PIER Working Paper Archive
From Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania 133 South 36th Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104. Contact information at EDIRC. Bibliographic data for series maintained by Administrator (). Access Statistics for this working paper series.
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- 23-002: Information Favoritism and Scoring Bias in Contests

- Shanglyu Deng, Hanming Fang, Qiang Fu and Zenan Wu
- 23-001: Long-term effects of rainfall shocks on foundational cognitive skills: Evidence from Peru

- Nicolas Pazos, Marta Favara, Alan Sánchez, Douglas Scott and Jere Behrman
- 22-032: How early nutrition and foundational cognitive skills interconnect? Evidence from two developing countries

- Alan Sánchez, Marta Favara, Margaret Sheridan and Jere Behrman
- 22-031: Tournament-Style Political Competition and Local Protectionism: Theory and Evidence from China

- Hanming Fang, Ming Li and Zenan Wu
- 22-030: Learning Through Repetition? A Dynamic Evaluation of Grade Retention in Portugal

- Emilio Borghesan, Hugo Reis and Petra Todd
- 22-029: A New Test forMarket Efficiency and Uncovered Interest Parity

- Richard Baillie, Francis Diebold, George Kapetanios and Kun Ho Kim
- 22-028: Assessing and Comparing Fixed-Target Forecasts of Arctic Sea Ice:Glide Charts for Feature-Engineered Linear Regression and Machine Learning Models

- Francis Diebold, Maximilian Gobel and Philippe Goulet Coulombe
- 22-027: Distributional Effects of Local Minimum Wages: A Spatial Job Search Approach

- Petra Todd and Weilong Zhang
- 22-026: A Stage-Based Identification of Policy Effects

- Christian Aleman Pericon, Christopher Busch, Alexander Ludwig and Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis
- 22-025: Regional Employment Polarization in a Time of Crisis: The case of Interwar Britain

- Ivan Luzardo-Luna
- 22-024: Late-childhood foundational cognitive skills predict educational outcomes through adolescence and into young adulthood: evidence from Ethiopia and Peru

- Jennifer Lopez, Jere Behrman, Santiago Cueto, Marta Favara and Alan Sánchez
- 22-023: Neoclassical Growth with Long-Term One-Sided Commitment Contracts

- Dirk Krueger and Harald Uhlig
- 22-022: Social protection and foundational cognitive skills during adolescence: evidence from a large Public Works Programme

- Richard Freund, Marta Favara, Catherine Porter Catherine Porter and Jere Behrman
- 22-021: Housing Wealth and Online Consumer Behavior:Evidence from Xiong'an New Area in China

- Hanming Fang, Long Wang and Yang Yang
- 22-020: Anti-Corruption Campaign and the Resurgence of the SOEs in China:Evidence from the Real Estate Sector

- Hanming Fang, Jing Wu, Rongjie Zhang and Li-An Zhou
- 22-019: The impact of the JUNTOS conditional cash transfer programme on foundational cognitive skills: Does age of enrollment matter?

- Douglas Scott, Jennifer Lopez, Alan Sánchez and Jere Behrman
- 22-018: Bayesian Persuasion: Reduced Form Approach

- Juuso Toikka, Akhil Vohra and Rakesh Vohra
- 22-017: Information Spillovers and Sovereign Debt: Theory Meets the Eurozone Crisis

- Harold Cole, Daniel Neuhann and Guillermo Ordonez
- 22-016: Does Schooling Improve Cognitive Abilities at Older Ages: Causal Evidence from Nonparametric Bounds

- Vikesh Amin, Jere R. Behrman, Jason M. Fletcher Jason M. Fletcher, Carlos A. Flores, Alfonso Flores-Lagunes and Hans-Peter Kohler
- 22-015: Caution and Reference Effects

- Simone Cerreia-Vioglio, David Dillenberger and Pietro Ortoleva
- 22-014: Substance Abuse during the Pandemic: Implications for Labor-Force Participation

- Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner and Karen Kopecky
- 22-013: Economic Theories and Their Dueling Interpretations

- Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelsonl and David Schmeidler
- 22-012: On Robust Inference in Time Series Regression

