PIER Working Paper Archive

From Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania
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04-033: Coordination Failure in Repeated Games with Almost-Public Monitoring

George Mailath and Stephen Morris

04-032: Reputation and Turnover

Rafael Rob and Tadashi Sekiguchi

04-031: Disappearing Private Reputations in Long-Run Relationships

Martin Cripps and Larry Samuelson

04-030: The Reality of IPO Performance: An Empirical Study of Venture-Backed Public Companies

Yochanan Shachmurove

04-029: Platform Ownership

Volker Nocke, Martin Peitz and Konrad Stahl

04-028: Real-Time Price Discovery in Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets

Torben Andersen, Tim Bollerslev, Francis Diebold and Clara Vega

04-027: Monopoly Pricing under Demand Uncertainty: Final Sales versus Introductory Offers

Volker Nocke and Martin Peitz

04-026: Occupational Mobility and Wage Inequality, Second Version

Gueorgui Kambourov and Iourii Manovskii

04-025: Social Assets

George Mailath and Andrew Postlewaite

04-024: Competitive Bargaining Equilibrium

Julio Dávila and Jan Eeckhout

04-023: Confidence-Enhanced Performance

Olivier Compte and Andrew Postlewaite

04-022: Economic Development in the Middle East

Yochanan Shachmurove

04-021: Consumption Commitments and Preferences for Risk

Andrew Postlewaite, Larry Samuelson and Dan Silverman

04-020: Bargaining over Residential Real Estate: Evidence from England (Third Version)

Antonio Merlo and François Ortalo-Magné

04-019: The Production of Cognitive Achievement in Children: Home, School and Racial Test Score Gaps

Petra Todd and Kenneth I. Wolpin

04-018: Realized Beta: Persistence and Predictability

Torben Andersen, Tim Bollerslev, Francis Diebold and Jin Wu

04-017: Social Isolation and Inequality

Andrew Postlewaite and Dan Silverman

04-016: Evaluating Labor Market Reforms: A General Equilibrium Approach

César Alonso-Borrego, Jesús Fernández-Villaverde and José E. Galdón-Sánchez

04-015: A Dynamic Model of Voting

Arianna Degan

04-014: Do Citizens Vote Sincerely (If They Vote at All)? Theory and Evidence from U. S. National Elections

Arianna Degan and Antonio Merlo

04-013: The Effect of Adolescent Experience on Labor Market Outcomes: The Case of Height, Third Version

Nicola Persico, Andrew Postlewaite and Dan Silverman

04-012: Rising Occupational and Industry Mobility in the United States:1968-1993

Gueorgui Kambourov and Iourii Manovskii

04-011: Rationality of Belief Or Why Bayesianism is neither necessary nor sufficient for rationality

Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite and David Schmeidler

04-010: The Nobel Memorial Prize for Robert F. Engle

Francis Diebold

04-009: Financial Asset Returns, Direction-of-Change Forecasting, and Volatility Dynamics

Peter Christoffersen and Francis Diebold

04-008: Disappearing Private Reputations in Long-Run Relationships

Martin Cripps, George Mailath and Larry Samuelson

04-007: Sunk Investments Lead to Unpredictable Prices (Second Version)

George Mailath, Andrew Postlewaite and Larry Samuelson

04-006: Trade Policies Based on Political Externalities: An Exploration, Third Version

Wilfred Ethier

04-005: Estimating Dynamic Equilibrium Economies: Linear versus Nonlinear Likelihood

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Juan F Rubio-Ramirez

04-004: Purification in the Infinitely-Repeated Prisoners’ Dilemma

V Bhaskar, George Mailath and Stephen Morris

04-003: Comparing Solution Methods for Dynamic Equilibrium Economies

S. Boragan Aruoba, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Juan F Rubio-Ramirez

04-002: Some Results on the Solution of the Neoclassical Growth Model

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Juan F Rubio-Ramirez

04-001: Estimating Nonlinear Dynamic Equilibrium economies: A Likelihood Approach

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde and Juan F Rubio-Ramirez

03-037: The Effects of Constitutions on Coalition Governments in Parliamentary Democracies

Daniel Diermeier, Hülya Eraslan and Antonio Merlo

03-036: The Effect of Adolescent Experience on Labor Market Outcomes: The Case of Height

Nicola Persico, Andrew Postlewaite and Dan Silverman

03-035: Trade Agreements Based on Political Externalities, Second Version

Wilfred Ethier

03-034: TRIPS, externalities, trade agreements, hostages

Wilfred Ethier

03-033: Do Vertical Mergers Facilitate Upstream Collusion?

