PIER Working Paper Archive

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12-004: The Ability to Adapt and Overcome Obstacles: Machinery Exports of Poland

Mitchell Kellman and Yochanan Shachmurove

12-003: A Foundation for Markov Equilibria with Finite Social Memory

V Bhaskar, George Mailath and Stephen Morris

12-002: Directed Search over the Life Cycle

Guido Menzio, Irina Telyukova and Ludo Visschers

12-001: Economic Models as Analogies

Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson and David Schmeidler

11-042: Models of Subjective Learning

David Dillenberger and Philipp Sadowski

11-041: Do More-Schooled Women have Fewer Children and Delay Childbearing? Evidence from a Sample of U.S. Twins

Vikesh Amin and Jere Behrman

11-040: Efficient Learning, Job Turnover and Wage Dispersion

Fei Li

11-039: Defending Against Speculative Attacks: Reputation, Learning, and Coordination

Chong Huang

11-038: The Role of Information in Competitive Experimentation

Ufuk Akcigit and Qingmin Liu

11-037: Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management

Torben Andersen, Tim Bollerslev, Peter Christoffersen and Francis Diebold

11-036: Optimism and Pessimism with Expected Utility

David Dillenberger, Andrew Postlewaite and Kareen Rozen

11-035: Identification and Estimation of Stochastic Bargaining Models, Fourth Version

Antonio Merlo and Xun Tang

11-034: Housing and the Macroeconomy: The Role of Bailout Guarantees for Government Sponsored Enterprises

Karsten Jeske, Dirk Krueger and Kurt Mitman

11-033: How Beliefs about HIV Status Affect Risky Behaviors: Evidence from Malawi, Seventh Version

Aureo de Paula, Gil Shapira and Petra Todd

11-032: The Impact of the PROGRESA/Oportunidades Conditional Cash Transfer Program on Health and Related Outcomes for the Aging in Mexico

Jere Behrman and Susan Parker

11-031: On the Network Topology of Variance Decompositions: Measuring the Connectedness of Financial Firms

Francis Diebold and Kamil Yilmaz

11-030: On the Persistence of Income Shocks over the Life Cycle: Evidence, Theory, and Implications,Second Version

Fatih Karahan and Serdar Ozkan

11-029: Informational Smallness and Privae Momnitoring in Repeated Games, Second Version

Richard McLean, Ichiro Obara and Andrew Postlewaite

11-028: Improving GDP Measurement: A Forecast Combination Perspective

S. Boragan Aruoba, Francis Diebold, Jeremy Nalewail, Frank Schorfheide and Dongho Song

11-027: Protectionism and Increasing Returns with Comparative-Cost Disadvantage

Roy Ruffin and Wilfred Ethier

11-026: The Political-Support View of Protection

Wilfred Ethier

11-025: Non-Bayesian Social Learning, Third Version

Ali Jadbabaie, Pooya Molavi, Alvaro Sandroni and Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi

11-024: Are Conditional Cash Transfers Effective in Urban Areas? Evidence from Mexico

Jere Behrman, Jorge Gallardo-Garcia, Susan Parker, Petra Todd and Viviana Velez-Grajales

11-023: Pro-cyclical Unemployment Benefits? Optimal Policy in an Equilibrium Business Cycle Model

Kurt Mitman and Stanislav Rabinovich

11-022: Fiscal Volatility Shocks and Economic Activity

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Pablo Guerron, Keith Kuester and Juan F Rubio-Ramirez

11-021: Coordination and Social Learning

Chong Huang

11-020: Sir Robert Giffen Meets Russia in Early 1990s

Yochanan Shachmurove and Janusz Szyrmer

11-019: An Historical Walk Through Recent Financial Crises

Tadeusz Kowalski and Yochanan Shachmurove

11-018: Computing Dynamic Heterogeneous-Agent Economies: Tracking the Distribution

Grey Gordon

11-017: First-Round Entrepreneurial Investments: Where, When and Why?

Yochanan Shachmurove

11-016: Achievable Outcomes of Dynamic Contribution Games, Second Version

Steven Matthews

11-015: Macroeconomic Effects of Bankruptcy & Foreclosure Policies

Kurt Mitman

11-014: Inequality and the Lifecycle

Greg Kaplan

11-013: Schooling is Associated Not Only with Long-Run Wages, But Also with Wage Risks and Disability Risks: The Pakistani Experience

Asma Hyder and Jere Behrman

11-012: Common Learning with Intertemporal Dependence

Martin Cripps, Jeffrey Ely, George Mailath and Larry Samuelson

11-011: Boom and Bust of the spanish Economy

Tomer Shachmurove and Yochanan Shachmurove

11-010: Pro-Cyclical Unemployment Benefits? Optimal Policy in an Equilibrium Business Cycle Model

Kurt Mitman and Stanislav Rabinovich

11-009: A Monetary Theory with Non-Degenerate Distributions

Guido Menzio, Shouyong Shi and Hongfei Sun

11-008: Identification and Estimation of Stochastic Bargaining Models, Third Version

Antonio Merlo and Xun Tang

11-007: Testing for the Role of Prejudice in Emergency Departments Using Bounceback Rates

Shamena Anwar and Hanming Fang

11-006: Reoccurring Financial Crises in the United States

Yochanan Shachmurove

11-005: How Beliefs about HIV Status Affect Risky Behaviors: Evidence from Malawi, Sixth Version

Aureo de Paula, Gil Shapira and Petra Todd

11-004: History-Dependent Risk Attitude

David Dillenberger and Kareen Rozen

11-003: Inference of Signs of Interaction Effects in Simultaneous Games with Incomplete Information, Second Version

Aureo de Paula and Xun Tang

11-002: Mediocracy, Third Version

Andrea Mattozzi and Antonio Merlo

11-001: Identification and Estimation of Preference Distributions When Voters Are Ideological

Antonio Merlo and Aureo de Paula

10-040: Information, Liquidity, Asset Prices and Monetary Policy, Second Version

Benjamin Lester, Andrew Postlewaite and Randall Wright

10-039: Plausible Cooperation, Second Version

Andrew Postlewaite and Olivier Compte

10-038: Recursive Contracts, Lotteries and Weakly Concave Pareto Sets

Harold Cole and Felix Kubler

10-037: "Pricing and Investments in Matching Markets",Second Version

George Mailath, Andrew Postlewaite and Larry Samuelson