- Richard T. Baillie, Francis Diebold, George Kapetanios and Kun Ho Kim
- 22-011: When Will Arctic Sea Ice Disappear? Projections of Area, Extent, Thickness, and Volume

- Francis Diebold, Glenn Rudebusch, Maximilian Gobel, Philippe Goulet Coulombe and Boyuan Zhang
- 22-010: (Near) Substitute Preferences and Equilibria with Indivisibilities

- Thành Nguyen and Rakesh Vohra
- 22-009: Systemic Discrimination: Theory and Measurement

- J. Aislinn Bohren, Peter Hull and Alex Imas
- 22-008: Economic Theory: Economics, Methods and Methodology

- Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelsonl and David Schmeidler
- 22-007: Partial Default

- Cristina Arellano, Xavier Mateos-Planas and Jose-Victor Rios-Rull
- 22-006: Procyclical Productivity in New Keynesian Models

- Zhesheng Qiu and Jose-Victor Rios-Rull
- 22-005: The Downward Spiral

- Jeremy Greenwood, Nezih Guner and Karen A. Kopecky
- 22-004: Private Private Information

- Kevin He, Fedor Sandomirskiy and Omer Tamuz
- 22-003: Observability, Dominance, and Induction in Learning Models

- Daniel Clark, Drew Fudenberg and Kevin He
- 22-002: A Benchmark Model for Fixed-Target Arctic Sea Ice Forecasting

- Francis Diebold and Maximilian Gobel
- 22-001: Real-Time Real Economic Activity:Entering and Exiting the Pandemic Recession of 2020

- Francis Diebold
- 21-029: Contagion and Equlilbria in Diversified Financial Networks

- Victor Amelkin, Santosh Venkatesh and Rakesh Vohra
- 21-028: “Golden Ages”: A Tale of the Labor Markets in China and the United States

- Hanming Fang and Xincheng Qiu
- 21-027: An Economy of Neural Networks:Learning from Heterogeneous Experiences

- Artem Kuriksha
- 21-025: Prospering through Prospera: CCT Impacts on Educational Attainment and Achievement in Mexico

- Jere Behrman, Susan Parker, Petra Todd and Weilong Zhang
- 21-024: Heterogenous Trajectories in Physical, Mental and Cognitive Health among Older Americans: Roles of Genetics and Earlier SES

- Cung Truong Hoang, Vikesh Amin, Jere Behrman, Hans-Peter Kohler and Illiana V. Kohler
- 21-023: The A?ordable Care Act After a Decade:Its Impact on the Labor Market and the Macro Economy

- Hanming Fang and Dirk Krueger
- 21-022: Red Scare? A Study of Ethnic Prejudice in the Prosecutions under the Economic Espionage Act

- Hanming Fang and Ming Li
- 21-021: Aggregative Efficiency of Bayesian Learning in Networks

- Krishna Dasaratha and Kevin He
- 21-020: Evolutionarily Stable (Mis)specifications:Theory and Applications

- Kevin He and Jonathan Libgober
- 21-019: A Multi-Agent Model of Misspeci?ed Learning with Overcon?dence

- Cuimin Ba and Alice Gindin
- 21-018: Robust Model Misspeci?cation and Paradigm Shifts

- Cuimin Ba
- 21-017: Physician-Induced Demand: Evidence from China’s Drug Price Zero-Markup Policy

- Hanming Fang, Xiaoyan Lei, Julie Shi and Lisa Xuejie Yi
- 21-016: The Asian Games, Air Pollution and Birth Outcomes in South China: an Instrumental Variable Approach

- Xiaoying Liu, Huazhang Miao, Jere Behrman, Emily Hannum, Zhijiang Liang and Qingguo Zhao
- 21-015: Fighting COVID-19: Patterns in International Data, Expanded

- Roberto S. Mariano and Suleyman Ozmucur
- 21-014: Delay the Pension Age or Adjust the Pension Bene?t? Implications for Labor Supply and Individual Welfare in China

- Yuanyuan Deng, Hanming Fang, Katja Hanewald and Shang Wu
- 21-013: Price Levels, Size, Distribution and Growth of the World Economy: Insights from recent International Comparisons of Prices and Real Product

- Alan Heston and D.S. Prasada Rao
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