Volker Nocke and Lucy Martin

03-032: Inflation and Welfare in Models with Trading Frictions

Guillaume Rocheteau and Randall Wright

03-031: Money in Search Equilibrium, in Competitive Equilibrium, and in Competitive Search Equilibrium

Guillaume Rocheteau and Randall Wright

03-030: An On-the-Job Search Model of Crime, Inequality, and Unemployment

Kenneth Burdett, Ricardo Lagos and Randall Wright

03-029: Crime, Inequality, and Unemployment, Second Version

Kenneth Burdett, Ricardo Lagos and Randall Wright

03-028: Search, Money and Capital: A Neoclassical Dichotomy, Second Version

S. Boragan Aruoba and Randall Wright

03-027: Core Convergence with Asymmetric Information

Richard McLean and Andrew Postlewaite

03-026: Should Courts Always Enforce What Contracting Parties Write?

Luca Anderlini, Leonardo Felli and Andrew Postlewaite

03-025: Some Like it Smooth, and Some Like it Rough: Untangling Continuous and Jump Components in Measuring, Modeling, and Forecasting Asset Return Volatility

Torben Andersen, Tim Bollerslev and Francis Diebold

03-024: The Macroeconomy and the Yield Curve: A Nonstructural Analysis

Francis Diebold, Glenn Rudebusch and S. Boragan Aruoba

03-023: Fact-Free Learning

Enriqueta Aragones, Itzhak Gilboa, Andrew Postlewaite and David Schmeidler

03-022: Using a Social Experiment to Validate a Dynamic Behavioral Model of Child Schooling and Fertility: Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico

Petra Todd and Kenneth Wolpin

03-021: Contemporaneous Perfect Epsilon-Equilibria

George Mailath, Andrew Postlewaite and Larry Samuelson

03-020: South Africa’s International Competitiveness: A Product Level Analysis

Mitchell Kellman, Trevor Roxo and Yochanan Shachmurove

03-019: A Gap for Me: Entrepreneurs and Entry

Volker Nocke

03-018: Business Strategy, Human Capital, and Managerial Incentives

George Mailath, Volker Nocke and Andrew Postlewaite

03-017: Financial Markets of the Middle East and North Africa: The Past and Present

Yochanan Shachmurove

03-016: Imperfect Monitoring and Impermanent Reputations

Martin Cripps, George Mailath and Larry Samuelson

03-015: How good is the Exponential Function discounting Formula? An Experimental Study

Uri Benzion, Yochanan Shachmurove and Joseph Yagil

03-014: Sunk Investments Lead to Unpredictable Prices

George Mailath, Andrew Postlewaite and Larry Samuelson

03-013: A No-Arbitrage Approach to Range-Based Estimation of Return Covariances and Correlations

Michael Brandt and Francis Diebold

03-012: Local Revenue Hills: Evidence from Four U. S. Cities

Andrew Haughwout, Robert Inman, Steven Craig and Thomas Luce

03-011: Informational Size and Efficient Auctions

Richard McLean and Andrew Postlewaite

03-010: Firm Turnover in Imperfectly Competitive Markets

Marcus Asplund and Volker Nocke

03-009: Confidence-Enhanced Performance

Olivier Compte and Andrew Postlewaite

03-008: Markov Switching Garch Models of Currency Crises in Southeast Asia

Celso Brunetti, Roberto Mariano, Chiara Scotti and Augustine Tan

03-007: Social Networks, HIV/AIDS and Risk Perceptions

Jere Behrman, Hans-Peter Kohler and Susan Watkins

03-006: Moral Hazard and Capital Structure Dynamics

Mathias Dewatripont, Patrick Legros and Steven Matthews

03-005: Backward-Looking Interest-Rate Rules, Interest-Rate Smoothing, and Macroeconomic Instability

Jess Benhabib, Stephanie Schitt-Grohe and Martín Uribe

03-004: On the Employment Effect of Technology: Evidence from US Manufacturing for 1958-1996

Yongsung Chang and Jay Hong

03-003: Informational Size and Incentive Compatibility with Aggregate Uncertainty

Richard McLean and Andrew Postlewaite

03-002: Monopoly Pricing under Demand Uncertainty: Final Sales versus Introductory ffers

Volker Nocke and Martin Peitz

03-001: Foreign Direct Investment and Exports with Growing Demand

Rafael Rob and Nikolaos Vettas