier, Herman Stekler, Jason Coburn and Timothy Rankins

2009-002: Issues in Sports Forecasting

Herman Stekler, David Sendor and Richard Verlander

2009-001: Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?

Tara Sinclair, Fred Joutz and Herman Stekler

2008-010: Are 'unbiased' forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts

Tara Sinclair, Fred Joutz and Herman Stekler

2008-009: What Do We Know About G-7 Macro Forecasts?

Herman Stekler

2008-008: An Exploration of Regression-Based Data Mining Techniques Using Super Computation

Antony Davies

2008-007: Evaluating Consensus Forecasts

Herman Stekler

2008-006: Measuring Consensus in Binary Forecasts: NFL Game Predictions

ChiUng Song, Bryan Boulier and Herman Stekler

2008-005: Evaluating Current Year Forecasts Made During the Year: A Japanese Example

Herman Stekler and Kazuta Sakamoto

2008-004: Monitoring Processes with Changing Variances

John Ord

2008-003: Exponential smoothing and non-negative data

Muhammad Akram, Rob Hyndman and John Ord

2008-002: Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation

Tara Sinclair, Gamber Edward N., Herman Stekler and Reid Elizabeth

2008-001: Forecast Errors Before and After the Great Moderation

Edward N. Gamber, Julie Smith and Matthew Weiss

2007-002: Are the Fed’s Inflation Forecasts Still Superior to the Private Sector’s?

Edward N. Gamber and Julie Smith

2007-001: Sports Forecasting

Herman Stekler