PIER Working Paper Archive

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07-011: A Structural Model of Turnout and Voting in Multiple Elections

Arianna Degan and Antonio Merlo

07-010: Bicameralism and Government Formation, Second Version

Daniel Diermeier, Hülya Eraslan and Antonio Merlo

07-009: Political Careers or Career Politicians? Second Version

Andrea Mattozzi and Antonio Merlo

07-008: The Transparency of Politics and the Quality of Politicians

Andrea Mattozzi and Antonio Merlo

07-007: Mediocracy

Andrea Mattozzi and Antonio Merlo

07-006: Do Voters Vote Sincerely? Second Version

Arianna Degan and Antonio Merlo

07-005: Asymptotically Optimal Tests for Single-Index Restrictions with a Focus on Average Partial Effects

Juan Carlos Escanciano and Kyungchul Song

07-004: A Model of Money with Multilateral Matching, Second Version

Manolis Galenianos and Philipp Kircher

07-003: Heterogeneous Firms in a Finite Directed Search Economy

Manolis Galenianos and Philipp Kircher

07-002: Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, With Application to Global Equity Markets

Francis Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz

07-001: Rationality of Belief Or: Why Savage's axioms are neither necessary nor sufficient for rationality, Second Version

Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite and David Schmeidler

06-028: Consumption Commitments and Employment Contracts

Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson and Dan Silverman

06-027: What Determines Adult Cognitive Skills? Impacts of Pre-Schooling, Schooling and Post-Schooling Experiences in Guatemala

Jere Behrman, John Hoddinott, John Maluccio, Erica Soler-Hampejsek, Emily Behrman, Reynaldo Martorell, Manuel Ramirez-Zea and Aryeh Stein

06-026: The Impact of Nutrition during Early Childhood on Education among Guatemalan Adults

John Maluccio, John Hoddinott, Jere Behrman, Reynaldo Martorell, Agnes Quisumbing and Aryeh Stein

06-025: Active Courts and Menu Contracts

Luca Anderlini, Leonardo Felli and Andrew Postlewaite

06-024: Should Courts Always Enforce What Contracting Parties Write?

Luca Anderlini, Leonardo Felli and Andrew Postlewaite

06-023: Technological Improvements and Comparative Advantage Reconsidered

Yochanan Shachmurove and Uriel Spiegel

06-022: Ex Ante Evaluation of Social Programs

Petra Todd and Kenneth Wolpin

06-021: A Structural Model of Turnout and Voting in Multiple Elections

Arianna Degan and Antonio Merlo

06-020: Multiplicity in General Financial Equilibrium with Portfolio Constraints, Second Version

Suleyman Basak, David Cass, Juan Licari and Anna Pavlova

06-019: Time Series Analysis

Francis Diebold, Lutz Kilian and Marc Nerlove

06-018: Smooth Monotone Contribution Games

Steven Matthews

06-017: A Three-Factor Yield Curve Model: Non-Affine Structure, Systematic Risk Sources, and Generalized Duration

Francis Diebold, Lei Ji and Canlin Li

06-016: Direction-of-Change Forecasts Based on Conditional Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis Dynamics: International Evidence

Peter Christoffersen, Francis Diebold, Roberto Mariano, Anthony S Tay and Y. K. Tse

06-015: Globalization and Endogenous Firm Scope

Volker Nocke and Stephen Yeaple

06-014: Selling Protection for Sale

Wilfred Ethier

06-013: The Theory of Trade Policy and Trade Agreements: A Critique

Wilfred Ethier

06-012: Multiplicity and Sunspots in General Financial Equilibrium with Portfolio Constraints

Suleyman Basak, David Cass, Juan Manuel Licari and Anna Pavlova

06-011: Musings on the Cass Trick

David Cass

06-010: Competitive Equilibrium with Incomplete Financial Markets

David Cass

06-009: Compatible Beliefs and Equilibrium

David Cass

06-008: Do Voters Vote Sincerely?

Arianna Degan and Antonio Merlo

06-007: Implementation with Interdependent Valuations

Richard McLean and Andrew Postlewaite

06-006: Exploring the Usefulness of a Non-Random Holdout Sample for Model Validation: Welfare Effects on Female Behavior

Michael Keane and Kenneth Wolpin

06-005: Accounting for Wage and Employment Changes in the U. S. from 1968-2000: A Dynamic Model of Labor Market Equilibrium

Donghoon Lee and Kenneth Wolpin

06-004: The Role of Labor and Marriage Markets, Preference Heterogeneity and the Welfare System in the Life Cycle Decisions of Black, Hispanic and White Women

Michael Keane and Kenneth Wolpin

06-003: Social Assets

George Mailath and Andrew Postlewaite

06-002: Consumption Commitments and Employment Contracts

Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson and Dan Silverman

06-001: Courts of Law and Unforeseen Contingencies

Luca Anderlini, Leonardo Felli and Andrew Postlewaite

05-033: Whither Political Economy? Theories, Facts and Issues

Antonio Merlo

05-032: Political Careers or Career Politicians?

Andrea Mattozzi and Antonio Merlo

05-031: Why are Married Men Working So Much?

John Knowles

05-030: The comparison of incomes of self-employed and salaried workers among German Nationals and immigrants

Amelie Constant and Yochanan Shachmurove

05-029: The Role of Turkish Immigrants in Entrepreneurial Activities in Germany

Amelie Constant, Yochanan Shachmurove and Klaus Zimmermann

05-028: European Stock Market Dynamics Before and After the Introduction of the Euro

Joseph Friedman and Yochanan Shachmurove

05-027: Reputation and Rhetoric in Elections

Enriqueta Aragonès, Thomas Palfrey and Andrew Postlewaite

05-026: A Gap for Me: Entrepreneurs and Entry

Volker Nocke

05-025: Stock Returns and Expected Business Conditions: Half a Century of Direct Evidence

Sean Campbell and Francis Diebold

05-024: Informational Smallness and Private Monitoring in Repeated Games

Richard McLean, Ichiro Obara and Andrew Postlewaite

05-023: Constrained efficiency in the neoclassical growth model with uninsurable idiosyncratic shocks

Julio Dávila, Jay Hong, Per Krusell and José-Víctor Ríos-Rull